Q1 growth estimate in SSA revised down due to weak performance in Kenya

Q1 growth estimate in SSA revised down due to weak performance in Kenya

Tony254 said:
Haya wacha nijaribu Kiswahili yangu mbaya. Nakubaliana nawe kwamba hiyo export ya Ivory Coast ni Muhimu kwa Afrika Lakini pia lazima ukubaliane nami kwamba service sector ya KE ni muhimu kwa Afrika pia. Angalia umuhimu wa KQ kwa Africa especially T.Z. Nakumatt Hata kama ina matatizo iko T.Z. K.C.B iko T.Z. Equity bank iko mpaka D.R Congo e.t.c
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Sijasema kama service sector ya Kenya sio muhimu, but the argument hapa ilikuwa kwenye one line... "If Kenya sneezes, the rest of Africa catches cold". Mimi nimesema whoever wrote that article hakufanya in depth analysis, nchi ambazo zinaongoza kuleta more FDI in Africa hajaziweka. FDI ni important to the African economy, watu wanapata kazi through FDI similar to export processing zone EPZ or service sector.
 
Mwanzi1 said:
Sijasema kama service sector ya Kenya sio muhimu, but the argument hapa ilikuwa kwenye one line... "If Kenya sneezes, the rest of Africa catches cold". Mimi nimesema whoever wrote that article hakufanya in depth analysis, nchi ambazo zinaongoza kuleta more FDI in Africa hajaziweka. FDI ni important to the African economy, watu wanapata kazi through FDI similar to export processing zone EPZ or service sector.
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Haya basi sote tunakubaliana hapo
 
Mwanzi1 said:
I don't think so, Kenya and Ethiopian are relatively boosting the same numbers when it comes to economical output. If what your saying is true, then even Ethiopian can create the same impact if they fell short on there economy. But I don't want to believe that whatever happening in Kenya will directly have affect in Mali or Madagascar. African economy is not integrated like other part or the world. (When Kenya sneezes, its Kenya alone catches the flu).
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Ethiopia has attained its growth as forecasted- just like most of the other countries, while Kenya has failed to achieve the projected growth. That got reflected in the tally
 
eliakeem said:
Iconoclastes
Post hoc falacy
Myself dont see how the a fourth paragraph of five lines justified the cause and effect relationship. No detailed elaboration showing how an economic downturn in Kenya affects the rest of SSA.
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That is the assessment of the economic performance for the whole of the sSaharan region, basing the expectation of the growth upon the past economic upward trend in the continent.

Most of the countries in the continent are experiencing growth. Even those that are lagging, all that has been factored in the forecast, ie Zimbabwe, SA, Nigeria, Angola...

But the biggest boost to the regional growth was based upon the bigger and the better performing economies such as Kenya and Ethiopia. But the slow- down in Kenya has had that less than expected growth results in the sSahara.
 
Iconoclastes said:
Huu mtihani wa 8/8 tukipita, awe nani ama nani atashinda, hii Kenya itakuwa ikikuwa on stetoids my friend, acha hawa wanaongea waongee.
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8/8 ndo imesababisha uchumi uyumbe? Hii kitu si imeanza June tu hapa ama!?

Bora useme alshabaab lakini
 
Toyota escudo said:
8/8 ndo imesababisha uchumi uyumbe? Hii kitu si imeanza June tu hapa ama!?

Bora useme alshabaab lakini
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Hizi siasa kali za uchaguzi na historia mbaya ya chaguzi za Kenya zimeaffect sana uchumi. Kila msimu wa uchaguzi hufanya ukuaji wa uchumi wetu kudorora.

Makali ya Alshbb yamepungua kiasi cha wawekezaji kuwa na imani na tasisi zetu za kiusalama.
 
Iconoclastes said:
Hizi siasa kali za uchaguzi na historia mbaya ya chaguzi za Kenya zimeaffect sana uchumi. Kila msimu wa uchaguzi hufanya ukuaji wa uchumi wetu kudorora.

Makali ya Alshbb yamepungua kiasi cha wawekezaji kuwa na imani na tasisi zetu za kiusalama.
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Yamepunguzwa na kampeini za uchaguzi, lakini mziki wa alshabaab ni mkubwa kuliko huo uchaguzi.
 
Iconoclastes said:
Ethiopia has attained its growth as forecasted- just like most of the other countries, while Kenya has failed to achieve the projected growth. That got reflected in the tally
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So unataka kusema if Kenya were to do well that Q1, African would be laughing all the way to the bank. Wewe, mungu anakuona. Even though we need each other in Africa lakini hatujafika huko, Africa integration is lowest in the world at 11%, comper that with 50% in asia, 70% in EU. Africa inasaidiwa sana na EAC which account to 40% of integration. Na katika EAC ni Kenya na Tanzania ndio wana trade more than other countries.
 
Iconoclastes said:
So, when Kenya sneezes, the rest of the SSA catch the flu. Kenya is truly the giant of Africa in terms of economy.

Ama namna gani my friends?
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He he heee wakenya katika ubora wenu wa kujisifia! Kwa maneno haya ndo maana huwa tunaleta tz news kwenye hii forum ili kuwazima maana maelezo huwa hayawaingii!

Back to the topic!

Sio kweli kuwa uchumi wa SSA haukufikia projection kwenye Q1 kwa sababu uchumi wa kenya ulishuka.

Unafaa uelewe kuwa mwaka 2016 ni mwaka ambao dunia imeshuhudia tikisiko kubwa la uchumi tangu lile kubwa lililoonekana 2009. Hivyo, Q1 of 2017 ilikuwa ni kama dunia ilikuwa kwenye recovery, ndo maana uchumi haukufikia malengo!

Lakini inabidi uelewe kuwa wakati kukiwa na hilo anguko la uchumi, bado nchi nyingine kama tz zilikuwa zinaendelea kukua huku nyie pamoja na wenzenu SA mkiangukia pua!

Pitia hii figure hapa chini na link ili uelewe zaidi ninachokisema!

Baada ya hapo uache tambo zako za kikenya ambazo waandishi wenu nanyi nyote mnajipa misifa isiyowastahili!

mb_feb2017_fig1.jpg


World Economic Situation And Prospects: February 2017 Briefing, No. 99 | Development Policy & Analysis Division
 
Iconoclastes said:
So, when Kenya sneezes, the rest of the SSA catch the flu. Kenya is truly the giant of Africa in terms of economy.

Ama namna gani my friends?
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Thats undeniable, Kenya is one of Africa's large economies. But nothing to brag about there, even Tanzania tupo kwenye kundi hilo.
 
Iconoclastes said:
That is the assessment of the economic performance for the whole of the sSaharan region, basing the expectation of the growth upon the past economic upward trend in the continent.

Most of the countries in the continent are experiencing growth. Even those that are lagging, all that has been factored in the forecast, ie Zimbabwe, SA, Nigeria, Angola...

But the biggest boost to the regional growth was based upon the bigger and the better performing economies such as Kenya and Ethiopia. But the slow- down in Kenya has had that less than expected growth results in the sSahara.
Click to expand...

So you are owning the article by trying to give more elucidation. Ok give us the report of the study in order that we deepen our understanding.
 
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