On the contrary, the long term loser is going to be the US. Kuna baadhi ya nchi za EU zimeshamshtukia US na hazitaki kuburuzwa tena kwa vikwazo vinavyowaumiza hata wao wenyewe.
Kama sio nuclear bombs hiyo Russia haina tofauti na Libya mbele ya US,kama Russia kufanyiziwa kishafanyiziwa sana na anajua anytime wanaweza kumfanya walichomfanya Dec 2014,hiyo gas,oil and high tech aliyonayo haviwezi kumsaidia mbele ya US wakiamua kumfanyia ushenzi kiuchumi.
Afande Kobaaa, maneno yako yanaishi.Kama sio nuclear bombs hiyo Russia haina tofauti na Libya mbele ya US,kama Russia kufanyiziwa kishafanyiziwa sana na anajua anytime wanaweza kumfanya walichomfanya Dec 2014,hiyo gas,oil and high tech aliyonayo haviwezi kumsaidia mbele ya US wakiamua kumfanyia ushenzi kiuchumi.
Bado nasimamia nilichoandika miaka saba nyuma. Mhanga mkubwa wa huu mzozo wa Ukraine atakuwa US mwenyewe na vibaraka wake UK na EU.Ungekuwa unajua how international financial markets zinavyo fanya kazi usiongea hayo,acha ushabiki and go educate yourself.
Urusi amekuwa huru sasa, hizi kampuni za magharibi ni kama mnyororo shingoni, bila shaka China analo la kujifunzaNchi jirani ya Ukraine imesababisha Russia kuingia katika mgogoro mkubwa na West ambao haujawahi tokea tangu kuvunjika kwa USSR.
Russia ni taifa kubwa kieneo,kisayansi,kiteknolojia na hata kiuchumi.
Ina rasilimali nyingi kuliko nchi nyingi duniani ikiwa na mafuta,gesi na madini ya aina nyingi.
Ina viwanda vya kila kitu kuanzia silaha za tek ya hali ya juu, viwanda vya machine, mitambo, magari n.k.
Russia imewekewa vikwazo isiuze bidhaa zake kwa west na hata isinunue baadhi ya bidhaa.
Kwa hali hii hata nchi yeyote hapa duniani ikiwekewa vikwazo kama hivyo itaumia kiuchumi.
Ukizuiwa kupeleka bidhaa zako au kununua bidhaa sokoni utaumia.
HAIJAPINDA
Vikwazo hivi vilikua na lengo la kuipinda Russia ai kuiamrisha itii matakwa fulani ya West kuhusu Ukraine.Rassia haijakubali kuwainamia wa West.
FUNZO
Funzo ililopata Russia ni kubwa.
Kuwa inaweza kushambuliwa kiuchumi,kama hivi sasa hivyo imekifunza kujilinda pia kiuchimi.
NATO sio watu wa kuaminika.wanania mbaya na Russia ndio maana bado wana nia ya kujitanua.
Kuwa Russia inatakiwa kuwa na masoko zaidi ya moja.
Hakuna tena kuheshimu mikataba kama ya kupunguza silaha kali,na ushirikiano wa teknolojia.
KITAKACHOTOKEA
Sio vikwazo vyote vinamadhara hasi kwa mda mrefu.
Baada ya miaka kadhaa ijayo pindi Russia itakapokua imevimudu vikwazo hivi na kupata masoko mengine itakua haishikiki,itajitegemea ns itakua imara mara dufu.
Kumbuka Russia sio Zimbabwe, sio Cuba, sio Korea kaskazi, sio Iran.
Ina sayansi na teknolojia za hali ya juu sana sawa na West na baadhi hata kushinda West.
Ni suala la mda tu.
Tusubiri.
Dotworld Rudi nyumbani uliyayasema yametokea.Backfire: How Sanctions, Cheap Oil, and a Weak Ruble Are Sparking Russian Reform
Everything intended to hurt Russia is actually helping to reform the country's economy.
Here's an interesting opinion article on MarketWatch: Sanctions, drop in oil price best things that ever happened to Russia.
A round of punitive sanctions designed to cripple the economy. A collapse in the price of its key commodity. A currency in freefall and a central bank hiking rates to emergency levels while a corrupt, authoritarian government embarks on foreign adventures at potentially huge expense. For the whole of 2014, the Russian economy was the most toxic in the world, with one calamity coming hard after another.But here is something nobody expected. In the first quarter of this year, Russia was doing a bit better than anyone could have forecast. We learned last week that the economy managed to grow by 0.4% in the latest quarter, compared to the zero growth or the outright recession that most economists had penciled in. The ruble is the best-performing currency of the last three months. Even the Moscow stock index has started to recover.In reality, sanctions and a fall in the oil price might have been the best thing to have happened to Russia since the invention of double-glazing. Why? Because the problem for a country rich in resources and well-educated, creative people has been an over-reliance on energy, and a tight-knit kleptocracy that distributes the wealth it generates. It has failed to create its own industrial economy.The predictions of collapse have turned out to be wide of the mark.Putin is still in power, and still in possession of Crimea. Nor is there much sign of anything more than short-term damage. A 0.4% quarterly growth rate is not fantastic, but it is better than France, and roughly the same as Germany or Japan.True, the forecasts are for gross domestic product to fall for this year the IMF suggest it will contract by more than 3% but those may well turn out to wrong as well. What is certainly true is that the economy has not been devastated.The interesting question, however, is whether it might actually be strengthened. That might sound odd. But the main problem for the Russian economy over the past decade was an over-reliance on oil revenues, and a state-led kleptocracy, which stifled the emergence of a productive domestic economy.The big reason might well be what plenty of analysts over the years have described as the curse of oil. The black stuff generates lots of easy money, and by filling the state coffers with cash, it makes it relatively easy for a corrupt, authoritarian regime to entrench itself in power. That has been seen in countries ranging from Saudi Arabia, to Saddam Husseins Iraq, and Hugo Chavezs Venezuela. Putins Russia was no different.Without oil, Russia will have to develop its own industries. And with sanctions slowing down imports, there will be space for entrepreneurs to move into. The state will become less powerful, because it will have lower oil revenues, and so will the oligarchs. Russia will have the opportunity to gradually replace crony capitalism with competitive capitalism. In the medium term, that can only be for the better.Of course, just because it might happen does not mean that it will.Keep in mind as well that this is one of the cheapest markets in the world. The Moscow index trades on a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.7, less even than Greece. For an economy that is solvent, and growing at 0.4%, that is a bargain. Sanctions and a collapsing oil price were meant to torpedo Russia but they may end up doing it a favor.
I sent the article to Pater Tenebrarum at Acting Man. He replied:
I bought into Russia near the peak of the panic, but not enough. I have plans to add more.
lee van cliff
Source:
Backfire: How Sanctions, Cheap Oil, and a Weak Ruble Are Sparking Russian Reform
👏👏👏👏👏🇷🇺Putin is smart..
Short n Clear..
👏👏👏👏Hii game ya wakubwa jameni,si yetu macho na madhara pia lazima yatufikie.
US anajua vyema uwezo wa Russia lakini bado anafanya anachokifanya,maana yake ni kwamba amejipanga.
Ni hivi hii dunia lazima iwe na mbabe mmoja,na atakuja patikana tu kwa gharama yoyote ile huko mbeleni.
Yameanza kutimiaMkuu huo ndo ukweli mtupu. Russia inazidi kujitanua na kuwa na ndugu sana. Hivi vikwazo ni kama vimei speed up kujijenga kiuchumi kijeshi nk.
Hivi unaumia ukiwa wapi?Kama sio nuclear bombs hiyo Russia haina tofauti na Libya mbele ya US,kama Russia kufanyiziwa kishafanyiziwa sana na anajua anytime wanaweza kumfanya walichomfanya Dec 2014,hiyo gas,oil and high tech aliyonayo haviwezi kumsaidia mbele ya US wakiamua kumfanyia ushenzi kiuchumi.
Russia isnt Libya...wale wanaowaza kwamba nchi kubwa kama Urusi itababaishwa na vikwazo wanakosea
Ukweli ni kwamba Sasa hivi Russia haishikiki Tena.Ila watu mlikua mnaona mbele sana, haya tumeyaona sasa ni kweli [emoji1316][emoji1316]. Pro Russia akili mingi sana.
Mkuu lee van cliff mimi nipo! ... huwa napita kimya kimya tu! ... naangalia tu mawazo ya watu ila huwa si-comment sana ... maana watu ukijaribu kuwaelekeza wanakuwa wagumu & wabishi kuelewa ila muda ndio utaamua ... na naona na wao wananza kuona kile tulichokuwa tunakisema zamani .. maana ndio kinatokea, na mengine makubwa zaidi yatatokea mara itakapokamilika global realignment!Dotworld Rudi nyumbani uliyayasema yametokea.
Rudi mwananzengo.