While the writer must be noted for his attempt at serious financial journalism, and raising the bar, there are some disturbing issues, both substantial and presentational with the piece.
The piece would not be as disturbing if it was from our run of the mill paparazzi, prone to errors and short on facts. For sure it would still be disturbing, but not as much as when the piece is hailed as coming from the best of our minds, a US based "Social Activist & Investment Banker"
I would expect better exposure on the issues discussed, I would expect a world caliber analysis, I would expect economy of diction, I would expect a concise and coherent presentation.
If you think I am being too harsh just remember the bar has been raised to reflect the touting. Theopportunity to get in the mind of a leading US based investment banker shall not be wasted.
Lets get started
At this point, many of you are aware of the Economic turmoil that has rocked the global economies. From the NYSE, LSE, to Hong-Kong Stock Exchange the cry is the same, and the pain is being felt in all sectors ; manufacturing, energy, agriculture etc.
At this point, many of you are aware of
Assuming "many of you are aware" is rather presumptuous, some of us have been to Mkuranga getting down with some charcoal burning fro the past month, or visiting bibi in Malampaka why don't you break it down from top? Are we not part of your audience? If we were that informed we would be reading "The Economist" and no time to read you, why the assumption?
Economic turmoil.... unnecesary capitalization
rocked the global economies... does my man know the difference between the definite and indefinite articles and the proper use of "the" ?
Even though the problem may have started as Mortgage crisis in the US, and many thought it would have ended there, the reality is rather different, and the truth is painful and scary to hear. The data that has been available for almost two years now, pointed to the very situation we are in today. Middle analysts detected the problem raised their eye brows, but then their voices were too low to be heard by money hungry, bonus driven Wall-Street executives.
No conciseness at all, no economy of words, poor linkage of similes, one would entertain the idea that the voices could not be heard because the analyst had a peculiar habit of trying to raise their voices with eyebrows
so saying
Middle analysts detected the problem raised their eye brows, but then their voices were too low to be heard
is ugly because
1. There is no conjuction or comma between problem and raised
2. A better illustration would be "raised their voices/ concerns but could not be heard"
The big shots at the Wall-Street
Again my man cannot tell a definite from an indefinite article
You can say
1. The Wall Street big shots
2. The big shots at Wall Street
3. Big shots at the Wall Street firms
4. The big shots at the Wall Street firms (although kinda ugly with the double "the", grammatically correct)
But not
"The big shots at the Wall St"
He sound like the bad interpreter I was talking about on the post by chlande, only the other chap is excusable because of the understandable level of the Queens lingua in Tanzania, now this chap is a Wall Streeter, so we must cook up and cock some Cockney accordingly.
, driven by greed continued to cook their deals; duped European Bankers with bogus deals, who in turn spread the rotten credit deals in all global markets.
Somersaults and acrobatics on top of sommersaults.Hivi ni lini tutaflow?
An investment banker confident enough to write an article lacks even the intelligence to have his piece proofread before exposing his lack of basic communication skills? Writing with no proper punctuations? I can understand if it is just Pundit blurbing at JF, but for something to be published in a paper?
by greed continued
a comma is missing between greed and continued
cook their deals; duped European Bankers with bogus deals
That semicolon is totally unnecessary it looks like a typo, I hope it is.
Factual error, American Bankers did not "dupe" Europeans Bankers with bogus deals.Everybody was into the game.What caused the entire structure to collapse was based on two facts.
1. The assumption that the real estate values would continue to climb in the US.
2.That the risk associated with such mortages will always be transferrable to other parties through complex risk management devices
the European banks were certainly not duped, but attracted by high profits.The one party that was duped, sadly not elaborated, are the homeowners with subprime mortgages and adjustable rates, most of them financially not well informed, indeed a good chunk first time homeowners and or minorities who could bother to read through the piles of mortgage paperwork.
A New York Times article from last week (I forgot the date) has an article of a German bank CEO who did some high wire act with American mortgages, while concealing the real risk of the deals to his shareholders, made some 500 million dollars, moved the circus all over Europe from Germany to Ireland, retired to his orange farm in the south of Spain and watched everything explode in his retirement.This is very representative of what went down between the American bankers and their cousins in Europe, yet our Wall Street guru wants us to believe that the European bankers were "duped".If there was any duping, it was a transatlantic top down duping, not one divided by the pond.
Anyway,the damage has been done,
Rather colloquial and conversational.You say
"Anyway,the damage has been done," when you are either talking to someone or writing in a tabloid that does not know the difference between the conversasational "Anyway" and the more formal "In any case"
and now faced with a reality of controlling the pain! And must consider the impact of the problem; how is it going to affect the common man in Tanzania, Kenya and elsewhere in Africa!,
On the content side
who exactly is faced with this stated reality? The piece does not say, so I am left to guess.The Wall St big shots? The Tanzanian government? The AU? The reader?
The presentation
Totally jumbled, this part exhibit the common thread among our presentation.This issue was identified in Clhande's post, that one can see that this chap has something to say, and he probably has all the words and ideas in there, but everything is mixed up. Sometimes I think this has a lot to do with thinking in Swahili and writing in English.
In Swahili we say "Jina langu ni Pundit"
In English they say "My name is Pundit"
This thinking in Swahili and writing in English business will have you write
"Jina langu ni Pundit"
as
"Name mine is Pundit". If you are a Swahili speaker you may not even notice the difference, because it probably will be like the way a fish cannot notice water, it swims in water so much it does not even recognize water.We are so used to people thinking in Swahili and writing English with a Swahili flow, that sometimes we do not even notice that the order of arrangement of words is totally off.
Millions of people in the US who invested their lifetime savings in the stock market have watched their funds melt in their own eyes.
Some people count the words in an article, and that number is justified by the content.If you have an unnecessarity lenghty article the environmentalist may rise up in arms for unnecessarily cutting trees by proxy, they can even tell you how many trees by the number of circulation.I will show you what conciseness and economy of words is.I can rewrite the same thing more concisely and just as comprehensively.
Millions of people in the US who invested their lifetime savings in the stock market have watched their funds melt in their own eyes.
Millions of US investors with lifetime savings in the stock market....
Plus, investors cannot watch "funds melt in their own eyes", if the funds melt in their own eyes, which eyes are you referring to? The funds eyes? the investors eyes? We know funds cannot have eyes, so it must be investors eyes, but if investors watched funds melt in their (investors) eyes, what did they use to watch those funds? Surely it couldn't be their eyes since their eyes must have been burning with all the funds melting in them!
What is this guy, in the singularity's sake, referring to?
A man or other a client, for Pete's sake, what is this will somebody tell me? I know some of you must think I was splitting hairs up there, but this? This guy is worse than some of the kids I know going to those English media schools.
who invested his savings in the stock option plan, in one of the now gone companies,
An investor with savings in a stock option plan of one of the kaput/ defunct companies...
A man or other a client, who invested his saving in the stock option plan, in one of the now gone companies,
I don't believe in hell, but to an English Lit type, this must look like it.
lost $4 million in less than a year;,
For an investor my man is not very good with numbers, less than a year can be a nanosecond second or 365 flat days. I can easily accept less than an hour as a reasonable timescale when it comes to investment assesment as in "The Dow tumbled a percentage point in less than an hour" in fact for something with a known net value, I can even take less than a year, but I have to know at least in rough figures what is the loss as a fraction of the whole for example in percentage terms. If Bill gates with his 60 Billions lose $ 4 million in a year (remove the less than because it complicates everything) then he is doing very well because that is a very small percentage of his net wealth.More than a year and less than a year are both tending to infinity or at least the less than ayear is tending to the Plank scale of time while the more than a year is tending to infinity.I doubt if he know that equations do not like the two extremes.
People are loosing their jobs,
Grammatically incorrect, people are losing their jobs, not loosing their jobs
Even the bots at Goggle know the difference, try them.
many businesses closing their doors,
many people
are closing their doors
Why put the are in the first part but not in the second? If you don't want to write the are, you can simply write
"With people losing jobs, many businesses closing their doors..."
people can no longer afford paying their once owned expensive assets. Banks and many financial institutions are collapsing at an alarming rate. Millions around the world are rapidly depleting their savings.
I am seeing more of the "thinking in Swahili and writing in English plague".More than that, he is long on narrative and short on data, if he is aware that a number of his readers must be aware with the basic details of the meltdown, what is he adding to that knowledge? Some statistics? Some data? No, just something that any Tom Dick or Harry in high school can write as an Economics essay, in fact Tom Dick or Harry can do much better with a few google searches and fling down some convincing charts and data coutresy of Wikipedia, this chap cannot even do that.
Even though the Central Banks around the world have taken aggressive and swift measures to curb the problem by cutting interest rates and pumping almost a Trillion dollar rescue packages into their respective economies, so far the effort have not calmed the anxiety, the problem seems very deep entrenched than many thought.
A trillion dollars, however large it is, is not spelled with a capital T.
You cannot say
"a trillion dollar rescue packages"
It is either a trillion dollar rescue package or rescue packages to the tune of a trillion dollars
You cannot say "the problem seems very deep entrenched"
You can say "the problem seems deeply entrenched" note very and deep together are redundant, and if you want to use entrenched, you must use deeply, there is no such thing as deep entrenched.deep is an adjective, deeply is an adverb.i wonder if my man knows enough about parts of speech.
That means, the meltdown was not limited to the Sub prime, it is in the credit, manufacturing and even retail.
Is the meltdown over? If it is this is news to me, if it isn't why is it being referred to in the past tense?
When major banks cannot meet their Liquidity requirements
Again unnecessary capitalization, I know some words sound gravely important, but that does not mean they have to be capitalized.there are rules of capitalization, if you cannot follow these in a published article I will begin to wonder if you can follow complex banking procedures and rituals.
as in the case of several fallen US banks, when Short term lending
The other chap was overdiagnosed with dyslexia, I am at a loss as to what this condition is.
becomes a problem, when commercial paper is not attainable, the economy goes into its knees.
a problem, when commerial ...
can be more eloquently morphed into
"a problem and commerial..."
or "when short term lending becomes a problem, commercial paper is not available..."
Many companies depend on these short term instruments to finance their day to day operations, short term projects, as well as meeting their payroll needs. And when they can't secure these instruments, it means they stop their operations.
They they they their
where are anecdotes to illustrate your point?
Likelihood of companies letting their employees go
The likelihood of.. this guy puts an indefinite article where a definite article should be and a definite article where an indefinite article belongs!
due to payroll problems are very real.
Due to payroll problems are very real? Are you kidding me or confusing "Due to" with "Because"? These are not interchangeable you know.
This guy is turning out to be worse than Jackie Chan in them Rush Hour movies!
You can say
"Due to some very real/ pronounced payroll problems"
Or
"Because payroll problems are very real"
But not
"Due to payroll problems are very real"
LIBOR, a system used in the UK and partly in the US for inter-bank lending
What is LIBOR? for non financial professionals writing in full London Inter Bank Offered Rate can be very descriptive and helpful in elaborating what this LIBOR beats is, once you define this beast, you can keep abbreaviating as much as you like, but not before you write it in full.
One would be excused for thinking that the writer is trying to say that this LIBOR beast, which is used in the UK, And partly in the "United States for inter-bank lending"
who is this "United States for inter-bank lending" where is he?
The more appropriate sentence would have been
LIBOR, an inter-bank lending system used in the UK, and partly in the USA....
whose rates have gone up,
By how much? over what period? what is the usual rate increase/ decrease over the same comparable period?
shows that we are in for a long and tough ride,
Are we to take your word on faith or start searching for the exact information you are referring to? Then what is the point of reading from you?
raising the inability of Banks to issue loans to individuals and companies lacking highest ratings in the ratings circles.
Case in point? Surely we are in a meltdown and fishing for an example to beef up your point should not be that hard, so why the lazyness?
The Global Markets are plummeting, due to the fact that, investors are worried, no individuals or companies want to put their investments in the risky market, and many (millions) are pulling out their investments. Consumers are scared to spend, and this is leaving experts without any cure to the disease, that is spreading globally.
This sounds like a shallow non specific details starved description of a generalist, is this the best you can offer? I know this already, tell me how this interconnects with the tuition loans, municipal finances, the auto industry and how that is going to start a domino effect, with every auto industry job supporting some 12 other jobs etc etc.tell me how exactly this will roll down to Silicon Valley, and what that will mean to Tech jobs and immigration to the USA and even remmittances to Tanzania.
Many of you know that Wall-Street or other financial markets are driven by speculation
Or is not the right word there, are you sure about WALL St or not? Are you confusing AND with OR? Logically these two words mean very different things, did you take a glance at set theory by the way? It may help enlighten the nature of AND and OR.
as you witnessed early during the year
As you may have witnessed is more like it.I may have been too engrossed in my Vodka, or up in the wilderness or anywhere but in the midts of following the markets.
when energy prices went off the roof
Unless you are talking in the social science sense, as in "the price of loyalty" and the price of truth" there is no such thing as energy prices, there is gasoline prices, kerosene prices and energy costs.this is an American bastardization of the English language gulped by "US based Tanzanian Investors" with no clue.
in the Western World; this was fueled by speculation of war outbreak in the Persian Gulf, Economic boom in Asia Pacific, and India. Now that economic boom has taken a downward trend, so has the demand and the prices. Speculation has now turned into fear for the worse,
Asia Pacific is not a country or continent, it is a region.Just as you had to specify "in the Persian Gulf" you also must specify "in the Asia Pacific region". Moreover, India, though categorized as a subcontinent, is still in Asia and therefore included in Asia Pacific, so "Asia Pacific and India" is double counting India.I wonder if you only double count countries, or even dollars.
The role of speculation is overrated anyway, and I would expect a knowledgeable Wall St type to enlighten the masses on this.It sounds as if you are parroting the populist rhetoric of John McCain than dishing out sound and original Wall St thinking.Demand is what drive speculation, curb demand and speculation will die a natural death, one has to only look at the gyrating price of oil to know that.
These are symptoms of an economic recession, and even though further bear the hallmarks of the 1929 great depression, we are optimistic things will turn around before we get into a similar economic tragedy.
Did you mean
"and though they...."
Can you be specific? You a jet setting Wall St type now, who are "our people"? do you mean Tanzanian peasants? The Tanzanian middle class? Wall St investment bankers? Tanzanians in the diaspora?
fear is the worst enemy of any human being.
"To our people, fear is the worst enemy of any human being"? If this applies to any human being, why start with "To our people"?
Do not fear or panic in these uncertain times. Go about your daily activities, and please.
First do not fear
• Abstain and cut OFF completely, all the unnecessary spending, and purchases
I can get this advice from a grandpa type in the village, I don't need an investment banker for this.tell me something I don't know.
• Do not rush into the bank to remove your deposits, because you will create an environment in which banks liquidity runs to zero, hence a collapse.
OK, do not fear
• Make sure you ask from your bank how much money they insure with the central bank as those in America and Europe, be assured that, All your deposits are safe. Bank of England and European Union Central Banks are currently in charge of all deposits
Totally worthless advice in Tanzania
• Constantly check with your Bank to see how things are moving in terms of the safety of your deposits
Any websites or bodies (such as FDIC in the US) that can give me an unbiased input? I know my bank is just gonna bs me, yopu really suck maan!
• I know many cannot afford depositing their monies into precious metals, but for those with excess cash, may want to consider this option as an alternative to safeguarding their most liquid assets (cash) and these valuables can be deposited in most of the banks, this will ensure economic continuity in the economy.
First don't fear, then safeguard all your asset, contradiction.
• Be careful, and not fall a prey of con artists with cure to any economic problem. Your trusted licensed banker and government monetary officials entrusted with the task should be the only persons to deal with.
You got that right, but an uninformed advisor like you can be worse than a conman
Economists, policymakers and monetary experts in our country have perhaps taken measures, or have aggressive plans in place that will safeguard your savings, you must therefore be optimistic, at the same time must be cautious not to be caught off guard. Since many of our third world countries are dependent on the West for Tourism, Export, and Aid to subsidize their Budgets, the impact may be soon be felt. The IMF has pointed for a deep recession. Either way, how prepared are we?
I thought you were the expert!
John Mashaka
The Writer Is a US Based, Social Activist & Investment Banker, of Tanzanian Origin.