Cost comparison SGR Kenya vs SGR Tanzania

kwa hali ilivyo, napenda hata mchina ajitokeze aweke dau zuri la kujenga SGR yote kutoka Makutupora hadi Isaka ili kukamilisha SGR yote kutoka Dar-Mwanza.. kujenga nusunusu, sidhan kama mama atalimaliza mapema hili suala
 

Nilikuwa nakuona muelevu, kumbe na wewe ni boya tu.
Tell me, if you are taking a personal loan from a bank, what are your bases of negotiation. If the bank offers you let it be 15%, what'll be your yardstick at least to pull at least 1 step down?

Likewise in bilateral lending, you need to have at least the SI unit which will be used as a base for negotiating. If your negotiation team doesn't understand this, then it's a big problem.
 
Kwahivyo kwa kifupi umeshindwa kuleta mfano wa nchi yenye iko same level na sisi ambayo imechukua commercial loan sio?
Unajaribu kuniregesha kwa argument ya what happens when you borrow a loan? Well, its pretty standard all over the world, there is nothing special that happened with Kenya's commercial loan to China that doesn't happen everywhere.

The Libor rate that you talked about is not a rate set in stone, it's just a reference point i.e Its the benchmark based from first world countries, it's from that benchmark that you start negotiating your loan interest rate. Kama ingekua tuko Europe ama America then ingekua huu mjadala uko very relevant, lakini sisi tuko Africa bana! Baada ya hio Libor rate lazima waangalie risk ya uwezo wetu kulipa on time, Security risk ya project, e.t.c, Simply put, the market rates for developing world are different from Developed nations, regardless of what the Liboor rates say today.

Kenya's Sovereign credit score is B












Back in 2012 when we borrowed the Loan from China, Our credit rating was B1








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Hii ndo maana LDC countries huwa hazipendi kufanyiwa Credit Rating manake hakuna haja, mnangojea mikopo ya bure bure kutoka kwa akina AFDB na WB, lakini kukopa commercially kutoka kwa international market utapatiwa interest rate ya 15% manake rating yenu itaaambiwa ni very high risk of default!


Anyway, you cannot expect Kenya to get cheap commercial loans when the bankers have to speculate for themselves if we can pay back the loan or not. Mpaka ile siku tutakua tunakaribia rating ya A ndo tutakua na uwezo wa ku negotiate for lower interest costs. Kwasasa tutaendelea kugongwa tukijaribu kuchukua loan za aina hio. So unless you can show me an example of another country with a similar economy like ours that managed to negotialte a cheaper commercial loan worth $Billions for an infrastructure project.....
 
FYI hizo treni zote mbili ni zenu! See KR ubavuni! Ingekuwa ya Tanzania ingesomeka TRC!
 
Na wewe umeanza kuwa fala eehh.
Lakini si amesema ukweli, kulingana na ushahidi alio leta? Don't shoot the messenger, shoot the message!!! And the message is according to UN nyinyi bado mko LDC as of 2 months ago!

 
FYI hizo treni zote mbili ni zenu! See KR ubavuni! Ingekuwa ya Tanzania ingesomeka TRC!
Nyinyi ndo meanza ku compare vitu ambavyo havifai kua compaired eti shunting vs passenger locomotive, ndio maana nika post hio ya kwenu!
Nimekuonyesha mfano wa kichwa kilichotumika na Yepi kufanya inspection kuonyesha kuna vichwa vya aina tofauti vya reli ambavyo vina kazi yake maalum, hautawahi kuona kichwa kizuri kikitumika kufanya kazi hio..... Hata vile vya kubeba mizigo pia , hautawahi kuona kichwa kizuri, alafu vile vichwa vya shunting vinavyotumika kuskuma mabehewa kutoka eneo moja la bandari hadi eneo lengine ndo kabisaaa hua havina sura lakini ndo viko na nguvu zaidi kushinda vichwa vyengine vyovyote. HAta nyinyi tanzania mmeagizia vichwa vya umeme lakini kuna kadhaa mmeagizia ni vya diesel kufanya kazi hio ya shunting, msifikiri eti vitakua tofauti.


Niletee mifanyo ya shunting locomotives ambazo zina maumbile ya kuvutia basi kama unabisha
 


Umeongea mambo meengi, lakini mengine do not hold water. Unasema ibor inatumika kwenye matured economy tu, kwani mkopo wa sgr mlichukua from emerging economy, si mlichukua china. Sasa china iliwapa bila kujua the prevailing ibor!!!? Pamoja na credit rating yenu, lender has to see if the rate will be somewhat higher than the ibor. It's a yardstick to both lender and borrower. It's like the commercial bank, it can't set the interest rate without knowing the prevailing coupon rate. The question is you are paying hugely and far away from the ibor. This is a query to a lot of people. Forget about those question ambayo hayako related na issue at hand.
 
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