MALAWI: Going to war with Tanzania would be foolish

MALAWI: Going to war with Tanzania would be foolish

Magufuli anahangaika kutafuta adui, sasa adui real anakuja.
 
Speaking about Customary International Law in the Nyasa Conflict.
What Custom are you speaking about my friend?
The Principle of Uti Possidetis, Nyerere's Doctrine of State Succession or which Custom?
Please explain to us with facts.

Tanzania owns MAIN tributary (inflow) which is Ruhuhu River pimping lots of water in the Lake; without this river, the lake you call yours perhaps would not have existed.
By the way how do you tell millions of Tanzanians living along the shores of the Lake for centuries that the Lake do not belong to you because of the Treaty signed elsewhere with whitemen? Its only greediness and inhuman.
 
Tanzania owns MAIN tributary (inflow) which is Ruhuhu River pimping lots of water in the Lake; without this river, the lake you call yours perhaps would not have existed.
By the way how do you tell millions of Tanzanians living along the shores of the Lake for centuries that the Lake do not belong to you because of the Treaty signed elsewhere with whitemen? Its only greediness and inhuman.

The main source of The Great River Nile lies in the heart Tanzania and Uganda (Lake Victoria)
Yet you don't bear any rights in utilizing any of it, needless to say that even your former Presidents acknowledged this fact ; And don't ever forget that its the NILE TREATY of 1929 signed by the so called "Whitemen" that made your government unable to utilize the water resource.
 
Walie waliavyo hata sm.1 .hawachukui.wasione tunaparurana kati ya ccm na upinzani basi iwe uchocho wao walete zakuleta.nawashauri waanzishe ndio watajua wabongo ni watu gani.ukiona watoto wanafanya fujo ujue wako vzr.sio kama hawapendani..nawakaribisha sana hawa jamaa.waje tuu watatukuta wala hatuendi mbali.

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I wonder why the writer calls it Lake Malawi while it's official name is Lake Nyasa?

Malawi changed the name from Lake Nyasa to Lake Malawi in 1967 when first major dispute began between Tanzania and Malawi. This is dispute have been going on since independence of both countries.
 
The main source of The Great River Nile lies in the heart Tanzania and Uganda (Lake Victoria)
Yet you don't bear any rights in utilizing any of it, needless to say that even your former Presidents acknowledged this fact ; And don't ever forget that its the NILE TREATY of 1929 signed by the so called "Whitemen" that made your government unable to utilize the water resource.

Have you heard of Cooperative Framework Agreement (CFA)? This agreement will form basis of how the countries will use their own water (e.g irrigation and hydroelectric power production), it will effective replace the Colonial era Nile Basin Initiative of 1929. It has Already signed by six countries Tanzania, Uganda, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda and Burundi.

But the point is these countries are grown up, free and independent and have applies common sense and come up with this agreement.

Surely Tanzania and Malawi can apply common sense and come up with agreement to use Lake Nyasa for mutual benefit of both countries.
 
I do remember one comment in Nyasatimes some few years ago:

"Malawi is equivalent to one district in Tanzania. I won’t advice you to think of any military intervention. Strategically, you are not in a position to fight against us. We can put rebels in Zambia; we can put rebels in Mozambique. We can destabilize your peace just in days. We have enough spies to send over and sabotage your government by making you fight against each other. We can use propaganda to spread the message of hatred within Malawians. We have trained rebels before and we are very good at that. Museveni is one of our products. We will create one dictator that will make your life a nightmare. We will take the all of Lake Malawi like the way some countries were taking minerals in Congo. You are a landlocked country, you are forgetting about that. Your cargo goes through Tanzania"

Dear Malawians be very careful for what you wish for.
 
Malawi needs to be proactive and not just reactive on the Lake Malawi boundary wrangle with its north-eastern neighbour, Tanzania. But while I am on this, let me warn that resorting to wresting the part of the lake Tanzania claims is its territory will only worsen the matter. To be brutally frank, and without underrating our military prowess, Malawi will be the bigger casualty in any military undertaking with Tanzania. Tanzania, geographically bigger than Malawi—is no match for us military-wise.

To begin with, we need the lake more than Tanzania needs the part they are claiming to belong to them. Unlike Tanzania, which also has lakes Victoria and Tanganyika and a long seashore on the Indian Ocean, Lake Malawi is our only biggest water resource body spanning all the three regions. As a result its economic importance to Malawi cannot be overstated.

We need the lake for transport purposes—which to say the least—we have underutilised. The lake’s fish resources are an economic lifeline for 90 percent of the people along the lakeshore who subsist as fishermen. Take away the lake and see what would become of people in Karonga, Nkhata Bay, Likoma and Chizumulo, part of Rumphi, Nkhotakota, Salima, Mangochi. In short, the lake is actually synonymous with their livelihood.

At national level, Lake Malawi is the main source of water for the Shire River, which is again the source of 90 percent of our hydro-electricity from Nkula, Tedzani and Kapichira hydro-power stations.

Agriculturally, Illovo and Dwangwa Sugar company—probably the country’s biggest employers—depend on water bodies from the Shire and Lake Malawi, respectively. And if we had visionary leaders, they would long have transformed lakeshore districts into breadbaskets for the entire country producing rice, maize and cassava.

Blantyre Water Board’s main source of water—Walker’s Ferry—is the Shire River (whose main source of water is Lake Malawi), meaning that the whole Blantyre city and parts of Chiradzulu and Thyolo are serviced by the Shire River.

As a tourist destination—which again I must state we have grossly underdeveloped—Lake Malawi’s importance cannot be overstated, contributing a good percentage to the tourism’s gross domestic product (GDP).

In short, Lake Malawi’s importance should not be something any caring government should only talk about when there are no elections in the country. In Tumbuka we would have said navyose vyamthengere.

If truth be told, since 2014 the DPP-led government has been in a power-drunken stupor on this important issue and is only being awakened now that Tanzania has published maps showing part of the eastern part of the lake as belonging to them.

Going to war with Tanzania over the lake would be foolhardy (Uchindere wakufikapo). They have both the military and economic might to annihilate us within a short period of time.

With the issues I have outlined above, not even the elections should have stopped us from getting the mediators to continue the talks. Why should everything else come to a standstill when there are elections? After all, it has been two years and six months since Malawi held its elections and one year since Tanzania went to the polls.

The problem on the part of Malawi is the ‘let sleeping dogs lie’ mentality. It is naïvity at its worst that the Malawi government only wants to do something when Tanzanians are on the offensive. That is not the way to go. Government should quickly get this issue to a logical conclusion.

It is a well-known fact that Tanzania wants half of the eastern part of the lake because of the oil exploration activities underway in the lake. And it is unlikely that the Sadc mediators—led by Mozambique former president Joachim Chissano—will side with Malawi on the issue, the Anglo-Heligoland Treaty notwithstanding. That is why it is important for Malawi to be proactive and take the issue to the International Court of Justice. That part of the lake is for Malawi to lose.
My dear any soft way of resolving the matter won't help if it is to say the whole Lake belongs to Malawi! The Tanzania side do not understand anything else than saying the international boundary passes at the middle of the lake! Now if you understand differently let's stage a war my dear! Let me assure you my dear if we are to launch an attack, the first day (D-day!) early morning we will be drinking tea in Lilongwe!

If you know your enemy than yourself you shall never suffer a defeat
 
Why is there war when people with intellect allows fact and truth to discern? I dont see a need for war,
IT IS REQUIRED ONLY WHEN ONE PART WANTS TO SHOVE AWAY TRUTH AND ACT UNREASONABLY,
PAPERS OF HISTORICAL RECORDS ARE THERE LET THEM SPEAK, AND WHOEVER WILL DISAGREE WJTH THEM WILL BE SEVERELY TFEATED MILLITARLILY! MARK MY WORDS,
We are no longer colonised my dear!

If you know your enemy than yourself you shall never suffer a defeat
 
The main source of The Great River Nile lies in the heart Tanzania and Uganda (Lake Victoria)
Yet you don't bear any rights in utilizing any of it, needless to say that even your former Presidents acknowledged this fact ; And don't ever forget that its the NILE TREATY of 1929 signed by the so called "Whitemen" that made your government unable to utilize the water resource.
My dear this doesn't exist any more! Lake Victoria water are being used in any way! Come this side & see big water projects at the lake!

If you know your enemy than yourself you shall never suffer a defeat
 
Malawians are dreaming of an Heligoland treaty as their winning war machine based only on article 2 of the said article.

They dont bother about the other articles. Say the 1st, 3rd and 6th, for example.

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Ifike mahali hivi vitu natural vilivyotapakaa zaidi ya nchi moja viwe free na kila nchi itumie upande wa sehemu yake
 
Mkuu ukifuatilia vizuri huo mgogoro; nchi zote mbili ziko sahihi.
Historically, going by the treaties za wazungu walivoigawa Afrika, ziwa lote liko Malawi.
Lakini going by the custom in international law, Tanzania iko sahihi mpaka unatakiwa upite katikati. Sasa hapo tufanyeje?
The treaty was not a confermative gear. It just set up proposals. Go back ti German Era maps of Tanganyika. They indicates a boderline at the center of the lake.

The on shore body came during the late British Rule after the 2nd WW. When the britons discovered hydrocarbons beneath the lake sediments.

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We need NO war with anyone, modern wars do not depends only on how much power are you, but who is behind..... And based on that, Allah forbid bora Amani na majirani zetu

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I do remember one comment in Nyasatimes some few years ago:

"Malawi is equivalent to one district in Tanzania. I won’t advice you to think of any military intervention. Strategically, you are not in a position to fight against us. We can put rebels in Zambia; we can put rebels in Mozambique. We can destabilize your peace just in days. We have enough spies to send over and sabotage your government by making you fight against each other. We can use propaganda to spread the message of hatred within Malawians. We have trained rebels before and we are very good at that. Museveni is one of our products. We will create one dictator that will make your life a nightmare. We will take the all of Lake Malawi like the way some countries were taking minerals in Congo. You are a landlocked country, you are forgetting about that. Your cargo goes through Tanzania"

Dear Malawians be very careful for what you wish for.
ahhaahha huu unaitwa mkwara mzito. Nahisi raisi wao akipita hapa tumbo litaunguruma!!!
 
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