Kenya 2022 Makamishina IEBC: Jumla ya kura zilizohakikiwa ni 100.1% ndio tunauliza hiyo ziada sawa na kura 143,000 imetoka wapi?

Kenya 2022 Makamishina IEBC: Jumla ya kura zilizohakikiwa ni 100.1% ndio tunauliza hiyo ziada sawa na kura 143,000 imetoka wapi?

Kenya 2022 General Election
white wizard said:
Unajua tatizo lenu mnachukulia mambo ya kisheria na ushabiki wa u simba na yanga!!nadhani hesabu alizozitoa huyo makamu mwenyekiti wa IEBC, hasa kwa kutumia % zinaweza zikawa sio sahihi, je zikijumlishwa kura walizopata wagombea wote wanne, zinalingana na idadi ya kura zilizopigwa, ukiweka na zilizoharibika?!!kama zinazidi hapo kuna tatizo sehemu.Huwezi ukasema tu eti hata hizo kura 1400, akipewa Odinga hazitaweza msaidia, inshu sio kumsaidia, lakini zitadhibitisha kuwa kuna sehemu hakukuwa sawa, na kupelekea either, kurudiwa kuhesabiwa kura, au uchaguzi kurudiwa upya, kutegemea na ushahidi utakao jitokeza.Japo kwa ushahidi huo wa kuzidi kwa % ni mdogo sana labda kama kuna mwingine.
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mbingunikwetu said:
Cha kushangaza ni kuwa Odinga ana nakala ya matokeo ya urais ya vituo vyote vya uchaguzi na kura alizozipata anajua kuwa hazijatosha, ndiyo maana hana tuhuma ya kuibiwa kura, na hata akiulizwa kura zako ni ngapi hawezi kusema!
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Ila waswahili mna viwanda vya uongo wewe hii umeipata wapi?
 
Blac kid said:
Majinga jinga Kama hili ni faida kubwa kwa wanasiasa tunaolamba asali.
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Acha hasira mzee.
Kwani ni uongo raila anahisi amechezewa. Yuko na wafuasi wake wengi wanasema amechezewa.
Sasa kwann unamuita mwenzio mjinga mjinga. Mnaipenda demokrasia, na hamuiwezi demokrasia.
 
From Facebook (Julius Fondong)

Election Mathematics in Africa

Elections in Africa have often yielded some interesting mathematical dilemmas. The ongoing presidential elections imbroglio in Kenya and that of Nigeria in 1979 easily come to mind.

In Kenya, the question on every one’s lips today is: What is 0.01% of 14,000,000?

The question arose after four members of Kenya’s Independent Elections and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) rebelled against the President of the Commission, soon before he was due to announce the official winner of the Kenya’s 9th August 2022 Presidential Polls.

During a press conference given by the leader of the rebellious gang of IEBC Commissioners, the Deputy Chair, averred that she and her other three colleagues could not assume “ownership” of the results because they did not believe the tally was correct.

She contended that when you tally the percentages of all the five presidential candidates as announced the IEBC Chair, it comes up to 100.01 percent.

And according to her, the excess of 0.01 per cent “translates to about 140,000 votes”. And this is a significant number of votes that are unaccounted for. Keep in mind that the Chairman announced the results on the basis of 14, 000, 000 valid votes cast.

This immediately prompted the question:

What is 0.01 percent of 14,000,000?

Every TV station in Kenya has brought in mathematics professors, actuarial scientists, and statisticians to explain the math to their audience. And they all agree that 0.01 per cent of 14, 000, 000 is 1,400, not 140,000 as claimed by the Vice Chair of the IEBC.

The question now is: how did the Vice Chair of the IEBC, in a moment of great tension and uncertainty that could make or mar a country, get her math so wrong by a factor 100?

Was her move deliberately calculated to create confusion and steer up trouble? Or was it an honest mistake.
Nevertheless, something similar had happened in Nigeria during the 1979 election that saw the return to civilian rule.

The main contenders then were Alhaji Shehu Shagari and Chief Obafemi Awolowo.

According to Nigeria’s electoral law of the time, for a candidate to be elected President of Nigeria he must not only obtain the highest number of votes cast in the entire country but must also receive »not less than one-quarter of the votes« cast in at least »two-thirds of« the nineteen states that constituted the Federation of Nigeria at the time.

At the Presidential election, held in August 1979, Alhaji Shagari satisfied the first condition and clearly obtained one-quarter of the votes cast in twelve states. In a thirteenth state, however, he obtained only 19.94 per cent of the votes cast in that state.

Therefore, the question arose as to what is two-thirds of nineteen?

Everybody though thought it was 13. Pretty Simple and straightforward, right?

No, not in Nigeria.

The Election Commission held it to mean »twelve two-third states« and since Alhaji Shagari obtained more than one-quarter of the two-thirds of the votes cast in the thirteenth state, declared him elected President. This was challenged by Chief Awolowo, the candidate with the next highest votes.

Chief Awolowo's main contention was that two-thirds of nineteen states is thirteen states and, in the alternative, on the premise that two-thirds of nineteen states is twelve two-third states, that only two-third of the votes received by Alhaji Shagari in his thirteenth state should be used in computing whether he had received one-fourth of two-third of all the votes cast in that state.

The Special Tribunal, consisting of three eminent Justices, unanimously rejected the Chiefs arguments and upheld the Election Commission’s declaration. The Supreme Court, on appeal, concurred and dismissed the appeal by a majority of six to one.

I am anxious to see how the Kenyan Supreme Court resolves this mathematical mystery posed by the IEBC’s rebellious vice chair, should it ever get that far.
 
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