kp kipanya44
JF-Expert Member
- Jun 23, 2022
- 13,151
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Naona unatema nyongo baada kukuingia fresh [emoji41][emoji41]
Vumilia tu shekhe,!!
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Naona unatema nyongo baada kukuingia fresh [emoji41][emoji41]Hakuna ulicho andika chenye kueleweka pale, sio lazima ukajibiwa upuuzi kisa tu mtu ajibu ili angalau uone umeongea kitu cha maana
Nimekurekebisha, hua naangalia vitu muhimu ndio najadiliana navyo hapo nimeku sahihisha, tambua humu kuna wengi ambao wanasoma comment za watu tu wao wakiwa neutral.
Kumbuka maandishi yanatafsiri uelewa wako na elimu pia.
Hivyo wewe kwa muandiko huo jitahidi usizidi kuenekana mjinga.
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Does Surovikin still running the show?Artemovsk (Bakhmut)
Basics
Well, Artemovsk is indeed the total manifestation of my described scenario from this analysis. Indeed, I had a slightly deviated view. My assumption was that Russia will use the whole line of contact in Donbass as “meatgrinder” the ground down Ukrainian reserves. In fact, General Surovikin decided to reduce it to only one town. To Artemovsk.
Attrition
Ukraine mustn’t lose this town for several reasons, that I will discuss in the next chapter. To hold the town, Ukraine is now feeding in it everything it has. Material and men.
General Surovikin announced in one of his two interviews, that he will grind the Ukrainians down, without putting his own troops into unnecessary high risks. Artemovsk is, as already stated the perfect place. It is strategically important, to keep on holding the rest of Donbass. It is in a very favourable position for the Russian artillery and Air Force. Russia has air dominance over Artemovsk and very short supply lines for all logistical needs, such as artillery shells and other things.
Ukraine has the absolute opposite situation in Artemovsk. Almost all disadvantages, one could have in a war. It is the perfect place to bury Ukraine’s army. Slightly a sad situation if one thinks about it.
In fact, the Ukrainians keep plugging holes in their human shield line with everything it has. With their most professional troops and down to freshly recruited and untrained people. Everyone gets sent to Artemovsk and has a live expectancy of several hours to a few days.
Remember. A country without an army is defeated, since the enemy can walk straight through it without a big fight, apart from a few partisans. This is the goal of General Surovikin. Trigger this collapse as efficient as possible. This is an industrial destruction of an army. Unfortunately, it won’t be enough to trigger a total collapse. As long as Ukraine can keep up recruiting people, these people can be sent to the slaughter. And since this recruitment and enforcement is managed by Western powers, this could potentially keep up for many months to come. Which is a tragedy for Ukraine, since it could lose all able-bodied men in the process.
Why is this industrial destruction of their own people working so good for Ukraine? Because they have perfectly established supply and logistics lines to Artemovsk. To end this madness earlier, another front will need to be opened, where Ukraine has almost no defences and logistics established. This would be needed, to trigger a large-scale collapse of the whole country. But I’ll come later to that.
Reasons
Why is Ukraine holding on to such a madness, even though everyone knows exactly, that this is a well-prepared death trap, by the Russians? Well, to be honest. I don’t know. That’s why I will offer a few assumptions as bullet points:
Blackmailing the West (less likely):
There are plenty of forces in the West, that wants to directly intervene in the war, since they see the soon defeat of Ukraine. They could potentially work with the Ukrainian command, to show to the decision makers, that it will soon be all over, the whole foothold in Russia’s doorstep, if the West doesn’t intervene with boots on the ground. By disposing its whole armed forces in Artemovsk, this could be accelerated.
Delaying Russian plans for a larger winter offensive (less likely):
There could be some known plans, when and where Russia could start its winter offensive. It could be potentially linked to the capturing of Artemovsk. By denying Russia to capture Artemovsk within the known timeframe, Ukraine could try to avert or delay such an offensive as long as possible. If the ground starts to soften up again, an offensive will be much less effective then when the ground is frozen.
Disposing of Ukraine’s human potential (Middle to highly likely):
Fikiria hiyo bakhumut tu wanapigana kwa zaidi ya miezi 7 Sasa.., alafu eti Wana ndoto ya kuidhibiti Donbass yote,Ngoma ni nzito Bakhmut - Kamanda wa Urusi adadavua. 😀 😀
Kuelekea kuadhimisha siku ya uvamizi wa Ukraine mambo yamekuwa mazito mno kwa majeshi ya Urusi pale Bakhmut...
Yevgeny Prigozhin, the head of Russia’s Wagner mercenary group, has said that Russian forces must capture the strategic Ukrainian city of Bakhmut to proceed with their war campaign but that they were facing fierce resistance from Ukraine.
Wafungwa wamekataa, ndo maana siku hizi huoni advancement za ajabu ajabuWamefungwa wamegoma ? Au pesa zimeisha ?
Kumbe Ukraine bado ana hifadhi kubwa za risasi pamoja na makombora?? Maana tunaambiwa jeshi la Ukraine limeshakuwa demilitarized baada ya urusi kushambulia miundombinu yote ya kijeshi [emoji16]Tutajionea Mengi.
Hifadhi za risasi na makombora nchini Ukraine "zinakaribia kufika sifuri." Kila kitu kinaisha haraka sana kwa sababu ya ukubwa wa mapigano," Naibu Mkuu wa OP Igor Zhovkva. Ukraine hutumia risasi zaidi ya 5,000 kila siku, hii ni sawa na mahitaji ya mwaka kwa nchi ndogo.
Hakuna pro west yeyote wakukujibu kwa ufasaha haya maswali.. Watapiga siasa tuDah aisee,unajua niliacha kujibizana na wewe kwa sababu tutaishia kupeana lugha za matusi kama ambavyo ulikwisha Anza.
Ulijifanya mwalimu wa nidhamu lkn baadae nidhamu ikakutoka na ukawa mwalimu usiekua na nidhamu.
Hata hivyo kwa mtazamo wako rafiki yangu Proved kwako wewe Supapawa ni yule anaemaliza vita Kwa siku moja kwa kupiga atomic bomb, Hiroshima na Nagasaki, na Kuua Kila chenye uhai na kisicho na uhai?
Kwako wewe jeshi lenye silaha za maangamizi lkn likaacha kuzitumia,likatumia silaha za ndogondogo na nyepesi, likazitumia kwa uangalifu kuepusha vifo vya halaiki hilo kwako wewe sio Supa pawa?
Kwa sababu Ukraine Urusi inatumia silaha za wastani kwa uangalifu na kwa hatua.wakiona jeshi la Ukraine wanakua wakaidi Urusi huongeza ukubwa wa dozi ya mashambulizi,na hii ndio sababu ya kuchukua mda mrefu.
Sasa wewe niambie ni jeshi Gani la Supa pawa unaemjua wewe aliepigana mda mfupi,na alipigana na nchi Gani?
Nitajie nchi ambazo Supa pawa wako unaemuamini wewe hapa chini ya jua alizozipiga kwa mda mfupi,
Tuzijue uwezo wa nchi zilozopigwa na Supapawa,uwezo wake kijeshi,kiteknolojia na kiuchumi,
Nitajie nchi hizo zilozopigwa kwa mda mfupi kwako wewe ziikua zikisaidiwq na nchi Gani kijeshi na hata kifedha.
Nitajie Supapawa wako unaemjua aliezipiga nchi hizo kama alienda vitani peke yake ama alishirikiana na nchi nyingine,
Nitajie uwezo wa kijeshi na kifedha wa nchi alizoshirikiana nazo.
Naomba unitajie tafadhari.
Hata akijibiwa kiufasaha atafanya kila liwezekanalo Ili mradi kile anachoamini kionekane kuwa sahihi,thus why tunawapuuza tu au kuwajibu kulingana na uharo wao!!Hakuna pro west yeyote wakukujibu kwa ufasaha haya maswali.. Watapiga siasa tu
Hata akijibiwa kiufasaha atafanya kila liwezekanalo Ili mradi kile anachoamini kionekane kuwa sahihi,thus why tunawapuuza tu au kuwajibu kulingana na uharo wao!!Hakuna pro west yeyote wakukujibu kwa ufasaha haya maswali.. Watapiga siasa tu
Wewe umepanda MABEGA mkuu sio bureHata akijibiwa kiufasaha atafanya kila liwezekanalo Ili mradi kile anachoamini kionekane kuwa sahihi,thus why tunawapuuza tu au kuwajibu kulingana na uharo wao!!
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Mahaba yamezidi mpka unazid kujionyesha we Ni mwehu ,,,yaan taarifa inasema store inaisha (ammo zinakaribia sifuri ) we unaandika utoto,ebu team upinde muambieni shosti enu atulieKumbe Ukraine bado ana hifadhi kubwa za risasi pamoja na makombora?? Maana tunaambiwa jeshi la Ukraine limeshakuwa demilitarized baada ya urusi kushambulia miundombinu yote ya kijeshi [emoji16]
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Watapewa mig's na Su's generation zilizopo huko Poland na BalticKakaa uingereza Wana ndege gani za kugawa? Typhoon? Hazifiki hata 200!
LabdA NATO wote waamue kuwapa F 4,f5 lakini Sidhani Kama kuna nchi yoyote itatoa f16C kuipa Ukraine .
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Mmehamia tena kwa hako kanchi kadogo. Hamkaonei huruma[emoji3][emoji3] naona Poland anamtamani mrusi hatari, yaani Urusi akijichanganya kwa Poland atayakanyaga mazima.Poland siyo Ukraine.
Kanaonywa hakasikii ...Jana kanajidai kanaeza kutoa ndege 😂ila mpka kikao chenu Cha vikoba kikaeMmehamia tena kwa hako kanchi kadogo. Hamkaonei huruma
Wewe ndio unajifanya kichwa maji ,au umeamua kujizima data kwa makusudi kabisa.., tuliambiwa urusi ameharibu Kila kitu kinachohusiana na jeshi huko Ukraine.., tunaambiwa hakuna miundombinu yoyote iliyobakia huko Ukraine..,Sasa hizo hifadhi za lisasi na makombora zinatoka Ukraine ya wapi!!Mahaba yamezidi mpka unazid kujionyesha we Ni mwehu ,,,yaan taarifa inasema store inaisha (ammo zinakaribia sifuri ) we unaandika utoto,ebu team upinde muambieni shosti enu atulie