Forex: Biashara Yenye Utajiri Mkubwa Zaidi Duniani Ambayo Hakuna Benki Itataka Uijue!
Forex: Biashara Yenye Utajiri Mkubwa Zaidi Duniani Ambayo Hakuna Benki Itataka Uijue!
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KEMUODIO
Member
- Feb 18, 2017
- 94
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Umeonae kuna news ilitolewa
nguzo1
JF-Expert Member
- Jul 30, 2015
- 352
- 582
Boss hapo naona kuna kitu hakijakaa sawa umezidisha lisaa limoja (closing time ) kwa kila session
pitia marekebisho yafuatayo hapa chini
Sydney --7 usiku hadi 3 asubuhi
Tokyo ---8 usiku hadi 4 asubuhi
European (Germany) ---9 asubuhi hadi 11 jioni
European( London) ----4 asubuhi hadi 12 jioni
Newyork session ----3 mchana hadi 5 usiku
Nipo tayari kukosolewa
nguzo1
JF-Expert Member
- Jul 30, 2015
- 352
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Complex
JF-Expert Member
- Mar 20, 2013
- 4,119
- 4,779
Hakuna news yoyote ile niloiona, Huwa ni kawawida kwa most of the times USD kuanza siku ikiwa na nguvu. Hii husababishwa na pending orders na daily activities.
Complex
JF-Expert Member
- Mar 20, 2013
- 4,119
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Kuna mdau hapo juu amekwishakuelekeza i hope.
Rob Art
Senior Member
- Jul 7, 2016
- 140
- 166
News ilikuwepo mkuu, mida ya saa tisa na nusu, tena rated "High Impact"-USD GDP Price Index
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the viking
JF-Expert Member
- Apr 23, 2017
- 1,170
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boss,natural calamities ni mojawapo ya factors zilizopo zinazochangia currency ya nchi fulani kufanya vibaya sokoni.hii ni kwa sababu[ maeneo yaliyoadhirika hayajihusishi na ukuzaji wa uchumi na mara nyingi wanategemea msaada na hivyo inaadhiri balance ya producing na consuming.iwe ni maradhi,ukame au any natural phenomena itachangia sana katika kuporomoka kwa currency ya nchi husika..hebu cheki hizi news nawe utoe maoni yako
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the viking
JF-Expert Member
- Apr 23, 2017
- 1,170
- 1,372
tena ukizingatia maeneo yaliyoadhirika ni lousiana na ambako mafuta na gesi hutoka.
the viking
JF-Expert Member
- Apr 23, 2017
- 1,170
- 1,372
nadhani sasa umepata picha ya nilichomaanisha
the viking
JF-Expert Member
- Apr 23, 2017
- 1,170
- 1,372
Macro Analysis Outlook
The Euro has been one of the star performers of 2017. We will now try to determine its main drivers of strength, as well as its potential outlook going forward.
Drivers of Strength
1. Euro sentiment had been on the bearish side for a prolonged period of time. This was due to a combination of factors such as weak economic data, the Greek crisis and the rise of far-right political parties. This bearish sentiment has now shifted towards the bullish end of the spectrum, resulting in Euro strength.
2. Eurozone economic data are improving. Germany is no longer the main force behind EZ strength; in fact while Germany seems to be reaching a plateau, other EZ countries are emerging and picking up the baton.
3. ECB governor Mario Draghi has recently been less dovish than usual. During the 2017 Jackson Hole Symposium he shared an optimistic outlook and didn’t talk down the Euro’s recent appreciation. This was a departure from his usual stance, which was seen by the markets as being hawkish.
4. ECB members are already discussing the possibility of tightening monetary conditions in the near future. This will probably involve gradual balance sheet reduction as well as interest rate hikes.
5. The danger of Greece – or another country – leaving the Eurozone has diminished substantially. Just a few years ago the possibility of Grexit was looming large, along with the potential domino effect that could even lead to a Eurozone collapse in some extreme scenarios. Today, such events carry an extremely low probability and there seems to be broad stability in the EZ.
6. When the UK voted to leave the European Union, there was uncertainty on both sides of the equation. As Brexit negotiations began, it’s become evident that the UK government is on the back foot. Risks exist on both sides but it seems that the EU is in control of the negotiations at this point.
7. The US Dollar has been weakening markedly in 2017, for a variety of reasons. The most broadly traded & liquid FX pair is EURUSD and it has rallied around 1500 pips from the lows. This EURUSD move has a side effect of pushing other Euro crosses higher (e.g. EURGBP, EURAUD, EURNZD etc) and sending out a picture of broad Euro strength.
8. The combination of rising global geopolitical tensions with US Dollar weakness are sending safe haven flows into the Euro, among other “safe” currencies.
Future Outlook
Following its recent strong run, where does the Euro go from here based on fundamentals? Let’s take each point in turn.
1. As the Euro rallied in 2017, sentiment has become more and more bullish. In fact the DSI index has now flipped to the other extreme, registering a 93 reading on the 28th
2. The Eurozone’s recovery is still relatively fragile overall, just like other major economies around the world. Inflation is still stubbornly below the ECB’s target and it’s hard to see the ECB tightening substantially while inflation remains subdued.
3. Mario Draghi’s tone may have recently turned more hawkish than usual, but central bankers are renowned for being unreliable in such ways. Draghi is well aware that the Eurozone’s exports suffer as the Euro strengthens, so it’s just as probable that he will be dovish again soon.
4. The ECB members’ hawkish speak has created expectations which must now be met.
5. Greece is not a country that’s been “fixed”. Serious structural, fiscal and political problems remain and they will inevitably resurface in due course. Unless the country’s problems are comprehensively addressed, the exit scenario may resurface to haunt the Euro.
6. Brexit negotiations may seem to have the EU in control, but it’s still very early days. EU officials need to make an example of the UK, in order to deter other countries from leaving. On the other hand, the UK is in the top 3 European countries by GDP and an important trading partner to EU countries. Ultimately there will likely be an acceptable compromise for both sides.
7. The DXY has lost around 10% and is bouncing off big support at around 91.5. For the Dollar to lose more ground, the US economy needs to show continued weakness that will warrant ending the current hiking cycle. There is always the possibility of a sustained Dollar bounce and such a move will put pressure on the Euro.
8. Geopolitical tensions are at elevated levels, with the North Korean situation being particularly worrying. However, it’s likely that these are simply political games that will be resolved with politics, with the ensuing risk-on market reaction reversing some of the recent Euro move.
It’s undeniable that the Euro has had a stellar run in 2017. Looking into the fundamentals reasons behind this move however, it’s hard to identify solid reasons why its strength should persist significantly. Having said that, the trend is intact and momentum is strong. The EURUSD in particular is now at a crossroad that will dictate which way the next 500 pips are going.
From a macro viewpoint we think that it’s too late to enter long Euro positions. If strength continues further then the accumulation of short Euro positions will start making a lot of sense..
Technical Analysis Outlook
The EURUSD bottomed at the 1st day of this year (unsurprisingly since we have made plenty of mentions to the importance of seasonality) and rallied almost 17% since. During this rally it has broken above multiple resistance levels with the most important one being the confluence of the large descending channel that held it in a range since the beginning of 2015 and the horizontal resistance at 1.1450 (look at the weekly chart). Yesterday we popped above the 127% Fib from the last move lower (May 2016 to the low) and came near to testing the ascending T/L resistance that has guided the uptrend since March 2017 before turning around and posting a key reversal candlestick. Today's continuation is forming an evening star formation which adds credibility to the corrective scenario. The 1st support area is at 1.1730 which is the confluence of the broken bull flag resistance (expected to be support) and the ascending T/L support. As long as we trade above 1.1450 we expect the move lower to proove corrective
*stolen*
The Euro has been one of the star performers of 2017. We will now try to determine its main drivers of strength, as well as its potential outlook going forward.
Drivers of Strength
1. Euro sentiment had been on the bearish side for a prolonged period of time. This was due to a combination of factors such as weak economic data, the Greek crisis and the rise of far-right political parties. This bearish sentiment has now shifted towards the bullish end of the spectrum, resulting in Euro strength.
2. Eurozone economic data are improving. Germany is no longer the main force behind EZ strength; in fact while Germany seems to be reaching a plateau, other EZ countries are emerging and picking up the baton.
3. ECB governor Mario Draghi has recently been less dovish than usual. During the 2017 Jackson Hole Symposium he shared an optimistic outlook and didn’t talk down the Euro’s recent appreciation. This was a departure from his usual stance, which was seen by the markets as being hawkish.
4. ECB members are already discussing the possibility of tightening monetary conditions in the near future. This will probably involve gradual balance sheet reduction as well as interest rate hikes.
5. The danger of Greece – or another country – leaving the Eurozone has diminished substantially. Just a few years ago the possibility of Grexit was looming large, along with the potential domino effect that could even lead to a Eurozone collapse in some extreme scenarios. Today, such events carry an extremely low probability and there seems to be broad stability in the EZ.
6. When the UK voted to leave the European Union, there was uncertainty on both sides of the equation. As Brexit negotiations began, it’s become evident that the UK government is on the back foot. Risks exist on both sides but it seems that the EU is in control of the negotiations at this point.
7. The US Dollar has been weakening markedly in 2017, for a variety of reasons. The most broadly traded & liquid FX pair is EURUSD and it has rallied around 1500 pips from the lows. This EURUSD move has a side effect of pushing other Euro crosses higher (e.g. EURGBP, EURAUD, EURNZD etc) and sending out a picture of broad Euro strength.
8. The combination of rising global geopolitical tensions with US Dollar weakness are sending safe haven flows into the Euro, among other “safe” currencies.
Future Outlook
Following its recent strong run, where does the Euro go from here based on fundamentals? Let’s take each point in turn.
1. As the Euro rallied in 2017, sentiment has become more and more bullish. In fact the DSI index has now flipped to the other extreme, registering a 93 reading on the 28th
2. The Eurozone’s recovery is still relatively fragile overall, just like other major economies around the world. Inflation is still stubbornly below the ECB’s target and it’s hard to see the ECB tightening substantially while inflation remains subdued.
3. Mario Draghi’s tone may have recently turned more hawkish than usual, but central bankers are renowned for being unreliable in such ways. Draghi is well aware that the Eurozone’s exports suffer as the Euro strengthens, so it’s just as probable that he will be dovish again soon.
4. The ECB members’ hawkish speak has created expectations which must now be met.
5. Greece is not a country that’s been “fixed”. Serious structural, fiscal and political problems remain and they will inevitably resurface in due course. Unless the country’s problems are comprehensively addressed, the exit scenario may resurface to haunt the Euro.
6. Brexit negotiations may seem to have the EU in control, but it’s still very early days. EU officials need to make an example of the UK, in order to deter other countries from leaving. On the other hand, the UK is in the top 3 European countries by GDP and an important trading partner to EU countries. Ultimately there will likely be an acceptable compromise for both sides.
7. The DXY has lost around 10% and is bouncing off big support at around 91.5. For the Dollar to lose more ground, the US economy needs to show continued weakness that will warrant ending the current hiking cycle. There is always the possibility of a sustained Dollar bounce and such a move will put pressure on the Euro.
8. Geopolitical tensions are at elevated levels, with the North Korean situation being particularly worrying. However, it’s likely that these are simply political games that will be resolved with politics, with the ensuing risk-on market reaction reversing some of the recent Euro move.
It’s undeniable that the Euro has had a stellar run in 2017. Looking into the fundamentals reasons behind this move however, it’s hard to identify solid reasons why its strength should persist significantly. Having said that, the trend is intact and momentum is strong. The EURUSD in particular is now at a crossroad that will dictate which way the next 500 pips are going.
From a macro viewpoint we think that it’s too late to enter long Euro positions. If strength continues further then the accumulation of short Euro positions will start making a lot of sense..
Technical Analysis Outlook
The EURUSD bottomed at the 1st day of this year (unsurprisingly since we have made plenty of mentions to the importance of seasonality) and rallied almost 17% since. During this rally it has broken above multiple resistance levels with the most important one being the confluence of the large descending channel that held it in a range since the beginning of 2015 and the horizontal resistance at 1.1450 (look at the weekly chart). Yesterday we popped above the 127% Fib from the last move lower (May 2016 to the low) and came near to testing the ascending T/L resistance that has guided the uptrend since March 2017 before turning around and posting a key reversal candlestick. Today's continuation is forming an evening star formation which adds credibility to the corrective scenario. The 1st support area is at 1.1730 which is the confluence of the broken bull flag resistance (expected to be support) and the ascending T/L support. As long as we trade above 1.1450 we expect the move lower to proove corrective
*stolen*
Tumekuwa muda wote tukizungumzia forex lakini baada ya kusoma vitabu kadhaa nikaona sio vibaya nikajiunga na club mbalimbali kwa watu waliotutangulia kufanya hiii kitu.Niliuliza swali je ni kweli unaweza anza na mtaji wa 500$ na kufikisha 5 figures or 6figures.Majibu ya wengi ilikuwa ni Yes and No.Nitaelezea kwa nn No.Walichonambia tatizo ni Broker wengi wana trade ila Broker sio wote waaminifu wana cheat why wana cheat ni kwa sababu account yako inapogrow kwao inasoma hasara sasa je ni nan anayependa hasara?Walinishauri kama unataka forex ikulipe weka mtaji angalau wa 5000$.Vinginevyo utahitaji kutumia nguvu nyingi kukuza mtaji wako kumbuka broker wako hatapenda kila siku aingie hasara.Wadau tusaidiane kumbe broker sio wote waaminifu.
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Danpol
JF-Expert Member
- Aug 15, 2013
- 5,727
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"Account yako inapo grow kwao inasoma hasara"
Kivipi mkuu? hebu fafanua kidogo hapa
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AMLIGHT
JF-Expert Member
- Nov 29, 2013
- 1,140
- 843
Inaonekana washauri wako hawajui LOLOTE kuhusu forex, na brokers...
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Sio kweli wanajua mengi ila kama ww unajua zaidi kuhusu Broker unaweza kutuelezea hapa mkuu.Tatizo sio forex au mm au ww ambao ni retail trader walidai changamoto ipo kwa Broker utayemtumia na siku zote tumezungumza forex hapa lakini hatujawahi zungumzia kwa undani majukumu ya Broker.Hatujawahi jiuliza broker yy anapaje faida? na mnalipana vip kwenye biashara hii.
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Mayor Slum
JF-Expert Member
- Jan 4, 2017
- 760
- 1,150
Naombeni jamani nielekezwe njisi yakufungua Demo account nikufungua kwa baadhi ya brokers wanasema not registered in Tanzania , naombeni nielekezwe hata hata za mwanzo za kufungua Demo Account nianze kujifunza pole pole mnanitamanisha kichizi najaribu kufungua ila issue zinagoma
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AMLIGHT
JF-Expert Member
- Nov 29, 2013
- 1,140
- 843
Nimenunua bitcoin. Yenyewe kama yenyewe imenipa hasara ya 2.30. Lakin hapo juu unaona hasara ya 3.22 (-3.22USD).
Hapa chn utaona neno commission: -0.92..
Hasara ya 2.30 + -0.92 = hasara ya 3.22.
Hiyo -0.92 ndo ambayo broker anapga.
Na kuna kingne chaitwa swap. Overnight position holding fee.
Haijalishi umepata faida au hasara, ye chake anakata mapema... So broker yeyote anapga pesa kama kawa.
Kuna wengne wanakuchaji unavyotoa pesa zako kutoka kwa akaunt unayotumia kutrade pia.
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AMLIGHT
JF-Expert Member
- Nov 29, 2013
- 1,140
- 843
Tumia brokers kama XM, FXTM, markets.com, easymarkets.com, instaforex... Hawa hata hapa tz unafungua demo
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Ndio maana nikasema broker hata penda kila siku utengeneze faida kwani kwake itakuwa hasara.Kama unavyoona hapo umelose yy kapata faida so kinyume chake ukipata faida kwake ni hasara.
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