You have to go back and understand how Chadema was formed, Chadema was formed by the very rich and powerful people who were frustrated with Ujamaa policies. The people behind Chadema were very nervous when Magufuli came to power, they thought Mgosha will take the country back to “Hard Left” with full-fat Ujamaa. But four years down the line Magufuli has proven them wrong, and he has done that on businesses, on investments, on infrastructure and policy change.
Chadema core are some how pleased with current setting, they’re retreating but keeping the lantern alive. Meanwhile, political wing of Chadema or you can call them rebels are unhappy, they still believe they can go all the way and win big for the party even though the odds are against them. Mbowe is caught up right in middle two camps, his trying so hard to please both sides.
On the other hand, if there were talks between CCM and Chadema, the outcome will make or break Chadema, if the foot soldiers are not please or at list persuaded to eat their humble pie, the elite might take their money and form another party which they have total control over it.