Why Magufuli administration misses the point on Government splurge

We also in the know Musalia Mudavadi is for sometime nursing presidential ambition of his own but a failure to realign with the Jubilee government rules him out as he has zero chance to succeed the scion of Jomo

So that leaves a few guys from Western Kenya and are in the Jubilee tent

The Jubilee secretary general has been in the Mwai Kibaki cabinet so he has plenty of legislative and executive experience but the way he has been running Jubilee has left a bad taste in the mouth of many

So Raphael Tuju is out: just too abrasive despite carrying an indefatigable banner

What about Fred Matiang'i

Fred is perhaps the most trusted second man by the son of Jomo

But his heavy-handed dealings of the interior ministerial docket has left him with very few unburnt bridges he dearly need to launch his presidential bid. He is a full blown civil servant and what works as an overbearing bureaucrat happens to be a liability in the political arena. Political prosperity demands persuasion talent because of the duress imposed by accountability to the electorate while a bureaucrat needs domineering fiats to perform his duties undaunted by the electorate appeal...

Two out but two to consider

Eugene Wamalwa is a smart politician and by afar better than Mudavadi who is plying his trade in the political wilderness

But Eugene Wamalwa lacks that X-factor to really derail the Ruto bandwagon popularly known as "Tanga Tanga" wreck train waiting to happen

So Wamalwa suits more a supporting role not a bellwether one as a result we may have to withdraw his name despite holding a powerhouse name in Kenyan politics with his brother - Kijana Wamalwa - having served as vice president in the Mwai Kibaki administration till he lost a fight against prostrate cancer [emoji752]

Wamalwa will definitely make plenty of noises about being "the real deal" but he won't turn many heads so he will not prevail

Paradoxically, as much as William Ruto sells himself as a hustler representative but he is also convincing the powerbrokers that Kenneth Lusaka is the best candidate

Because what William Ruto is advancing happens to include Kenneth Lusaka

Ruto presidential stab demands departure from bondage with political dynasties and Ken Lusaka fits that bill of an outsider

And as Ruto continues to antagonize the electorate against political dynasties little does he know he is also threatening the status quo where kingmakers den is...so threatening to tear apart the den of kingmakers force them to coalesce around a least threatening transformational political figure of no other but Kenneth Lusaka

Ruto boasts of over 150 MPs supporting his presidential bid but our considered observations suggest to us he has a handful of MPs mostly from his Rift Valley backyard and even fewer from coastal region

So from our assessment we beam Ruto parliamentary support hovers around 35-40 MPs who will back him come rain come lightning as a route to protect their reelection campaigns since challenging Ruto in Rift Valley is as good as committing a political suicide

Most Jubilee and Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) Mps will back Ken Lusaka for a variety of reasons

For ODM, they are happy with power arrangement in the BBI so they are unlikely to rock the cradle and risk the Ruto presidency which will kill the BBI in day one of his reign

ODM MPs may have no vote in the Jubilee presidential nominations but once Ken Lusaka name has been ratified they will be more than happy to sell his presidential bid to their respective areas