Here is a WARNING to RAILA and his CORD followers – The TRUTH you don’t want to HEAR

[MaxShimba]

I want to warn CORD that there is no guarantee that it will get the KAMBA votes in case of a re-run as exemplified by the recent division within Wiper. Some Kamba leaders have said that they have just realised where they belong {Jubilee} and they were being forced to political oblivion by Kalonzo and Muthama.

Kenya passed a constitution in August 2010 which was widely rated as progressive.

In Kenya, there are over 42 ethnic groups/tribes, with varying numerical strengths.

With the requirement of 50%+one vote, it is imperative that the politician with the backing of the most populous tribes will always carry the victory home. The most populous tribes are Gikuyu, Abaluhya, Kalenjin, Dholuo, in that order as others follow.

IEBC data shows that both Jubilee and CORD registered a colossal voter turnout of over 90 per cent in their turfs, largely going past the national average of 85.91, the highest in Kenya's history.

Do you think Kenya will ever have a President coming from outside these ethnic formations? Will Kenyans ever wake up to realize that it is they that suffer from this narrow kind of politics? Kindly have your say.

The Jubilee Alliance begun with such a large numerical advantage the effort needed to secure an electoral victory is infinitesimally small.

That is why it won. Jubilee coalition turned the voter registration exercise into a "revolutionary" moment, registering 6.2 million voters or 43.2 per cent of the total 14.3 million voters registered by the IEBC.And because Kenyans have historically voted along tribal lines, the GEMA and Kalenjin nations would vote as a bloc for the Jubilee coalition. In a 100 per cent voter turnout scenario, Jubilee would require only 980,000 votes from outside the core bloc to clinch a first-round win.

Inversely, CORD slept through the "registration revolution", registering a paltry 2.3 million in its core Luo-Kamba ethnic bloc. Again, in a 100 per cent voter turnout scenario, CORD had a heavier lifting to mobilise 4.3 million votes outside its bloc to win.

Therefore CORD should restrain from hurting the TAXPAYERS by causing an unnecessary re-run that wlll waste money and time for Kenyans while still interfering with work and education calendars.

Thaneta

Here is a WARNING to RAILA and his CORD followers - The TRUTH you don

 

[The Boss]

muslims?coastals?
somali 2 %????

 

[Nairoberry]

raila days are over he should go to kibera and help in community projects

 

[Dhuks]

I dont believe in those numbers, where are the Meru's? Are Luos more than Luhya's?

[h=4]Kenya Population by Ethnic Affiliation - Main Tribes[/h] Kikuyu tribe – 6,622,576
Luhya tribe - 5,338,666
Kalenjin tribe – 4,967,328
Luo tribe – 4,044,440
Kamba tribe – 3,893,157
Somali tribe – 2,385,572
Kisii tribe – 2,205,669
Mijikenda tribe – 1,960,574
Meru tribe -1,658,108
Turkana tribe – 988,592
Maasai tribe - 841,622
Teso tribe – 338,833
Embu tribe – 324,092
Taita tribe – 273,519
Kuria tribe – 260,401
Samburu tribe – 237,179
Tharaka tribe – 175,905
Mbeere – 168,155
Borana – 161,399
Basuba – 139,271
Swahili – 110,614

Gabra – 89,515
Orma – 66,275
Rendile – 60,437

 

[Chungurumbira]

Huu Ukabila wa nini katika anaysis yako??!! Mbona husema hata forgery yoyote katika huu utafiti wako!!??

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

Kenya Population by Ethnic Affiliation - Main Tribes

Kikuyu tribe – 6,622,576
Kalenjin tribe – 4,967,328
Kisii tribe – 2,205,669
Meru tribe -1,658,108
Turkana tribe – 988,592
Maasai tribe - 841,622
Teso tribe – 338,833
Embu tribe – 324,092
Samburu tribe – 237,179

Jumlisha mwenyewe ujue nguvu ya umma iliyomsambaratisha Raila......maana hizo ndizo stronghold za Jubilee Alliance.

 

[NYAKIMWE]

kaka Ruta nimesikitishwa sana na mtazamo wako wa ukabila,,kama mtanzania tena wa kutoka kabila lenye wasomi unashabikia UKABILA!!!"http://softkenya.com/tribe/kikuyu-tribe/"]Kikuyu tribe[/URL] – 6,622,576
Kalenjin tribe – 4,967,328
Kisii tribe – 2,205,669
Meru tribe -1,658,108
Turkana tribe – 988,592
Maasai tribe - 841,622
Teso tribe – 338,833
Embu tribe – 324,092
Samburu tribe – 237,179

Jumlisha mwenyewe ujue nguvu ya umma iliyomsambaratisha Raila......maana hizo ndizo stronghold za Jubilee Alliance.[/QUOTE]

 

[Somoche]

Kenya Population by Ethnic Affiliation - Main Tribes

Kikuyu tribe – 6,622,576
Kalenjin tribe – 4,967,328
Kisii tribe – 2,205,669
Meru tribe -1,658,108
Turkana tribe – 988,592
Maasai tribe - 841,622
Teso tribe – 338,833
Embu tribe – 324,092
Samburu tribe – 237,179

Jumlisha mwenyewe ujue nguvu ya umma iliyomsambaratisha Raila......maana hizo ndizo stronghold za Jubilee Alliance.

Kama ni Stronghold kwann wasingeshinda kwa kura mil 8 na Raila apate mil 3 ili tujue kweli amesambaratika...Raila aliibiwa na hilo mtaona mahakama inalimaliza

 

[steveachi]

Kama ni Stronghold kwann
wasingeshinda kwa kura mil 8 na Raila apate mil 3 ili tujue kweli
amesambaratika...Raila aliibiwa na hilo mtaona mahakama
inalimaliza

kaibiwa vipi wewe acha jazba zako,huwezi kushinda kwa tofauti kubwa unayoitaka wewe wakati kila mgombea kati ya hao wawili strongest ana wafuasi wengi,acheni tantalila wakenya,kubalini uhuru ndo prezda wenu na kura ndo zimeamua hvo,mliomtegemea wananchi hawakumtaka

 

[Mpitagwa]

I can't comprehend his English. Where is the warning in this thread? What he presented is obvious truth which everybody knows. Its not news. Jubilee have smelt that reelection is coming that's why they are starting to post this kind of nonsense.
This kind of approach to election is myopic because it fails to realize the fact that Kenyans are not fools to be controlled by useless grouping. Who can tell me that all Kikuyu in Kenya are reach, who can tell me that all lift valley residents in Narok, Bomet, etc have all what it takes to be living a standard life? Voting in Kenyas this time crossed ethnic boundaries, it was between those who are benefiting from the status qua viz those who are suffering from it.
If tribes or ethnic group mater, there was no need for Jubilee to play game with the computer system by installing software which will assure the gap.
The world is changing fast than most of us can comprehend. Wake up

 

[Somoche]

kaibiwa vipi wewe acha jazba zako,huwezi kushinda kwa tofauti kubwa unayoitaka wewe wakati kila mgombea kati ya hao wawili strongest ana wafuasi wengi,acheni tantalila wakenya,kubalini uhuru ndo prezda wenu na kura ndo zimeamua hvo,mliomtegemea wananchi hawakumtaka

Tatizo la kutumia miguu kuwaza

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

Kama ni Stronghold kwann wasingeshinda kwa kura mil 8 na Raila apate mil 3 ili tujue kweli amesambaratika...Raila aliibiwa na hilo mtaona mahakama inalimaliza

Mahakama itakapomtupia virago vyake atakiri kuwa kashindwa? Jibu ni kuwa hatakubali atadai mahakama nayo imehongwa? Huyu mtu hajawahi kukiri kushindwa uraisi kuanzia 1997, 2007 and now!

 

[Tai Ngwilizi]

kinachonishangaza ni hizo details za ukabila...ramani, numbers, percentages duh!! kwa mpango huu sidhani kama ukabila utaondoka....

 

[steveachi]

Tatizo la kutumia miguu kuwaza

teh teh teh teh teh,wewe je unayetumia makalio kuwaza?

 

[Somoche]

Mahakama itakapomtupia virago vyake atakiri kuwa kashindwa? Jibu ni kuwa hatakubali atadai mahakama nayo imehongwa? Huyu mtu hajawahi kukiri kushindwa uraisi kuanzia 1997, 2007 and now!

Mwaka 1997 alishindwa mwaka 2007 Hata kichaa anajua RAILA alishinda wewe tu na Uhuru kenyata,Ruto na Mkti wa Tume ndio mnasema hakushnda..ila hata Kivuitu alsema mwenyewe hajui mshindi...baadae akasema alilazimishwa kutangaza Kibaki...bora hata useme sasa mwaka 2007 RAILA Ndio alishinda Urais period...

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

Mwaka 1997 alishindwa mwaka 2007 Hata kichaa anajua RAILA alishinda wewe tu na Uhuru kenyata,Ruto na Mkti wa Tume ndio mnasema hakushnda..ila hata Kivuitu alsema mwenyewe hajui mshindi...baadae akasema alilazimishwa kutangaza Kibaki...bora hata useme sasa mwaka 2007 RAILA Ndio alishinda Urais period...

mimi sijui alishindaje na mahakamani hakwenda kudai haki yake wako walioenda kwenye ubunge na wakapewa kile walichostahili.

 

[Somoche]

mimi sijui alishindaje na mahakamani hakwenda kudai haki yake wako walioenda kwenye ubunge na wakapewa kile walichostahili.

Hivi wewe kweli hujui na wala hudhamini mchango wa Raila kwenye siasa za kenya?!!! kama hujui basi endeleza mahaba yako...ila mm najua kafanya kazi kubwa hata hizi mahakama zinakimbiliwa sasa ni imara na ziko huru zaidi kwasababu ya Raila...kipindi kile mahakama za kenya zilikua kama za hapa Tanzania ambazo mharifu ni salama zaidi atakapokwenda mahakamani...

 

[Kigogo]

Kama ni Stronghold kwann wasingeshinda kwa kura mil 8 na Raila apate mil 3 ili tujue kweli amesambaratika...Raila aliibiwa na hilo mtaona mahakama inalimaliza

Raila hajawzhi kushinda na hatakaaa ashinde kamwe urais...

 

[Somoche]

Raila hajawzhi kushinda na hatakaaa ashinde kamwe urais...

Unaota wewe