kikiboxer
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- Dec 22, 2017
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ProRussia si wanasema kwamba Ukraine kashazungukwa hapo Kursk na kukatuwa supply iweje anazidi kwenda mbele?
LIVE Special Thread: Yanayojiri Mgogoro wa Ukraine na Urusi. Nini chanzo na hatma ya mzozo?
LIVE Special Thread: Yanayojiri Mgogoro wa Ukraine na Urusi. Nini chanzo na hatma ya mzozo?
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Lee Van free
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- Aug 14, 2024
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15 AUG,
Expert calls Kiev’s attack on Kursk 'strategic blunder which will accelerate its defeat'
According to John Mearsheimer, the Ukrainian armed forces "lost many soldiers and a huge proportion of their equipment" while "the key determinant of success in a war of attrition is the casualty-exchange ratio, not capturing territory"
WASHINGTON, The attack of the Ukrainian armed forces on the Kursk Region was a strategic mistake that will bring Ukraine's defeat closer in the conflict with Russia, John Mearsheimer, a professor at the University of Chicago, shares this view in an article on the Responsible Statecraft portal.
"Ukraine’s invasion (of Kursk) was a major strategic blunder, which will accelerate its defeat," the analyst noted.
According to him, the Ukrainian armed forces "lost many soldiers and a huge proportion of their equipment" while "the key determinant of success in a war of attrition is the casualty-exchange ratio, not capturing territory."
As the expert notes, in the Kursk region Kiev used "top-notch combat units" having removed them from the front lines in in eastern Ukraine, where they are "desperately needed." "This move is tilting the already lopsided casualty-exchange ratio on that critically important front further in Russia’s favor," he says.
On August 6, Ukraine launched a major offensive in the borderline Russian region. Air raid sirens have repeatedly rung out there. The massive attack killed 12 civilians and injured 121 people, including 10 children. As many as 69 injured people remain in hospitals, of which 17 are believed to be in grave condition. Over 120,000 people have either left or been evacuated from the Kursk Region. According to the Russian Defense Ministry, Kiev has lost roughly 2,300 troops, 37 tanks and 32 armored personnel carriers since fighting began in the Kursk area.
Russian President Vladimir Putin warned that Ukraine would "certainly receive a worthy response" to the attack on the Kursk Region and that all of Russia’s goals will be attained
Expert calls Kiev’s attack on Kursk 'strategic blunder which will accelerate its defeat'
According to John Mearsheimer, the Ukrainian armed forces "lost many soldiers and a huge proportion of their equipment" while "the key determinant of success in a war of attrition is the casualty-exchange ratio, not capturing territory"
WASHINGTON, The attack of the Ukrainian armed forces on the Kursk Region was a strategic mistake that will bring Ukraine's defeat closer in the conflict with Russia, John Mearsheimer, a professor at the University of Chicago, shares this view in an article on the Responsible Statecraft portal.
"Ukraine’s invasion (of Kursk) was a major strategic blunder, which will accelerate its defeat," the analyst noted.
According to him, the Ukrainian armed forces "lost many soldiers and a huge proportion of their equipment" while "the key determinant of success in a war of attrition is the casualty-exchange ratio, not capturing territory."
As the expert notes, in the Kursk region Kiev used "top-notch combat units" having removed them from the front lines in in eastern Ukraine, where they are "desperately needed." "This move is tilting the already lopsided casualty-exchange ratio on that critically important front further in Russia’s favor," he says.
On August 6, Ukraine launched a major offensive in the borderline Russian region. Air raid sirens have repeatedly rung out there. The massive attack killed 12 civilians and injured 121 people, including 10 children. As many as 69 injured people remain in hospitals, of which 17 are believed to be in grave condition. Over 120,000 people have either left or been evacuated from the Kursk Region. According to the Russian Defense Ministry, Kiev has lost roughly 2,300 troops, 37 tanks and 32 armored personnel carriers since fighting began in the Kursk area.
Russian President Vladimir Putin warned that Ukraine would "certainly receive a worthy response" to the attack on the Kursk Region and that all of Russia’s goals will be attained
kp kipanya44
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- Jun 23, 2022
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P
Pro Russia kwa Sasa wako desperate sana.,Jana waliibuka Kwa wingi wao kutoka mashimoni walikojificha wakajarbu kuleta narrative kibao kama Ukraine wameshazungukwa huko Kursk..,wakafukua picha kibao za mizoga ya wanajeshi waliokufa Miaka miwili iliyopita,wakatuwekea kama ushaidi kuonyesha hatoki mtu hapo Kursk, kwamba Ukraine waukrain wote wanachinjwa huko! Walipotosheka wakarudi mashimoni!
kp kipanya44
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Mbepo yamba
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kp kipanya44
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❗️Ukraine has set up the first military commandant's office in the government-controlled territories of Kursk Oblast, Ukrainian Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi said. General Eduard Moskalev was appointed its head
Ukrainian military currently controls 82 settlements in the Kursk Oblast. Since the beginning of the day, Ukrainian troops have advanced 500-1,500 meters, said Ukrainian Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi.
In total, since the beginning of the operation, Ukrainian troops have advanced to a depth of 35 km and control 1,150 km² of Russian territ
ory.
Ukrainian military currently controls 82 settlements in the Kursk Oblast. Since the beginning of the day, Ukrainian troops have advanced 500-1,500 meters, said Ukrainian Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi.
In total, since the beginning of the operation, Ukrainian troops have advanced to a depth of 35 km and control 1,150 km² of Russian territ
kp kipanya44
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LET'S LAUGH AT THE RUSSIANS?
The head of the Russian “Akhmat” special forces Ebu Babuinov announced for the 5th time in 9 days that he is completing work on blocking the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region. The Ukrainians advance.
The head of the Russian “Akhmat” special forces Ebu Babuinov announced for the 5th time in 9 days that he is completing work on blocking the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region. The Ukrainians advance.
kikiboxer
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- Dec 22, 2017
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Mkuu ngoja waje kutukana matusi uzuri wewe unawamudu.
Mbepo yamba
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Mbepo yamba
JF-Expert Member
- Aug 5, 2012
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Mbepo yamba
JF-Expert Member
- Aug 5, 2012
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Mbepo yamba
JF-Expert Member
- Aug 5, 2012
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Mbepo yamba
JF-Expert Member
- Aug 5, 2012
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Mbepo yamba
JF-Expert Member
- Aug 5, 2012
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Mbepo yamba
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Huu mwaka warusssia mtaomba poo kwa lazima kimba nyie
Mbepo yamba
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Kiongozi wa hilo genge ametiwa tunduni
Mbepo yamba
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Na sasa leo Ukraine wanaingia Belogrode baada ya kuishika Kursk. Nayo ni trap? Ndo maana Lukashenko anaomba mazungumzo ya kumaliza vita eti leo “havina faida kwa yeyote”. Supapawa anazidi kuvuliwa msuli huku
passioner255
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- Apr 22, 2019
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Wewe subiri baada ya muda nakuhakikishia hao Ukraine watamalizwa wote warusi huwa hawanegociate na magaidi.
Msulibasi
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- Dec 2, 2014
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Ukraine's moment of truth is coming as Zelensky doubles down on the Kursk nuclear power plant at Kurchatov:
Ukraine's forward reconnaissance-in-force units reached as far north as Kromskie Byki, barely 22 kilometers southwest of the Kursk nuclear power station at Kurchatov. It's clear that the AFU intends to establish this area as a launchpad for artillery, rocket, and suicide drone strikes on Russia's third-largest atomic energy facility.
Heavy fighting was reported throughout the day along a broad front of villages more than 30 kilometers inside the Kursk-Sumy border: which means that Ukraine committed precious reserves to hang onto its advance positions after its first echelon was obliterated by Russian fire and its remnants pushed back by Russian counterattacks. Most likely, fierce engagements, artillery duels, and airstrikes continue to dot the entire area of up to 350 square kilometers to the north, northwest, and northeast of the fully secured zone of the AFU salient beyond Sumy, which at this point is itself about 600 square kilometers large.
Ukraine is hurtling towards a point of no return. Anything less than the Kursk NPP will not give Zelensky the degree of diplomatic leverage he needs to reset the negotiating equation with Moscow. It would be useless for the AFU to grab more borderland just for the sake of occupying more Russian soil: as Kyiv has no intention of holding any Russian territory permanently. But an assault on the NPP is fraught with both military and political risks.
Militarily, the AFU lacks the manpower and logistics to physically reach the Kurchatov facility with sufficient force and supplies to be able to hold it. If current forward positions like Kromskie Byki are captured, the Ukrainians could instead apply pressure on Russia by shelling the NPP at a range of 20 to 30 kilometers - possibly forcing it to shut down. But the military cost of sustaining such an artillery bridgehead would be very high: making it unlikely to survive - at least in its maximal territorial extent - more than a few weeks, during which Russian forces will continue to make significant gains of their own in Donbas.
Furthermore, shelling and bombing attacks on the nuclear power station must somehow be kept at a level not provocative enough to warrant a large-scale Russian counteroffensive to roll back the Kursk invasion altogether (or at least reduce it to a far less threatening size). This could prove difficult if Ukrainian forces are perceived to be bogged down in their main objective while their Russian counterparts keep scoring incremental but steady gains in the Pokrovsk and Toretsk directions.
Despite these risks, Zelensky cannot afford to play it safe anymore. Time is running out for the AFU grouping in Donbas. The Russian breakthrough in the Pokrovsk and Toretsk sectors signifies the final collapse of Kyiv's longstanding fortified defense line in the heart of Donetsk dating all the way to 2014. Once this front is fatally compromised, it would only bet a matter of time until the remainder of the Ukrainian line in Donetsk region - hundreds of kilometers of it - is progressively rolled up from the rear with massive Russian flanking maneuvers.
The next six to eight weeks will be the most consequential of the war so far. A desperate Ukraine will become even more desperate - and even more visibly so - as its Battle of the Bulge-style gambit in Kursk fails to produce the diplomatic bargaining chip Zelensky expected. But with hundreds of square kilometers of its own territory occupied - and one of its largest nuclear facilities under attack - Russia will merely be defending itself to go for a knockout blow against the present Kyiv administration.
DONBAS IMEKUA CHOCHORO
Ukraine's forward reconnaissance-in-force units reached as far north as Kromskie Byki, barely 22 kilometers southwest of the Kursk nuclear power station at Kurchatov. It's clear that the AFU intends to establish this area as a launchpad for artillery, rocket, and suicide drone strikes on Russia's third-largest atomic energy facility.
Heavy fighting was reported throughout the day along a broad front of villages more than 30 kilometers inside the Kursk-Sumy border: which means that Ukraine committed precious reserves to hang onto its advance positions after its first echelon was obliterated by Russian fire and its remnants pushed back by Russian counterattacks. Most likely, fierce engagements, artillery duels, and airstrikes continue to dot the entire area of up to 350 square kilometers to the north, northwest, and northeast of the fully secured zone of the AFU salient beyond Sumy, which at this point is itself about 600 square kilometers large.
Ukraine is hurtling towards a point of no return. Anything less than the Kursk NPP will not give Zelensky the degree of diplomatic leverage he needs to reset the negotiating equation with Moscow. It would be useless for the AFU to grab more borderland just for the sake of occupying more Russian soil: as Kyiv has no intention of holding any Russian territory permanently. But an assault on the NPP is fraught with both military and political risks.
Militarily, the AFU lacks the manpower and logistics to physically reach the Kurchatov facility with sufficient force and supplies to be able to hold it. If current forward positions like Kromskie Byki are captured, the Ukrainians could instead apply pressure on Russia by shelling the NPP at a range of 20 to 30 kilometers - possibly forcing it to shut down. But the military cost of sustaining such an artillery bridgehead would be very high: making it unlikely to survive - at least in its maximal territorial extent - more than a few weeks, during which Russian forces will continue to make significant gains of their own in Donbas.
Furthermore, shelling and bombing attacks on the nuclear power station must somehow be kept at a level not provocative enough to warrant a large-scale Russian counteroffensive to roll back the Kursk invasion altogether (or at least reduce it to a far less threatening size). This could prove difficult if Ukrainian forces are perceived to be bogged down in their main objective while their Russian counterparts keep scoring incremental but steady gains in the Pokrovsk and Toretsk directions.
Despite these risks, Zelensky cannot afford to play it safe anymore. Time is running out for the AFU grouping in Donbas. The Russian breakthrough in the Pokrovsk and Toretsk sectors signifies the final collapse of Kyiv's longstanding fortified defense line in the heart of Donetsk dating all the way to 2014. Once this front is fatally compromised, it would only bet a matter of time until the remainder of the Ukrainian line in Donetsk region - hundreds of kilometers of it - is progressively rolled up from the rear with massive Russian flanking maneuvers.
The next six to eight weeks will be the most consequential of the war so far. A desperate Ukraine will become even more desperate - and even more visibly so - as its Battle of the Bulge-style gambit in Kursk fails to produce the diplomatic bargaining chip Zelensky expected. But with hundreds of square kilometers of its own territory occupied - and one of its largest nuclear facilities under attack - Russia will merely be defending itself to go for a knockout blow against the present Kyiv administration.
DONBAS IMEKUA CHOCHORO