Mathanzua
JF-Expert Member
- Jan 4, 2017
- 17,251
- 22,929
To understand the #ukrainecrisis, four dates are very important, 1962, 1989, 2008 and 2014.
(1)1962
In 1962, the Soviet Union/Russia tried to install a military hardware in Cuba, which threatened US directly because Cuba borders the US and the two countries are only separated by water. The then President of US, Kennedy,threatened Russia with World War ,if Russia does not remove their military installations. The Soviet Premier Nikiti Khrucshev rebuffed him which brought the world close to a nuclear Armageddon.It took 13 days of negotiation, military diplomacy, death of an American military pilot, destruction of an American spy plane and the removal of American missiles from Turkey, to solve the stand off. That's what we came to know as The Cuban missile crisis of 1962.
(2)1989
The Berlin wall fell in 1989 and the process of the unification of Western and Eastern Germany started. 1989 is important,because as the process of unification was going on, James Baker, the US Secretary of State then,promised the Soviet Union/Russia that NATO led by the Americans will not expand one inch towards the Russian border. This promise went a long way to facilitate the unification of Germany as we know it today. This is significant,because when the Soviet union fell in 1991, the US broke that promise in multiple ways by expanding NATO to the Russian border by including countries like Poland, Bulgaria, Romania, Czech Republic etc.
3.2008
In 2008 during a NATO summit held in Romania, there was a very strange push by the then President of the US, George Bush, to include Georgia and Ukraine as members of NATO. Remember that Georgia and Ukraine share a land border with Russia!Germany, France and Italy rejected the idea, but the Americans forced a very aggressive statement in the final communique, it says: 'NATO will not accept Georgia and Ukraine today, but they will be members someday'. Alarm bells rang in Moscow. Putin reacted by saying including Ukraine and Georgia in NATO will be a threat to Russian security.He reminded the world of America's reaction when the Russians tried the same thing in Cuba in 1962 Putin's statement came true because some months later, the then Georgian President, Mikhail Saakashvili, who was emboldened by George Bush after he visited Tbilisi, fired multiple rockets towards South Ossetia, which killed six Russian soldiers who were stationed in the breakaway region. This led to war between Russia and Georgia during the Beijing Olympics.
Russia destroyed Georgia.
4. 2014
In 2014, the EU offered Ukraine a trade deal, and Russia offered Ukraine a counter trade deal. Ukrainian President then YanuKovich, accepted the Russian trade deal,saying that Ukraine and Russia has a long history of trade and it will be difficult for their companies to compete in the European market. This angered the US and they mobilized a protest against the YanuKovich using the western part of Ukraine population against him, (Ukraine is a divided country between east and west. The President was from the east, voted for by the people in the east, hated by the people in the west, and the capital is in the west. Imagine that Tanzania is not a union,and Samia is voted for by the Zanzibaris, hated by the mainlanders, and the Tanzanian capital is in the mainland).
That led to the downfall of the Ukrainian President in the early months of 2014. The eastern part of Ukraine which voted mostly for YanuKovich rejected the overthrow and said they won't be part of that Ukraine, and declared independence.
It led to a situation where Crimea declared independence from Ukraine and voted to be part of Russia, Russia accepted. Donetsk and Luhansk equally declared independence which led to a brief war with Ukraine, Russia helped them push back Ukrainian forces and the conflict was frozen, with daily skirmishes on the front lines since 2014. Putin recognized their Independence.
Today
How Putin tried to avoid this war.
In a 2007 speech made by Vladimir Putin in Munich, Germany, he warned the US that bringing Ukraine into NATO will create a war in Europe,because there's no way Russia will ever allow American military Machinery to Russian doorsteps just like US refused in 1962. The Americans laughed at him.
In 2016, he called the then President of France, Francois Hollande, to restructure the security architect of Europe because the US is trying to bring Ukraine into NATO and equally sign a bilateral military pact with Ukraine which will bring US military facilities to Russian borders. The French president acknowledged but did nothing. (This happened because Obama wanted to use that bilateral military pact to punish Putin for humiliating him with his intervention in Syria to save President Assad who the US wanted to overthrow.
Last year, 2021, Putin wrote a letter to the US and EU warning that Ukraine should become a non military aligned nation just like Finland but they laughed at him. Ukraine said they can do whatever they want because they are a sovereign nation.
Imagine what the USs' response would be if Russia was to install military weapons in Canada and Mexico.
Towards the end of last year, Joe Biden (who wants to show that he is not Trump, whom they accused of being Putin's puppet) started supplying weapons to Ukraine, installing military hardware in the name of defending Ukraine.
Those were Putins'
red lines, and they have been crossed.
The following 👇clips will give more insight into the subject.
(1)1962
In 1962, the Soviet Union/Russia tried to install a military hardware in Cuba, which threatened US directly because Cuba borders the US and the two countries are only separated by water. The then President of US, Kennedy,threatened Russia with World War ,if Russia does not remove their military installations. The Soviet Premier Nikiti Khrucshev rebuffed him which brought the world close to a nuclear Armageddon.It took 13 days of negotiation, military diplomacy, death of an American military pilot, destruction of an American spy plane and the removal of American missiles from Turkey, to solve the stand off. That's what we came to know as The Cuban missile crisis of 1962.
(2)1989
The Berlin wall fell in 1989 and the process of the unification of Western and Eastern Germany started. 1989 is important,because as the process of unification was going on, James Baker, the US Secretary of State then,promised the Soviet Union/Russia that NATO led by the Americans will not expand one inch towards the Russian border. This promise went a long way to facilitate the unification of Germany as we know it today. This is significant,because when the Soviet union fell in 1991, the US broke that promise in multiple ways by expanding NATO to the Russian border by including countries like Poland, Bulgaria, Romania, Czech Republic etc.
3.2008
In 2008 during a NATO summit held in Romania, there was a very strange push by the then President of the US, George Bush, to include Georgia and Ukraine as members of NATO. Remember that Georgia and Ukraine share a land border with Russia!Germany, France and Italy rejected the idea, but the Americans forced a very aggressive statement in the final communique, it says: 'NATO will not accept Georgia and Ukraine today, but they will be members someday'. Alarm bells rang in Moscow. Putin reacted by saying including Ukraine and Georgia in NATO will be a threat to Russian security.He reminded the world of America's reaction when the Russians tried the same thing in Cuba in 1962 Putin's statement came true because some months later, the then Georgian President, Mikhail Saakashvili, who was emboldened by George Bush after he visited Tbilisi, fired multiple rockets towards South Ossetia, which killed six Russian soldiers who were stationed in the breakaway region. This led to war between Russia and Georgia during the Beijing Olympics.
Russia destroyed Georgia.
4. 2014
In 2014, the EU offered Ukraine a trade deal, and Russia offered Ukraine a counter trade deal. Ukrainian President then YanuKovich, accepted the Russian trade deal,saying that Ukraine and Russia has a long history of trade and it will be difficult for their companies to compete in the European market. This angered the US and they mobilized a protest against the YanuKovich using the western part of Ukraine population against him, (Ukraine is a divided country between east and west. The President was from the east, voted for by the people in the east, hated by the people in the west, and the capital is in the west. Imagine that Tanzania is not a union,and Samia is voted for by the Zanzibaris, hated by the mainlanders, and the Tanzanian capital is in the mainland).
That led to the downfall of the Ukrainian President in the early months of 2014. The eastern part of Ukraine which voted mostly for YanuKovich rejected the overthrow and said they won't be part of that Ukraine, and declared independence.
It led to a situation where Crimea declared independence from Ukraine and voted to be part of Russia, Russia accepted. Donetsk and Luhansk equally declared independence which led to a brief war with Ukraine, Russia helped them push back Ukrainian forces and the conflict was frozen, with daily skirmishes on the front lines since 2014. Putin recognized their Independence.
Today
How Putin tried to avoid this war.
In a 2007 speech made by Vladimir Putin in Munich, Germany, he warned the US that bringing Ukraine into NATO will create a war in Europe,because there's no way Russia will ever allow American military Machinery to Russian doorsteps just like US refused in 1962. The Americans laughed at him.
In 2016, he called the then President of France, Francois Hollande, to restructure the security architect of Europe because the US is trying to bring Ukraine into NATO and equally sign a bilateral military pact with Ukraine which will bring US military facilities to Russian borders. The French president acknowledged but did nothing. (This happened because Obama wanted to use that bilateral military pact to punish Putin for humiliating him with his intervention in Syria to save President Assad who the US wanted to overthrow.
Last year, 2021, Putin wrote a letter to the US and EU warning that Ukraine should become a non military aligned nation just like Finland but they laughed at him. Ukraine said they can do whatever they want because they are a sovereign nation.
Imagine what the USs' response would be if Russia was to install military weapons in Canada and Mexico.
Towards the end of last year, Joe Biden (who wants to show that he is not Trump, whom they accused of being Putin's puppet) started supplying weapons to Ukraine, installing military hardware in the name of defending Ukraine.
Those were Putins'
red lines, and they have been crossed.
The following 👇clips will give more insight into the subject.