Bukyanagandi
JF-Expert Member
- Jun 24, 2009
- 11,626
- 18,233
Ubwiaji unga una matatizo zake makubwa tu, mkuu.
Zelensky bana ,anataka Kila nchi kuipangia ama kuichukua Urusi,ama iwe upande wake.
Jamaa kweli ni mtu wa ajabu sana.
Dah.....Kuna watu wanafanya uchambuzi aisee.....you have made me a day....congratulations...Wacha we, any way sio mbaya... Ushaweka utangulizi elekezi kwamba wewe unaona!
Mjitahidi muwe mnazungumza kwa data sio mihemko. Extra-EU crude oil imports came from Russia (29%), huku United States ikiwa (9%), Norway (8%), Saudi Arabia and the United Kingdom (both 7%) as well as Kazakhstan and Nigeria (both 6%). Uanzie hapo kutueleza hizo 95% of 29% ya Russia imekua replaced na nini.
Vile vile A similar analysis shows that over three quarters of the EU's imports of natural gas came from Russia ambayo ni (43%), Norway (21%), Algeria (8%) and Qatar (5%), pia while more than half of solid fossil fuel (mostly coal) imports originated from Russia (54%), followed by the United States (16%) and Australia (14%). Again tena hapo utueleze hizo 95% of 43% ya Natural gas and 95% of 54% ya coal imekua replaced na nini.
Na imekuwa mara kwa mara ikiripotiwa kua Russia's Gazprom imepata faida kubwa "record profit" kila mwezi kutoka EU. Sasa kama ni mauzo ya korosho utufahamishe mjuba kwani kwa mujibu wako 95% ya Oil and Gas trade ya Russia and EU imekufa.
Damn!
Em tueleze anayenunua hizo silaha ni nani? Is it Kiev or ye mwenyewe United Shit State? Do US military complexes make huge profits kutoka kwenye hela za akina nani? Ukrainians au walipa kodi wa US? Coz till now as far as we know "Greatest" sponsor wa Kiyv ni US akiwa ashagharamika billions of Dollars zikiteketezwa na jeshi la Russia.
Sasa kama US kununua silaha US ni kupiga faida hii nayo ni logic ya aina yake!
Ukifungua Hotel, ukaingia gharama kupika kisha ukaita wateja ukawa unawalipia msosi wako kuwachangisha wana familia yako ili wao wateja wapate kula hio nayo ni akili special ya biashara mahsusi kutoka kwa Ulimi wa Upanga.
Another nonsense!
Unajua lengo au dhumuni la kufungulia reserves? Lel me tell you ni ku'lower ongezeko la bei ya mafuta nchini hapo. Ila sio kureplace gap la Russia. Try first kuelewa "Demand and supply" principles kabla ya kuandikia hiki ulicho andika. Na jitahidi sana kufanya analysis kwa number ili uwe na uelewa mpana wa utakachojaribu kuzungumza.
Usichoelewa tukusaidie kukuelewesha ni kua, Russia alikuwa akipeleka Oil around 800k barrer per day huko US. Russia alikuwa ana account about 3% ya Crude Oil Imports anayofanya US so kuzuia imports kutoka Russia ndio kuliko mfanya kufungulia reserves around 1 Million barrels per day kuziingiza sokoni tena hapo hapo kwao (Domestic market) ili ku'calm ongezeko la bei baada ya ku'disrupt supply.
Sasa kama 1Mil inaweza replace 9Mil me sina ubishi huenda ni how your brain works! No objection kuhusu hilo.
We always spend our "reserves" when we have nothing to spend! Utaitumia akiba yako unapokua huna cha kutumia. Umeishiwa pesa mfukoni unaenda kuchota kiji akiba ulichokitunza zamani za kale. Je vipi na akiba ikiisha? Ushawahi waza kuhusu hilo?
Tegemezi how? So at least tumepata mmoja wapo wa Pro West aliyekiri kua Russia sio mchokozi bali anachokozwa kwa Fujo za Uncle Sam kwa Interest zake za kuikamatia Europe iwe upande wake. So ana'create chuki baina ili yeye aendelee kunufaika. As usual divide and rule!
So kupitia kwako we already know anayejifanya kutangaza amani ndio mvunjifu mkubwa wa amani kwa maslahi yake ya kijakudye!
Vile vile umethibitisha kua hana rafiki na yuko tayari kuwakaanga "allies" wake kwa maslahi yake binafsi.
Like this, They know Embargo on Russian Energy by EU ni Catastrophe. Itapelekea ku'collapse kwa EU economy lakini since hizo Industries na other companies operating in EU wataelekea kwake Washington. They don't give a f**k na wanazidi kulihimiza hilo kulinda hegemony yao... Why? The weak EU is suitable ama favourable for the existence of "Strong US".
Eti bila pingamizi 😂
Unaishi dunia ipi ndugu yetu mmh?
Dah.....Kuna watu wanafanya uchambuzi aisee.....you have made me a day....congratulations...Wacha we, any way sio mbaya... Ushaweka utangulizi elekezi kwamba wewe unaona!
Mjitahidi muwe mnazungumza kwa data sio mihemko. Extra-EU crude oil imports came from Russia (29%), huku United States ikiwa (9%), Norway (8%), Saudi Arabia and the United Kingdom (both 7%) as well as Kazakhstan and Nigeria (both 6%). Uanzie hapo kutueleza hizo 95% of 29% ya Russia imekua replaced na nini.
Vile vile A similar analysis shows that over three quarters of the EU's imports of natural gas came from Russia ambayo ni (43%), Norway (21%), Algeria (8%) and Qatar (5%), pia while more than half of solid fossil fuel (mostly coal) imports originated from Russia (54%), followed by the United States (16%) and Australia (14%). Again tena hapo utueleze hizo 95% of 43% ya Natural gas and 95% of 54% ya coal imekua replaced na nini.
Na imekuwa mara kwa mara ikiripotiwa kua Russia's Gazprom imepata faida kubwa "record profit" kila mwezi kutoka EU. Sasa kama ni mauzo ya korosho utufahamishe mjuba kwani kwa mujibu wako 95% ya Oil and Gas trade ya Russia and EU imekufa.
Damn!
Em tueleze anayenunua hizo silaha ni nani? Is it Kiev or ye mwenyewe United Shit State? Do US military complexes make huge profits kutoka kwenye hela za akina nani? Ukrainians au walipa kodi wa US? Coz till now as far as we know "Greatest" sponsor wa Kiyv ni US akiwa ashagharamika billions of Dollars zikiteketezwa na jeshi la Russia.
Sasa kama US kununua silaha US ni kupiga faida hii nayo ni logic ya aina yake!
Ukifungua Hotel, ukaingia gharama kupika kisha ukaita wateja ukawa unawalipia msosi wako kuwachangisha wana familia yako ili wao wateja wapate kula hio nayo ni akili special ya biashara mahsusi kutoka kwa Ulimi wa Upanga.
Another nonsense!
Unajua lengo au dhumuni la kufungulia reserves? Lel me tell you ni ku'lower ongezeko la bei ya mafuta nchini hapo. Ila sio kureplace gap la Russia. Try first kuelewa "Demand and supply" principles kabla ya kuandikia hiki ulicho andika. Na jitahidi sana kufanya analysis kwa number ili uwe na uelewa mpana wa utakachojaribu kuzungumza.
Usichoelewa tukusaidie kukuelewesha ni kua, Russia alikuwa akipeleka Oil around 800k barrer per day huko US. Russia alikuwa ana account about 3% ya Crude Oil Imports anayofanya US so kuzuia imports kutoka Russia ndio kuliko mfanya kufungulia reserves around 1 Million barrels per day kuziingiza sokoni tena hapo hapo kwao (Domestic market) ili ku'calm ongezeko la bei baada ya ku'disrupt supply.
Sasa kama 1Mil inaweza replace 9Mil me sina ubishi huenda ni how your brain works! No objection kuhusu hilo.
We always spend our "reserves" when we have nothing to spend! Utaitumia akiba yako unapokua huna cha kutumia. Umeishiwa pesa mfukoni unaenda kuchota kiji akiba ulichokitunza zamani za kale. Je vipi na akiba ikiisha? Ushawahi waza kuhusu hilo?
Tegemezi how? So at least tumepata mmoja wapo wa Pro West aliyekiri kua Russia sio mchokozi bali anachokozwa kwa Fujo za Uncle Sam kwa Interest zake za kuikamatia Europe iwe upande wake. So ana'create chuki baina ili yeye aendelee kunufaika. As usual divide and rule!
So kupitia kwako we already know anayejifanya kutangaza amani ndio mvunjifu mkubwa wa amani kwa maslahi yake ya kijakudye!
Vile vile umethibitisha kua hana rafiki na yuko tayari kuwakaanga "allies" wake kwa maslahi yake binafsi.
Like this, They know Embargo on Russian Energy by EU ni Catastrophe. Itapelekea ku'collapse kwa EU economy lakini since hizo Industries na other companies operating in EU wataelekea kwake Washington. They don't give a f**k na wanazidi kulihimiza hilo kulinda hegemony yao... Why? The weak EU is suitable ama favourable for the existence of "Strong US".
Eti bila pingamizi 😂
Unaishi dunia ipi ndugu yetu mmh?
Ukraine ameonyesha utukutu! Kinachoendelea hakitokwisha hivi hivi!
Mwisho wa hii OP ni lazima Ukraine apigwe na kitu kizito sana ambacho kitamaliza kila kitu na kumfanya arudi kwenye meza ya maongezi.
Bro mie niulize maswali machache! Moja: unafikiri kwa mawazo yako kati ya USA na Russia ni nani ananufaika/ atanufaika na soko la Ulaya la Gesi? Mbili: Unafikiri nafasi ya USA aliyokuwa nayo ya kuendesha shughuli za kijeshi ndani ya Ukraine kabla ya uvamizi wa Russia imepungua au imeongezaka? Tatu; Unafikiri haswa lengo la USA kuweka akiba ya mafuta ni kutumia yeye mwenyewe au kuyauza na kutawala soko endapo wazalishaji wengine watakuwa hawazalishi? Mwisho; Kabla ya Vita hii na sasa soko la Siraha la USA limepanda au limeshuka?
I wanna represent for us
New revolution was up and movin'
I'm in Argentina wiping my tears full of confusion
Water in between us, another peer's been executed
History repeats again
Make amends, then find a nigga with the same skin to do it
Buts that's the culture
Crack a bottle, hard to deal with the pain when you're sober
By tomorrow, we forget the remains, we start over
That's a problem
Our foundation was trained to accept whatever follows
Dehumanized, insensitive
Scrutinize the way we live for you and I
Enemies shook my hand, I can promise I'll meet you
In the land where no equal is your equal never say I ain't told ya
Nah! In the land where hurt people hurt more people f*ck callin' it culture
-Kendrick Lamar-
Ni kawaida, Kuna binadamu hawapendi ujitengenezee option C wakati mezani zipo option A na B. Wanataka uchague kati ya A au B na ukichagua C isiyokuwepo mezani hawakuelewi.Zelensky bana ,anataka Kila nchi kuipangia ama kuichukua Urusi,ama iwe upande wake.
Jamaa kweli ni mtu wa ajabu sana.
Dah we jamaa una mabalaaa. Hongera sana mkuuTeh umerudi... Haya tuendelee ila hakikisha uko na data karibu pia make sure katika majadiliano 'A' ibaki kua 'A' na 'B' iendelee kua 'B'. I mean kusiwe na double ya standard ya hiki ama kile.
Tuanze rasmi!
Kuhusu Soko la Ulaya la Gas...
Hapa sikwambii nani ila nataka kukupa data uzitafakari!
Before 24th Feb, Russia ni top Natural Gas Exporter to "EU", akiwa ana account for more than third ya wote! Russia Natural Gas ni Cheap by 1/4th kuliko ile ya US na ni safe zaidi kwa climate compared ya ile ya US.
It's cheap Russian Gas inayoiweka EU kua competive kwenye soko la dunia in term of uzalishaji. Hivyo utaona issue ya Tax around Europe ni high ila corporates nyingi ziko hapo due to low cost of production ambayo chanzo kikubwa ni cheap energy. Of course ni cheap kutoka Russia!
So what does it mean by replacing Russian NG with others suppliers.
High cost of energy itapelekea high cost of production. High cost of production will sky rocket EU products na kuzifanya kua uncompetitive sokoni. Which in turn will account kwa collapse of EU economy as many companies will head towards countries ambazo watakuwa assured kua na low cost of production hivyo kuweza ku'maximize their profits.
Hiyo ni general view of the situation.
Now tuje in term of figures!
As data nilizo kuonesha juu... Russia ana account more than 3rd, its 43%. while that of US ni less than 8%.
Tufanye mahesabu mepesi kiutu uzima.
Lel say total amount consumed by EU ni 1000.
[emoji95] Total inayotolewa na Russia peke ake 43% maana ake ni 430.
[emoji95] Total inayokua supplied by US less than 8% ambayo tunaweza sema ni approximately kama 80 hivi kwa mfano wa 1,000 niliotoa.
So US ku'replace Russia hapo EU will need to supply over '510'. That's over 5 times of the current supply!
Maswali unayopaswa kujiuliza.
1. Is that possible? If yes how?
2. What's current production of Natural Gas by US?
3. What's current consumption of Natural Gas by US?
4. How about means of delivery from US to EU compared to Russia to EU?
Unajua kwanini inaitwa LNG?
Jibu la hili swali itakupa muongozo wa swali la 4 hapo juu.
Unajua how LNG is transported and stored? Na je hizo resources za kutunzia Gas to such amount zipo EU? Do you know why Russia Natural Gas is cheaper kwa EU compared na wengine? Jibu la swali hili litakupa mwongozo wa swali la kwanza hapo juu.
Je wajua kama US despite being among top Natural Gas producer ila ni miongoni mwa Importes wakubwa wa Natural Gas nchini mwake? Yes cause anatumia zaidi kuliko anacho zalisha.
Na kuweka maelezo sawa kitakwimu ni kua US na China (Each of them) wanatumia higher amount of Natural Gas kuliko collective EU yote.
Najua utajiuliza kama yeye anapeleza kwanini anaenda kuuza huko EU. Yes that's business you sell where it fits your interest! Anauza EU kwa bei mara 4 zaidi ya anayouza nyumbani.
So ana import kutoka Canada, Australia kwa bei chee... Kiasia anabeba anapeleka kuuza EU kwa bei mara 4 zaidi... Why? EU kuna liberal market of energy! Its market that determines price ya energy kwa ujumla. (Kwa jicho pana) tunasema liberal markets are easy to manipulate by imperialists who focus much on profit kuliko service yenyewe!
Sooooooooo... Russia hakosi kitu kwa EU as her Natural Gas are cheap. Hivyo soko lake ni easy na liko on demand! That's why even EU wenyewe wanapigana vikumbo kuikwepa. Up to date keshafanya diversity ya kile kilicho kua kikitumika EU now kipo kinatumika Asia.
Anayekosa au kuharibikiwa ni allies wa US sio Russia. Hata logic ya kawaida tu unasusa wengine wanakula... Utakufa njaa wewe usie jua kupika na usie na jiko.
Russia ana make strategic alliances, Ukubwa wa pua sio wingi wa kamasi. Just China na India ni soko almost two times ya kile kinachotumika ama kilichopo EU.
So tuzungumze kwa data mkononi!
Huo ni just muhtasari wa kipengele cha kwanza cha swali lako.
Kama umeelewa poa kama hujaelewa poa pia now tukubaliane kuto kukubaliana kabla hatujaingia kipengele cha pili.
Teh umerudi... Haya tuendelee ila hakikisha uko na data karibu pia make sure katika majadiliano 'A' ibaki kua 'A' na 'B' iendelee kua 'B'. I mean kusiwe na double ya standard ya hiki ama kile.
Tuanze rasmi!
Kuhusu Soko la Ulaya la Gas...
Hapa sikwambii nani ila nataka kukupa data uzitafakari!
Before 24th Feb, Russia ni top Natural Gas Exporter to "EU", akiwa ana account for more than third ya wote! Russia Natural Gas ni Cheap by 1/4th kuliko ile ya US na ni safe zaidi kwa climate compared ya ile ya US.
It's cheap Russian Gas inayoiweka EU kua competive kwenye soko la dunia in term of uzalishaji. Hivyo utaona issue ya Tax around Europe ni high ila corporates nyingi ziko hapo due to low cost of production ambayo chanzo kikubwa ni cheap energy. Of course ni cheap kutoka Russia!
So what does it mean by replacing Russian NG with others suppliers.
High cost of energy itapelekea high cost of production. High cost of production will sky rocket EU products na kuzifanya kua uncompetitive sokoni. Which in turn will account kwa collapse of EU economy as many companies will head towards countries ambazo watakuwa assured kua na low cost of production hivyo kuweza ku'maximize their profits.
Hiyo ni general view of the situation.
Now tuje in term of figures!
As data nilizo kuonesha juu... Russia ana account more than 3rd, its 43%. while that of US ni less than 8%.
Tufanye mahesabu mepesi kiutu uzima.
Lel say total amount consumed by EU ni 1,000.
[emoji95] Total inayotolewa na Russia peke ake 43% maana ake ni 430.
[emoji95] Total inayokua supplied by US less than 8% ambayo tunaweza sema ni approximately kama 80 hivi kwa mfano wa 1,000 niliotoa.
So US ku'replace Russia hapo EU will need to supply over '510'. That's over 5 times of the current supply!
Maswali unayopaswa kujiuliza.
1. Is that possible? If yes how?
2. What's current production of Natural Gas by US?
3. What's current consumption of Natural Gas by US?
4. How about means of delivery from US to EU compared to Russia to EU?
Unajua kwanini inaitwa LNG?
Jibu la hili swali itakupa muongozo wa swali la 4 hapo juu.
Unajua how LNG is transported and stored? Na je hizo resources za kutunzia Gas to such amount zipo EU? Do you know why Russia Natural Gas is cheaper kwa EU compared na wengine? Jibu la swali hili litakupa mwongozo wa swali la kwanza hapo juu.
Je wajua kama US despite being among top Natural Gas producer ila ni miongoni mwa Importes wakubwa wa Natural Gas nchini mwake? Yes cause anatumia zaidi kuliko anacho zalisha.
Na kuweka maelezo sawa kitakwimu ni kua US na China (Each of them) wanatumia higher amount of Natural Gas kuliko collective EU yote.
Najua utajiuliza kama yeye anapeleza kwanini anaenda kuuza huko EU. Yes that's business you sell where it fits your interest! Anauza EU kwa bei mara 4 zaidi ya anayouza nyumbani.
So ana import kutoka Canada, Australia kwa bei chee... Kiasia anabeba anapeleka kuuza EU kwa bei mara 4 zaidi... Why? EU kuna liberal market of energy! Its market that determines price ya energy kwa ujumla. (Kwa jicho pana) tunasema liberal markets are easy to manipulate by imperialists who focus much on profit kuliko service yenyewe!
Sooooooooo... Russia hakosi kitu kwa EU as her Natural Gas are cheap. Hivyo soko lake ni easy na liko on demand! That's why even EU wenyewe wanapigana vikumbo kuikwepa. Up to date keshafanya diversity ya kile kilicho kua kikitumika EU now kipo kinatumika Asia.
Anayekosa au kuharibikiwa ni allies wa US sio Russia. Hata logic ya kawaida tu unasusa wengine wanakula... Utakufa njaa wewe usie jua kupika na usie na jiko.
Russia ana make strategic alliances, Ukubwa wa pua sio wingi wa kamasi. Just China na India ni soko almost two times ya kile kinachotumika ama kilichopo EU.
So tuzungumze kwa data mkononi!
Huo ni just muhtasari wa kipengele cha kwanza cha swali lako.
Kama umeelewa poa kama hujaelewa poa pia now tukubaliane kuto kukubaliana kabla hatujaingia kipengele cha pili.
Hata wentewe wanalijua Hilo. Kunawa waziri Moja WA Ukraine kawamvua Leo kuwa wasidhani Russia anakimbia ila anajipanga.Ni kweli mkuu, lakini mimi binafsi na amini kwamba jeshi la Urusi linapanga kushusha kitu kizito pale jiji la KHERSON na viunga yake wakisha hakikisha kwamba jeshi la Ukraine,mamluki pamoja na wanajeshi wa NATO/US wanao saidiana na jeshi la Ukraine kupigana na Russia.
Russia ikisha hakikisha wote wameingia kwenye mtego wake huko KHERSON pamoja na silaha zao - basi, hapo ndipo jeshi la Russia litahamua kuwashushia kitu kizito - my opinion.
Mtu yeyote mwenye uelewa akisoma ulichoandika atajua akuweke level gani. Korea Kaskazini inavamia Marekani kwa kutumia mitumbwi au nini?Nchi ambayo inawaza kuvamiwa ndio huweka defensive lines. Hutokaa usikie Marekani imefanya hivyo maana haijawahi waza kama itavamiwa kwenye ardhi yake. Na sidhani kama kuna nchi dunia hii inawaza kuivamia Marekani kwake. Urusi ina landmass kubwa na ina mipaka ya ardhi mingi. Marekani inahitaji kuelewana na Canada na Mexico kuzuia adui, Urusi inahitaji nchi jirani kibao.
Kwamba Marekani haiwazi kuvamiwa,aisee kwa kweli hii ndio naisikia Sasa hivi.Ila hapa umetupiga changa la macho.
Jibu ni kwamba,Marekani inawaza sana kuvamiwa na Urusi,china,na Korea Kaskazini.
Sidhani kama Kuna nchi duniani inawaza kuivamia Marekani,aisee hauko siriasi kwa kweli.
Urusi iliwahi Hadi kutoa ramani ya maeneo ya kupiga hapo Marekani.
Nchi nyingine zinazowaza kuivamia Marekani ni China na Korea Kaskazini.
Bila kusahau mgogoro wa Cuba.
Hata wentewe wanalijua Hilo. Kunawa waziri Moja WA Ukraine kawamvua Leo kuwa wasidhani Russia anakimbia ila anajipanga.
Inasemekana wameanza kuingiza silaha mpya.
Hii Vita Russia alisha shinda toka zamani. Kinacho muuma USA ni loss ya investment yake Billions of US dollars toka 2014. Investment yake ina enda vice versa. Mostly, kwa Ukraine, hauzi silaha ana toa msaada. Hata Rais wa Ukraine, yupo tiyari kujisalimisha ila tu pingamizi ni Investment Cost ya USA. Ana shinikizo la USA tu. Loss kwa Ukraine hadi sasa ni takribani Billion 350 Euros. Siyo mchezo huo mpunga. Bado madeni.Wakuu kwenye hii Vita mie naona mpaka sasa aliyenufaika zaidi ni Marekani kuliko Urusi, Ukrein na Ulaya. Ukiangalia ule mpango wa USA wa kuangusha bihashara ya Gesi kati ya Moscow na Ulaya mpaka sasa kafanikiwa kwa zaidi ya 95% na mbaya zaidi mpaka miundombinu ya hiyo bihashara ameiua. Hapa anapiga dolla kupitia LNG yake kwenda Ulaya kwa bei ya juu.
Pili: Bihashara ya Siraha, hapo mjomba anapiga hela kupitia makampuni ya kutengeneza Siraha zinazokwenda Kiev daily na anazidi kuzifanyia promo Kama ile HIMARS.
Tatu: Mjomba anapiga pesa kupitia mafuta anayotoa kwenye reserve yake kwenda kwenye mzunguko kufidia gap iliyoachwa na Moscow
Nne: Pesa yake imezidi kuwa imara Vs Euro na Pound ambazo ndo zilikuwa Currency shindani kwake.
Tano: Amezidi kuwaongezea Utegemezi Ulaya kwake maana kawafanya Wazidi kuwa maadui wa Moscow hivyo Ulaya/NATO kuanzia sasa wataongeza Utegemezi kwake ili wawe salama dhidi ya Moscow.
Sita: Kaongeza mwanya wa kumsogelea Russia kijeshi kuliko mwanzo, maana sasa anaweza kujenga kituo cha kijeshi nchini Ukrein bila pingamizi kwa kisingizio cha kuilinda Kiev kutoka kwa wavamizi.
Yaani sera za kijinga za viongozi wa Magharibi zinaenda kuwatesa sana watu wao siku za mbeleni. Na Nina uhakika Ulaya tunayoijua haiwezi kurudi tena.Teh umerudi... Haya tuendelee ila hakikisha uko na data karibu pia make sure katika majadiliano 'A' ibaki kua 'A' na 'B' iendelee kua 'B'. I mean kusiwe na double standard ya hiki ama kile.
Tuanze rasmi!
Kuhusu Soko la Ulaya la Gas...
Hapa sikwambii nani ila nataka kukupa data uzitafakari!
Before 24th Feb, Russia ni top Natural Gas Exporter to "EU", akiwa ana account for more than third ya wote! Russia Natural Gas ni Cheap by 1/4th kuliko ile ya US na ni safe zaidi kwa climate compared ya ile ya US.
It's cheap Russian Gas inayoiweka EU kua competive kwenye soko la dunia in term of uzalishaji. Hivyo utaona issue ya Tax around Europe ni high ila corporates nyingi ziko hapo due to low cost of production ambayo chanzo kikubwa ni cheap energy. Of course ni cheap kutoka Russia!
So what does it mean by replacing Russian NG with others suppliers.
High cost of energy itapelekea high cost of production. High cost of production will sky rocket EU products na kuzifanya kua uncompetitive sokoni. Which in turn will account kwa collapse of EU economy as many companies will head towards countries ambazo watakuwa assured kua na low cost of production hivyo kuweza ku'maximize their profits.
Hiyo ni general view of the situation.
Now tuje in term of figures!
As data nilizo kuonesha juu... Russia ana account more than 3rd, its 43%. while that of US ni less than 8%.
Tufanye mahesabu mepesi kiutu uzima.
Lel say total amount consumed by EU ni 1,000.
[emoji95] Total inayotolewa na Russia peke ake 43% maana ake ni 430.
[emoji95] Total inayokua supplied by US less than 8% ambayo tunaweza sema ni approximately kama 80 hivi kwa mfano wa 1,000 niliotoa.
So US ku'replace Russia hapo EU will need to supply over '510'. That's over 5 times of the current supply!
Maswali unayopaswa kujiuliza.
1. Is that possible? If yes how?
2. What's current production of Natural Gas by US? And how hiyo '530' will be added in current production to satisfy the demand?
3. How big is natural gas reserves anayo US? Will it be secured for a long term?
4. What's current consumption of Natural Gas by US? Je atakuwa na surplus ya zaidi ya kuweza kuendana na hilo Gap la Russia?
5. How about means of delivery from US to EU compared to Russia to EU? Will it be secure and safe to such large amount of Natural Gas required kumtoa Urusi sokoni?
Hayo ni machache maswali ya kujiuliza.
Digest some hints below!
Unajua kwanini inaitwa LNG?
Jibu la hili swali itakupa muongozo wa swali la 4 hapo juu.
Unajua how LNG is transported and stored? Na je hizo resources za kutunzia Gas to such amount zipo EU? Do you know why Russia Natural Gas is cheaper kwa EU compared na wengine? Jibu la swali hili litakupa mwongozo wa swali la kwanza hapo juu.
Je wajua kama US despite being among top Natural Gas producer ila ni miongoni mwa Importes wakubwa wa Natural Gas nchini mwake? Yes cause anatumia zaidi kuliko anacho zalisha.
Na kuweka maelezo sawa kitakwimu ni kua US na China (Each of them) wanatumia higher amount of Natural Gas kuliko collective EU yote.
Najua utajiuliza kama yeye anapeleza kwanini anaenda kuuza huko EU. Yes that's business you sell where it fits your interest! Anauza EU kwa bei mara 4 zaidi ya anayouza nyumbani.
So ana import kutoka Canada, Australia kwa bei chee... Kiasia anabeba anapeleka kuuza EU kwa bei mara 4 zaidi... Why? EU kuna liberal market of energy! Its market that determines price ya energy kwa ujumla. (Kwa jicho pana) tunasema liberal markets are easy to manipulate by imperialists who focus much on profit kuliko service yenyewe!
Sooooooooo... Russia hakosi kitu kwa EU as her Natural Gas are cheap. Hivyo soko lake ni easy na liko on demand! That's why even EU wenyewe wanapigana vikumbo kuikwepa. Up to date keshafanya diversity ya kile kilicho kua kikitumika EU now kipo kinatumika Asia.
Anayekosa au kuharibikiwa ni allies wa US sio Russia. Hata logic ya kawaida tu unasusa wengine wanakula... Utakufa njaa wewe usie jua kupika na usie na jiko.
Russia ana make strategic alliances, Ukubwa wa pua sio wingi wa kamasi. Just China na India ni soko almost two times ya kile kinachotumika ama kilichopo EU.
So tuzungumze kwa data mkononi!
Huo ni just muhtasari wa kipengele cha kwanza cha swali lako.
Kama umeelewa poa kama hujaelewa poa pia now tukubaliane kuto kukubaliana kabla hatujaingia kipengele cha pili.
Finland kamtandika Mara ngapi urusi wakati wa baridi?Fatilia vita ya russia na finland nyakat za baridi uone finland alivyomtandka urusi, unadhan ukraine hawaujui huo ukanda wao yan kwmb urusi kwny huo ukanda ndiye mtaalam wa kupgana kwny mabarafu na barid kali au siyo?
Mfatilie mvamizi urusi kavamia mara ngp finland hzo mara ngp alizovamia ndzo alzopokea kpgo. Mnaleta mambo ya kijnga sn kwny hii thread kama simba na yanga. Yan mnaamin nato na marekan hawajui kuna barid kali linakuja na kwmb hawajajipanga namna ya kulisaidia jesh la ukraine? Mnadhan nato na marekan hawajui kwmb uwenda urusi anatoka hapo kherson akajpange ili aje kvngne mnadhan wao hawajui na hawajajpanga? Lakn si putin alitangaza mapema kbs wkt urusi wanavamia ukraine kwmb atakayesaidia ukraine kwa namna yoyote atapgika leo imeshndwa nn kuwapga hao nato na marekan maana mpk mnasema nato wana wanajesh wao ukraine kama wapo urusi si atimize kile alichosema sasa, achen ushabk urusi ni mkubwa haina ubish ila ni mdogo kwa nato na marekani, china n mkubwa ila n mdogo kwa nato na marekani ndo maana taiwan ipo salama.Finland kamtandika Mara ngapi urusi wakati wa baridi?