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[Rutashubanyuma]

In the annulled election

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

I expect him to hover around 4mill votes

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

On 26th October election

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

Uhuru votes will surpass ten mill

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

Two mill votes will shift loyalty

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

The winning tempo also impacts on the psychology of voters

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

Undecided voters normally identify themselves with the putative election winner

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

Urais ni noumaaa kuna watu wana njaa ya uongozi ni balaaa

Kweli

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

Another reason why Raila will fare even worse

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

Mass demonstrations only demonstrate his limited influence

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

On Monday

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

Only Kisumu came out to support him

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

I was surprised to see no demonstrations in his backyard of Bondo county!

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

Raila influence in Kenyan politics is dwindling

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

His orbit constrained to Luo Nyanza

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

So his sputtering demos are unlikely to give him the leverage he needs

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

He claims no election without him

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

But the law is not on his side

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

If he withdraws he will be in contempt of supreme court decision that ordered repeat election

 

[Rutashubanyuma]

Moreover IEBC will still go on