African Arguments on Tanzania: How long can its COVID-19 strategy hold? (by Evarist Chahali)

African Arguments on Tanzania: How long can its COVID-19 strategy hold? (by Evarist Chahali)

Bishweko said:
Unasema !
How can find time- Unaweza kutafuta muda au.
Click to expand...
Have come to find out that most of the critics from opposition doesn't know English.Cause the reaction on this thread is mostly one sided.Poor CHADEMA
 
Evarist Chahali said:
With neighbours tightening their borders and internal criticism growing, President Magufuli’s government finds itself increasingly isolated.

Before the coronavirus reached Tanzania, things were arguably going according to plan for President John Magufuli. Since taking office in November 2015, he had maintained a firm grip on power and shaped the government in his image.

He won hearts by sacking absent officials on the spot and managed to reincarnate popular notions of ujamaa (Tanzanian socialism) and suspicion of mabeberu (imperialists). These sentiments partly protected him from criticism as he banned opposition activities and as many of his critics were killed, abducted or shot at.

Within the ruling CCM, President Magufuli was elevated to demi-god status, with virtually every positive action branded as his own personal achievement. Among Christian and Muslim leaders, many described him as “God sent” and accompanied him in public appearances. According to the government’s own numbers – which were made illegal to question – the economy appeared to be doing well as the president’s “white elephant” mega-projects took shape.

The COVID-19 pandemic, however, was not part of the plan.

COVID-19 arrives
After Tanzania confirmed its first case in mid-March, Magufuli went silent for about two weeks. When he reappeared at a church, he said the virus cannot survive in the body of Jesus and encouraged worshippers to keep attending religious services.

In subsequent appearances, he announced there were no plans to close the borders. He encouraged Tanzania’s to inhale hot steam to kill the virus. And he questioned whether masks and disinfectant from abroad had been infected. He claimed COVID-19 testing kits were faulty and that they had returned positive results from a goat and a pawpaw.

Since the start of the pandemic, the president has downplayed the threat and refrained from imposing the kinds of lockdown measures being practised in many neighbouring countries.

A cursory glance at Tanzania’s official statistics might suggest this strategy is working. As of 18 May, it had just 509 confirmed cases and 21 deaths. But a closer look reveals the country has only conducted 652 tests. Furthermore, health workers have claimed that despite the figures, hundreds of people have in fact succumbed to the virus, while videos have emerged on social media of mysterious night-time burials.

Pressure from within
It is difficult to say how long Tanzania can maintain this course of action. If the situation continues to deteriorate, the president could start to find himself being pressured from different political angles.

Domestically, Magufuli is unlikely to be troubled by the political opposition, but if reports of deaths keep rising, it is possible that those within his party could start to question his approach. The president does appear to have a firm grip on power within the party for now. Many of his long-time associates chair key wings of the CCM or hold the most influential positions. This faction is believed to be united behind Magufuli.

However, it is not unfeasible that this faith could erode if the death toll, official or unofficial, continues to climb. This will especially be the case the more that the virus threatens those close to members of this group. Three CCM legislators, including Justice Minister Augustine Mahiga, have already died recently of unknown causes. Even the president’s closest allies know that no one is immune from COVID-19 no matter how powerful.

The other faction of the CCM, which is more sceptical of Magufuli and tends to have deeper roots in the party, may already be tiring of the president’s approach.

Pressure from the outside
Another source of pressure on Magufuli could come internationally. Like all countries, Tanzania relies heavily on trade and cooperation with its neighbours. Many of these countries, however, appear worried at Tanzania’s approach.

On 13 May, Zambia closed the Tunduma-Nakonde border with Tanzania after the Zambian district of Nakonde recorded 76 new COVID-19 cases in one day; it has since re-opened with added restrictions. On 16 May, Kenya shut its borders with Tanzania, after many of its new recorded cases were of truck drivers from across the border. Meanwhile, Uganda and Rwanda have both introduced extra precautionary measures for those transporting goods from Tanzania.

President Magufuli was absent from an online summit of East African leaders on 12 May. And even Raila Odinga, Kenya’s opposition leader, has publicly criticised the approach taken by his long-time friend.

Beyond its neighbours, Tanzania’s relationship with other international partners – many of which were already on shaky ground – have been dealt a blow too. The fact that the International Monetary Fund has disbursed over $1.3 billion to Uganda, Kenya and Rwanda to help them address the impact of the pandemic, but not done the same for Tanzania, speaks volumes.

Finally, President Magufuli’s approach could lead to growing divides within the union. In contrast to the mainland, the island of Zanzibar has so far been relatively transparent in its handling of COVID-19. If Zanzibar feels it has to follow Tanzania’s neighbours in imposing tighter border controls from the mainland, this could provide another source of pressure on Magufuli’s current approach.

Through nearly five years in office, the president has consolidated his powerbase and tightened his grip. But COVID-19 was not part of the plan. The pandemic has created new dynamics, and the more the disease – and the response to it – threatens the interests and lives of his allies, supporters and partners, the more President Magufuli could see his grip start to loosen.

👉Evarist Chahali is a political analyst, social media commentator, author and blogger. He is a former Tanzanian intelligence officer based in Scotland.

Tanzania: How long can its COVID-19 strategy hold? - African Arguments
Click to expand...
Let us wait and see while taking precautionary measures as issued out by WHO.
 
Analysia za chahali zinaegemea.vipande vya magazeti na.mitandao
Huwezi kufanya critical analysia ya Tanzania ukiwa chumbani Helsinki
Poorly done!
 
Soc999 said:
Have come to find out that most of the critics from opposition doesn't know English.Cause the reaction on this thread is mostly one sided.Poor CHADEMA
Click to expand...
Have come to find out... Nimekuja kugundua/ kujua kua aaah English Language isnt easy like this member!
You better write what you know than pointing a figure to fellows.
 
General Mangi said:
For me, it's truly that the approaches used by Mr. President are okay. As WHO explained three days ago that We are needed to prepare and experience this disease as others like AIDS.

So there is no needs of lock down. As Newton evolution theory, that tjose stronger will survive and weaks will disappear.

Cheers.
Click to expand...
[emoji23][emoji23][emoji23][emoji38][emoji28][emoji28][emoji28][emoji28][emoji1][emoji1][emoji1][emoji1][emoji1][emoji1][emoji1][emoji1][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji851][emoji106][emoji106][emoji106]

Sent using Jamii Forums mobile app
 
Retired said:
all in all people have died who could not have died had the recommended measures by WHO had been implemented!
Click to expand...
Tell that to Spaniards, the English, Italians et al! That Pulmonary thrombosis, coagulations and other equally fatal complications versus immune systems, and, oh vitamin D defficiencies and pulmonary diseases inclusive of effects of BCG vaccinations .... WHO? NO, THERE IS MORE TO IT
 
Evarist Chahali said:
With neighbours tightening their borders and internal criticism growing, President Magufuli’s government finds itself increasingly isolated.

Before the coronavirus reached Tanzania, things were arguably going according to plan for President John Magufuli. Since taking office in November 2015, he had maintained a firm grip on power and shaped the government in his image.

He won hearts by sacking absent officials on the spot and managed to reincarnate popular notions of ujamaa (Tanzanian socialism) and suspicion of mabeberu (imperialists). These sentiments partly protected him from criticism as he banned opposition activities and as many of his critics were killed, abducted or shot at.

Within the ruling CCM, President Magufuli was elevated to demi-god status, with virtually every positive action branded as his own personal achievement. Among Christian and Muslim leaders, many described him as “God sent” and accompanied him in public appearances. According to the government’s own numbers – which were made illegal to question – the economy appeared to be doing well as the president’s “white elephant” mega-projects took shape.

The COVID-19 pandemic, however, was not part of the plan.

COVID-19 arrives
After Tanzania confirmed its first case in mid-March, Magufuli went silent for about two weeks. When he reappeared at a church, he said the virus cannot survive in the body of Jesus and encouraged worshippers to keep attending religious services.

In subsequent appearances, he announced there were no plans to close the borders. He encouraged Tanzania’s to inhale hot steam to kill the virus. And he questioned whether masks and disinfectant from abroad had been infected. He claimed COVID-19 testing kits were faulty and that they had returned positive results from a goat and a pawpaw.

Since the start of the pandemic, the president has downplayed the threat and refrained from imposing the kinds of lockdown measures being practised in many neighbouring countries.

A cursory glance at Tanzania’s official statistics might suggest this strategy is working. As of 18 May, it had just 509 confirmed cases and 21 deaths. But a closer look reveals the country has only conducted 652 tests. Furthermore, health workers have claimed that despite the figures, hundreds of people have in fact succumbed to the virus, while videos have emerged on social media of mysterious night-time burials.

Pressure from within
It is difficult to say how long Tanzania can maintain this course of action. If the situation continues to deteriorate, the president could start to find himself being pressured from different political angles.

Domestically, Magufuli is unlikely to be troubled by the political opposition, but if reports of deaths keep rising, it is possible that those within his party could start to question his approach. The president does appear to have a firm grip on power within the party for now. Many of his long-time associates chair key wings of the CCM or hold the most influential positions. This faction is believed to be united behind Magufuli.

However, it is not unfeasible that this faith could erode if the death toll, official or unofficial, continues to climb. This will especially be the case the more that the virus threatens those close to members of this group. Three CCM legislators, including Justice Minister Augustine Mahiga, have already died recently of unknown causes. Even the president’s closest allies know that no one is immune from COVID-19 no matter how powerful.

The other faction of the CCM, which is more sceptical of Magufuli and tends to have deeper roots in the party, may already be tiring of the president’s approach.

Pressure from the outside
Another source of pressure on Magufuli could come internationally. Like all countries, Tanzania relies heavily on trade and cooperation with its neighbours. Many of these countries, however, appear worried at Tanzania’s approach.

On 13 May, Zambia closed the Tunduma-Nakonde border with Tanzania after the Zambian district of Nakonde recorded 76 new COVID-19 cases in one day; it has since re-opened with added restrictions. On 16 May, Kenya shut its borders with Tanzania, after many of its new recorded cases were of truck drivers from across the border. Meanwhile, Uganda and Rwanda have both introduced extra precautionary measures for those transporting goods from Tanzania.

President Magufuli was absent from an online summit of East African leaders on 12 May. And even Raila Odinga, Kenya’s opposition leader, has publicly criticised the approach taken by his long-time friend.

Beyond its neighbours, Tanzania’s relationship with other international partners – many of which were already on shaky ground – have been dealt a blow too. The fact that the International Monetary Fund has disbursed over $1.3 billion to Uganda, Kenya and Rwanda to help them address the impact of the pandemic, but not done the same for Tanzania, speaks volumes.

Finally, President Magufuli’s approach could lead to growing divides within the union. In contrast to the mainland, the island of Zanzibar has so far been relatively transparent in its handling of COVID-19. If Zanzibar feels it has to follow Tanzania’s neighbours in imposing tighter border controls from the mainland, this could provide another source of pressure on Magufuli’s current approach.

Through nearly five years in office, the president has consolidated his powerbase and tightened his grip. But COVID-19 was not part of the plan. The pandemic has created new dynamics, and the more the disease – and the response to it – threatens the interests and lives of his allies, supporters and partners, the more President Magufuli could see his grip start to loosen.

[emoji117]Evarist Chahali is a political analyst, social media commentator, author and blogger. He is a former Tanzanian intelligence officer based in Scotland.
Click to expand...
This is among the nonsense posts of the century

Section 20
 
Retired said:
Free state unaommba ARV toka kwao, then you claim to be free! Rubbish!
Click to expand...

May be a persons with a cerebral palsy can harbor such sentiments. Lets see
beyond your nose, as every occurrence has its objectives, concealed or transparent !

COVID -19 in nothing other than another ploy, or rather, a novel business conceived by a Conglomerate of multinational corporation ! in order to reap from their poor.

And their methodology has been the same...To create a novel virus, infect people randomly and strategically, create a global panic, then introduce a vaccine that will be sold all over the world to the expense of the lives of the innocents..... The world should say NO to such ploys.
 
Evarist Chahali said:
With neighbours tightening their borders and internal criticism growing, President Magufuli’s government finds itself increasingly isolated.

Before the coronavirus reached Tanzania, things were arguably going according to plan for President John Magufuli. Since taking office in November 2015, he had maintained a firm grip on power and shaped the government in his image.

He won hearts by sacking absent officials on the spot and managed to reincarnate popular notions of ujamaa (Tanzanian socialism) and suspicion of mabeberu (imperialists). These sentiments partly protected him from criticism as he banned opposition activities and as many of his critics were killed, abducted or shot at.

Within the ruling CCM, President Magufuli was elevated to demi-god status, with virtually every positive action branded as his own personal achievement. Among Christian and Muslim leaders, many described him as “God sent” and accompanied him in public appearances. According to the government’s own numbers – which were made illegal to question – the economy appeared to be doing well as the president’s “white elephant” mega-projects took shape.

The COVID-19 pandemic, however, was not part of the plan.

COVID-19 arrives
After Tanzania confirmed its first case in mid-March, Magufuli went silent for about two weeks. When he reappeared at a church, he said the virus cannot survive in the body of Jesus and encouraged worshippers to keep attending religious services.

In subsequent appearances, he announced there were no plans to close the borders. He encouraged Tanzania’s to inhale hot steam to kill the virus. And he questioned whether masks and disinfectant from abroad had been infected. He claimed COVID-19 testing kits were faulty and that they had returned positive results from a goat and a pawpaw.

Since the start of the pandemic, the president has downplayed the threat and refrained from imposing the kinds of lockdown measures being practised in many neighbouring countries.

A cursory glance at Tanzania’s official statistics might suggest this strategy is working. As of 18 May, it had just 509 confirmed cases and 21 deaths. But a closer look reveals the country has only conducted 652 tests. Furthermore, health workers have claimed that despite the figures, hundreds of people have in fact succumbed to the virus, while videos have emerged on social media of mysterious night-time burials.

Pressure from within
It is difficult to say how long Tanzania can maintain this course of action. If the situation continues to deteriorate, the president could start to find himself being pressured from different political angles.

Domestically, Magufuli is unlikely to be troubled by the political opposition, but if reports of deaths keep rising, it is possible that those within his party could start to question his approach. The president does appear to have a firm grip on power within the party for now. Many of his long-time associates chair key wings of the CCM or hold the most influential positions. This faction is believed to be united behind Magufuli.

However, it is not unfeasible that this faith could erode if the death toll, official or unofficial, continues to climb. This will especially be the case the more that the virus threatens those close to members of this group. Three CCM legislators, including Justice Minister Augustine Mahiga, have already died recently of unknown causes. Even the president’s closest allies know that no one is immune from COVID-19 no matter how powerful.

The other faction of the CCM, which is more sceptical of Magufuli and tends to have deeper roots in the party, may already be tiring of the president’s approach.

Pressure from the outside
Another source of pressure on Magufuli could come internationally. Like all countries, Tanzania relies heavily on trade and cooperation with its neighbours. Many of these countries, however, appear worried at Tanzania’s approach.

On 13 May, Zambia closed the Tunduma-Nakonde border with Tanzania after the Zambian district of Nakonde recorded 76 new COVID-19 cases in one day; it has since re-opened with added restrictions. On 16 May, Kenya shut its borders with Tanzania, after many of its new recorded cases were of truck drivers from across the border. Meanwhile, Uganda and Rwanda have both introduced extra precautionary measures for those transporting goods from Tanzania.

President Magufuli was absent from an online summit of East African leaders on 12 May. And even Raila Odinga, Kenya’s opposition leader, has publicly criticised the approach taken by his long-time friend.

Beyond its neighbours, Tanzania’s relationship with other international partners – many of which were already on shaky ground – have been dealt a blow too. The fact that the International Monetary Fund has disbursed over $1.3 billion to Uganda, Kenya and Rwanda to help them address the impact of the pandemic, but not done the same for Tanzania, speaks volumes.

Finally, President Magufuli’s approach could lead to growing divides within the union. In contrast to the mainland, the island of Zanzibar has so far been relatively transparent in its handling of COVID-19. If Zanzibar feels it has to follow Tanzania’s neighbours in imposing tighter border controls from the mainland, this could provide another source of pressure on Magufuli’s current approach.

Through nearly five years in office, the president has consolidated his powerbase and tightened his grip. But COVID-19 was not part of the plan. The pandemic has created new dynamics, and the more the disease – and the response to it – threatens the interests and lives of his allies, supporters and partners, the more President Magufuli could see his grip start to loosen.

[emoji117]Evarist Chahali is a political analyst, social media commentator, author and blogger. He is a former Tanzanian intelligence officer based in Scotland.
Click to expand...
Hiyo first paragraph kwanza ni kichefu chefu. Eti "internal criticism growing" Pabda kama ni internal ya Kenya. Sisi watz sioni kama **** watu wanampinga shujaa wetu Magu.

Acha mnyooke nyie mliokubali kufunikwa kama maharage kwente sufuria hamtoki. Sisi tunashangilia.

Na bado mtalia sana! Kende nyie[emoji23][emoji23][emoji23][emoji23]

Sent using Jamii Forums mobile app
 
chagu wa malunde said:
Hodgepodge approach with no direction? Are you insane?. Tanzania has been dealing with Covid-19 accordingly. Tanzania implemented all important measures required to stop transmission ie washing hands with soap,use of saniters, wearing of masks in public places etc. Is Lockdown mandatory?
Click to expand...
Enough of you! It adds no value arguing with a fool.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Our Community

Coming Soon

Regional Communities

Coming Soon
Back
Top Bottom
Menu
Forums
New posts
Log in
Register