Special Thread: Yanayojiri Mgogoro wa Ukraine na Urusi. Nini chanzo na hatma ya mzozo?

Special Thread: Yanayojiri Mgogoro wa Ukraine na Urusi. Nini chanzo na hatma ya mzozo?

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Washington(CNN)Senior US officials tell CNN they are disappointed US-led sanctions haven't had a bigger impact so far on the Russian economy and are now predicting that the harshest effects probably won't materialize until early next year at the earliest.

The hope had been that the sanctions would quickly choke off Russia's war machine in Ukraine, making it difficult for the Kremlin to sustain its efforts on the battlefield — and perhaps even turn public opinion against the invasion when day-to-day life in Russian society became uncomfortable.

But the Russian economy has proven far more resilient than many top Biden administration officials had expected when they set out to punish the country in February, thanks largely to record-setting revenues it has reaped in the spring and summer from soaring energy prices. In the first 100 days of the war, Russia earned a record 93 billion euros in revenue by exporting oil, gas and coal, according to the Finnish Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air.

Russia's economy still shrunk by about 4% between April and June as compared to the same period last year. But that's nowhere near the 15% decline that some had expected earlier in the year.

"We were expecting that things like SWIFT and all the blocking sanctions on Russia's banks would totally crater the Russian economy and that basically, by now going into September, we'd be dealing with an economically much more weakened Russia than the one that we are dealing with," said one senior US official, referring to the US and European decision to cut some Russian banks off from the SWIFT international banking system.

Another senior US official echoed that, telling CNN that many in the administration had hoped to see the Russian economy suffering more by now, given the unprecedented severity of the coordinated western sanctions

A separate senior administration official cautioned CNN, however, that the officials crafting the sanctions in the months leading up to the war always believed that the steepest impacts would not necessarily be immediate.

"I think we've had, from the beginning, a view that when Russia invaded Ukraine and we imposed the sanctions, they were going to be, in all likelihood, a mid-to-long term sanctions regime," the official said. "That is because we wanted to keep pressure on Russia over the long term as it waged war on Ukraine, and we wanted to degrade Russia's economic and industrial capabilities. So we've always seen this as a long term game."

The official acknowledged that while there were some "up-front shocks" to the Russian economy, like when the ruble plunged, Russia was able to rally quickly thanks to its energy revenues. Still, this official and western intelligence officials told CNN that they assess that in the long-term, Russia's economy will suffer enormously — both from the cost of the war itself and from western efforts to cut it off from global trade
 
Hakuna nchi inayopenda au kuona fahari wanajeshi wake wakiwa anakufa vitani.ndo maana Alianza Kiev Ili kuangusha selikali.pia kuhusu nishati ni swala la muda tu maana sisi tuona makaa ya mawe yavyo chimbwa Huku ludew,pia Nigeria anavyo pata tenda,Iran sio mda wanapunguza vikwazo wataamza kuuza mfuta kwenye soko la Dunia,Ulaya itaendelea kupata fedha za kufadhili silaha Ukraine
acha hizo ww russia anaonea huruma tu hao waukraine
 
Oleg Boyko, the “deputy mayor for housing and public utilities” of Russia-occupied Berdyansk, was killed on Friday along with his wife Lyudmila, Vladimir Rogov, a member of the pro-Russian administration of Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia region, wrote.


“Today, on 16 September, a double murder took place in Berdyansk. Deputy chief of the military-civil administration of Berdyansk for housing and public utilities Oleg Boyko and his wife Lyudmila Boyko were killed in front of their garage. Lyudmila Boyko headed the city territorial election commission for the holding of the referendum,” Rogov wrote.
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Putin: Russia itatoa mbolea bure Kwa mataifa yanayoendelea [emoji635][emoji635][emoji635][emoji635][emoji635][emoji635][emoji635][emoji635]
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SAMARKAND, Uzbekistan, Sept 16 (Reuters) – Russian President Vladimir Putin said Russia was ready to provide more than 300,000 tonnes of Russian fertilisers stuck in European ports to the developing world for free.

Speaking at a summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation in…

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News Source: Putin says Russia ready to give free fertilisers to developing world
 
kwa miaka hii ishirin iliopita ukisikia iran na urusi wanavyotamba kuboost biashara unaweza ukaogopa sn but ukija kwe biashara zenyew kati ya nchi hizi mbili bidhaa wanazouziana wote wawili hazizidi dola billion 4 kwa mwaka, hapohapo tangu 2007 iran anahangaika kununua ndege za kivita toka urusi but urusi anapiga chenga,
 
eeh mkuu, ukisikia kujitegemea ndo kunapimwa hapo, hizi interbank messaging system za china na mrusi hazijitegemei moja kwa moja kuna mahala zinalink au kudepend na SWIFT so marekan anaclamp hayo maeneo ambayo yanahusisha nchi za turkey,UAE na china
Mir haihusiani na swift MKUU kwavyovyote vile
Ila jamaa wanafanya figisu wanajua kufaulu kwahuo mfumo kutaharakisha kuondoka kwa western dominance
Maana mataifa mengi ama yote yatautumia huo mfumo kukwepa ama kuviua nguvu vikwazo vya western
Ila kwabidhaa anazouza RUSSIA nisuala la muda tu Mir itatumika mpaka hapo EU kwenyewe kama walivyopigwa na RUBO
Jamaa naona aliwatikisa kwenye RUBO wakajaa sasa naona kaja na Mir

Ila acha tuone muda nimwalimu

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😂😂😂

Bome-e huyu wa leo sio kama Bome-e wa jana aliekua analalama kuhusu picha za kutisha akiomba suluhu ifanyike 🤔
Hatimaye mkuu umejibu comment!Nilikuwa Naona likes tu!Nilichosema tusiweke picha zile zinatisha,ila hizo nilizoleta ni taarifa tu bila picha kwamba wamefukuliwa 400+ kwenye kaburi Moja!
 
kwa miaka hii ishirin iliopita ukisikia iran na urusi wanavyotamba kuboost biashara unaweza ukaogopa sn but ukija kwe biashara zenyewn kati ya nchi hizi mbili bidhaa wanazouziana wote wawili hazizidi dola billion 4 kwa mwaka, hapohapo tangu 2007 iran anahangaika kununua ndege za kivita toka urusi but urusi anapiga chenga,
Sasa ulitaka zizidi ili iweje MKUU
wakati watu wanauza na kununua kinacho watosha
Kuhusiana na ndege vita jamaa lipo wazi vikwazo ndio vinazuia ama unahisi kipi
Kilichozuia ndege kuuzwa ndio kilicho zuia SAM system kuuzwa kwa IRAN

Sent using Jamii Forums mobile app
 
Mir haihusiani na swift MKUU kwavyovyote vile
Ila jamaa wanafanya figisu wanajua kufaulu kwahuo mfumo kutaharakisha kuondoka kwa western dominance
Maana mataifa mengi ama yote yatautumia huo mfumo kukwepa ama kuviua nguvu vikwazo vya western
Ila kwabidhaa anazouza RUSSIA nisuala la muda tu Mir itatumika mpaka hapo EU kwenyewe kama walivyopigwa na RUBO
Jamaa naona aliwatikisa kwenye RUBO wakajaa sasa naona kaja na Mir

Ila acha tuone muda nimwalimu

Sent using Jamii Forums mobile app
ni kweli,but bank za turkey ziko connected na SWIFT, so zikishafanya transaction huko system ya Mir then zinatumia SWIFT kwenda destination ambayo isingwezekana kwa Mir, edorgan km edorgan ndio mchezo anaocheza kuendeleza double game yake km siku zote
 
Sasa ulitaka zizidi ili iweje MKUU
wakati watu wanauza na kununua kinacho watosha
Kuhusiana na ndege vita jamaa lipo wazi vikwazo ndio vinazuia ama unahisi kipi
Kilichozuia ndege kuuzwa ndio kilicho zuia SAM system kuuzwa kwa IRAN

Sent using Jamii Forums mobile app
hpn mkuu mi sijata izidi wala ipungue, ni mtazamo tu
 
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