macho_mdiliko
Platinum Member
- Mar 10, 2008
- 25,191
- 48,765
New York
A survey of Kenyan voters exiting polling places for the March 4 election shows a statistical tie between Uhuru Kenyatta and Raila Odinga, with both candidates receiving about 41 per cent of the vote.
The so-called exit poll was conducted by two US political scientists and included about 6000 Kenyan voters. The results captured on this video link were released at a Washington think-tank forum on Thursday.
The exit poll showed Mr Odinga receiving 40.9 per cent of votes and Mr Kenyatta 40.6 per cent, with support for other candidates accounting for some of the remainder.
Nearly 12 per cent of the Kenyans included in the survey refused to indicate for whom they had voted in the presidential race.
The results represent "a statistical tie" between the two top vote-getters due to the survey's margin of error, the pollsters said.
One of the pollsters, Harvard University vitiating professor James Long, acknowledged under sharp questioning from the audience that the margin of error could be as high as three per cent.
But even taking account of various statistical uncertainties, Prof Long said, "There is no reasonable assumption that gets either candidate to 50 per cent."
http://www.nation.co.ke/News/politics/poll
A survey of Kenyan voters exiting polling places for the March 4 election shows a statistical tie between Uhuru Kenyatta and Raila Odinga, with both candidates receiving about 41 per cent of the vote.
The so-called exit poll was conducted by two US political scientists and included about 6000 Kenyan voters. The results captured on this video link were released at a Washington think-tank forum on Thursday.
The exit poll showed Mr Odinga receiving 40.9 per cent of votes and Mr Kenyatta 40.6 per cent, with support for other candidates accounting for some of the remainder.
Nearly 12 per cent of the Kenyans included in the survey refused to indicate for whom they had voted in the presidential race.
The results represent "a statistical tie" between the two top vote-getters due to the survey's margin of error, the pollsters said.
One of the pollsters, Harvard University vitiating professor James Long, acknowledged under sharp questioning from the audience that the margin of error could be as high as three per cent.
But even taking account of various statistical uncertainties, Prof Long said, "There is no reasonable assumption that gets either candidate to 50 per cent."
http://www.nation.co.ke/News/politics/poll
