Kenya's landlord has come knocking

Kenya's landlord has come knocking

Geza Ulole

JF-Expert Member
Joined
Oct 31, 2009
Posts
65,136
Reaction score
91,917
ECONOMY
Burden on taxpayers as Treasury starts repayment of SGR loan
THURSDAY, JANUARY 2, 2020 15:07
BY EDWIN OKOTH
SGR Cargo train at the Inland Container Depot, Nairobi.
SGR cargo train at the Nairobi terminus station in April 2019. PHOTO | JEFF ANGOTE | NMG
FacebookTwitterLinkedIn

Kenya will from Thursday pay billions of shillings to China after a five-year grace period that Beijing had extended to Nairobi for the loans used to build the standard gauge railway (SGR) line ended on Tuesday.

Repayment of the principal loan extended to Kenya for the first phase of the mega railway project kicks off this week, according to an agreement signed with Exim Bank of China on May 11, 2014.

This is expected to add to the growing load on Kenyan taxpayers for costs related to the multi-billion shilling SGR line from Mombasa to Nairobi given that the Treasury has been servicing interest charges on the Chinese debt.

Loan repayments to China’s Exim Bank will jump from the Sh31 billion paid in the year to June to Sh71.4 billion in the current fiscal period, reflecting a 130 percent increase.

Taxpayers have been forced to shoulder the burden of the SGR loans because revenues generated from the passenger and cargo services on the track are not enough to meet the operation costs, which are estimated at Sh1.5 billion a month against average sales of Sh841 million.

Acting Treasury Cabinet Secretary Ukur Yattani on Wednesday confirmed that the government has made arrangements for the transfer of Sh10 billion to China’s Exim Bank.

“We have commenced the process of payment and money will hit their bank account by first week of January. This money has been captured in our budget,” Mr Yattani told the Business Daily.

“The income from railway, both cargo and passenger, will likely break even by next year and ease pressure on RDL (Railway Development Levy) and other budgetary supplements.”

INTEREST RATE
Kenya in May 2014 entered into a deal to borrow $3.233 billion (Sh324.01 billion) from China’s Exim Bank, comprising $1.633 billion commercial loan and $1.6 billion concessional to build the 385km modern railway between Mombasa and Nairobi.

The loan, whose interest is 3.6 percentage points above the six month average of London Inter-Bank Offered Rate (Libor) which serves as an international benchmark, is to be repaid in 15 years with a grace period of five years.

The current one year Libor rate as of December 20, 2019 is two percent, a pointer that the loan comes with an interest rate of 5.6 percent.

This is expensive compared to other concessional loans, especially from the World Bank. Kenya recently agreed a Sh75 billion loan with the World Bank whose interest and other charges stand at two percent annually—matching the Libor rate.

Treasury data tabled in the National Assembly show that loan payments to Exim Bank of China will increase to Sh84.3 billion for the 2020/2021 and Sh111.4 billion in the 2021-22 financial years.

SGR accounts for the largest share of Exim Bank of China loans to Kenya including the Sh150 billion used to build the Nairobi-Naivasha line.

CHINA DEBT
President Uhuru Kenyatta’s administration has largely contracted debt from China since 2014 to build much-needed roads, bridges, power plants and the SGR.

This started after Kenya became a lower middle income economy, locking her out of highly concessional loans from development lenders such as the World Bank Group.

China’s influence on the country’s infrastructure development, however, started in earnest with construction of the Thika Superhighway between January 2009 and November 2012 at a cost of nearly Sh32 billion during the last term of President Mwai Kibaki.

The deal to fund the first phase of the SGR, Kenya’s single largest infrastructure project by cost since independence, saw Beijing overtake Tokyo as Kenya’s largest bilateral lender.

Construction of the Mombasa-Nairobi SGR cost about Sh692 million per kilometre while the $1.5 billion for the extension to Naivasha is estimated at about Sh1.28 billion per km.

The standard gauge railway (SGR) line raked in sales of Sh10.1 billion in its second full year of operations, signalling that the mega project would take longer to break even.

SGR REVENUES
Freight services, which started in January 2018, generated Sh8.4 billion in the year to June, internal performance data from Kenya Railways shows.

The data shows that China Communications Construction Company, the operator, increased sales from the passenger service to Sh1.76 billion, up from Sh1.23 billion a year earlier—reflecting a growth of 43 percent.

Kenya Railways had budgeted to earn some Sh24 billion from the cargo service in the year to June, falling 65.56 percent below target.

Some importers said their transport costs shot up by nearly 50 percent when they used the railway line due to extra fees, more time spent clearing goods at the Nairobi train depot and the need to send a truck to collect the goods from the facility.


Moving a 40-foot container to Nairobi by rail costs nearly Sh80,000 - roughly the same as a truck, says the Kenya Transporters Association.

But importers must also pay at least Sh25,000 for a truck to collect the goods from the Nairobi depot, breaching the Sh100,000 mark.

 
ECONOMY
Burden on taxpayers as Treasury starts repayment of SGR loan
THURSDAY, JANUARY 2, 2020 15:07
BY EDWIN OKOTH
SGR Cargo train at the Inland Container Depot, Nairobi.
SGR cargo train at the Nairobi terminus station in April 2019. PHOTO | JEFF ANGOTE | NMG
FacebookTwitterLinkedIn

Kenya will from Thursday pay billions of shillings to China after a five-year grace period that Beijing had extended to Nairobi for the loans used to build the standard gauge railway (SGR) line ended on Tuesday.

Repayment of the principal loan extended to Kenya for the first phase of the mega railway project kicks off this week, according to an agreement signed with Exim Bank of China on May 11, 2014.

This is expected to add to the growing load on Kenyan taxpayers for costs related to the multi-billion shilling SGR line from Mombasa to Nairobi given that the Treasury has been servicing interest charges on the Chinese debt.

Loan repayments to China’s Exim Bank will jump from the Sh31 billion paid in the year to June to Sh71.4 billion in the current fiscal period, reflecting a 130 percent increase.

Taxpayers have been forced to shoulder the burden of the SGR loans because revenues generated from the passenger and cargo services on the track are not enough to meet the operation costs, which are estimated at Sh1.5 billion a month against average sales of Sh841 million.

Acting Treasury Cabinet Secretary Ukur Yattani on Wednesday confirmed that the government has made arrangements for the transfer of Sh10 billion to China’s Exim Bank.

“We have commenced the process of payment and money will hit their bank account by first week of January. This money has been captured in our budget,” Mr Yattani told the Business Daily.

“The income from railway, both cargo and passenger, will likely break even by next year and ease pressure on RDL (Railway Development Levy) and other budgetary supplements.”

INTEREST RATE
Kenya in May 2014 entered into a deal to borrow $3.233 billion (Sh324.01 billion) from China’s Exim Bank, comprising $1.633 billion commercial loan and $1.6 billion concessional to build the 385km modern railway between Mombasa and Nairobi.

The loan, whose interest is 3.6 percentage points above the six month average of London Inter-Bank Offered Rate (Libor) which serves as an international benchmark, is to be repaid in 15 years with a grace period of five years.

The current one year Libor rate as of December 20, 2019 is two percent, a pointer that the loan comes with an interest rate of 5.6 percent.

This is expensive compared to other concessional loans, especially from the World Bank. Kenya recently agreed a Sh75 billion loan with the World Bank whose interest and other charges stand at two percent annually—matching the Libor rate.

Treasury data tabled in the National Assembly show that loan payments to Exim Bank of China will increase to Sh84.3 billion for the 2020/2021 and Sh111.4 billion in the 2021-22 financial years.

SGR accounts for the largest share of Exim Bank of China loans to Kenya including the Sh150 billion used to build the Nairobi-Naivasha line.

CHINA DEBT
President Uhuru Kenyatta’s administration has largely contracted debt from China since 2014 to build much-needed roads, bridges, power plants and the SGR.

This started after Kenya became a lower middle income economy, locking her out of highly concessional loans from development lenders such as the World Bank Group.

China’s influence on the country’s infrastructure development, however, started in earnest with construction of the Thika Superhighway between January 2009 and November 2012 at a cost of nearly Sh32 billion during the last term of President Mwai Kibaki.

The deal to fund the first phase of the SGR, Kenya’s single largest infrastructure project by cost since independence, saw Beijing overtake Tokyo as Kenya’s largest bilateral lender.

Construction of the Mombasa-Nairobi SGR cost about Sh692 million per kilometre while the $1.5 billion for the extension to Naivasha is estimated at about Sh1.28 billion per km.

The standard gauge railway (SGR) line raked in sales of Sh10.1 billion in its second full year of operations, signalling that the mega project would take longer to break even.

SGR REVENUES
Freight services, which started in January 2018, generated Sh8.4 billion in the year to June, internal performance data from Kenya Railways shows.

The data shows that China Communications Construction Company, the operator, increased sales from the passenger service to Sh1.76 billion, up from Sh1.23 billion a year earlier—reflecting a growth of 43 percent.

Kenya Railways had budgeted to earn some Sh24 billion from the cargo service in the year to June, falling 65.56 percent below target.

Some importers said their transport costs shot up by nearly 50 percent when they used the railway line due to extra fees, more time spent clearing goods at the Nairobi train depot and the need to send a truck to collect the goods from the facility.


Moving a 40-foot container to Nairobi by rail costs nearly Sh80,000 - roughly the same as a truck, says the Kenya Transporters Association.

But importers must also pay at least Sh25,000 for a truck to collect the goods from the Nairobi depot, breaching the Sh100,000 mark.

SGR ya Bongoland imefika wapi?
 
SGR ya Bongoland imefika wapi?
hata kama haitaisha hatujakopa! Therefore hatudaiwi!

Kenya: The Next Nation to Fall Into China’s Debt-Trap Diplomacy?
191224-Kenya%20China-GettyImages-1189075135.jpg.jpg
Special Envoy of the People Republic of China, Wang Yong and Cabinet Secretary for Transport, Infrastructure, Housing, Urban Development and Public Works, James Macharia, arrives at the Nairobi Terminus during the commissioning of the Standard Gauge Railway (SGR) Freight Operations to the Naivasha Inland Container Depot in Nairobi, on December 17, 2019. (PATRICK MEINHARDT/AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES)

‘Implications of a takeover would be grave.’
BY JEREMIAH JACQUES • DECEMBER 25, 2019



Kenya launched freight operations on December 17 for a new extension on a multibillion-dollar, China-built railway line, which is funded on terms that could end up giving China control over some of Kenya’s most important assets.

At the inauguration ceremony, Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta called the opening a “new chapter” in Kenya’s development. “Today is another momentous day; a day when we add yet another brick in our quest to build a stronger foundation for our current and future prosperity.”

The new service runs from Kenya’s capital, Nairobi, to the Naivasha Inland Container Depot and is part of the greater Standard Gauge Railway (sgr), connecting Nairobi to Mombasa, Kenya—the largest and most valuable port in East Africa. Mombasa is not just the gateway into Kenya, but also into its landlocked neighboring nations Burundi, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Rwanda, South Sudan and Uganda.



Since 2013, Kenya has accepted more than $5 billion from China for sgr construction, making it the largest infrastructure project since the nation’s independence. But in its first year of operation, the project reported losses equivalent to $98 million, rendering Kenya’s servicing of the loans unmanageable. Critics say that since shipping by truck remains a cheaper option for most freight, the sgr is unlikely to begin turning a profit.

Kenyan Auditor General Edward Ouko warned last November that the terms of sgr financing were written cryptically and designed to favor the China Exim Bank, which loaned Kenya Railways Corp. funds for the project. “f Kenya Railways Corporation defaults in its obligations and China Exim Bank exercises power over the escrow account security,” Ouko’s office wrote in a Nov. 16, 2018, audit report, “[t]he China Exim Bank would become a principle” over some Kenyan assets, including the Mombasa port. “The kpa [Kenya Ports Authority] assets are exposed since the authority signed the agreement where it has been referred to as a borrower under clause 17.5, and any proceeding against its assets by the lender would not be protected by sovereign immunity since the government waived the immunity on the Kenya Ports Assets by signing the agreement.”




Africa Stand noted that, in addition to the Mombasa port, Kenya could also be made to give China control of the Inland Container Depot in Nairobi. It wrote, “Implications of a takeover would be grave, including the thousands of port workers who would be forced to work under the Chinese lenders.”

Authorities in Nairobi and Beijing deny that a Chinese takeover of Mombasa port or other Kenyan infrastructure is imminent. But if China were to take control of assets it funded due to a failure of the receiving nation to repay loans, it would not be the first time.

An Alarming Precedent
In 2013, Chinese President Xi Jinping announced his plans to rebuild the Silk Road, an ancient network of trade routes that facilitated flow of goods, ideas and culture across Asia, the Middle East, Africa and Europe. The revived version, called the “Belt and Road Initiative” (bri) aims to connect 60 percent of the global population to China with vast infrastructure projects.

Sri Lanka was among the most enthusiastic nations to welcome China’s quick cash to build bri-related infrastructure. It accepted billions of dollars in loans for such projects as the Magampura Mahinda Rajapaksa Port in Hambantota.

This port is at a key location for China’s maritime “road.” But for the Sri Lankan economy, the port was a massive flop. Rather than fueling growth, the port (and other Chinese-funded infrastructure projects, such at the “world’s emptiest airport” in Mattala) sunk Sri Lanka into crippling debt.

By 2016, a third of Sri Lanka’s government revenue went toward servicing Chinese loans, and the country was forced to accept debt relief from the International Monetary Fund. But the imf provided only short-term relief, and the Sri Lankan government soon acknowledged that the only course of action was to hand China a controlling stake in the Rajapaksa Port for a period of 99 years. The handover set off alarms in Sri Lanka and beyond because it represented a Chinese victory with potential military applications. Foreign Policy said the move “provided Beijing with a deepwater port in the region in which it can dock its navy, off the coast of its key regional competitor, India.”



Sri Lanka is often cited as the textbook case of China’s “debt-trap diplomacy.” But Djibouti, Fiji, the Maldives, Montenegro, Pakistan, Tonga and Zambia are all in similarly precarious positions, thanks largely to a lack of transparency in China’s bri loans. Experts fear that these nations may be compelled to hand certain assets over to Beijing. And now Kenya may be added to this growing list.

“China wants to avoid the impression that it is sinking its dragon claws into other countries,” said Lu Xiankun, senior research fellow at the Shanghai Center for Global Trade and Economic Governance, during a 2016 imd Discovery Event. But as bri further progresses, it is becoming clearer that for some nations, that is basically what is happening.

The ‘Times of the Gentiles’
Bible prophecy says that in the “end time,” just before the return of Jesus Christ, the world will enter an age called “the times of the Gentiles.” Jesus Christ prophesied about this era in Luke 21:24, saying, “Jerusalem shall be trodden down of the Gentiles, until the times of the Gentiles be fulfilled.”

In the July 2014 Trumpet issue, editor in chief Gerald Flurry wrote about this approaching epoch. “These ‘times of the Gentiles’ are yet to be fully realized,” but “we are in the outer edges of this catastrophic storm,” he wrote in “What Are the Times of the Gentiles?

He explained that the term “Gentiles” refers to “non-Israelite peoples,” adding that the Israelite peoples constitute “a lot more than the little nation in the Middle East.” In end-time prophecy, “Israel” refers mostly to modern-day America and Britain. (For a thorough explanation, order a copy of our free book The United States and Britain in Prophecy, by Herbert W. Armstrong.)

Mr. Flurry continued: “Once you understand who Israel is, then you can understand how the Gentiles—the non-Israelite peoples—have started to take charge of the world right now.”

For decades, American and British supremacy has brought stability to much of the world. But in “the times of the Gentiles,” power is being transferred away from them and toward two non-Israelite powers primarily. “While there are many Gentile nations around today, when this prophecy is completely fulfilled there will be two major powers,” Mr. Flurry wrote. One of these will revolve around Germany, and the other around Russia and China.

China’s bri and related initiatives are shifting global power away from the Israelite nations and toward these other nations. The project’s imbalanced loan terms for nations such as Kenya and Sri Lanka make the perils of the shift more evident.

Mr. Flurry explained that a primary reason for the global shift in power is “America’s disappearing will.” He wrote:

The big reason these powers are rising today traces back to the power vacuum created by America’s weakness—and the disappearance of America’s will. … In recent years, America has demonstrated its lack of will to use its power in several international arenas. … Recognizing that weakness, China is asserting its power ….
China’s actions prove that Gentiles are rising to power before our eyes! And this is just one of many Gentile nations growing more aggressive on the world scene.
The U.S. is no longer asserting itself as it should, which is putting its allies on shaky ground. … While many will rejoice at the United States’ demise, this trend is building to catastrophe like never before seen!

Mr. Flurry wrote that though the shift in global power now underway is alarming, it is closely tied to good news. He continued:

This is terrifying news. Luke’s record of Christ’s prophecy says it will be a time of “[m]en’s hearts failing them for fear, and for looking after those things which are coming on the earth: for the powers of heaven shall be shaken” (Luke 21:26).
However, notice the very next verse! “And then shall they see the Son of man coming in a cloud with power and great glory” (verse 27). These times of the Gentiles lead directly to the return of Jesus Christ! … Now that is good news!

To understand more about China’s rise and the “good news” connected to it, read “What Are the Times of the Gentiles?” and “Brave New World (Made in China).”

 
Vipi unataka tubadilishane tuwape SGR ya kwetu isiyo na mtego wa panya buku?

Nchi yenu maskini ya kutupwa halafu mumekopa deni lote hili, jameni nani kichaa akubali kubadilishana na maskini ambaye amezongwa na madeni. Sisi ni matajiri wa uchumi wa kati hivyo hata tukiwa na deni sio balaa sana, ila nyie bado mpo matopeni kwa umaskini halafu deni lote hili na mpaka sasa hamna la kuonyesha zaidi ya mindege kukamatwa kamatwa na wakulima.
Halafu pesa zenu huwa ovyoo sana, mwendo wa matrilioni...
2258196_D6144792-4CB7-4215-A3BF-23488153A266.jpeg
 
Weka picha tuweze kulinganisha na za hapo awali.

100KM zimewashinda Sasa mnataka tuwape Hii yetu iliyokamalika na tayari inafanya kazi?
Picha za nini wakati nimekuwekea video?
Kama unataka picha screenshot from the video.
Our SGR is coming up nicely na kama sio mwaka huu basi mwakani inshallah we will launch the first electric trains in EAC. Unakaribishwa kuja kupanda.
 
kama sio mwaka huu basi mwakani inshallah we will launch the first electric trains in EAC. Unakaribishwa kuja kupanda.
asalaaale..... nimecheka sana karibu nionekane mwendawazimu. you just made my afternoon
 
asalaaale..... nimecheka sana karibu nionekane mwendawazimu. you just made my afternoon
Em kauzeni mat.ako huko mlipe deni.......mchina anadai chake.
Hakuna electric trains anywhere else in EAC. Nyie mliishia kuziona tu kwenye picha alafu mkaletewa GARIMOSHI.....subiri tutawaonyesheni what electric trains look and feel like!
 
Picha za nini wakati nimekuwekea video?
Kama unataka picha screenshot from the video.
Our SGR is coming up nicely na kama sio mwaka huu basi mwakani inshallah we will launch the first electric trains in EAC. Unakaribishwa kuja kupanda.
Video ya maneno mengi sitaki Bali nataka kuona picha ili kufanya comparisons. Video Kama hizi zilitawala enzi za KANU za kuwadanganya watu kuwa mambo Ni mazuri.
 
Video ya maneno mengi sitaki Bali nataka kuona picha ili kufanya comparisons. Video Kama hizi zilitawala enzi za KANU za kuwadanganya watu kuwa mambo Ni mazuri.

Hahahah, Kwahiyo unamaanisha hiyo video ni fake?[emoji2][emoji2]
Umechanganyikiwa wewe.
 
Geza Ulole hii kujenga miradi kwa "pesa za ndani" imewafikisha pabaya kwa nchi yenye uchumi wa 61B na population ya over 55million!
Unatakiwa kufahamu deni la Tanzania sasa limefika trilioni 55.
Kikwete aliondoka madarakani lilikuwa trilioni 15.
Mtu kakaa madarakani miaka 4 tu katengeneza deni la tirion 40!

Boss shughulikia hali yenyu, your economy haina capacity ya kulipa madeni, hope ndege hazitakamatwa, ama mutasamehewa kama kawaida yenyu.

Sent using Jamii Forums mobile app
 
Geza Ulole hii kujenga miradi kwa "pesa za ndani" imewafikisha pabaya kwa nchi yenye uchumi wa 61B na population ya over 55million!
Unatakiwa kufahamu deni la Tanzania sasa limefika trilioni 55.
Kikwete aliondoka madarakani lilikuwa trilioni 15.
Mtu kakaa madarakani miaka 4 tu katengeneza deni la tirion 40!

Boss shughulikia hali yenyu, your economy haina capacity ya kulipa madeni, hope ndege hazitakamatwa, ama mutasamehewa kama kawaida yenyu.

Sent using Jamii Forums mobile app
Tshs 55trl is less than $25 bln while GDP is over $65 bln! Otherwise ujinga unakusumbua, is less than 38% of GDP lowest debt GDP ratio in the EAC.
 
Peleka propaganda ya ccm kwa wana chama wenzako! GDP ya Tanzania as at Dec. 2019 ni 62B!., your debt is 40% or so, for an ldc with relatively low annual revenue collection(can't meet national budget) and with a bigger population, hilo deni ni kama janga kwa taifa! The reason for multidimensional poverty, serikali haiwezi kuwakomboa kutoka kwa hali duni (ujamaa ideology needs a strong economy).,
Tshs 55trl is less than $25 bln while GDP is over $65 bln! Otherwise ujinga unakusumbua, is less than 38% of GDP lowest debt GDP ratio in the EAC.

Sent using Jamii Forums mobile app
 
Back
Top Bottom