Tanzania ‘to register fastest economic growth in East Africa

Tanzania ‘to register fastest economic growth in East Africa

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Credit: Tanzania ‘to register fastest economic growth in East Africa

Alex Malanga @ChiefMalanga amalanga@tz.nationmedia.com -1

''Dar es Salaam. Tanzania’s economy is forecast to grow at 5.2 percent this year, while six Eastern African countries’ economies are projected to plunge into recession, blaming the trend on the Covid-19 pandemic, a new report shows. The new projection by the African Development Bank (AfDB) is lower than the 6.4 percent it projected before the pandemic. Tanzania’s growth will beat 12 other Eastern African countries in 2020, according to the report.

The government predicts the economy will grow by 5.5 percent this year, while the World Bank projects it to slow to 2.5 percent. The six countries which are projected to go into recession in 2020 are Seychelles (-10.5), Sudan (-7.2), Burundi (-5.2), Somalia (-3.3), Comoros (-1.2) and South Sudan (-0.4). The other six countries will grow economically - but doing so at a relatively lower rate than Tanzania. The countries (with their growth rate percentages in brackets) are Rwanda (4.2), Ethiopia (3.1), Uganda (2.5), Kenya (1.4), Djibouti (1) and Eritrea (0.3).

“Despite the projected slowdown, real GDP growth in Tanzania will benefit from increased prices of gold, a major national export,” reads the report in part. Gold is Tanzania’s leading foreign exchange earner after overtaking tourism this May, largely due to increased prices and production volumes.

Gold reached above $1,800 an ounce Wednesday for the first time since 2011, with the precious metal benefitting from its ‘safe haven’ status as the coronavirus outbreak triggered global economy fears. Gold price was $1,257.35 in May 2019. The price surge partly contributed to making gold Tanzania’s leading foreign exchange earner, overtaking tourism which has been hit hard by the Covid-19 global pandemic.

Going by the Bank of Tanzania’s latest report, gold export earnings increased by 46.8 percent, to $2.5 billion (about Sh5.8 trillion) in the year to May 31, 2020. Tourism earnings went down from $2.5 billion (Sh5.8 trillion) to $2.3 billion (Sh5.3 trillion) in the same period. Real GDP growth, the report adds, would also benefit from reduced oil prices.

The Finance and Planning minister, Dr Philip Mpango, is on record as saying that Tanzania - which registered the first case of the Covid-19 in mid-March - was less hit by the pandemic because of the measures it took to cushion the economy. While other countries imposed partial or total lockdowns, Tanzania did not do so in hopes of protecting the people, a majority of whom are “hand-to-mouth” cases.

The swift and massive shock of the coronavirus pandemic and shutdown measures to contain it are reported to have devastated economies of many countries across the globe. At the regional level, the GDP growth projection has taken a hit in the face of the pandemic, with East Africa’s GDP projected to grow at 1.2 percent: far below the earlier projection of 5.1 percent. The region’s economic growth remains robust amid emerging challenges - and until the Covid-19

outbreak, whose first cases were confirmed in late December last year, peters out. Three East African countries - namely Tanzania, Ethiopia and Rwanda - are among the six African countries in the top-10 fastest-growing economies in the world. The region’s real GDP growth was 5.2 percent in 2018 - but slowed down to 5 percent in 2019.

The estimated slowdown in 2019 was mainly a result of adverse weather conditions and fiscal consolidation that constrained growth in public sector infrastructure projects. Multiple political and socio-economic policy interventions are necessary to harness East Africa’s growth prospects and mitigate the underlying external and domestic risks, says the report.

The basket of measures include a bold and coordinated response to the crisis; consolidating peace and stability; accelerating structural transformation, and strengthening macroeconomic policy coordination. Other interventions may include diversifying the development financing sources; deepening regional integration, and developing skills for workforces of the future. “A decisive and coordinated response is necessary to contain the spread of Covid-19, and mitigate its health and socio-economic effects,” reads the report in part.''

''Tuchape kazi'' JPM

BTW TBS wametoa hii hapa ambayo ni juu zaidi Tanzania: How Tanzania Marked 5.7% Q1 2020

''
Tanzania's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) report on the first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) showed that the Tanzania economy managed to hit 5.7 per cent growth in Q1 compared to 6.3 per cent in the previous year similar quarter.

According to the report, the Q1 value of GDP in absolute terms GDP stood at around $ 15 billion compared to over $14 billion in 2019. On the same mark, the value of GDP at 2015 constant prices rose to nearly $13 billion in Q1 from $9 billion in the corresponding quarter in 2019.''

Tanzania: How Tanzania Marked 5.7% Q1 2020
 
Beberu aliwaita watu wa "uchumi wa kati" mkakesha humu mkifungua nyuzi na kukenua, huyo huyo beberu juzi akasema ukuaji wa uchumi wenu unashuka hadi 2.5% mkakesha humu mkimtukana, hehehe acheni kuwa kama kina dada kwenye ndoa, leo anaamka hivi kesho anaamka kivingine. Muwe na ubavu wa kukubali pale mnaambiwa ukweli sio kung'ang'ania kila wakati mnataka muambiwe maneno matamu matamu.
 
Ni kwa sababu hamkufunga. Mnaambukizana hovyo tu na kuficha wagonjwa.
 
Beberu aliwaita watu wa "uchumi wa kati" mkakesha humu mkifungua nyuzi na kukenua, huyo huyo beberu juzi akasema ukuaji wa uchumi wenu unashuka hadi 2.5% mkakesha humu mkimtukana, hehehe acheni kuwa kama kina dada kwenye ndoa, leo anaamka hivi kesho anaamka kivingine. Muwe na ubavu wa kukubali pale mnaambiwa ukweli sio kung'ang'ania kila wakati mnataka muambiwe maneno matamu matamu.
sisi pia tuna tathmin,hata akisema leo masikini tz hawapo,tutamshangaa.
 
Hawawezi wakaficha, maana rais aliwaambia wapeni maiti ndugu zao ili wakazike makwao wenyewe. Kama watasafirisha kwenda kijijini sawa, wakizika mjini sawa. Ili mradi tu wapewe ndugu zake jukumu la kuzika.
Sawa wewe uliyesoma mbona unadanganyika virahisi hivi?
 
Walisema JPM kakimbia Corona amejifungia Chato, wapinzani wakapiga vigelegele na zumari kwa kushangilia leo hii nani kaibuka mshindi? Chapeni Kazi. JPM
 
Hehehe yaani na bado! Magu akitoka madarakani tunawakaribisha Tz mje kushangaa miundombinu.
Hapo kiuchumi tutakuwa tushawapiga roba au tunawapumulia kisogoni.
 
Sawa wewe uliyesoma mbona unadanganyika virahisi hivi?

WaTanzania walikuwa na stress ule mwezi wa 4 na 5 lakini kwa sasa ukienda huko kwao wanaishi kwa raha mstarehe. Akilizi zao zimeponywa na rais wao. Hawatishwi kwa kupewa habari za kufadhaishwa, sijui wamepima wangapi. Wenyewe wanaongelea kuchukua tahadhari kwa mujibu wa ushauri wa wataalam wa afya, pia kuimarisha kinga zao binafsi kwa kula matunda na mbogamboga.
 
WaTanzania walikuwa na stress ule mwezi wa 4 na 5 lakini kwa sasa ukienda huko kwao wanaishi kwa raha mstarehe. Akilizi zao zimeponywa na rais wao. Hawatishwi kwa kupewa habari za kufadhaishwa, sijui wamepima wangapi. Wenyewe wanaongelea kuchukua tahadhari kwa mujibu wa ushauri wa wataalam wa afya, pia kuimarisha kinga zao binafsi kwa kula matunda na mbogamboga.
Kwa hivyo kuanzia mwezi wa tano Tanzania ndio nchi ya pekee Afrika ambayo haijakuwa na Kesi ya corona. Ni sawa sawa. Wacha wajinga waamini mambo hayo.
 
Kwa hivyo kuanzia mwezi wa tano Tanzania ndio nchi ya pekee Afrika ambayo haijakuwa na Kesi ya corona. Ni sawa sawa. Wacha wajinga waamini mambo hayo.

Hujanielewa mdogo wangu Tony, namaanisha miezi hiyo ugonjwa ulikuwa kwenye peak, hata jamii kwa ujumla walikuwa na stress kubwa sana. Lkn kwa sasa wananchi huko wako katika shughuli za kawaida. Wakati kenya wana tension kama ya mwezi wa 4 na 5.
 
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