Wanaukumbi.
🇮🇱🇱🇧 Hapo jana Israel walisema wanaelekea kwenye uamuzi wa kuivamia Lebanon, leo Hezbollah wamerusha roketi kwenye kituo chao na kuua na kujeruhi makumi ya wanajeshi.
Wakati huo huo, kiongozi wa Hezbollah, Nasrallah alisema: "Mnataka vita, anzisha."
Hezbollah, baada ya kutambua udhaifu wa IDF, ambayo baada ya miezi 7 karibu haikupata mafanikio yoyote makubwa dhidi ya Hamas yenye silaha duni, ambayo bado imesimama kidete, sasa inaichochea Israel kuivamia Lebanon. Kwa kweli wanataka uvamizi.
Ikiwa unakumbuka kwamba mwanzoni mwa vita hivi, niliandika kwamba awamu ya kwanza na kazi ya Hamas ni kutoa muhanga na kulemaza jeshi la Israeli kadri inavyowezekana, hadi itakapoanza awamu ya pili ya vita na Hizbullah.
Hamas imevuka matarajio yote yanayowezekana na sio tu kwamba imelemaza IDF lakini bado imesimama kidete. Uvamizi wa Lebanon ungekuwa mbaya mara 10 kuliko ule wa Gaza.
Hezbollah ina jeshi lenye uzoefu wa kijeshi la zaidi ya 100,000, silaha nyingi, na njia za usambazaji kupitia Syria ambazo pia zitatumika kwa nguvu na wafanyikazi wa Houthi.
Uvamizi wa Lebanon utakuwa ni kitu au si chochote kwa Israel, ndiyo maana nadhani kuna uwezekano mkubwa kwamba hilo halitatokea, lakini Israel itakubali kusitisha mapigano na Hamas ili tu kutatua uhusiano wa kidiplomasia na Hezbollah au watachagua kuteseka. mapigo ya Hezbollah hadi wawashinde Hamas. Na kuna muda kidogo na kidogo.
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🇮🇱🇱🇧 Yesterday Israel said that they are moving towards a decision to invade Lebanon, today Hezbollah fired a rocket at their base, killing and injuring dozens of soldiers.
Meanwhile, the leader of Hezbollah, Nasrallah said: "You want war, bring it on."
Hezbollah, after realising the weakness of the IDF, which after 7 months almost did not achieve any significant success against the poorly armed Hamas, which is still standing firm, is now provoking Israel to invade Lebanon. They literally want the invasion.
If you remember that at the beginning of this war, I wrote that the first phase and the task of Hamas is to sacrifice and cripple the army of Israel as much as possible, until the second phase of the war with Hezbollah begins.
Hamas has exceeded all possible expectations and not only crippled the IDF but is still standing firm. An invasion of Lebanon would be 10 times more deadly than that of Gaza.
Hezbollah has a military-experienced army of over 100,000, plenty of weapons, and supply routes through Syria that will also serve to reinforce with Houthi personnel.
An invasion of Lebanon will be all or nothing for Israel, which is why I think there are high chances that it will not happen, but that Israel will accept a ceasefire with Hamas only to resolve diplomatic relations with Hezbollah or they will choose to suffer the blows of Hezbollah until they defeat Hamas. And there is less and less time.
View: https://x.com/megatron_ron/status/1798410156658635089?s=12&t=mTROWpaJUT8H393JMgWOvw
View: https://x.com/me_observer_/status/1798410590022480329?s=12&t=mTROWpaJUT8H393JMgWOvw
