LIVE Special Thread: Yanayojiri Mgogoro wa Ukraine na Urusi. Nini chanzo na hatma ya mzozo?

LIVE Special Thread: Yanayojiri Mgogoro wa Ukraine na Urusi. Nini chanzo na hatma ya mzozo?

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Ukraine's moment of truth is coming as Zelensky doubles down on the Kursk nuclear power plant at Kurchatov:

Ukraine's forward reconnaissance-in-force units reached as far north as Kromskie Byki, barely 22 kilometers southwest of the Kursk nuclear power station at Kurchatov. It's clear that the AFU intends to establish this area as a launchpad for artillery, rocket, and suicide drone strikes on Russia's third-largest atomic energy facility.

Heavy fighting was reported throughout the day along a broad front of villages more than 30 kilometers inside the Kursk-Sumy border: which means that Ukraine committed precious reserves to hang onto its advance positions after its first echelon was obliterated by Russian fire and its remnants pushed back by Russian counterattacks. Most likely, fierce engagements, artillery duels, and airstrikes continue to dot the entire area of up to 350 square kilometers to the north, northwest, and northeast of the fully secured zone of the AFU salient beyond Sumy, which at this point is itself about 600 square kilometers large.

Ukraine is hurtling towards a point of no return. Anything less than the Kursk NPP will not give Zelensky the degree of diplomatic leverage he needs to reset the negotiating equation with Moscow. It would be useless for the AFU to grab more borderland just for the sake of occupying more Russian soil: as Kyiv has no intention of holding any Russian territory permanently. But an assault on the NPP is fraught with both military and political risks.

Militarily, the AFU lacks the manpower and logistics to physically reach the Kurchatov facility with sufficient force and supplies to be able to hold it. If current forward positions like Kromskie Byki are captured, the Ukrainians could instead apply pressure on Russia by shelling the NPP at a range of 20 to 30 kilometers - possibly forcing it to shut down. But the military cost of sustaining such an artillery bridgehead would be very high: making it unlikely to survive - at least in its maximal territorial extent - more than a few weeks, during which Russian forces will continue to make significant gains of their own in Donbas.

Furthermore, shelling and bombing attacks on the nuclear power station must somehow be kept at a level not provocative enough to warrant a large-scale Russian counteroffensive to roll back the Kursk invasion altogether (or at least reduce it to a far less threatening size). This could prove difficult if Ukrainian forces are perceived to be bogged down in their main objective while their Russian counterparts keep scoring incremental but steady gains in the Pokrovsk and Toretsk directions.

Despite these risks, Zelensky cannot afford to play it safe anymore. Time is running out for the AFU grouping in Donbas. The Russian breakthrough in the Pokrovsk and Toretsk sectors signifies the final collapse of Kyiv's longstanding fortified defense line in the heart of Donetsk dating all the way to 2014. Once this front is fatally compromised, it would only bet a matter of time until the remainder of the Ukrainian line in Donetsk region - hundreds of kilometers of it - is progressively rolled up from the rear with massive Russian flanking maneuvers.

The next six to eight weeks will be the most consequential of the war so far. A desperate Ukraine will become even more desperate - and even more visibly so - as its Battle of the Bulge-style gambit in Kursk fails to produce the diplomatic bargaining chip Zelensky expected. But with hundreds of square kilometers of its own territory occupied - and one of its largest nuclear facilities under attack - Russia will merely be defending itself to go for a knockout blow against the present Kyiv administration.
DONBAS IMEKUA CHOCHORO
Yote Haya yamekuwa ni maoni tuu so we don’t take them seriously
 
Lukashenko urged to stop the war in Ukraine and sit down at the negotiating table

“Let's sit down at the negotiating table and end this fight. Neither the Ukrainian people, nor Russians, nor Belarusians need it,” Alexander Lukashenko said in an interview with the Rossiya TV channel
However, he believes that the West is responsible for the conflict in Ukraine.

“They need it. I can't cite these facts, they are closed, where they openly say - high-ranking people. Literally: 'Let them beat each other - Ukrainians, Russians - let them all die in this cauldron,'” Lukashenko said.

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Russia appears to have diverted several thousand troops from occupied territory inside Ukraine to counter a surprisingly successful Ukrainian offensive inside Russian borders in a move that potentially weakens Moscow's war effort, two senior US officials told CNN. https://cnn.it/4dGStiQ


Kama hamtaki mezeni matikiti mazima mamaq
 
Lukashenko urged to stop the war in Ukraine and sit down at the negotiating table

“Let's sit down at the negotiating table and end this fight. Neither the Ukrainian people, nor Russians, nor Belarusians need it,” Alexander Lukashenko said in an interview with the Rossiya TV channel
However, he believes that the West is responsible for the conflict in Ukraine.

“They need it. I can't cite these facts, they are closed, where they openly say - high-ranking people. Literally: 'Let them beat each other - Ukrainians, Russians - let them all die in this cauldron,'” Lukashenko said.

View attachment 3071156
Lukapotato
 
Ukrainian military change tactics in Kursk region and 'press from all sides'
Ukrainian military start 'pressing from all sides' in Kursk region
15.08.2024 15:53

The Armed Forces of Ukraine have changed their tactics in conducting military operations in the Kursk region in the wake of the failure, General Apti Alaudinov, an associate of the head of Chechnya Ramzan Kadyrov, the commander of Akhmat unit of Chechen special forces said.

Ukrainian military start 'pressing from all sides' in Kursk region
Photo: flickr.com by Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, CC BY-SA 2.0
According to Alaudinov, the AFU planned to take control of the entire Kursk region several days ago, on August 11. However, their plans did not come to fruition. The enemy then "began to press from all sides." The Ukrainian military "are starting to push against all sides" and are thus trying to divide the Russian military, Alaudinov also said.

The Ukrainians will not succeed, Kadyrov's associate indicated. The situation in the border region is under control, and the Russian military continue to annihilate and block Ukrainian troops on the territory of the region.

Ukrainian fighters could not take control of Sudzha, Apti Alaudinov also said commenting on media reports about Zelensky's "blitzkrieg" in Russia.

Ukrainian publication TSN published a report about the capture of the Russian town of Sudzha by the Ukrainian troops. However, the correspondent was reporting while being in Sumy. The video showed Ukrainian military men removing the Russian flag and throwing it on the ground. It was impossible to determine where the video was filmed. It was later revealed that reports about the complete transfer of the city under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine found no confirmation.
 
Ukrainian military change tactics in Kursk region and 'press from all sides'
Ukrainian military start 'pressing from all sides' in Kursk region
15.08.2024 15:53

The Armed Forces of Ukraine have changed their tactics in conducting military operations in the Kursk region in the wake of the failure, General Apti Alaudinov, an associate of the head of Chechnya Ramzan Kadyrov, the commander of Akhmat unit of Chechen special forces said.

Ukrainian military start 'pressing from all sides' in Kursk region
Photo: flickr.com by Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, CC BY-SA 2.0
According to Alaudinov, the AFU planned to take control of the entire Kursk region several days ago, on August 11. However, their plans did not come to fruition. The enemy then "began to press from all sides." The Ukrainian military "are starting to push against all sides" and are thus trying to divide the Russian military, Alaudinov also said.

The Ukrainians will not succeed, Kadyrov's associate indicated. The situation in the border region is under control, and the Russian military continue to annihilate and block Ukrainian troops on the territory of the region.

Ukrainian fighters could not take control of Sudzha, Apti Alaudinov also said commenting on media reports about Zelensky's "blitzkrieg" in Russia.

Ukrainian publication TSN published a report about the capture of the Russian town of Sudzha by the Ukrainian troops. However, the correspondent was reporting while being in Sumy. The video showed Ukrainian military men removing the Russian flag and throwing it on the ground. It was impossible to determine where the video was filmed. It was later revealed that reports about the complete transfer of the city under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine found no confirmation.
Utajua mwenyewe na mastori yako ya baada ya kufuturu
 
Russia: Italian journalists visited Sudzha and interviewed the locals who stayed.Russian civilians there welcomed Ukrainian forces as liberators and say they're very kind.Ukraine is also actively distributing humanitarian aid.

Putin ni gaidi mavi kabisa. Kwa alichokifanya Ukraine kule Buscha na maeneo mengine huyu mbwa afe mdomo wazi
 
The Russians published a video yesterday of a Russian Ka-52 attack helicopter destroying a military column in the Kursk region of Russia with the use of guided missile fire.It was first later that they realized they had attacked their own column.


Haya mavampaya ni kama yamechanganyikiwa vile 😂😂
 
Wizara ya Ulinzi imeonyesha video ya wanamgambo wa Kikosi cha Wanajeshi wa Ukraine waliokamatwa katika eneo la Kursk

Katika video hiyo, mmoja wa wanajeshi wa ukraine anajitambulisha na kusema kwamba saa chache tu baada ya shambulio katka eneo la Kursk, kitengo chake kilishindwa na wanajeshi wa Urusi, baada ya hapo alitekwa.
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Wanajeshi wa Ukraine wamepoteza wanamgambo 2,640 wakati wa vita katika mkoa wa Kursk.
Katika saa 24 zilizopita, jeshi la ukraine limepata hasara ya kupoteza wanajeshi 340 na magari 19 ya kivita, yakiwemo magari matano ya kivita ya Bradley yaliyotengenezwa Marekani.
Pia mifumo ya roketi ya Ukraine imechomwa moto, vituo viwili vya vita vya kielektroniki vya Enklav-N na Bukovel-AD, na magari manane vimeteoetezwa.
Kwa kuongezea, karibu na kijiji cha Lubny katika mkoa wa Sumy, jeshi la Urusi liliharibu msafara wa magari 15 ya jeshi la Ukraine ambapo kombora la Iskander-M lilitumika kuharibu

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Wanajeshi wa Urusi wa kundi la "Kusini" wamewaangamiza wanamgambo 650 wa Kikosi cha Wanajeshi wa Ukraine katika eneo maalum la operesheni.


Kikosi cha Wanajeshi wa Ukreni kilichojijificha katika maeneo ya makazi ya Aleksandro-Shultino, Stupochki, Chasov Yar na Pobeda katika DPR kiliteketezwa vibaya na jeshi la Urusi.


Kwa kuongezea, Wanajeahi wa Urusi waliharibu ghala la risasi la Kikosi cha Wanajeshi wa Ukraine.


Pamoja na hayo paratroopers wa Urusi kutoka katika kikosi cha Ulyanovsk, kwa kutumia quadcopters wameharibu antena za satelaiti za Starlink kwenye kingo za mto Dnieper.
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