Huu utabiri ukiwa kweli ukaraine kwaheri
People have been wondering when Russia will take the gloves off in the Ukraine war. Now they know that it could well be Aleppo, Syria and Grozny, Chechnya (25,000 dead and city levelled) all over again. Now they are bombing only military targets, but what's to stop them flattening Kiev? They have air superiority and missiles enough. We can expect that Russia will cut off any further supplies of NATO high precision weapons by putting out of commission every road, railway and bridge from Poland, Slovakia, Moldova into Ukraine. In other words, no more NATO weapons will come in. They can also destroy all the power stations and high tension towers in Ukraine and smash all the water and telephone lines and internet hubs. Ukraine will go back to the stone age. Russia now has no incentive to continue allowing Ukrainian grain to be exported by ship from Odessa or Mariupol, or Ukrainian fertilizer or Ukrainian sunflower oil, maize, anything at all. You can see what that will do to world food prices. Nord Stream 1 gas line will not deliver any gas to any NATO country any time in the future. ""Yamal-Europe", which Belarus, Germany and Poland, will be shut down, though supplies can still go to friendly Belarus. "Blue Stream" which goes to Turkey will stay. r.
"South Stream" which passes through Serbia, Bulgaria, Hungary, Italy, and Slovenia, all NATO members can be shut down, though we can expect Serbia and Hungary which have not been NATO hawks against Russia to be given a break. Russia can shut down its sales of oil to any and all NATO countries immediately. Russia also exports many other products and they can cut off the NATO countries on the spot. This includes Gems, precious metals: $31.6 billion (6.4%), Iron, steel: $28.9 billion (5.9%), Fertilizers: $12.5 billion (2.5%), Wood: $11.7 billion (2.4%), Machinery including computers: $10.7 billion (2.2%), Cereals: $9.1 billion (1.9%), Aluminum: $8.8 billion (1.8%). Russian coking coal for furnaces could also be cut off from Germany and other NATO users. Frankly, Russia doesn't need the money from any exports to Europe, as it makes enough from its oil sales, grain sales, fertilizer sales and several agricultural products. What is more important is that Russia can prevent ANY exports from Ukraine leaving the country, instant bankruptcy for Zelensky. If Russia destroys all roads, railways, river transport out of Ukraine, and blows up all the main bridges, how can anything leave Ukraine or enter Ukraine. Ukraine has made a strategic error in its counter offensive, giving itself the delusion that it can continue and even win the war and take back the Donbass and Crimea. It has awakened the Russian bear and as we all know, that bear has a nasty bite. Look out for total war against Ukraine and NATO this week.
Ores, slag, ash: $7.4 billion (1.5%)
Plastics, plastic articles: $6.2 billion (1.3%)