Why shiling is depreciating at alarming speed!

kwa muda wa wiki wa wiki moja sasa, thamani ya shilingi ya tanzania imeshuka kwa kasi ya ajabu, mfano mwanzoni mwa mwezi huu ilikuwa exchange RATE KAMA HIVI $ TO SHILING 1138/=, LEO KWENYE BENKI YA STANBIC MBEYA ILIKUWA ALMOST SHS 1300/= KWA DOLA!

KUNA NINI? MBONA BEI YA MAFUTA IMESHUKA KWENYE SOKO LA KIMATAIFA, NI NINI KIMEIPATA SHILINGI? TUNAOMBA WACHUMI WATUSAIDIE, ISIJE IKAWA KUNA UFISADI FULANI UNAFANYIKA KUSHINIKIZA BEI YA PETROL IPANDE KWA KISINGIZIO CHA KUANGUKA KWA THAMANI YA SHILING

I'm pulsed as well.

1.00 USD = 1,295.99 TZS
Two weeks ago was 1,156


Uchaguzi Marekani una effect kwenye USD. Is this how it should affect our currency and not the other way round?




.

Because there is no production to supplement the ailing balance of trade, ingeshuka vibaya zaidi kama dollar isingekuwa inaporomoka nayo.Kinachotokea sasa hivi ni kuwa both shilingi na dola zinaporomoka, lakini shilingi inaporomoka zaidi.

Kama huzalishi na kuuza mazao na huduma nchi za nje obviously hela yako itaporomoka.

Duh! hii currency nilishaisahau kama ipo....

lazydog said:

I'm pulsed as well.

1.00 USD = 1,295.99 TZS
Two weeks ago was 1,156


Uchaguzi Marekani una effect kwenye USD. Is this how it should affect our currency and not the other way round?




.

Click to expand...

Inawezekana watalii wamekataa kuja kutumia bongo na kufanya upungufu wa dollar kuwa mdogo.

Au financial speculants wananunua dollar na kusababisha upungufu wa dollar na kufanya shillingi kushuka kwa thamani.

Kuna sababu nyingi tu unaweza kuziweka.

kwa mara ya kwanza dola kufikia 1300 ni wakati wa ukame na mgao wa umeme mwaka 2006

jana Dollar imegain dhidi ya Euro....

LONDON, Oct 22 (Reuters) - The dollar soared to a two-year high against the euro and a basket of currencies on Wednesday as a worsening global economic outlook prompted more investors to liquidate risky assets in favour of the U.S. currency.

The yen climbed to a 4-1/2-year high against the euro, with the low-yielding Japanese currency also benefitting from the exodus from risky assets after being dogged by carry trades for for years.

Credit crunch ya US pia ina sehemu yake kama external factor. Watalii wanapungua kwa sababu ya hali mbaya kiuchumi huko kwao. Marekani ndio wanakotoka watalii wengi zaidi. Tatizo hilo la US limesababisha pia matatizo ya kiuchumi nchi zingine za magharibi na hata Japan. China nayo haijasalimika. There is recorded slowdown in economic growth in China.

Yote hayo yanasababisha sisi kutopata dollar ya kutosha, kwa sababu washirika wetu kibiashara wana mafua ya kiuchumi.

Endogenic factors ni kwamba sisi hatuzalishi, bali tu wachuuzi wa bidhaa za nje. The speed of inflow of forex is slower, at 50km/hr; while the green buck flows out of the country at terrific speed of 200km/hr.

NB: Msisahau inflation imefikia double digit ya 11+%. Price inflation is higher than that.

Ukiwa unapenda hela ata utu unakukosa. Yaani mawazo yangu ni shillingi iporomoke ili dollar yangu 50 iweze kufanya mambo mengi bongo. Nifanye nini nipate kuokoa.

zakumi said:

Ukiwa unapenda hela ata utu unakukosa. Yaani mawazo yangu ni shillingi iporomoke ili dollar yangu 50 iweze kufanya mambo mengi bongo. Nifanye nini nipate kuokoa.

Click to expand...

Mkuu,

Unajidanganya maana mambo ya bongo yanategemea imported commodities, hivyo shilingi ikitelemka kila kitu kitapanda kiasi kwamba hizo shilingi zako nyingi hazitakuwa na maana yoyote tena.

Nyani McCain said:

Duh! hii currency nilishaisahau kama ipo....

Click to expand...

Mc Cain,
You need to go home for a while.

Jasusi said:

Mc Cain,
You need to go home for a while.

Click to expand...

Unafikiri huwa haendi???

Mtanzania said:

Mkuu,

Unajidanganya maana mambo ya bongo yanategemea imported commodities, hivyo shilingi ikitelemka kila kitu kitapanda kiasi kwamba hizo shilingi zako nyingi hazitakuwa na maana yoyote tena.

Click to expand...

Tatizo umeona imported commodities tu. Je wafanya kazi wa kitanzania si wanalipwa mishahara hilehile?

....victim sio shilingi tu mkuu ni across the board dollar gained strength,siku zote ujue World economy inapokwenda south watu wana dump stocks na commodities(oil,gold etc) na wanahamishia assets zao kwenye American dollars(wanahold na kununua dollar kwa sababu USD is considered safe na ukiona markets zimeanza kufanya vizuri ujue dollar ina lose na mafuta most of the time yanapanda bei,kuna uhusiano mkubwa sana kati ya World indexes,oil,gold and American dollar,just go educate yourself material yapo all over the net utajua jinsi uchumi wa dunia unavyo operate around hivyo vitu vinne!

Jasusi said:

Mc Cain,
You need to go home for a while.

Click to expand...

..hana paper!

Zakumi said:

Tatizo umeona imported commodities tu. Je wafanya kazi wa kitanzania si wanalipwa mishahara hilehile?

Click to expand...

Kwi kwi kwi hao wafanyakazi wanaishi na kutumia vitu ambavyo shilingi ikianguka vitakuwa bei kubwa mno. Hawatakubali kuendelea na mishahara ile ile ya zamani. Pia lazima ujue kwenye production yoyote mishahara inachukua asilimia ndogo tu ya matumizi ya viwanda au biashara nyingine.

Kwa theory yako basi Wazimbabwe wenye dola nje wanafaidi wakizituma kule kwao ambako shilingi yao imeanguka vibaya?

Kushuka kwa pesa ya nchi kunakuwa na faida kubwa kama tu mnauza vitu vingi nje kuliko mnavyoagiza kwa maana ya kwamba vitu vyenu vitakuwa cheaper na hivyo ku attract wateja zaidi. Lakini hata hapo bado inflation inaweza kupanda na hivyo kuja na matatizo yake mengine.

Ndugu nadhani tuna sahau,
Kama myezi 5 iliyo pita shilingi yetu ilikuwa inaporomoka sana, wakulu wakakaa wakati ule wa 'air uchumi' wakaona wa pump inn money for political purposes ili ionekani uchumi unakua na shilingi yetu inaimarika, hata hivo kama sijasahau, Prof, Ndulu alisema kwamba hii ni temporal measure haiwezi kudumu, sasa jamani nadhani ile pesa iliyo mwagwa imefikia kikomo kwahiyo tunarudi kule tulipo kuwa unless wa pump zingine, vinginevyo nahofia kwa myezi miwili ijayo yaweza kufika hata 1500 kwa USD 1!

Koba said:

....victim sio shilingi tu mkuu ni across the board dollar gained strength,siku zote ujue World economy inapokwenda south watu wana dump stocks na commodities(oil,gold etc) na wanahamishia assets zao kwenye American dollars(wanahold na kununua dollar kwa sababu USD is considered safe na ukiona markets zimeanza kufanya vizuri ujue dollar ina lose na mafuta most of the time yanapanda bei,kuna uhusiano mkubwa sana kati ya World indexes,oil,gold and American dollar,just go educate yourself material yapo all over the net utajua jinsi uchumi wa dunia unavyo operate around hivyo vitu vinne!

Click to expand...

Well understood

malengo ya serikali ya Tanzania ni kuhakikisha SHilingi inazidi kushuka hadi wanawafikia Zimbabwe. ifikie mahala wtu wakapokee mshahara na ma'tranka ya watoto wao waliorudi form 4.

inasikitisha sana

Mwikimbi said:

kwa muda wa wiki wa wiki moja sasa, thamani ya shilingi ya tanzania imeshuka kwa kasi ya ajabu, mfano mwanzoni mwa mwezi huu ilikuwa exchange RATE KAMA HIVI $ TO SHILING 1138/=, LEO KWENYE BENKI YA STANBIC MBEYA ILIKUWA ALMOST SHS 1300/= KWA DOLA!

KUNA NINI? MBONA BEI YA MAFUTA IMESHUKA KWENYE SOKO LA KIMATAIFA, NI NINI KIMEIPATA SHILINGI? TUNAOMBA WACHUMI WATUSAIDIE, ISIJE IKAWA KUNA UFISADI FULANI UNAFANYIKA KUSHINIKIZA BEI YA PETROL IPANDE KWA KISINGIZIO CHA KUANGUKA KWA THAMANI YA SHILING

Click to expand...

kinachotokea ni kuwa wafanyabiashara sasa wanaagiza mali kwa ajili ya sikukuu ya chrismas,hii ndio sababu ya kuporomoka kwa shilingi,yaani demand ya dollar kwa sasa ni kubwa.