Lets try again:
In politics JD there are no blacks or whites as in science. Trust me, I am a science major, if not a scientist. There are intuitions and hunches. We are talking about what to expect in TZ, in the next 5 years. No science can tell you that. Just conjectures, insights and hopes. You have to grasp this one first.
You really know less about today's politics sir, they say things have changed…. 2015 politics are far cry from that of the 80's….today's politics is based on actuality and factuality…that's why CCM is strenuously barking up the wrong tree and achieving modicum results… because their petrification strategies are no longer working, because their creed tactics have become obsolete, because their character calumniation are regarded by many as non-progressive….it is a failure to fail to wrap up around the political science….
Mkuu, I am from Tanga, a dirt poor Tangan trying to uplift my people. None of our leaders have wielded any sway in Tanzanian politics. Talking about "nyumbani" or "kaskazini" is not impressing me one bit. This is what the great NYERERE was trying to eliminate. You have a voice here in JF, Sir. Please use it constructively.
The point is, you said you adviced UKAWA to address the ‘Lutheran issue' to try saving some votes, I then asked, What advices DID you give to CCM following these statements:
"mwaka huu mchagueni wa nyumbani", "bao la mkono", "Rais hawezi kutoka kaskazini", "Wapumbavu, malofa, mbumbumbu"? If you didn't provide any advices, then why would your advices be genuine to UKAWA while you can't direct them to the party that you support so they can put their ducks in a row?
Mkuu, the videos circulating are in the social media. They can only be neutralized by Hon. Lowasa alone, with UKAWA's participation. Who listens to me? Not even you listens.
What you have to understand is that there is a bunch of videos out there, there is one I saw supporting Lowassa's endeavor….they tend to counter and neutralize themselves inadvertently, that means that any shake ups that may have been created by those videos are inclined to solve themselves spontaneously…..CCM can no longer put wools over the eyes of Tanzanians……
Good for you Sir. I am agnostic myself. But in politic, perceptions are everything. Religion can be used nefariously by people to their advantage. I saw this clearly when Lowasa's video first came out, and that is why I gave that advice.
You know the good thing with perception is that it is a piece of cake to neutralize.…it takes a short time to create and subsequently takes a short time to destroy…..the rule is that a perception is killed by a perception….while there may be a whole bag of tricks with religion issues in politics it is relatively easy to sail through them in today's Tanzania…..
Agreed. Tanzanian problems first. However, how will power seekers gain control? If they can use religious discord to achieve it, they will. How do you diffuse their efforts? That is what I was talking about. Ignore me at your own peril.
That happened successfully in the election of 2005 and 2010….it is not an issue in this election…you don't have to take my word for it, listen to Kikwete, Magufuli and Kinana's remarks…..they always say how different things have changed…..how people cannot understand them…..
Jack, I thought you were the intelligent one here. I asked for a candidate who insulted a major tribe or a major religious group. Kikwete didn't insult anyone of them. He just made an observation about who will vote for CDM and CUF. Compare this with what Bishop Gwajima said (baptizing all Moslem sheikhs, and turning all mosques into christian Sunday schools). Really, Sir? This is what your theory-based-analysis tells you to bring it here as proof?
I'm sorry for making your flesh crawl….I did examine your statement with a fine tooth comb before replying, and Kikwete fits the answer perfectly well….he said in Mtwara in 2010 that CDM was too Christian and CUF were terrorists….that's what people heard straight from the horse's mouth……that worked well for him but just in the same region five years later people are standing up and saying enough is enough……
Bishop Gwajima is not a presidential candidate and he has never been, your question was not based on remarks of bishops, priests or reverends….
There are problems in every organization. I know nothing of what is going on inside CCM, CDM or UKAWA. What I say is based purely on my external observations. This is important because I believe these crude observations are what an ordinary Tanzanian is seeing. They may be different from others but I am proud they are mine. Since they are my personal observations and not ones fed to me by institutions, I am prone to changing them. That is the freedom I have in this debate.
If you know nothing about what is transpiring in CCM and UKAWA/CDM blocks, then you can't make any informed analysis. That's actually explains why you can't understand simple things recently happening in Tanzanian politics.
I get you JD. I know you don't believe me when I say I am non-partisan and that I once wanted CDM to take the helm. However, corruption is the cancer that is eating our nation from inside. We need to rout it out. I just don't think Lowasa and the current UKAWA structure can do it.
On the other hand, since CCM has been dogged so much about Mafisadi, and the fact that Magufuli is an executive (not necessarily a political charmer or wheeler-dealer), Magufuli has a better chance to see us through the next 5 years.
Then how about CCM where 99% of the team is corrupt (statements from Kinana, Magufuli and others speak volumes)….How are they structured to do it?.....How can you explain Tsh.262 Billion that disappeared in paying ghost debts at Magufuli's ministry?.....How do you explain a fake ferry boat of 1978 he bought for Tsh. 8 Billion?....
How do you explain his poor decision that has cost this nation taxpayers' money for example, apprehension of foreign fishermen in the international waters?, Dismantling of petrol stations? Etc…..
And you will not get your Nirvana with Lowasa either.
By now you should know that I only deal with FACTS and not FICTIONS…..
I am in the US as we speak Sir. Lots of bad things happened between 1776 and now. Do you really want us to emulate them (1776) today in the pursuit of our democracy? Kenya just did it (debate) - were they a sellout? You are a lot more intelligent than this, Sir. Think before you write.
The point I was trying to make was that democracy is a process, and in countries like Tanzania democracy is often strangled by the ruling party that has been there for five decades.....Tanzanian have got to enjoy the fruits of multi-partism in that context.....
I'm surprised you brought Kenya as an example here, a country that has scored less points in Transparency International's ranking……that's why I said that when you have a corrupt system to the level of Mohammad Reza Shah's dynasty before the 1979 Islamic revolution…you don't call for debates, you call for changes, changes that free people……
Who am I to question you guys. It is your funeral. Let it rip!!!
I know you like flinging yourself into your unfounded disaster theory, but you've already said you don't know a lot of things....so in this discussion, I'll have to drop you from an individual of level B to level D……somebody who knows less…..By the way, Level A means a reasonable person making informed analysis….someone who can look on the brighter side…..
Wise guy. I would like to have a drink with him, my treat. If he is still around tell him I will be in TZ for elections. Let me know.
No he is not around. During his time, he was tired of CCM in all its forms……