Iyo nyuklia haitosaidia hata tone kufikia kile kinuUSA hana bomu ya kulipua pale zaidi ya nyuklia ,so wanapiga hesabu kwa sababu wanawza kupiga wakaambulia hola ,huku jamaa akalipiza .
Kwa mtazamo wangu israel inaenda kufutika pale mashariki ya kati baada ya ilo tukio la nyukliaTucker Carlson
Under pressure from Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration may be within days of launching a nuclear strike on Iran. The target would be Pickax Mountain in central Iran, where Israeli intelligence claims the Iranian government has restarted its nuclear enrichment program. No conventional weapon in the American arsenal can penetrate 300 feet of solid granite to destroy the tunnels where enrichment is supposedly taking place. The only military option is a nuclear strike. Netanyahu has been pushing hard for one. “Bibi calls Trump about it every day,” says an informed observer.
Netanyahu is cornered and desperate. After last week’s election results, he can’t form a government unless Trump intervenes directly in Israeli politics and brokers a deal with other parties that gives Netanyahu 61 seats in the Knesset. Otherwise, he is out as prime minister and on his way to ignominy, investigations and possibly jail. Netanyahu must stay close to Trump. He needs this war.
To that end, he’s applied maximum pressure to his closest allies in the administration, including Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper. Both oppose a negotiated settlement to the war they’ve so grievously mismanaged; both are pushing to restart major combat operations. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and CIA director John Ratcliffe are also following Netanyahu’s lead, as are leaders of the Democratic Party. In a recent meeting on the subject, former president Barack Obama said he opposes the current Iran peace deal being drafted in Doha.
The rest of America’s longtime allies in the Middle East are terrified by the prospect of more war. On September 27th, Netanyahu flew secretly to Abu Dhabi to enlist the UAE in his lobbying effort for a final attack on Iran. The Emiratis refused. After eight months of conflict, Gulf economies are teetering. So are global energy and fertilizer markets. They won’t recover soon. Globally, there are a total of about 850 supertankers used to transport oil from producers to the rest of the world. In October alone, 11 of them were badly damaged in Hormuz. At this pace, a global depression is imminent. A nuclear strike would radically accelerate the destruction. Fallout from a ground explosion at Pickax Mountain would contaminate the Persian Gulf, poisoning the water supply for 100 million people.
And those are just some of the immediate consequences for the region. The rest of the world is every bit as exposed. No country other than the United States has ever used a nuclear weapon in war. Some would like to. An American nuclear attack on Iran would set a new precedent. The Russians have already told at least two other governments that an American nuclear strike on Iran would free them to use nuclear weapons against Ukraine. Pakistan and India would be tempted to do the same against each other, as would North Korea against Seoul. After the first nuclear strike, World War Three is inevitable. That war would be short and final.
We’ve been sleepwalking toward this moment for months. Since February, the administration has quietly rewritten America’s nuclear doctrine to make first use of so-called “battlefield nukes” easier and therefore more likely. No one in Washington in either party seems bothered by this. Now we’re on the brink of it.
Close observers say Trump is likely to decide by next weekend whether or not to use nuclear weapons. That would be November 7, six days from now. To his credit, he’s hesitating. At the moment, Trump is listening to his vice president, JD Vance, and to his envoy and friend Steve Witkoff, both of whom argue a deal with Iran can be made.
They’re right, though it won’t be simple. The Iranians are famously frustrating to negotiate with under any circumstances, and elements of that government have become more radical since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his family were killed in February. After decades of isolation, even relatively moderate Iranian leaders seem confused by how decisions are made in the West. (There is a widespread belief in Tehran, for example, that the United States government controls Israel.) But overall, people who have spoken to decision-makers in Iran say there is consensus there that more war is bad for everyone and a deal is worth making.
One group that hasn’t been consulted so far is the global population — the hundreds of millions of people who will be killed along with their children if Trump is pushed by Netanyahu into launching a nuclear strike next week. Now would be the time for them to speak up.
Unaijua nyuklia? au unafikiri yale waliyokua wanarushiana ndo mabomu ya nyukliaHayo ni mafundisho yako binafsi, amekufa ayatollah hakuna chochote kilichotokea. Anaweza akapigwa nyuklia na hakuna wa kufanya chochote
Hivi mzee unaichukuliaje US?Asilimia 99 haiwezi kutokea. China, Russia na N. Korea hazina unyonge
US anachofanya sasa ni kutafuta mshirika mwenye nguvu kama China na Russia, akikosea akaipiga Iran na nyuklia ndo itakua mwisho wa US kama taifa lenye nguvu .
Mkuu, US ana option moja mbali na hiyo nuclear. Uwezekano wa kupiga kutumia nuclear bado ni mdogo japo inaweza ikawa ni option pia.Tucker Carlson
Under pressure from Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration may be within days of launching a nuclear strike on Iran. The target would be Pickax Mountain in central Iran, where Israeli intelligence claims the Iranian government has restarted its nuclear enrichment program. No conventional weapon in the American arsenal can penetrate 300 feet of solid granite to destroy the tunnels where enrichment is supposedly taking place. The only military option is a nuclear strike. Netanyahu has been pushing hard for one. “Bibi calls Trump about it every day,” says an informed observer.
Netanyahu is cornered and desperate. After last week’s election results, he can’t form a government unless Trump intervenes directly in Israeli politics and brokers a deal with other parties that gives Netanyahu 61 seats in the Knesset. Otherwise, he is out as prime minister and on his way to ignominy, investigations and possibly jail. Netanyahu must stay close to Trump. He needs this war.
To that end, he’s applied maximum pressure to his closest allies in the administration, including Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper. Both oppose a negotiated settlement to the war they’ve so grievously mismanaged; both are pushing to restart major combat operations. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and CIA director John Ratcliffe are also following Netanyahu’s lead, as are leaders of the Democratic Party. In a recent meeting on the subject, former president Barack Obama said he opposes the current Iran peace deal being drafted in Doha.
The rest of America’s longtime allies in the Middle East are terrified by the prospect of more war. On September 27th, Netanyahu flew secretly to Abu Dhabi to enlist the UAE in his lobbying effort for a final attack on Iran. The Emiratis refused. After eight months of conflict, Gulf economies are teetering. So are global energy and fertilizer markets. They won’t recover soon. Globally, there are a total of about 850 supertankers used to transport oil from producers to the rest of the world. In October alone, 11 of them were badly damaged in Hormuz. At this pace, a global depression is imminent. A nuclear strike would radically accelerate the destruction. Fallout from a ground explosion at Pickax Mountain would contaminate the Persian Gulf, poisoning the water supply for 100 million people.
And those are just some of the immediate consequences for the region. The rest of the world is every bit as exposed. No country other than the United States has ever used a nuclear weapon in war. Some would like to. An American nuclear attack on Iran would set a new precedent. The Russians have already told at least two other governments that an American nuclear strike on Iran would free them to use nuclear weapons against Ukraine. Pakistan and India would be tempted to do the same against each other, as would North Korea against Seoul. After the first nuclear strike, World War Three is inevitable. That war would be short and final.
We’ve been sleepwalking toward this moment for months. Since February, the administration has quietly rewritten America’s nuclear doctrine to make first use of so-called “battlefield nukes” easier and therefore more likely. No one in Washington in either party seems bothered by this. Now we’re on the brink of it.
Close observers say Trump is likely to decide by next weekend whether or not to use nuclear weapons. That would be November 7, six days from now. To his credit, he’s hesitating. At the moment, Trump is listening to his vice president, JD Vance, and to his envoy and friend Steve Witkoff, both of whom argue a deal with Iran can be made.
They’re right, though it won’t be simple. The Iranians are famously frustrating to negotiate with under any circumstances, and elements of that government have become more radical since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his family were killed in February. After decades of isolation, even relatively moderate Iranian leaders seem confused by how decisions are made in the West. (There is a widespread belief in Tehran, for example, that the United States government controls Israel.) But overall, people who have spoken to decision-makers in Iran say there is consensus there that more war is bad for everyone and a deal is worth making.
One group that hasn’t been consulted so far is the global population — the hundreds of millions of people who will be killed along with their children if Trump is pushed by Netanyahu into launching a nuclear strike next week. Now would be the time for them to speak up.
Ile miji ya Israel na uwekezaji wa Marekani aliulipua nani!? Au alilipua shemeji yako?Hayo ni mafundisho yako binafsi, amekufa ayatollah hakuna chochote kilichotokea. Anaweza akapigwa nyuklia na hakuna wa kufanya chochote
Hii option USA hawezi kuitumia kamwe wacha delusions. Iran ni karata muhimu sana ya maslahi ya Urusi na China pale mashariki ya kati. Unadhani hao super power wawili watamuacha tu US atumie nuclear?Mkuu, US ana option moja mbali na hiyo nuclear. Uwezekano wa kupiga kutumia nuclear bado ni mdogo japo inaweza ikawa ni option pia.
1. Akitumia nuclear ana advantage kwamba 100% pickaxe imeangamia na hilo eneo halitaweza tena kutumika kurutubisha Nuclear. B61-12 inapodondoka inasababisha joto kali saaana ktk huo mlima, hii itapelekea kila kilichohifadhiwa humo ndani kuharibika, pia ule mpasuko wake utafanya vyumba kadhaa vilivyo chini ya mlima huo kuharibika.
Hizo GBU-57 zishatumika Natanz,Fordow na hazijafanya lolote mengine hadi Iran ameyachukua ambayo hayajaweza kulipuka.2. GBU 57 bado ni option inayowezekana kutumika kutimiza lengo lao, na hii ndio option kwa 99% watatembea nayo. Pickaxe inaweza ikadondoshewa GBU 57 zaidi ya 20 au 30. Hii itafanya kusimamisha mradi huo kwa zaidi ya miezi 3 hadi 6. Kadri watakavyodondosha kwa ufasaha mabomu hayo na kwa wingi ndivyo watakavyoharibu zaidi. Nimeona wanasema kuna uwezekano bomu la 1 litakapotua, la 2, la 3 na kuendelea litadondokea hapo hapo hadi kufikia lengo hilo. Pia pamoja na kupiga milango ya kuingilia pickaxe na zile ventilazation chambers.
Sisi yetu macho, ngoja tuone kipi kitatokea.
Wapi bhana wewe rais wao kauwawa vibaya na haohao USA hao china walifanya nini..rais wa venezuela ametekwa kweupe ikulu nani aliongea..dunia inawenyewe kama Tanzania ilivyo na wenyeweHakuna taifa lenye haki ya kutumia nguvu za kijeshi kulazimisha matakwa yake kwa jingine. Iran ina haki ya kulinda mamlaka yake suluhisho ni diplomasia, si vitisho vya nyuklia.
China washaongea sana unakumbuka mwaka juzi walisema spika wabunge la marekan akikanyaga Taiwan watamlipua chaajabu bidada alishuka Taiwan nachina ikaishia kulalama tuChina haikuwahi kwenda kinyume na maneno yake. Pia unatakiwa ufahamu hata vita hii China iliisaidia Iran kwa namna moja ama nyingine.
Changamoto pia ni air defence za muIran hivyo watafanya kwa haraka haraka pia haina uhakika sana Kawa hizo nyuklia hazihamishwi kama mtu anataka kukuibia kuku wako na una option iweje uweke kuku zako zote pamoja? Iran sio mjingaMkuu, US ana option moja mbali na hiyo nuclear. Uwezekano wa kupiga kutumia nuclear bado ni mdogo japo inaweza ikawa ni option pia.
1. Akitumia nuclear ana advantage kwamba 100% pickaxe imeangamia na hilo eneo halitaweza tena kutumika kurutubisha Nuclear. B61-12 inapodondoka inasababisha joto kali saaana ktk huo mlima, hii itapelekea kila kilichohifadhiwa humo ndani kuharibika, pia ule mpasuko wake utafanya vyumba kadhaa vilivyo chini ya mlima huo kuharibika.
2. GBU 57 bado ni option inayowezekana kutumika kutimiza lengo lao, na hii ndio option kwa 99% watatembea nayo. Pickaxe inaweza ikadondoshewa GBU 57 zaidi ya 20 au 30. Hii itafanya kusimamisha mradi huo kwa zaidi ya miezi 3 hadi 6. Kadri watakavyodondosha kwa ufasaha mabomu hayo na kwa wingi ndivyo watakavyoharibu zaidi. Nimeona wanasema kuna uwezekano bomu la 1 litakapotua, la 2, la 3 na kuendelea litadondokea hapo hapo hadi kufikia lengo hilo. Pia pamoja na kupiga milango ya kuingilia pickaxe na zile ventilazation chambers.
Sisi yetu macho, ngoja tuone kipi kitatokea.
Hiyo nuclear inayozungumziwa hapo ni tactical nuclear, ni ndogo ila ikipigwa ktk mlima wa pickaxe, mlima wote utashikwa na joto kali sana saaana, hatimae kila kilicho ndani ya mlima kitaungua kwa joto lile, tabaka la jiwe la mlima litashikwa na joto kiasi kwamba hata zile chambers za ndani zitamomonyoka kwa kiasi kingi cha joto.Iyo nyuklia haitosaidia hata tone kufikia kile kinu
Tujiandae tu na vita ya tatu ya dunia
Madulo kachukuliwa akiwa anatumia vifaa vya ulinzi kutoka China na Russia.Wapi bhana wewe rais wao kauwawa vibaya na haohao USA hao china walifanya nini..rais wa venezuela ametekwa kweupe ikulu nani aliongea..dunia inawenyewe kama Tanzania ilivyo na wenyewe
Nakumbuka hii mkuu, China alitoa mkwara mkali saana.China washaongea sana unakumbuka mwaka juzi walisema spika wabunge la marekan akikanyaga Taiwan watamlipua chaajabu bidada alishuka Taiwan nachina ikaishia kulalama tu
Weye mlokole mvaa kitenge mjinga kama hujui au huelewi lugha ni tatizo lakoUmeandika hivi ili kujihami au unataka kuficha nini? Au unataka kumuonyesha Nani kuwa na wewe unajua kiingereza? Au unataka na sisi tujue wewe unajua ku Copy & Paste?
Hiyo nuclear inayozungumziwa hapo ni tactical nuclear, ni ndogo ila ikipigwa ktk mlima wa pickaxe, mlima wote utashikwa na joto kali sana saaana, hatimae kila kilicho ndani ya mlima kitaungua kwa joto lile, tabaka la jiwe la mlima litashikwa na joto kiasi kwamba hata zile chambers za ndani zitamomonyoka kwa kiasi kingi cha joto.
Pili, mifumo ya hewa na umeme itakufa on spot kutokana na joto na mshindo mkubwa wa kwenda chini wa nuclear, b61-12 ikipigwa, madhahara yake yanashuka chini ya ardhi zaidi na sio kuenea kwa juu kama zilivyo nuclear zingine.
Pia Uranium zote ambazo zimehifadhiwa humo ndani nazo pia zitaharibika.
Nuclear ikipigwa hapo maana yake hilo eneo hakuna binadamu atakayeweza kusogelea eneo hilo kwa zaidi ya mwaka mzima.
B61-12 ndio bomu litakalowapa 100% guarantee US ya ufanisi wa mission yao.
USICHUKULIE BOMU LA NUCLEAR kama bomu la kawaida, ndio maana Israel inahaha Iran asimiliki hizo silaha, weka ushabiki pembeni, Nuclear ni kitu kingine kabisa kabisa.
Huu ulioandika ni UHAROWeye mlokole mvaa kitenge mjinga kama hujui au huelewi lugha ni tatizo lako
Toka hapo kigangoni Manzese ukamuokoe basha wako kashindwa uchaguzi anatapa tapa kutaka kuangamiza hao walokole wenzio
Hili ni bomu lenye nguvu sawa na mara 27 ya bomu lililopigwa Hiroshima!!!!
Kituo cha nyuklia kilichopo katika Mlima Pickaxe pamoja na uranium iliyorutubishwa viko kwenye kina cha ndani ya mlima kisichopungua mita 100, na kwa mujibu wa baadhi ya makadirio, kina hicho kinazidi hata mita 300.
Bomu la nyuklia halitaweza kupenya kina cha zaidi ya mita 6 kwa makadirio ya juu kabisa. Ndiyo, litasababisha mwangwi mkubwa ndani ya miamba na muundo wa kijiolojia wa mlima huo, lakini uwezekano wa kufanikiwa kuharibu shabaha hauzidi asilimia 20, hata kwa makadirio ya juu kabisa!
Kwa upande mwingine, bomu lisilo la nyuklia la GBU-57 lina uwezo wa kupenya hadi mita 60 ndani ya miamba. Lakini kwa mlima kama Pickaxe na kina ambacho kituo hicho kipo ndani yake, bado itakuwa vigumu mno kuharibu shabaha hiyo.
Maana yake ni kwamba, hata kama Trump atapagawa kabisa na kuamua kurusha bomu la nyuklia lenye nguvu kubwa kama B61-11, au kudondosha bomu kubwa kuliko yote, GBU-43/B, hilo litakuwa ni shambulio la maonyesho tu na kujionesha kwa nguvu, bila kupata matokeo yoyote halisi ardhini.
Kwa hiyo, matokeo yatakuwa yapi?
Iran itateketeza kila kitu chenye uoto wa kijani na hata kilichokauka katika eneo lote la Ghuba, na huenda ikapakia uranium iliyorutubishwa kwa kiwango cha asilimia 60 kwenye makombora machafu (dirty missiles) na kuyatumia kushambulia nchi za Ghuba au hata Israel.
+ Putin atapata ujasiri na kucheza kwa furaha huko Moscow kwa sababu atakuwa amepata uhalali wa kumaliza vita vya Ukraine kwa mashambulizi ya nyuklia. Yaani, Trump ametumia silaha hizo dhidi ya Iran, kwa hiyo sasa kila mmoja wetu anaweza kuzitumia.
+ Xi Jianping atapata ujasiri na kwa furaha huko Beijing. Kwa sababu mantiki ni ileile: ikiwa Taiwan itamletea shida, atarusha bomu la nyuklia moja kwa moja kwenye koo lake na kuizika ardhini.
+ Na kila kona ya dunia, rafiki yetu Kim Jong-un, kiongozi wa Korea Kaskazini, atatoka kwa furaha, kwa sababu naye atakuwa amepata uhalali wa kuishambulia Korea Kusini na mtu yeyote duniani asiyependa sura yake.
+ Hatari ya mionzi ya nyuklia itasambaa hadi katika nchi jirani, na kusababisha janga ambalo halijawahi kushuhudiwa katika historia.