Rutashubanyuma
JF-Expert Member
- Sep 24, 2010
- 219,468
- 911,184
UKAWA strikes me as a congregation of those bitterly opposing CCM hegemony and are now a coalition of the willing to puncture CCM bloated ego at the national high table. UKAWA deeply believes voter unquestionable support ubiquitous at election campaigns is not reflected at the ballot box because CCM systematically steals elections through voter bribery but far more damaging by bribing the polling agents whom the opposition stupidly depends to do them justice!
The opposition mandarins rely upon party loyalty which seldom works because the very polling agents they trust know once the election is over no one will remember them so they exploit those opportunities to enrich themselves. After elections even meeting basic allowances for the polling agents becomes a public squabble which ought to have been resolved even before the election commenced. Why not pay polling agents fifty percent before the election and immediately after the election settle the balance regardless of the electoral verdict to nourish and cement that much coveted peoples power which is volubly mouthed out on the stump but vainly executed where it matters most!
CCM stay in power almost in every-way now depends on voter bribery and massive electoral frauds because the level of mistrust between it and voters has reached points of no return. UKAWA knows all about this but rarely injects cash where its mouth is! Regardless of whom UKAWA settles as their presidential flag bearer look out in the way polling agents are treated to determine how the electoral outcome will sway. If UKAWA this time around puts its money where its mouth is, expects CCM to fall like a house of frail cards. I presage CCM will lose both presidential, parliamentary and civic elections if UKAWA runs its election campaigns with the discipline, commitment and passion we normally see on electoral podiums but missing in action when it comes to the nuts and bolts of winning elections.
The CCM much vaunted hoax that supporters of opposition are either unregistered or victims of voter apathy are just a bunch of lies and should be treated as such. The truth ought to be told: opposition leaning voters do vote for the opposition but treachery polling agents of the opposition because they are not paid well by the opposition do shift loyalty towards CCM where it matters most at the ballot box. So voter fraud becomes mostly consensual between the rulers of the day and the opposition via polling station agents conspiracy to bulge their leaking, short pockets.
If UKAWA oils well their presidential, parliamentary and civic nominees with sufficient cash which they will use to pay polling agents then party loyalty will this time around work generously in their favour. But if words are not marched with cash then expect loyalty to shift hands no sooner polling agents are empowered to run the show on behalf of the UKAWA. So for UKAWA the real challenge is really not whom they pick as presidential candidate but rather whether money is there to successfully tamp CCM into submission. UKAWA party affiliates are infamous for public funds profligacy and I keep wondering whether deep down their hearts they really care to have their hands on power or money just for the heck of it.
A pick of presidential candidate will certainly signify how serious UKAWA is this time around. Depending on who gets the nod that will be a significant statement of intent. However, if the process to nominate a presidential candidate is seen adversarial and bitterly contested then voter apathy may hit UKAWA where it hurts most at the ballot box. For UKAWA they have only two options either to stick with a perennial presidential loser in Professor Lipumba of CUF or dump him for a youthful Freeman Mbowe whose ethical record is fraught with lingering unanswered questions. Each of these prominent nominations has both pluses and minuses to consider.
Where both share stubborn resistance to change within their own parties and intolerance to opinion diversity but they are also vulnerable of rooting for the government policies they find unfathomable at party level. Both potential candidates brutally eliminated those who seem to threaten their perpetual stay in power. Where both never rigged themselves to power but they have manipulated their parties constitutions to ensure they lead their parties with no constitutional succession in sight. Mbowe has two decades of legislative clout and professor Lipumba never sought that acumen, and for me that is where professor Lipumba will be politely asked to pave way for the younger Mbowe who is more appealing to the youth constituting two thirds of all voters who may buy his inspirational candidacy promising of generational and transformational change than anything else. The problem for Mbowe is he abhors change unless it profits him personally.
Will UKAWA triumph in the next general election? I suspect they can, depending on how they address the nagging vortex of polling agents more than who leads them.
The opposition mandarins rely upon party loyalty which seldom works because the very polling agents they trust know once the election is over no one will remember them so they exploit those opportunities to enrich themselves. After elections even meeting basic allowances for the polling agents becomes a public squabble which ought to have been resolved even before the election commenced. Why not pay polling agents fifty percent before the election and immediately after the election settle the balance regardless of the electoral verdict to nourish and cement that much coveted peoples power which is volubly mouthed out on the stump but vainly executed where it matters most!
CCM stay in power almost in every-way now depends on voter bribery and massive electoral frauds because the level of mistrust between it and voters has reached points of no return. UKAWA knows all about this but rarely injects cash where its mouth is! Regardless of whom UKAWA settles as their presidential flag bearer look out in the way polling agents are treated to determine how the electoral outcome will sway. If UKAWA this time around puts its money where its mouth is, expects CCM to fall like a house of frail cards. I presage CCM will lose both presidential, parliamentary and civic elections if UKAWA runs its election campaigns with the discipline, commitment and passion we normally see on electoral podiums but missing in action when it comes to the nuts and bolts of winning elections.
The CCM much vaunted hoax that supporters of opposition are either unregistered or victims of voter apathy are just a bunch of lies and should be treated as such. The truth ought to be told: opposition leaning voters do vote for the opposition but treachery polling agents of the opposition because they are not paid well by the opposition do shift loyalty towards CCM where it matters most at the ballot box. So voter fraud becomes mostly consensual between the rulers of the day and the opposition via polling station agents conspiracy to bulge their leaking, short pockets.
If UKAWA oils well their presidential, parliamentary and civic nominees with sufficient cash which they will use to pay polling agents then party loyalty will this time around work generously in their favour. But if words are not marched with cash then expect loyalty to shift hands no sooner polling agents are empowered to run the show on behalf of the UKAWA. So for UKAWA the real challenge is really not whom they pick as presidential candidate but rather whether money is there to successfully tamp CCM into submission. UKAWA party affiliates are infamous for public funds profligacy and I keep wondering whether deep down their hearts they really care to have their hands on power or money just for the heck of it.
A pick of presidential candidate will certainly signify how serious UKAWA is this time around. Depending on who gets the nod that will be a significant statement of intent. However, if the process to nominate a presidential candidate is seen adversarial and bitterly contested then voter apathy may hit UKAWA where it hurts most at the ballot box. For UKAWA they have only two options either to stick with a perennial presidential loser in Professor Lipumba of CUF or dump him for a youthful Freeman Mbowe whose ethical record is fraught with lingering unanswered questions. Each of these prominent nominations has both pluses and minuses to consider.
Where both share stubborn resistance to change within their own parties and intolerance to opinion diversity but they are also vulnerable of rooting for the government policies they find unfathomable at party level. Both potential candidates brutally eliminated those who seem to threaten their perpetual stay in power. Where both never rigged themselves to power but they have manipulated their parties constitutions to ensure they lead their parties with no constitutional succession in sight. Mbowe has two decades of legislative clout and professor Lipumba never sought that acumen, and for me that is where professor Lipumba will be politely asked to pave way for the younger Mbowe who is more appealing to the youth constituting two thirds of all voters who may buy his inspirational candidacy promising of generational and transformational change than anything else. The problem for Mbowe is he abhors change unless it profits him personally.
Will UKAWA triumph in the next general election? I suspect they can, depending on how they address the nagging vortex of polling agents more than who leads them.