Forex: Biashara Yenye Utajiri Mkubwa Zaidi Duniani Ambayo Hakuna Benki Itataka Uijue!

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What is Price Action Trading Analysis?

My definition of Price Action Analysis: Price action analysis is the analysis of the price movement of a market over time. By learning to read the price action of a market, we can determine a market’s directional bias as well as trade from reoccurring price action patterns or price action setups that reflect changes or continuations in market sentiment.
In simpler terms: Price action analysis is the use of the natural or “raw” price movement of a market to analyze and trade it. This means, you are making all of your trading decisions based purely on the price bars on a “naked” or indicator-free price chart.





All economic variables create price movement which can be easily seen on a market’s price chart. Whether an economic variable is filtered down through a human trader or a computer trader, the movement that it creates in the market will be easily visible on a price chart. Therefore, instead of trying to analyze a million economic variables each day (this is impossible obviously), you can simply learn to trade from price action analysis because this style of trading allows you to easily analyze and make use of all market variables by simply reading and trading off of the price action created by said market variables.

• How do you apply price action analysis to the Forex market?
First, I want to say that price action analysis can be used to trade any financial market, since it simply makes use of the “core” price data of the market. However, my personal favorite market to trade is the Forex market, mainly due to its deep liquidity which makes it easy to enter and exit the market, and also because the Forex market tends to have better trending conditions as well as more volatility which makes for better directional trading and allows price action trading to really shine.
My own personal approach to trading and teaching price action trading is that you can trade effectively from a few time-tested price action setups. There really is no need to try and trade from 25 different price patterns, the Forex market moves in a relatively predictable fashion most of the time, so all we need is a handful of effective price action entry setups to give us a good chance at finding and entering high-probability trades.
The first thing you need to do to apply price action to the Forex market, is to strip your charts of all indicators and get a “clean” price chart with only the price bars in a color you like. I choose simple black and white or blue and red for my colors, but you can pick whichever colors you like (Part 7 will cover an introduction to charting). Here’s an example of my daily chart setup on the EURUSD:




Now, let’s look at an example of a clean and simple price chart next to a price chart covered with some of the most popular indicators that many traders use. I want you to look at these two charts and think about which one seems easier and more logical to trade off of:




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From looking at the two charts above, you will probably agree that it seems a little silly to hide the natural price action of a market with messy and confusing indicators. All indicators are derived from price movement anyways, so if we have a solid method to trade based only on price movement (price action analysis), it only makes sense that we would use that instead of trying to analyze messy secondary data.

• What is a price action trading signal?

Next, let’s discuss how we can use price action analysis to find entries into the Forex market from a raw price chart. As a result of years of trading the markets I have boiled down all I have learned into my own unique method of trading with price action. This method consists of a handful of very specific price action entry triggers that can provide you with a high-probability entry into the market. Essentially, what we are looking for is reoccurring price patterns that tell us something about what the market might do in the near-future.
For purposes of brevity and out of respect for my paid members, I won’t give away all of my trading strategies and entry triggers here, but you can learn more about the trading strategies that I teach in my trading course. In the chart below, we are going to look at a particularly good price action signal for trading with trends; the inside bar strategy.
In the example chart below, we can see one price action trading signal that I like to use in trending markets; the inside bar setup:





• How to use price action analysis to determine a market’s trend

You will probably come across many different indicators designed to tell you what the trend of a market is. However, the most time-tested and trusted way for determining a market’s trend is simply to look at the daily charts and analyze the market’s price action. To identify a downtrend, we look for patterns of lower highs and lower lows, sometimes annotated by “LH and LL”. To identify an uptrend, we look for patterns of higher highs and higher lows, sometimes annotated by “HH and HL”.
In the example chart below, we can see examples of a downtrend, an uptrend and an uptrend changing to a downtrend:





• Where and when should you trade a price action signal?

In my trading course I focus heavily on teaching my members how to trade with “confluence”. When I say “trading with confluence” I am basically referring to looking for areas or levels in the market that are clearly significant. Confluence means when things come together or intersect. Thus, when we are looking to “trade with confluence” we are trying to put together an obvious price action signal with a significant level in the market. There are different factors of confluence that we can watch for, but in the chart below I am showing you price action setups that formed at key support and resistance levels in the market; support and resistance are each a factor of confluence. Note, I have shown you two more price action setups in the chart below; the pin bar strategy and the fakey trading signal.
In the example chart below, we are looking how to trade price action setups from confluent levels in the market:





In closing…
This lesson gave you a basic overview of what price action analysis is and how to use it in the markets. From here, you should proceed to the next part of this beginner’s course and continue learning about Forex and price action trading



ORIENT PRODUCTIONS

 




The Psychology of Forex Trading


I have been a trader long enough to know a thing or two about how most people think while trading the market. You see, most people experience similar thinking patterns and emotions as they trade the markets, and we can learn many important things from the differences in the way losing traders think and the way winning traders think





I would be lying to you if I said that success in the Forex markets depends entirely on the system or strategy you use, because it doesn’t, it actually depends mostly on your mindset and on how you think about and react to the markets. However, most Forex websites trying to sell some indicator or robot-based trading system won’t tell you this, because they want you to believe that you can make money in the markets simply by buying their trading product. I prefer to tell people the truth, and the truth is that having an effective and non-confusing trading strategy is very important, but it’s only one piece of the pie. The bigger portion of the pie is managing your trades correctly and managing your emotions correctly, if you do not do these two things you will never make money in the markets over the long-term.

• Why most traders lose money

You have probably heard that most people who attempt Forex trading end up losing money. There’s a good reason for this, and the reason is primarily that most people think about trading in the wrong light. Most people come into the markets with unrealistic expectations, such as thinking they are going to quit their jobs after a month of trading or thinking they are going to turn $1,000 into $100,000 in a few months. These unrealistic expectations work to foster an account-destroying trading mindset in most traders because they feel too much pressure or “need” to make money in the markets. When you begin trading with this “need” or pressure to make money, you enviably end up trading emotionally, which is the fastest way to lose your money.

• What emotions should you watch for in yourself while trading?

To be a little bit more specific about “emotional” trading, let’s go over some of the most common emotional trading mistakes that traders make:
Greed – There’s an old saying that you may have heard regarding trading the markets, it goes something like this: “Bulls make money, bears make money, and pigs get slaughtered”. It basically means that if you are a greedy “pig” in the markets, you are almost certainly going to lose your money. Traders are greedy when they don’t take profits because they think a trade is going to go forever in their favor. Another thing that greedy traders do is add to a position simply because the market has moved in their favor, you can add to your trades if you do so for logical price action-based reasons, but doing so only because the market has moved in your favor a little bit, is usually an action born out of greed. Obviously, risking too much on a trade from the very start is a greedy thing to do too. The point here is that you need to be very careful of greed, because it can sneak up on you and quickly destroy your trading account.

Fear – Traders become fearful of entering the market usually when they are new to trading and have not yet mastered an effective trading strategy like price action trading (in which case they should not be trading real money yet anyways). Fear can also arise in a trader after they hit a series of losing trades or after suffering a loss larger than what they are emotionally capable of absorbing. To conquer fear of the market, you primarily have to make sure you are never risking more money than you are totally OK with losing on a trade. If you are totally OK with losing the amount of money you have at risk, there is nothing to fear. Fear can be a very limiting emotion to a trader because it can make them miss out on good trading opportunities.

Revenge – Traders experience a feeling of wanting “revenge” on the market when they suffer a losing trade that they were “sure” would work out. The key thing here is that there is no “sure” thing in trading…never. Also, if you have risked too much money on a trade (starting to see a theme here?), and you end up losing that money, there’s a good chance you are going to want to try and jump back in the market to make that money back….which usually just leads to another loss (and sometimes an even larger one) since you are just trading emotionally again.

Euphoria – While feeling euphoric is usually a good thing, it can actually do a lot of damage to a trader’s account after he or she hits a big winner or a large string of winners. Traders can become overly-confident after winning a few trades in the market, for this reason most traders experience their biggest losing period’s right after they hit a bunch of winners in the market. It is extremely tempting to jump right back in the market after a “perfect” trade setup or after you hit 5 winning trades in a row…there’s a fine line between keeping your feet grounded in reality and thinking that everything you do in the markets will turn to gold.

Many traders enter into a tailspin of emotional trading and losing money after they hit a string of winners. The reason this happens is because they feel confident and euphoric and forget about the real danger of the market and that ANY TRADE CAN LOSE. The key to remember here is that trading is a long-term game of probabilities, if you have a high-probability trading edge, you will eventually make money over the long-term assuming you follow your trading edge with discipline. But, even if your edge is 70% successful over time, you could still hit 30 losing trades in a row out of 100….so keep this fact in mind and always remember you never know WHICH trade will be a loser and WHICH will be a winner.

• How to obtain and maintain an effective trading mindset

millionaire-mindsetObtaining and maintaining an effective Forex trading mindset is the result of doing a lot of things right, and it usually takes a conscious effort on the trader’s behalf to accomplish this. It’s not necessarily difficult to achieve, but if you want to develop an effective trading mindset, you have to accept certain facts about trading and then trade the market with these facts in mind…





You need to know what your trading strategy (trading edge) is and you need to master it. You have to become a “sniper” in the market instead of a “machine gunner”, this involves knowing your trading strategy inside and out and having absolutely NO questions about what the market needs to look like before you risk your hard-earned money in it.
You need to always manage your risk properly. If you do not control your risk on EVERY single trade, you open the door for emotional trading to take hold of your mind, and I can promise you that once you start down the slippery slope of emotional Forex trading, it CAN be very hard to stop your slide, or even recognize that you are trading emotionally in the first place. You can largely eliminate the possibility of becoming an overly-emotional trader by only risking an amount of money per trade that you are 100% OK with losing. You should EXPECT TO LOSE on any given trade, that way you are always aware of the very real possibility of it actually happening.

You need to not over-trade. Most traders trade way too much. You need to know what your trading edge is with 100% certainty and then ONLY trade when it’s present. Once you start trading just because you “feel like it” or because you “sort of” see your trading edge…you kick off a roller coaster of emotional trading that can be very hard to stop. Don’t start over trading and you will likely not become an emotional Forex trader.

You need to become an organized trader. If there is something that is the “glue” that holds all of the points I’ve discussed in this part together, it is being an organized trader. By organized, I mean having a trading plan and a trading journal and actually using both of them consistently. You need to think of Forex trading like a business instead of like a trip to the casino. Be calm and calculating in all your interactions with the market and you should have no problem keeping the emotional trading demons at bay.



ORIENT PRODUCTIONS

 
WELL ASKED, Japo nilisikia hakuna haja ya kujua hizi ila me naona upo umuhimu.

hapa hata mimi ni mgonjwa kabisa.

ila leo nipo na tutorial ya BOLINGER BAND one hour learning
 
Very Simple.

Ukitaka kuchora trend lines, unachora kwenye resistances and supports.

Ukishaweza kujua resistance au support ipo wapi, basi kazi umeshamaliza..

Au unaweza kutumia fibonacci kuangalia resistance au support..

Keep reading boy.
pale kwenye chart au window yenye BUY/SELL ambapo market perice action zinakua printed unajuaje hii ni resistance na hii ni support ili uweze kujua wapi pa kuchora.

namna ya kuijua R/S ukiacha hizo ambazo zinakuja na indicator( let say kwenye 4hr chart) unajuaje hapa ni iresistance na hapa ni support ili uweke line za analysis?
 
tutaelewa zaidi naamini

jana nilikua napitia Big shadow ila baado kabisa into practice- Ila ALL IS WELL TUTAELEWA
 
Kama hutojali mkuu bavaria tunamba utupige ka tuition crush kidogo kuanzia kwenye
ceiling and floor,
Fibonacci na
Trend lines huku tukisubiria darasa la mkuu ontario....
I support, Hivi haiwezekani kukawa na mtu wa kuset webinar humu kuendelea kutupiga brush
 
Ontario, nimejiunga JF kwa sababu ya uzi huu tu. Siku zote nimekuwa nasoma nyuzi za humu kama guest tu, Ila kwa madini haya uliyomwaga, imebidi nijiunge.
Karibu, na hongera kwa kujiunga na familia hii ya Wana_JF
Nimeanza kusoma kitabu Cha forex for Dummies Kama ulivyorecommend. Nimefungua Demo.....huu moto hauzimiki Hadi kieleweke.
Hakika hadi kieleweke.

Ikiwa wengine wamefanikiwa na wewe una nafasi ya kufanikiwa, jitihada na kujenga urafiki wa kudumu na vitabu ndio siri ya mafanikio.
Nipo maternity leave kwa Sasa, naona huu uI umekuja wakati muafaka. There is nothing I want like being Financially independent....for myself, for my family....for my kids. Hadi kieleweke.
Hongera kwa kupata mwana.

Ila hakikisha huyu mwana JF wa kesho unakuwa naye karibu sambamba na kitabu cha forex, usije ukamsahau ( kidding ).
 
hahaa....kitu nimeki time,nikatega mabomu yangu kwa kutumia head and shoulder pattern..hahaa...yani kujua haya maujanja rahaa...ila naomba kujuzwa how to calculate hizo pips from the neckline to the head maana naelewa hiyo hesabu inakupa picha ya how far you should expect the trend to fall..ama,ni pips ngapi utategemea kuvuna...
 
Nimejikuta naupenda huu mchezo ghafla, I love this game.

Nilianza jana kusoma kitabu (Currency for dummies) sijui ndio kinaitwa hivyo... nikawa naona mapicha picha tu (Watu tulio soma science tuna tabu sana hapa, neno moja unazama Google kutafuta maana na maelezo zaid...) anyway, kwa bahati mbaya nikazama YouTube, lahaula, macho, moyo, akili kila kitu vikafunguka, hakuna mapicha picha kama mwanzo, knowledge ndogo sana niliyoipata night mda mchache uliopita nikaamua niijaribu, teh teh teh nikiwa na uoga uoga, matokeo ndio kama hapa yalivyo, nilifanya analysis japo akili yangu inaniambia n Dan Pol ulifanya analysis hewa, ila hvyo hvyo, sijui ndio mnaita plot, zote tatu zimekubal






Nilikua natembea na nyundo mkonon yan, yaan ikikaa upande wangu tu, teh teh teh sichelew, na close hapo hapo... huchelew jikuta uko kwenye neg 58... I LOVE THIS GAME
 
Kwenye kufuatilia haya mambo ya trade nimeona kuwa forex trading ni ngumu ukikompare to IQ Option.
 
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