Kenya’s SGR cargo volumes cast doubt on its viability

Nah it did not since the opposition was divides the same way NASA is.
If you are in Jubilee, what is your consern about NASA unity? its none of your business, and in any case Did the so called divided opposition not boot out KANU from power and usher in a new constitution? Revolt 3.0 comming soon, dont blink
 
Our Taxes
That thing will be subsidised for its whole lifespan as the moment SGR on the central corridor is ready it will have a competitive edge think of 80 km/h vs 120 km/h for cargos! Think of a cheaper electrical run vs diesel run engines! Ooh God can't wait!
 
hahahah waiting for the construction to complete hahahahahahahahahaha what a wanker
 
Borrowing Eurobond to Subsidize another country's imports! As in borrowing money to give to UG & RW..Jubilee ni kichaa aisee
 
Why does it nag you so much?
 
This guy mkikuyu timamu is well equipped aisee , hoja juu ya hoja , and good thing is, he knows mwasat and his gang are jubilee keyboard worriers from slums
 

TANZANIA BUYS TRAINS FROM NEW ZEALAND
Posted 4 years ago by Corporate Digest
An initial 34 Ganz-Mavag Class EM/ET electric multiple-unit cars which a South African rolling stock broker has acquired fromAn initial 34 Ganz-Mavag Class EM/ET electric multiple-unit cars which a South African rolling stock broker has acquired from Greater Wellington Regional Council (GWRC) for reuse in Tanzania and Zimbabwe has been shipped from New Zealand.
Hahahahahah Kumbe trains on that SGR are all second Hand from Newzeland.. wakidanganya heti "bullet train"
 
The 44 Hungarian-built two-car EMUs entered service in 1982. They are being replaced by a fleet of 83 Matangi EMUs which GWRC ordered from a consortium of Hyundai Rotem and Mitsui in 2007, 2008 and 2013.

The remainder of the 42 Ganz-Mavag units which have been sold will go to Africa once the next batch of Matangi EMUs arrives in Wellington in mid-2015. One unit is to be retained for heritage purposes.
 

New Zealand trains sold to Tanzania and Zimbabwe
 

The reality is that both these railways won't have much to transport out since both these countries are not huge exporters of anything. It's not like the current narrow gauge rails were struggling to export millions of tonnes of cargo. There is not much to transport from this region unless we start serious manufacturing in the next few years. Kenya is just finding out what Tanzania will find out in a few years once its own railway is complete.
 
unajua mining projects lined up in Tanzania alone, nickel, copper, steel, coal, helium gas, nobium, coltan, rare earth metals, titanium and graphite aside farm outputs tobacco, cotton, coffee. ujinga wenu ni kujaribu kushindana na mining giant!
 
unajua mining projects lined up in Tanzania alone, nickel, copper, steel, coal, helium gas, nobium, coltan, rare earth metals, titanium and graphite aside farm outputs tobacco, cotton, coffee. ujinga wenu ni kujaribu kushindana na mining giant!

Interesting, first things first, please note that the Tanzanian SGR is projected to haul 17M tonnes of cargo per year. That's a whole lot of Cargo! Unfortunately, the details don't look good for the SGR just like the Kenyan one UNLESS manufacturing capacity is increased dramatically. Dar port mostly handles inbound cargo, currently handles only 2.4M tonnes of export cargo per year. Where will the cover come from?

1. Steel - Tanzania produces little steel (200k metric tonnes vs current demand of 800k metric tonnes). Common sense dictates that any future production from the Liganga steel plant (1.1m metric tonnes annual capacity) will most probably be consumed locally. See here and here.
2. Nickel - This project has yet to kick off since 2005. You do. the. math.
2. Helium - Apparently, helium gas will be transported via "giant airships" straight from the mines according to the mining company here.
3. Coal - Isn't Tanzania's coal is concentrated in the south of the country and not on the SGR's course.
4. Coltan - The plan is to smelt coltan in the country to produce niobium (see next point) which will be sold to other countries.
5. Niobium - The Panda hill niobium project is in Mbeya which I believe is in the southern highlands and out of the SGR's course. This though is the only feasible metal for export using the SGR if the smelting plant in Dar will be built as Rwanda, Congo, Burundi are all major importers.
6. Graphite - Tanzania's major graphite deposits are concentrated in the south-east of the country and Epanko, Nachu & Namangale graphite Projects would use TAZARA to transport said graphite to the port.
7. Tobacco - Now this is the one thing that makes sense. Tobacco is Tanzania's leading export crop and the growing regions (North East of the country) match the SGR's trajectory. Though the SGR will need much more than just tobacco exports to thrive.
8. Cotton - This also makes sense given Tanzania's growing areas are in the north-west. Production though is relatively low (~600k metric tonnes for 2016/17 harvest) assuming that all this will be exported and nothing retained for local consumption.
9. Coffee - This is Tanzania's major export crop. Tanzania produces 30 - 40k metric tonnes of coffee every year. Assuming all this coffee is exported, this makes just about 0.24% of the projected tonnage of the SGR. This is probably a week's haulage and a bad example of how to break even.

What the country needs to focus on (and not just Tanzania, Kenya too) is large-scale manufacturing that will ensure goods such as Processed agricultural goods - Milk (Tanzania owns one of the largest herd of livestock in Sub-Saharan Africa), Eggs, processed fish, Processed Honey - Finished textiles/carpets/rugs, leather goods, mobile phones, motor vehicles, laboratory equipment e.t.c (stuff that's actually manufactured in a company and not mined from the ground) are transported back on the SGR to Dar port and out to Europe and Asia. This is the surest way for the SGR to repay itself otherwise like the existing rail, IT WILL BE SUBSIDIZED BY THE GOVERNMENT. The Kenyans are already experiencing this, the Tanzanians will shortly learn this truth too. The good news is JPM has half seen this and is pushing for industrialization. Whether that will materialize in time to be utilized by the SGR is anyone's guess.

In conclusion, I'm not interested in TZ vs KE back and forth, I'm simply agreeing with the World Banks assessment that the region was better off upgrading existing lines instead of building new ones.
 

In addition palm oil in Kigoma, much more minerals in the Western and Lake Victoria area. FYI there is copper there aside the fact DRC exports most of their minerals from the East through Dar.

TRY to look at Lake Victoria basin mineral concentration maps n u will see aside gold, silver n platinum, plenty of other minerals exist including limestone n several gemstones in Morogoro n Singida. We have plenty of Uranium in Dodoma too. Uganda wants our gas to produce iron ore n no gas pipeline so far exists. U forgot Titanium too..
 
SGR should not be Judged as if its a business venture where the capital employed should have sensible ROI to justify the investment. SGR is like a road, there is no verifiable ROI on such infrastruture the benefits accrue to the country by making transportation effecient and cost effective for all. Just the same way a national referal hospital makes health accesible.
The Main Point of concern is the OPEX costs, how much is required to run the service, and This is where JPM has got it right, prefering Not To use commercial loans whose intrest payable monthly would cripple the working capital of the railway making the SGR fall victim to what all other rails have succumed to., Lack of money to operate the line and pay workers
 
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