kp kipanya44
JF-Expert Member
- Jun 23, 2022
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Kipanya kipigo Cha Leo huko Odessa vipi?
Hao sasa ndio wachambuzi wa mchongo!Are we kidding ourselves that Russia can ever be defeated in this war?
We have been putting your questions on the war to our experts and senior correspondents.
The latest question comes from David Allen, who asks: Are we kidding ourselves that Russia can ever be defeated in this war?
Our military analyst Sean Bellresponds...
Russia's unprovoked and illegal invasion of Ukraine has led to hundreds of thousands of casualties, communities destroyed, and cities devastated.
Although Russia initially judged the invasion would last a matter of days, the support of the West has allowed Ukraine to mount a spirited and robust defence of its lands and liberate a significant proportion of the land that Russia once occupied.
In the Second World War, the allies judged the only way to bring the conflict to an end was to defeat Hitler.
However, NATO and Western allies are reluctant for the current conflict to extend onto Russian soil for fear of a marked escalation, perhaps even a nuclear confrontation.
As a result, although Volodymyr Zelenskyy's public aim is to remove all Russian soldiers from Ukrainian lands, most Western analysts believe it would be very difficult for Ukraine to liberate Crimea and the eastern side of the Donbas.
Not impossible, but very very difficult.
Since it is also unlikely that Russia will prevail and subjugate the whole of Ukraine, neither side is likely to be able to deliver a decisive blow against the other.
Battlefield victory and defeat therefore have limited meaning in this conflict.
However, from a grand-strategic perspective, it is worth reviewing what outcomes Putin was seeking to achieve from his invasion of Ukraine to judge whether any outcome might be considered a success or failure.
Putin has made clear he wanted to halt the expansion of NATO, yet his invasion has led directly to Finland and Sweden opting to join.
Putin also wanted to "make Russia great" again – yet one only has to watch the changed dynamics of his relationship with Chinese President Xi Jinping to recognise that Putin is now subservient where once he was an equal.
Putin also wanted to grow the Russian economy, yet because of Western sanctions, quite the opposite has occurred.
As a result, most Western leaders believe that Russia has already been defeated, as his ambitions for the conflict will not be realised and Russia will emerge at the war's end a pariah state.
However, Putin will understand that some form of victory will be required to placate his domestic audience and justify the sacrifices made. That is probably why Putin has always referred to the conflict as a special military operation – deliberately ill-defined – so that when he judges the time is right, he can negotiate a peace and declare victory – albeit the world will recognise it will be a pyrrhic victory.
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Ukraine war latest: Thousands fleeing after Crimea explosion; Putin to skip summit over 'arrest concerns'; Prigozhin brands frontline a 'disgrace'
Hahahahaaaaa,Russia bhana!Kumekucha,
Statements by the Russian Ministry of Defense on the grain deal.
“In connection with the termination of the Black Sea Initiative and the curtailment of the maritime humanitarian corridor, from 00.00 Moscow time on July 20, 2023, all ships en route to Ukrainian ports in the Black Sea waters will be considered as potential carriers of military cargo.
The flag countries of such vessels will be considered involved in the Ukrainian conflict on the side of the Kyiv regime.”
Na hiyo bandari imepata kipigo haiwezi kufanya kazi kwa SasaKumekucha,
Statements by the Russian Ministry of Defense on the grain deal.
“In connection with the termination of the Black Sea Initiative and the curtailment of the maritime humanitarian corridor, from 00.00 Moscow time on July 20, 2023, all ships en route to Ukrainian ports in the Black Sea waters will be considered as potential carriers of military cargo.
The flag countries of such vessels will be considered involved in the Ukrainian conflict on the side of the Kyiv regime.”
Yani ukiwa upande wa haki/Urusi ni raha sana.Hahahahaaaaa,Russia bhana!
Tuliwaambia,ukimpa putin robo kilo ya nyama,yeye ni muungwana anakupa ng'ombe mzima!Yani ukiwa upande wa haki/Urusi ni raha sana.
Fikiria jana wananyeto wamefurahi sana kujeruhiwa kwa daraja la Crimea bila kujua kinachofuata... Leo wananung'unika eti Urusi kuharibu bandari ya Odessa kutaleta njaa ya chapati duniani 😁😁
Njaa wanayo wazungu ndio maana walikuwa wanapambana kwa njia zote ili mkataba uendelee.Zelensk ameamua kutuletea njaa Africa.sijui nani alimpa ushauri wa kwenda kupiga daraja la Crimea.kasababisha ngano yote imekwenda na mma
Tatizo hawa wapumbavu hawaelewi kwa lugha ya kawaida ndio maana Urusi aliwaambia ataongea nao kwa nguvu za kivitendo.Tuliwaambia,ukimpa putin robo kilo ya nyama,yeye ni muungwana anakupa ng'ombe mzima!
Hii issue ya Crimean Bridge imewachukiza sana Russia, na as I said majuzi hapa kua walichokifanya Ukraine kwenye hilo daraja ukilinganisha na Consequences watakazopata wao ndio wapo kwenye hali ya kuumia zaidi.Kumekucha,
Statements by the Russian Ministry of Defense on the grain deal.
“In connection with the termination of the Black Sea Initiative and the curtailment of the maritime humanitarian corridor, from 00.00 Moscow time on July 20, 2023, all ships en route to Ukrainian ports in the Black Sea waters will be considered as potential carriers of military cargo.
The flag countries of such vessels will be considered involved in the Ukrainian conflict on the side of the Kyiv regime.”
Mkuu nami nikili hawa Mashoga wa magharibi walinirubuni mno...walipomgusa Ghadafi ndo nikaanza kama kuelewa kuwa nishapigwa! ila hii SMO ya Ukraine ndo nimewachukia mazima...ni wanafiki wa viwango vyote!View attachment 2690343
Tumetoka mbali sana, hizo lancet now wahuni wamezalisha nyingi mnoooooooo.
Nilikuwa miongoni mwa walioathiriwa na propaganda za wamagharibi nyakati zile ni mtoto na kijana nisiejielewa.
Kuanzia vita ya IRAQ mpaka kuondolewa kwa Gaddafi.
Jf imenitoa ujingani
Huyu Msanii akija kujua hii sio sanaal atakuaa mebakia na gofuLeo usiku Odesa ilikuwa ngoma ngese chaki mwenye kitu kikubwa kimeliwa.
View attachment 2692686
View attachment 2692689
‼️💥A new series of explosions in Odessa: a pyrotechnics warehouse detonates, while the authorities say that everything is calm - exercises are underway
And Ukrainian resources are blurry at the place of the explosions.
#source
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
Duh Saaa itakuwaaaajeeeeKumekucha,
Statements by the Russian Ministry of Defense on the grain deal.
“In connection with the termination of the Black Sea Initiative and the curtailment of the maritime humanitarian corridor, from 00.00 Moscow time on July 20, 2023, all ships en route to Ukrainian ports in the Black Sea waters will be considered as potential carriers of military cargo.
The flag countries of such vessels will be considered involved in the Ukrainian conflict on the side of the Kyiv regime.”