DENI LA TAIFA: Benki ya dunia yaitahadharisha Tanzania

DENI LA TAIFA: Benki ya dunia yaitahadharisha Tanzania

Tanzania haina deni kubwa sana, hiyo ni early warning tu. Deni la Tanzania liko chini ya 40% ya GDP, ambayo ni chini kuliko nchi zote za Afrika ya Mashariki. Angalia chart hii.
CountryDebt (%GDP)Population
Japan
234.182​
126860.301​
Greece
181.782​
10473.455​
Sudan
176.023​
0​
Venezuela
172.077​
28515.829​
Lebanon
160.567​
6855.713​
Italy
127.514​
60550.075​
Eritrea
127.338​
3497.117​
Barbados
127.313​
287.025​
Cape Verde
126.663​
549.935​
Portugal
117.544​
10226.187​
Mozambique
116.597​
30366.036​
United States
109.447​
329064.917​
Singapore
108.788​
5804.337​
Gambia
105.168​
2347.706​
Republic of the Congo
105.014​
5380.508​
Bahrain
102.01​
1641.172​
Belgium
99.075​
11539.328​
France
96.205​
65129.728​
Bhutan
96.051​
763.092​
Yemen
95.828​
29161.922​
Belize
95.526​
390.353​
Spain
95.118​
46736.776​
Jamaica
93.993​
2948.279​
Jordan
90.83​
10101.694​
Brazil
90.24​
211049.527​
Antigua and Barbuda
90.227​
97.118​
Cyprus
89.518​
1198.575​
Dominica
87.255​
71.808​
Egypt
87.077​
100388.073​
United Kingdom
85.924​
67530.172​
Canada
83.81​
37411.047​
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
81.226​
110.589​
Ukraine
76.855​
43993.638​
Sri Lanka
75.186​
21323.733​
Saint Lucia
74.905​
182.79​
Tunisia
73.314​
11694.719​
Mauritania
73.169​
4525.696​
Maldives
72.824​
530.953​
Zimbabwe
72.638​
14645.468​
Croatia
72.576​
4130.304​
Sao Tome and Principe
72.158​
215.056​
Austria
71.966​
8955.102​
Angola
71.591​
31825.295​
Togo
70.573​
8082.366​
Slovenia
69.8​
2078.654​
Burundi
69.449​
11530.58​
Albania
68.501​
2880.917​
Zambia
68.041​
17861.03​
Suriname
67.729​
581.372​
Pakistan
67.444​
216565.318​
India
67.293​
1366417.754​
Laos
66.707​
7169.455​
Montenegro
66.504​
627.987​
Puerto Rico
66.024​
2933.408​
Ghana
65.9​
30417.856​
Hungary
65.869​
9684.679​
Uruguay
65.167​
3461.734​
Ireland
64.858​
4882.495​
Sierra Leone
63.992​
7813.215​
Morocco
62.444​
36471.769​
Nauru
61.689​
10.756​
Israel
61.383​
8519.377​
Finland
59.556​
5532.156​
Gabon
59.342​
2172.579​
Mauritius
59.11​
1269.668​
El Salvador
58.829​
6453.553​
Senegal
58.75​
16296.364​
Namibia
58.517​
2494.53​
Vietnam
58.13​
96462.106​
Malawi
57.586​
18628.747​
Saint Kitts and Nevis
57.547​
52.823​
Bahamas
56.952​
389.482​
Kenya
56.948​
52573.973​
Grenada
56.721​
112.003​
Ethiopia
56.7​
112078.73​
Azerbaijan
56.366​
10047.718​
Guyana
56.118​
782.766​
Costa Rica
55.918​
5047.561​
Germany
55.746​
83517.045​
South Africa
55.698​
58558.27​
Armenia
55.585​
2957.731​
Serbia
55.088​
8772.235​
Kyrgyzstan
55.079​
6415.85​
San Marino
54.606​
33.86​
China
54.442​
1433783.686​
Iraq
54.435​
39309.783​
Seychelles
53.679​
97.739​
Mexico
53.428​
127575.529​
Argentina
52.747​
44780.677​
Benin
52.643​
11801.151​
Malaysia
52.624​
31949.777​
Bolivia
52.315​
11513.1​
Qatar
51.957​
2832.067​
Vanuatu
51.699​
299.882​
Netherlands
50.905​
17097.13​
Ecuador
50.053​
17373.662​
Belarus
49.929​
9452.411​
Tajikistan
49.878​
9321.018​
Poland
49.799​
37887.768​
Iran
49.206​
82913.906​
South Sudan
48.576​
11062.113​
Equatorial Guinea
48.406​
1355.986​
Oman
48.34​
4974.986​
Colombia
48.17​
50339.443​
Niger
47.533​
23310.715​
Ivory Coast
46.873​
25716.544​
Fiji
46.861​
889.953​
Slovakia
46.556​
5457.013​
Samoa
46.249​
197.097​
Malta
45.94​
440.372​
Chad
45.389​
15946.876​
Guinea
44.686​
12771.246​
Trinidad and Tobago
44.673​
1394.973​
Uganda
44.505​
44269.594​
Central African Republic
44.374​
4745.185​
Georgia
44.091​
3996.765​
Honduras
44.081​
9746.117​
Rwanda
43.117​
12626.95​
Macedonia
42.217​
2083.459​
Moldova
41.994​
4043.263​
Lesotho
41.739​
2125.268​
Thailand
41.575​
69625.582​
Burkina Faso
41.341​
20321.378​
Switzerland
41.098​
8591.365​
Australia
41.048​
25203.198​
Swaziland
40.967​
1148.13​
Tanzania
40.717​
58005.463​
Liberia
39.118​
4937.374​
Romania
38.963​
19364.557​
Algeria
38.425​
43053.054​
Bosnia and Herzegovina
38.377​
3301​
South Korea
38.265​
51225.308​
Madagascar
38.022​
26969.307​
Dominican Republic
37.87​
10738.958​
Guinea-Bissau
37.59​
1920.922​
Panama
36.965​
4246.439​
Norway
36.655​
5378.857​
Mali
36.584​
19658.031​
Philippines
36.285​
108116.615​
Cambodia
36.186​
16486.542​
Denmark
35.06​
5771.876​
Iceland
34.881​
339.031​
Myanmar
34.872​
54045.42​
Nicaragua
34.577​
6545.502​
Sweden
34.446​
10036.379​
Haiti
34.27​
11263.077​
Cameroon
34.057​
25876.38​
Turkmenistan
33.616​
5942.089​
Bangladesh
33.357​
163046.161​
Kiribati
32.881​
117.606​
Kuwait
32.417​
4207.083​
Latvia
31.916​
1906.743​
Taiwan
31.826​
23773.876​
Tuvalu
31.486​
11.646​
Lithuania
31.409​
2759.627​
Czech Republic
31.293​
10689.209​
Papua New Guinea
30.67​
8776.109​
Indonesia
30.251​
270625.568​
Djibouti
29.328​
973.56​
Nepal
28.829​
28608.71​
Comoros
28.475​
850.886​
Peru
28.012​
32510.453​
Turkey
27.855​
83429.615​
Nigeria
27.373​
200963.599​
Paraguay
26.056​
7044.636​
Guatemala
24.644​
17581.472​
Chile
24.617​
18952.038​
Saudi Arabia
23.826​
34268.528​
Marshall Islands
23.25​
58.791​
Kazakhstan
23.142​
18551.427​
Bulgaria
22.855​
7000.119​
Luxembourg
22.797​
615.729​
New Zealand
22.689​
4783.063​
Uzbekistan
20.649​
32981.716​
Micronesia
20.548​
113.815​
Russia
19.482​
145872.256​
United Arab Emirates
19.347​
9770.529​
Solomon Islands
16.414​
669.823​
DR Congo
13.315​
86790.567​
Botswana
12.837​
2303.697​
Estonia
8.115​
1325.648​
Afghanistan
6.316​
38041.754​
Brunei
2.457​
433.285​
Risk assessment ya deni la taifa alifanwyi kwa kuangalia GDP ratio only.

Madeni ni accumulated ukianza kuyapangua mengine yametoka Bank zenye riba kubwa, mengine kama hayans riba tu yametolewa na mataifa, etc with their conditions.

Risk assessment inaangalia vitu vingi kama interest rate na risks za madeni (Macaulay Duration) kutokana maturity ya mikopo yote. Debt to Foreign reserves, Import to foreign reserves na mambo kadha wa kadha ya inflow and outflow of capital serikarini.
 
Tanzania haina deni kubwa sana, hiyo ni early warning tu. Deni la Tanzania liko chini ya 40% ya GDP, ambayo ni chini kuliko nchi zote za Afrika ya Mashariki. Angalia chart hii.
CountryDebt (%GDP)Population
Japan
234.182​
126860.301​
Greece
181.782​
10473.455​
Sudan
176.023​
0​
Venezuela
172.077​
28515.829​
Lebanon
160.567​
6855.713​
Italy
127.514​
60550.075​
Eritrea
127.338​
3497.117​
Barbados
127.313​
287.025​
Cape Verde
126.663​
549.935​
Portugal
117.544​
10226.187​
Mozambique
116.597​
30366.036​
United States
109.447​
329064.917​
Singapore
108.788​
5804.337​
Gambia
105.168​
2347.706​
Republic of the Congo
105.014​
5380.508​
Bahrain
102.01​
1641.172​
Belgium
99.075​
11539.328​
France
96.205​
65129.728​
Bhutan
96.051​
763.092​
Yemen
95.828​
29161.922​
Belize
95.526​
390.353​
Spain
95.118​
46736.776​
Jamaica
93.993​
2948.279​
Jordan
90.83​
10101.694​
Brazil
90.24​
211049.527​
Antigua and Barbuda
90.227​
97.118​
Cyprus
89.518​
1198.575​
Dominica
87.255​
71.808​
Egypt
87.077​
100388.073​
United Kingdom
85.924​
67530.172​
Canada
83.81​
37411.047​
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
81.226​
110.589​
Ukraine
76.855​
43993.638​
Sri Lanka
75.186​
21323.733​
Saint Lucia
74.905​
182.79​
Tunisia
73.314​
11694.719​
Mauritania
73.169​
4525.696​
Maldives
72.824​
530.953​
Zimbabwe
72.638​
14645.468​
Croatia
72.576​
4130.304​
Sao Tome and Principe
72.158​
215.056​
Austria
71.966​
8955.102​
Angola
71.591​
31825.295​
Togo
70.573​
8082.366​
Slovenia
69.8​
2078.654​
Burundi
69.449​
11530.58​
Albania
68.501​
2880.917​
Zambia
68.041​
17861.03​
Suriname
67.729​
581.372​
Pakistan
67.444​
216565.318​
India
67.293​
1366417.754​
Laos
66.707​
7169.455​
Montenegro
66.504​
627.987​
Puerto Rico
66.024​
2933.408​
Ghana
65.9​
30417.856​
Hungary
65.869​
9684.679​
Uruguay
65.167​
3461.734​
Ireland
64.858​
4882.495​
Sierra Leone
63.992​
7813.215​
Morocco
62.444​
36471.769​
Nauru
61.689​
10.756​
Israel
61.383​
8519.377​
Finland
59.556​
5532.156​
Gabon
59.342​
2172.579​
Mauritius
59.11​
1269.668​
El Salvador
58.829​
6453.553​
Senegal
58.75​
16296.364​
Namibia
58.517​
2494.53​
Vietnam
58.13​
96462.106​
Malawi
57.586​
18628.747​
Saint Kitts and Nevis
57.547​
52.823​
Bahamas
56.952​
389.482​
Kenya
56.948​
52573.973​
Grenada
56.721​
112.003​
Ethiopia
56.7​
112078.73​
Azerbaijan
56.366​
10047.718​
Guyana
56.118​
782.766​
Costa Rica
55.918​
5047.561​
Germany
55.746​
83517.045​
South Africa
55.698​
58558.27​
Armenia
55.585​
2957.731​
Serbia
55.088​
8772.235​
Kyrgyzstan
55.079​
6415.85​
San Marino
54.606​
33.86​
China
54.442​
1433783.686​
Iraq
54.435​
39309.783​
Seychelles
53.679​
97.739​
Mexico
53.428​
127575.529​
Argentina
52.747​
44780.677​
Benin
52.643​
11801.151​
Malaysia
52.624​
31949.777​
Bolivia
52.315​
11513.1​
Qatar
51.957​
2832.067​
Vanuatu
51.699​
299.882​
Netherlands
50.905​
17097.13​
Ecuador
50.053​
17373.662​
Belarus
49.929​
9452.411​
Tajikistan
49.878​
9321.018​
Poland
49.799​
37887.768​
Iran
49.206​
82913.906​
South Sudan
48.576​
11062.113​
Equatorial Guinea
48.406​
1355.986​
Oman
48.34​
4974.986​
Colombia
48.17​
50339.443​
Niger
47.533​
23310.715​
Ivory Coast
46.873​
25716.544​
Fiji
46.861​
889.953​
Slovakia
46.556​
5457.013​
Samoa
46.249​
197.097​
Malta
45.94​
440.372​
Chad
45.389​
15946.876​
Guinea
44.686​
12771.246​
Trinidad and Tobago
44.673​
1394.973​
Uganda
44.505​
44269.594​
Central African Republic
44.374​
4745.185​
Georgia
44.091​
3996.765​
Honduras
44.081​
9746.117​
Rwanda
43.117​
12626.95​
Macedonia
42.217​
2083.459​
Moldova
41.994​
4043.263​
Lesotho
41.739​
2125.268​
Thailand
41.575​
69625.582​
Burkina Faso
41.341​
20321.378​
Switzerland
41.098​
8591.365​
Australia
41.048​
25203.198​
Swaziland
40.967​
1148.13​
Tanzania
40.717​
58005.463​
Liberia
39.118​
4937.374​
Romania
38.963​
19364.557​
Algeria
38.425​
43053.054​
Bosnia and Herzegovina
38.377​
3301​
South Korea
38.265​
51225.308​
Madagascar
38.022​
26969.307​
Dominican Republic
37.87​
10738.958​
Guinea-Bissau
37.59​
1920.922​
Panama
36.965​
4246.439​
Norway
36.655​
5378.857​
Mali
36.584​
19658.031​
Philippines
36.285​
108116.615​
Cambodia
36.186​
16486.542​
Denmark
35.06​
5771.876​
Iceland
34.881​
339.031​
Myanmar
34.872​
54045.42​
Nicaragua
34.577​
6545.502​
Sweden
34.446​
10036.379​
Haiti
34.27​
11263.077​
Cameroon
34.057​
25876.38​
Turkmenistan
33.616​
5942.089​
Bangladesh
33.357​
163046.161​
Kiribati
32.881​
117.606​
Kuwait
32.417​
4207.083​
Latvia
31.916​
1906.743​
Taiwan
31.826​
23773.876​
Tuvalu
31.486​
11.646​
Lithuania
31.409​
2759.627​
Czech Republic
31.293​
10689.209​
Papua New Guinea
30.67​
8776.109​
Indonesia
30.251​
270625.568​
Djibouti
29.328​
973.56​
Nepal
28.829​
28608.71​
Comoros
28.475​
850.886​
Peru
28.012​
32510.453​
Turkey
27.855​
83429.615​
Nigeria
27.373​
200963.599​
Paraguay
26.056​
7044.636​
Guatemala
24.644​
17581.472​
Chile
24.617​
18952.038​
Saudi Arabia
23.826​
34268.528​
Marshall Islands
23.25​
58.791​
Kazakhstan
23.142​
18551.427​
Bulgaria
22.855​
7000.119​
Luxembourg
22.797​
615.729​
New Zealand
22.689​
4783.063​
Uzbekistan
20.649​
32981.716​
Micronesia
20.548​
113.815​
Russia
19.482​
145872.256​
United Arab Emirates
19.347​
9770.529​
Solomon Islands
16.414​
669.823​
DR Congo
13.315​
86790.567​
Botswana
12.837​
2303.697​
Estonia
8.115​
1325.648​
Afghanistan
6.316​
38041.754​
Brunei
2.457​
433.285​

Ndugu uwe unashtuka na kutumia akili kidogo unapokutana na hali kama hii. Unakubali kuwa Tanzania ina unafuu kuliko USA au Japan? Kweli!

Unafahamu USA inadai nchi ngapi duniani hapa ukilinganishwa na wanachodaiwa? Kwani wewe hujawahi kujifunza kuwa ukiwa na hasi kidogo jumlisha na chanya nyingi = Chanya?
Kwani tanzania tunadai nchi ipi?

Ahaa! ngoja niache
 
Risk assessment ya deni la taifa alifanwyi kwa kuangalia GDP ratio only.

Madeni ni accumulated ukianza kuyapangua mengine yametoka Bank zenye riba kubwa, mengine kama haya riba tu yametolewa na mataifa, etc.

Risk assessment inaangalia vitu kama interest rate risks za madeni (Macaulay Duration) kwenye mikopo yote. Debt to Foreign reserves, Import to foreign reserves na mambo kadha wa kadha ya inflow and outflow of capital serikarini.
Kipimo cha madeni ya mataifa ni hiyo GDP ratio ndiyo inayotumika siku zote; interest za kila deni huwa hazitolewe wazi kwani nyingine huwa ni siri baina ya mkopaji na mkopeshaji.
 
Benki ya dunia imeitahadharisha Serikali ya Tanzania juu ya ukubwa wa deni lake lililofikia trillion 47+ kwa rekodi mpaka mwezi Mei mwaka huu.

Imetaja japo deni bado ni himilivu lakini Tanzania lazima iwe makini maana linaelekea kutokuhimilika

Chanzo: Mwananchi
Tunakaribia kwenye sifa ya kutokopesheka na hapo ndiyo tutaimba wimbo mmoja
 
Ndugu uwe unashtuka na kutumia akili kidogo unapokutana na hali kama hii. Unakubali kuwa Tanzania ina unafuu kuliko USA au Japan? Kweli!

Unafahamu USA inadai nchi ngapi duniani hapa ukilinganishwa na wanachodaiwa? Kwani wewe hujawahi kujifunza kuwa ukiwa na hasi kidogo jumlisha na chanya nyingi = Chanya?
Kwani tanzania tunadai nchi ipi?

Ahaa! ngoja niache

Usiwe negative sana ndugu yangu na usidhani kuwa huko ndiko kuwa na akili. fahamu kuwa hizo data sikuzicompile mimi. Madeni ya Tanzania ni yale ya sisi kwenda kuomba nchi itukopeshe wakati madeni ya Marekani na Japan ni kwa wakopeshaji kwenda kununua bonds za serikali wakitegemea interest, yaani badala ya watu kuweka pesa zao benki wanaipatia serikali wakitegemea kupata faida. Leo hii deni la marekani wakati ninaandika, post hii deni la marekani ni $22,022,691,412,700

Sisi tunatembeza bakuli, wakati wao hawatembezi bakuli lakini wana madeni sana
 
Hii miradi ni ya infrastructure ni ya lazima na hapo Magu anatakiwa apongezwe.
Reli ilikuwa na ulazima gani?

Tanzania ambayo hata viwanda vya nguo vilivyopo ni kichekesho

Barabara za lami zilitosha kabisa kuhudumia viwanda

Reli ilikuwepo tangia mjerumani anatawala nchi hii, iletwe assessment impact/mchango wa reli Ktk kupanuka kwa sekta viwanda

Leo hii miaka 50 baada ya Uhuru barabara bado ni kero kubwa maeneo ya interior za wilaya ni vumbi mtupu, miji yetu nayo imejaa barabara za vumbi

Angekopa hizo trillion 16 akajenga hata Magereza ili kupunguza misongamano Magerezani ningemuelewa
 
Kipimo cha madeni ya mataifa ni hiyo GDP ratio ndiyo inayotumika siku zote; interest za kila deni huwa hazitolewe wazi kwani nyingine huwa ni siri baina ya mkopaji na mkopeshaji.
Pitia hizo documents uone utaratibu unaotumiwa na WB jinsi DeMPA inavyofanywa




Ndani ya Grey Book GDP sio kitu kikubwa kinachoangaliwa sana there are so many other factors.
 
Mabeberu hawaitakii mema serikali ya viwanda ,aah serikali ya makanikia ,uchumi kaukuta unajua kwa asilimia 7% .Yeye kupandisha sasa unajua kwa asilimia 4% yaani umeupandisha kweli uchumi ,we are on the right truck tutembee vifua mbele .
 
Mamaaaaa,twafwa,linakwenda wapi mbona mishahara kwa wafanya"biashara"apandishi?
 
Marekani wao wanauza Bonds
Sisi twakopa kopa tujuavyo
 
Pitia hizo documents uone utaratibu unaotumiwa na WB jinsi DeMPA inavyofanywa




Ndani ya Grey Book GDP sio kitu kikubwa kinachoangaliwa sana there are so many other factors.
Table zake kwa nchi zote duniani ziko wapi. Mimi ninajua pa kupata GDP ratio, na most likely credit rating ambazo hutofautiana kutoka agency moja hadi nyingini. Credit rating agencies popular ni Moody's, S&P, Fitch na DBRS.
 
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