Kibanga Ampiga Mkoloni
JF-Expert Member
- Aug 9, 2007
- 18,772
- 8,939
Source: https://mobil.wwf.de/fileadmin/fm-wwf/Publikationen-PDF/WWF-Report-Selous-True-Cost-Of-Power.pdf
THE FACTS AND RISKS OF BUILDING STIEGLER’S GORGE HYDROPOWER DAM IN SELOUS GAME RESERVE, TANZANIA
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The two reports were independently written by Barnaby Dye and Joerg Hartmann
Conclusions:
Summarizing these impacts, in the view of the author there are two areas of high risks that are large scale; difficult, if not impossible to manage; difficult to understand on the basis of current information; and would need particularly careful consideration:
Inundation of terrestrial habitats by the 1,200 km2 large reservoir; and
A series of downstream changes, starting with reductions in the seasonal variability of flows and in their sediment load, leading to changes in geomorphology, reductions in aquatic biodiversity and abundance, and finally reductions in ecosystem services for downstream inhabitants.
These risks are similar to those highlighted by Odebrecht themselves in 2013:
“Relation among reservoir size and the inundated area;
Impacts of associated infrastructure;
The large contingent of workers necessary;
Potential impacts of the project in sediment transport and, consequently, on river morphology; and
Aspects related to water quality”.
This author has fewer concerns regarding: temporary risks associated with the construction site (in case Odebrecht, a company with a good track record, manages the site), water quality risks (owing to the large flow and low population density upstream), and risks of associated infrastructure (as access roads and transmission lines, once built and as long as access to the reserve is controlled, will have relatively small footprints). The qualification of some risks as ‘low’ and ‘medium’ in this screening exercise, assumes appropriate management measures.
However, the remaining two risks are very significant. It is unprecedented to risk losing the integrity of not one, but two globally significant protected areas to a hydropower project. Because of reputational risks, it is inconceivable that finance could be raised from investors and lenders following multilateral bank safeguards and IFC Performance Standards/Equator Principles, unless perhaps with massive mitigation and compensation programs designed specifically to maintain the Selous’ OUV. Out of 1,052 World Heritage sites, only two have ever been delisted after losing their Outstanding Universal Value, the Dresden Elbe Valley in Germany (because of a bridge) and the Arabian Oryx Sanctuary in Oman (because of poaching, oil exploration and a 90% reduction in size).
In addition, there are some risks of cumulative impacts with other industrial land uses in the Selous, such as mining. While the Mkuju uranium mine is at a distance of approximately 300 km, at the southern end of the Selous, 34 mining concessions that overlap the Selous have been granted and a further 14 concessions have been applied for.
There is active oil exploration in one overlapping concession where a sedimentary basin of interest overlaps with the Selous. The vast majority of these lie upstream of Stiegler’s Gorge. In general, there is practically no publicly available information on planned exploration or exploitation, and its impacts. Cumulative impacts could be through water contamination, for example (the Mkuju mine is in the Luwegu sub-basin, upstream of Stiegler’s Gorge), through direct impacts on land, and through indirect impacts of opening access by illegal resource users.
Further use of water resources upstream of the Selous, principally through irrigation and hydropower development, could also lead to cumulative impacts. There is no tradition in Tanzania of considering largescale cumulative impacts in project planning and permitting. The 2013 Arms on Environment report suggests Terms of Reference (ToR) for a cumulative impact assessment, as well as for an environmental impact assessment, and an environmental management plan.
These ToR show no awareness that the role of EIAs should be to critically assess siting, design, and operation alternatives of a project. They do not mention a series of risks identified in this screening exercise, such as reductions in tourism or downstream geomorphological changes, or opportunities such as biodiversity offsets. If these ToR have been used to guide further studies after 2013, there would be little confidence in their results. For all risks identified here, thorough baseline studies and impact prediction - including in a number of cases, quantitative modelling - would be required.
According to a 2013 Odebrecht presentation, it would be the role of RUBADA – presumably as the Tanzanian partner in a developers’ consortium - to conduct the Environmental Impact Assessment and secure the approval of all environmental licenses. While Odebrecht has relevant experience, RUBADA has none, suggesting that they could not effectively quality control the EIA.
It is surprising that Odebrecht, although an experienced international developer with an awareness of environmental and social issues and the associated risks to a project, would rely solely on Tanzanian consulting firms and government agencies with little experience and conflicting interests to handle this side of the project. It is also surprising that the Tanzanian government would put at risk protected areas of this quality, when there are multiple other power supply options, including other hydropower sites, with similar costs and lower risks.
IUCN, the UNESCO World Heritage Centre, and the Ramsar Convention Secretariat have an opportunity to assist the Tanzanian government in taking better care of these exceptional sites, and basing strategic energy development decisions on better information. The IUCN/UNESCO mission should encourage government to share the currently available information, in order to allow additional expert input, to open up a dialogue with the Ramsar secretariat, and to consider alternatives to Stiegler’s Gorge.
References
Rufiji-Mafia-Kilwa Marine Ramsar Site | Ramsar Sites Information Service Selous Game Reserve AQUASTAT - FAO's Information System on Water and Agriculture Website of Dr. Rolf D. Baldus
THE FACTS AND RISKS OF BUILDING STIEGLER’S GORGE HYDROPOWER DAM IN SELOUS GAME RESERVE, TANZANIA
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The two reports were independently written by Barnaby Dye and Joerg Hartmann
Conclusions:
Summarizing these impacts, in the view of the author there are two areas of high risks that are large scale; difficult, if not impossible to manage; difficult to understand on the basis of current information; and would need particularly careful consideration:
Inundation of terrestrial habitats by the 1,200 km2 large reservoir; and
A series of downstream changes, starting with reductions in the seasonal variability of flows and in their sediment load, leading to changes in geomorphology, reductions in aquatic biodiversity and abundance, and finally reductions in ecosystem services for downstream inhabitants.
These risks are similar to those highlighted by Odebrecht themselves in 2013:
“Relation among reservoir size and the inundated area;
Impacts of associated infrastructure;
The large contingent of workers necessary;
Potential impacts of the project in sediment transport and, consequently, on river morphology; and
Aspects related to water quality”.
This author has fewer concerns regarding: temporary risks associated with the construction site (in case Odebrecht, a company with a good track record, manages the site), water quality risks (owing to the large flow and low population density upstream), and risks of associated infrastructure (as access roads and transmission lines, once built and as long as access to the reserve is controlled, will have relatively small footprints). The qualification of some risks as ‘low’ and ‘medium’ in this screening exercise, assumes appropriate management measures.
However, the remaining two risks are very significant. It is unprecedented to risk losing the integrity of not one, but two globally significant protected areas to a hydropower project. Because of reputational risks, it is inconceivable that finance could be raised from investors and lenders following multilateral bank safeguards and IFC Performance Standards/Equator Principles, unless perhaps with massive mitigation and compensation programs designed specifically to maintain the Selous’ OUV. Out of 1,052 World Heritage sites, only two have ever been delisted after losing their Outstanding Universal Value, the Dresden Elbe Valley in Germany (because of a bridge) and the Arabian Oryx Sanctuary in Oman (because of poaching, oil exploration and a 90% reduction in size).
In addition, there are some risks of cumulative impacts with other industrial land uses in the Selous, such as mining. While the Mkuju uranium mine is at a distance of approximately 300 km, at the southern end of the Selous, 34 mining concessions that overlap the Selous have been granted and a further 14 concessions have been applied for.
There is active oil exploration in one overlapping concession where a sedimentary basin of interest overlaps with the Selous. The vast majority of these lie upstream of Stiegler’s Gorge. In general, there is practically no publicly available information on planned exploration or exploitation, and its impacts. Cumulative impacts could be through water contamination, for example (the Mkuju mine is in the Luwegu sub-basin, upstream of Stiegler’s Gorge), through direct impacts on land, and through indirect impacts of opening access by illegal resource users.
Further use of water resources upstream of the Selous, principally through irrigation and hydropower development, could also lead to cumulative impacts. There is no tradition in Tanzania of considering largescale cumulative impacts in project planning and permitting. The 2013 Arms on Environment report suggests Terms of Reference (ToR) for a cumulative impact assessment, as well as for an environmental impact assessment, and an environmental management plan.
These ToR show no awareness that the role of EIAs should be to critically assess siting, design, and operation alternatives of a project. They do not mention a series of risks identified in this screening exercise, such as reductions in tourism or downstream geomorphological changes, or opportunities such as biodiversity offsets. If these ToR have been used to guide further studies after 2013, there would be little confidence in their results. For all risks identified here, thorough baseline studies and impact prediction - including in a number of cases, quantitative modelling - would be required.
According to a 2013 Odebrecht presentation, it would be the role of RUBADA – presumably as the Tanzanian partner in a developers’ consortium - to conduct the Environmental Impact Assessment and secure the approval of all environmental licenses. While Odebrecht has relevant experience, RUBADA has none, suggesting that they could not effectively quality control the EIA.
It is surprising that Odebrecht, although an experienced international developer with an awareness of environmental and social issues and the associated risks to a project, would rely solely on Tanzanian consulting firms and government agencies with little experience and conflicting interests to handle this side of the project. It is also surprising that the Tanzanian government would put at risk protected areas of this quality, when there are multiple other power supply options, including other hydropower sites, with similar costs and lower risks.
IUCN, the UNESCO World Heritage Centre, and the Ramsar Convention Secretariat have an opportunity to assist the Tanzanian government in taking better care of these exceptional sites, and basing strategic energy development decisions on better information. The IUCN/UNESCO mission should encourage government to share the currently available information, in order to allow additional expert input, to open up a dialogue with the Ramsar secretariat, and to consider alternatives to Stiegler’s Gorge.
References
Rufiji-Mafia-Kilwa Marine Ramsar Site | Ramsar Sites Information Service Selous Game Reserve AQUASTAT - FAO's Information System on Water and Agriculture Website of Dr. Rolf D. Baldus