Gesi asili: Is it "day light robbery?" Watanzania tunaibiwa mchana kweupe!

Gesi asili: Is it "day light robbery?" Watanzania tunaibiwa mchana kweupe!

Samahani kama nitakukwanza ila UNAONEKANA UNA AKILI ZA KUUNGA UNGA SANA.. Samahani sana.. HUNA UJUZI NA UCHANGANUZI WA MASUALA YA NISHATI WALA KUJUA GHARAMA ZA MIRADI JINSI INAVYOCHANGANULIWA..
Mkuu Anotonia, kwanza ni kweli, kwa upande wa akili zangu ni za kuunga unga sana, pia nakiri sina ujuzi na uchanganuzi wa masuala ya nishati wala kujua gharama, karibu utusaidie hapa kutumia ujuzi wako wa uchanganuzi,
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Wanabodi,

Nimekutana na hii kitu, nimeisoma, sio tuu nimeshangaa, bali nimechoka, imeniacha hoi, ukisoma ukaona jinsi tunavyoibiwa rasilimali zetu, na wanaofanya tuibiwe, ni wenzetu tuliowapa dhamana ya kutuongoza, mtu unaweza kupata wazimu, ukarukwa na akili, ukikamata SMG, unaweza kuwamiminia risasi Watanzania wenzetu wanaoiuza nchi yetu na maliasili zake kwa bei ya bure kwa wageni kwa jina la wawekezaji kwa kisingizio kuwa sisi hatuna uwezo wa kuwekeza ili kuvuna rasilimali hizo zitufaidie!.

Mpaka hapa tulipo, Tanzania tumesha ibiwa sana kwenye madini kutokana na mikataba mibovu ya kinyonyaji na mpaka sasa ninapoandika haya, bado tunaendelea kuibiwa kwa mikataba hiyo hiyo mibovu iliyoingiwa na wenzetu. Sasa Mwenyeenzi Mungu katupa gesi asili angalau ituokoe kutoka katika hili lindi la umasikini uliotopea...lakini kumbe..., masikini Watanzania!, sijui nani katuloga!, maana na huku kwenye gesi asili, Watanzania tunaendelea kuibiwa mchana kweupee! huku wenyewe na hawa makuwadi tunaowaita ni viongozi wetu, tukiangalia tuu kama mazuzu!. Nchi hatuna sera ya gesi, hatuna sheria ya gesi!, hatuna lolote tulijualo kuhusu uchumi wa gesi, lakini ndio bado tunashadadia kugawa vitalu vya gesi kama njugu!.

Hadi hapa ninapopandisha uzi huu, mwaka huu wa 2012, nchi yetu hatuna sera ya gesi wala sheria ya gesi lakini tumeingia mikataba 23 ya PSA ambayo in reality, we are getting almost nothing!, nil!. Hii ni "day light Robbery!" na inafanywa na viongozi hawa hawa tulio nao tukidhani ni wenzetu lakini kumbe. ..

Hebu soma hapa chini!.

After studying the experience from other countries, the following lessons were learnt:
  • Location of LNG Plant &[HASHTAG]#8211[/HASHTAG]; should be constructed on land (not floating LNG on sea)
  • Reasons: Mainly for monitoring and control purposes &[HASHTAG]#8211[/HASHTAG]; monitoring is challenging because of lack of technology and control means
  • There should be only one plant.
  • The GoT/Tanzanians/Public should have majority shares to the entire
  • Infrastructure say not less than 51% &[HASHTAG]#8211[/HASHTAG]; to have authority say and decisions making for the benefit of the country. It may be on PPP model.
  • The proposed land for construction of LNG and other industries utilizing natural gas should be owned by the government. Facilities like roads, water and electricity should be put by GOT and appropriate tariff should be determined for the government.
  1. KWA GESI ALIYOTUJALIA MWENYEZI MUNGU, TUKIJIPANGA VIZURI, TUTAPATA MAENDELEO MAKUBWA KULIKO AMA KAMA SOUTH AFRICA.
  2. MAKAMPUNI MAKUBWA YA UTAFUTAJI WA MAFUTA NA GESI YANAELEWA NA YANATAKA TUBAKI KWENYE HALI YA KUTOELEWA HALI YA BIASHARA YA GESI. YANATULAGHAI KWA NJIA YA UZOEFU NA WALIONAO.
  3. GAS HATA KAMA IKO CHINI YA BAHARI AU CHINI YA ARIDHI NI MALI YETU NA INAYO VALUE YAKE NA SIO MWENYE UWEZO WA KUITOA ARIDHINI BASI NDIE MWENYE GAS DARWIN THIORY ISITUMIKE KWA MALIASILI YA NCHI YETU.
MY TAKE!.
1. Kwa kukosekana sera na sheria ya gesi, kumbe gesi yote inayovunwa nchini sasa na itakayoendelea kuvunwa miaka ijayo, siyo yetu!, ni ya mwekezaji!.

2. Kumbe eti hiyo gesi huko ilipo haina thamani yoyote kwetu, its zero value, ikiwa huko chini ardhini ilipo, na wala sio mali yetu!, bali ni mali ya mwekezaji anayeichimba na sisi tunauziwa kwa bei ya soko, na faida yote ni ya mwekezaji anayechimba, ila taifa litafaidika na kodi!. Huu ndio upuuzi tulioufanya kwenye madini, madini yote ni ya mwekezaji!, sisi tunalipwa mrahaba na kodi tuu za serikali!.

Bila ya sera na sheria, tuna haraka gani?. Baada ya mkataba wa Songas, tumeshindwa nini kuandaa sera na sheria kwanza ndipo tukaendelea kugawa vitalu vya utafutaji na uchimbaji wa gesi asilia?.

Nimeshindwa kuendelea kwa sasa kutokana na hasira!, unaweza ukaua mtu! . Labda mbele ya safari, kutakuja kutokea kichaa mmoja akiyajua haya ambayo hawa viongozi wetu wametutendea kwa kutokujua kwetu anaweza kupandwa hasira na kuwamiminia risasi wahusika wote wakuu walio yafanya haya au kuachia yafanyike katika ardhi ya Tanzania na kama wametangulia mbele ya haki, akawachapa bakora juu ya makaburi yao!.

Haya akinasisi tunayaona leo, tunayapigia kelele, huku wahusika wakuu wakijifanya kutia pamba masikioni, halafu akija kujitokeza kiongozi mzalendo kwa siku zijazo, akayaibua haya, Watanzania tutajifanya kushangaa na kuingia hasira kwa jinsi tunavyoibiwa!.

Baada ya kuipokea hii document, nilifanya personal initiative ya kuifungia safari hadi Bungeni Dodoma, nikaikabidi kwa baadhi ya wabunge, akiwemo Mwenyekiti wa POC, Mhe. Zitto Zuberi Kabwe na Waziri Kivuli wa Madini, Mhe. JJ Mnyika, hebu tusikilizie if anything will be done about this, vinginevyo ni Watanzania tunaendelea kuibiwa mchana kweupe, na wanaofanya tuibiwe ni hawa wenzetu tuliowaamini na kuwakabidhi nchi yetu hii!.

Sijui ni nani aliyetuloga!.

Mungu Ibariki Tanzania!.

Paskali

Yametimia
 
ABC of oil


Abandoned well: A well permanently plugged in the drilling phase for technical reasons.

Appraisal well: An exploration well drilled to determine the extent and size of a petroleum deposit that has already been discovered by a wildcat well.

Area fee: An annual fee which the licensees on the Norwegian shelf pay the Government for each square kilometre of the acreage covered by a production licence. The fee is demanded pursuant to the provisions in §4-9, paragraph 2 of the Petroleum Act.

Associated gas: Natural gas dissolved in oil.

Awards: Companies that are approved as operators or licensees on the Norwegian shelf may apply to be awarded production licences. The awards take place through licensing rounds and annual allocations in predefined areas. The authorities decide which areas of the Norwegian shelf are to be opened for petroleum activity and which companies are to be awarded production licences.

Barrel of oil: An American volumetric measurement = 159 litres.

Block: A geographical unit of division used in the petroleum activities on the continental shelf. The maritime areas within the outermost limit of the continental shelf are divided into blocks measuring 15 minutes of latitude and 20 minutes of longitude, unless adjacent areas of land, borders with the continental shelves of other nations, or other factors decree otherwise.

Blow-out: Sudden, powerful, uncontrolled discharge of gas, oil, drilling mud and water from a well.

Branch drilling: Drilling from an existing well path towards a new well target.

CNG (Compressed Natural Gas): Natural gas under pressure in tanks.

CO2 tax: A tax paid for burning petroleum and emitting natural gas on platforms used in connection with the production or transportation of petroleum (see the CO2 Tax Act).

Cold flaring: Controlled emission of cold gas.

Condensate: A mixture of the heaviest components of natural gas. Condensate is fluid at normal pressure and temperature.

Continental shelf: The sea bed and its substrata in the maritime areas which extend beyond Norwegian territorial waters over the entire natural continuation of the land territory to the outermost extent of the continental margin, but not less than 200 nautical miles from the sea boundaries from which the breadth of the territorial waters is measured, yet not beyond the centre line relative to another nation.

Contingent resources: Recoverable petroleum volumes that have been discovered, but for which no decision has been taken, or permission given, to recover.

Core sample: Sample taken from a rock formation by core drilling or the use of a sidewall core.

Crude oil: Liquid petroleum from the reservoir. Most of the water and dissolved natural gas have been removed.

Discovery: A petroleum deposit, or several petroleum deposits combined, discovered in the same well, and which testing, sampling or logging have shown probably contain mobile petroleum. The definition covers both commercial and technical discoveries. The discovery receives the status of a field, or becomes part of an existing field when a Plan for Development and Operation (PDO) is approved by the authorities (see Field).

Discovery success: Technical discovery success is the relationship between the number of technical discoveries and the number of wildcat wells. Economic or commercial discovery success is the relationship between the number of discoveries that are developed or are clearly profitable today and the number of wildcat wells.

Drilling programme: Description that contains specific information concerning wells and well paths relating to planned drilling and well activities.

Dry gas: Almost pure methane gas, lacking water and with few heavy components.

E-operation: See integrated operation

EOR (Enhanced Oil Recovery): The term used for advanced methods of reducing the residual oil saturation in the reservoir.

Exploration well: A well drilled to prove a possible deposit of petroleum or obtain information to delimit a discovered deposit. The term covers both wildcat and appraisal wells.

Field: One discovery, or a number of concentrated discoveries, which the licensees have decided to develop and for which the authorities have approved, or granted exemption for, a Plan for Development and Operation (PDO).

Fixed facility: A facility or installation permanently located on the field during the lifetime of the field. Production ships are covered by this definition if they are intended to be permanently placed on the field.

Flaring: Controlled burning of gas for safety purposes.

Growth in reserves: Any increase in the reserves on a defined field, whether it concerns improved recovery from the same deposit or results from increasing the reserves by developing new discoveries and linking these to the field.

Hydrocarbons: Chemical compounds with molecular chains composed of carbon (C) and hydrogen (H) atoms. Oil and gas consist of hydrocarbons.

Integrated operation: Integrated operation denotes the kind of operation where use is made of the opportunities which new and improved information technology provide by utilising approximate real-time data to achieve better and quicker decisions.

Kick: Loss of control over a well, resulting in uncontrolled backflow of drilling liquid. It is an indication of a blow-out due to the well taking in gas, oil or water.

Licensed acreage: The acreage awarded in a production licence. Only exploration drilling and production may take place in an area covered by a production licence.

Licensee: A physical or legal person, or several such persons, who, under the terms of the Petroleum Act or earlier jurisdiction, has a licence to search for, recover, transport or utilise petroleum. If a licence is awarded to several such persons together the expression licensee can cover both the licensees combined and the individual participant.

Licensing round: See Awards.

LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas): Mainly methane (CH4) transformed into liquid form by cooling.

LPG (Liquefied Petroleum Gases): Mainly propane (C3H8) and butane (C4H10) transformed into liquid by raising the pressure or cooling.

Moveable facility: A facility or installation not intended to be permanently located on the field during the lifetime of the field; for instance, a drilling platform or a well intervention device (see § 3 of the Directions for the Framework Provisions).

Multibranch well: A well drilled to produce and/or inject from several well paths simultaneously.

Natural gas: Hydrocarbons in gaseous form. Gas sold under the name natural gas mainly consists of methane (CH4), and some ethane and propane, small amounts of other, heavier hydrocarbons and traces of contaminants like CO2 and H2S.

NGL (Natural Gas Liquids): A collective term for the petroleum qualities, ethane, propane, isobutane, normal butane and naphtha. NGL are partially liquid at normal pressure.

nmVOC (non-methane Volatile Organic Compounds): The term for volatile, organic compounds, except methane, that evaporate from, among other things, crude oil.

Oblique drilling: Drilling of an exploration well whose path is not planned to be drilled vertically.

Observation well: Production or test production well used to measure specific well parameters.

Oil: Collective term for crude oil and other liquid petroleum products.

Oil equivalents (o.e.): Used to sum up oil, gas, NGL and condensate resource volumes. This estimate will not be exact, but can be carried out using one property as the basis. Energy, mass, volume or value are possible approaches. The Norwegian Petroleum Directorate uses a volumetric conversion of NGL and oil to liquid and a simplified energy-based conversion factor between gas and liquid. The relevant conversion factors are: 1000 Sm3 gas corresponds to 1 Sm3 o.e. 1 Sm3 oil corresponds to 1 Sm3 o.e. 1 tonne NGL corresponds to 1.9 Sm3 o.e.

Operator: The agent who, on behalf of the licensee, is in charge of the day-to-day management of the petroleum activity.

Originally, recoverable petroleum volumes: The total, saleable volumes of petroleum from the start to the end of production, based on the prevailing estimate of the in-place volumes and the recovery factor.

PDO: Plan for Development and Operation of petroleum deposits.

Petroleum: Collective term for hydrocarbons. The term covers all liquid and gaseous hydrocarbons found in a natural state in the substrate, and also other substances recovered in connection with such hydrocarbons.

Petroleum Act: Act of 29 November 1996 No. 72 concerning Petroleum Activities.

Petroleum activity: All activity linked to subsea petroleum deposits, including investigation, exploratory drilling, recovery, transport, utilisation and termination, and also the planning of such activities, but not the transportation of petroleum in bulk by ship.

Petroleum deposit: An accumulation of petroleum in a geological unit, delimited by rock types at structural or stratigraphical boundaries, contact surfaces between petroleum and water in the formation, or a combination of these, such that the petroleum concerned is everywhere in pressure communication through liquid or gas.

Petroleum register: A register of all production licences and licences for the construction and operation of installations for transportation and utilisation of petroleum (see § 6-1 of the Petroleum Act).

PIO: Plan for Installation and Operation.

Play: A geographically and stratigraphically delimited area where a specific set of geological factors is present so that petroleum should be able to be proven in producible volumes. Such geological factors are a reservoir rock, trap, mature source rock, migration routes, and that the trap was formed before the migration of petroleum ceased. All discoveries and prospects in the same play are characterised by the play's specific set of geological factors.

Probability of discovery: Describes the feasibility of proving petroleum in a prospect by drilling. The probability of discovery results from multiplying the probabilities of the existence of the play, the presence of a reservoir, a trap, the migration of petroleum into the field and the preservation of petroleum in the field (see Play).

Production licence: This licence gives a monopoly to perform investigations, exploration drilling and recovery of petroleum deposits within the geographical area stated in the licence. The licensees become owners of the petroleum that is produced. A production licence may cover one or more blocks or parts of blocks and regulates the rights and obligations of the participant companies with respect to the Government. The document supplements the provisions of the Petroleum Act and states detailed terms for the individual licences. Exploration period: At the outset, the production licence is awarded for an initial period (exploration period) that may last up to 10 years. In this period, the licensees are obliged to carry out specific tasks, such as seismic surveying and/or exploration drilling. If these mandatory tasks are fulfilled within the exploration period, the licensees may, in principle, demand to retain up to half the area covered by the award for up to 30 years.

Production well: Collective term for wells used to recover petroleum, including injection wells, observation wells and possible combinations of these.

Prospect: A possible petroleum trap with a mappable, delimited volume of rock.

Recovery: The production of petroleum, including the drilling of production wells, injection, assisted recovery, treatment and storage of petroleum for transport, and loading of petroleum for transportation by ship, as well as the construction, location, operation and use of installations used for recovery.

Recovery factor: The relationship between the volume of petroleum that can be recovered from a deposit and the volume of petroleum originally in place in the deposit.

Recovery well: A well used for production or injection.

Refining: The refining of crude oil is really a distillation process. The components with different boiling points are separated in a distillation tower. When heated, the oil is converted to gas, which condenses again at different temperatures to, among others, petrol, paraffin, diesel, heating oils, coke and sulphur.

Reserves: Remaining, recoverable, saleable volumes of petroleum which the licensees have decided to recover and the authorities have given permission to recover.

Rich gas: A mixture of wet and dry gas (methane, ethane, propane, butanes, etc.).

Rig: A derrick, essential machinery and additional equipment used when drilling for oil or gas on land or from a drilling platform at sea.

Riser: A pipe that transports liquid up from the well to the production or drilling platform.

Royalty: A fee payable to the Government, calculated on the basis of the volume and the value of produced petroleum, at the shipping point on the production site. The fee is demanded pursuant to § 4-9, paragraph 1 of the Petroleum Act.

Seismic (geophysical) investigations: Seismic profiles are acquired by transmitting sound waves from a source above or in the substratum. The sound waves travel through the rock layers which reflect them up to sensors on the sea bed or at the surface, or down in a borehole. This enables an image of formations in the substratum to be formed. The seismic mapping of the Norwegian continental shelf started in 1962.

Shallow borehole: A hole drilled to obtain information about the rock characteristics and/or to perform geotechnical investigations before installations are sited, and which is not drilled to prove or delimit a petroleum deposit, or produce or inject petroleum, water or other medium.

Termination plan: Plan to be presented to the authorities by the licensees before a production permit or a permit to install and operate installations for transport and utilisation of petroleum expires or is relinquished, or the use of an installation finally ceases. The plan must include proposals for continued production or shutdown of production and how installations are to be disposed of.

Undiscovered resources: Recoverable volumes of petroleum that it is estimated may be discovered with further exploration.

Well: A hole drilled to find or delimit a petroleum deposit and/or produce petroleum or water for injection purposes, inject gas, water or another medium, or map or monitor well parameters. A well may consist of one or more well paths and may have one or more terminal points.

Well path: Denotes the location of a well from a terminal point to the wellhead. A well path may consist of one or more well tracks.

Well track: The part of a well path that stretches from a drilling out point on an existing well path to a new terminal point for the well.

Wet gas: A mixture of gas mainly in liquid phase.

Wildcat well: An exploration well drilled to find out whether petroleum exists in a prospect.

Zero emissions and discharges: Means that, in principle, no environmentally hazardous substances, or other substances, are to be emitted or discharged if they can result in damage to the environment (detailed definition in White Paper no. 25 (2002-2003)). Special demands for emissions and discharges in the Barents Sea are that, in principle, no emissions or discharges are to take place during normal operations, irrespective of whether they may result in damage to the environment (detailed definition in White Paper no. 38 (2003-2004)).

Common abbreviations
CO: carbon monoxide

CO2: carbon dioxide

NOX: nitrogen oxides

VOC: volatile organic compounds

nmVOC: non-methane volatile organic compounds

SO2: sulphur dioxide

Sm3: standard cubic metre

o.e.: oil equivalents

t tonne

mill.: millions

bill.: billions

bbl: barrel (of oil)

boe: barrels of oil equivalents

Mbbl: Million bbl 1)

Mboe: Million boe 1)

Bcf: Billion cubic feet (109)

Tcf: Trillion cubic feet (1012)
 
Hapana mkuu,umefika mbali sana kufikiria kuwa kuna pesa nyingi zilizofujwa katika hili.Lakini kama unakumbuka mamlaka husika waliotoa ufafanuzi wa kina juu ya hatma ya Gas ya kule Mtwara.Pesa walizokopa zilitumika kwenye mambo mengi ta kulipa watafiti wa kimataifa, na maandalizi ya awali . Suala hili lipo wazi kabsa na watu wengi wanafaham.
Je,haukusikia ufafanuzi juu ya hili mkuu ??
Mkuu Magema Jr , naona unazungumzia mambo ya gesi asili, karibu panfe hizi, sisi wenzako haya mambo hatukuanza kutazungumza leo!.
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Sina tatizo na maelezo yako mazuri, ila wakati tunaambiwa umeme wa gas ndio sahihi maana hiyo gas tutaitumia zaidi ya miaka 50, huyu anayetekeleza umeme wa maji alikuwa waziri kwenye serikali hiyo hiyo, mbona hakupinga? Wakati ule Utetezi wa umeme wa maji dhidi ya gas, tuliambiwa matatizo ni mabadiliko ya tabia nchi. Je baada ya utawala kubadili hayo mabadiliko ya tabia nchi yameboreka? Kama mtu aliweza kukalia kimya upotoshaji ule, unaweza kumuamini vipi sasa kwenye hili?

JPM ni mwanasayansi mzuri sana, je uanasayansi wake ulianza baada ya mkataba wa umeme wa gas? Mbona hakuyajadili hayo huko nyuma kwenye vikao vya gas? Sisi hatupingi lolote, bali hatukubali lolote bila maelezo ya kina, tumeshaumwa na nyoka. Hatuna imani na Magu wala chochote cha kwake, angekuwa mtu muadilifu angejitenga na huo wizi wa kwenye gas.
Mkuu tindo , mnyonge mnyongeni, haki yake mpeni!, kwenye hili, naomba nimtetee JPM, ndio maana nimekuleta hapa ili uone the situation ya gesi asili kabla JPM hajakalia the drivers seat na kushika usukani. Japo nchi yetu inatawaliwa na mihimili 3, ya Bunge, serikali na Mahakama, uendeshaji wa Bunge ni maximum transparency na uendeshaji wa mahakama pia ni maximum transparency, ila uendeshaji wa serikali ni behind closed doors!.

Chombo kikuu cha undeshaji wa serikali ni cabinet, maamuzi ya cabinet ni kwa mtindo wa a collective responsibility, na ni siri, hivyo hata kama JPM was part and parcel ya utawala uliopita, huwezi kumuuliza kama alipinga au ali support madudu ya awamu iliyotangulia kwasababu mabishano ya ndani ya cabinet ni siri, maamuzi yakiishatoka, then ni maamuzi ya pamoja, hata ndani ulipinga, huruhusiwi kutoa siri za ndani ya cabinet!.

Lakini baada ya kushika usukani, mambo yamebadilika, kwenye extractive industry sasa Tanzania has 16% shares!, wakati zamani we had 0 stake!. Kwa hili tuu pekee yake, kiukweli kabisa JPM, anastahili pongezi za dhati, japo bado kuna changamoto kubwa ya sheria hii kuwa applicable retroactively, kwa wenye mikataba ya awali kumgomea, na kwa vile madini ni diminishing resources, kwenye hii dilly dailying, resources might be depleted!.

Rudisha tuu imani, good things are coming!.
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Mkuu tindo , mnyonge mnyongeni, haki yake mpeni!, kwenye hili, naomba nimtetee JPM, ndio maana nimekuleta hapa ili uone the situation ya gesi asili kabla JPM hajakalia the drivers seat na kushika usukani. Japo nchi yetu inatawaliwa na mihimili 3, ya Bunge, serikali na Mahakama, uendeshaji wa Bunge ni maximum transparency na uendeshaji wa mahakama pia ni maximum transparency, ila uendeshaji wa serikali ni behind closed doors!. Chombo kikuu cha undeshaji wa serikali ni cabinet, maamuzi ya cabinet ni kwa mtindo wa a collective responsibility, na ni siri, hivyo hata kama JPM was part and parcel ya utawala uliopita, huwezi kumuuliza kama alipinga au ali support madudu ya awamu iliyotangulia kwasababu mabishano ya ndani ya cabinet ni siri, maamuzi yakiishatoka, then ni maamuzi ya pamoja, hata ndani ulipinga, huruhusiwi kutoa siri za ndani ya cabinet!.

Lakini baada ya kushika usukani, mambo yamebadilika, kwenye extractive industry sasa Tanzania has 16% shares!, wakati zamani we had 0 stake!. Kwa hili tuu pekee yake, kiukweli kabisa JPM, anastahili pongezi za dhati, japo bado kuna changamoto kubwa ya sheria hii kuwa applicable retroactively, kwa wenye mikataba ya awali kumgomea, na kwa vile madini ni diminishing resources, kwenye hii dilly dailying, resources might be depleted!.

Rudisha tuu imani, good things are coming!.
P

Mkuu mimi sina imani na mtu awaye yote, nataka katiba mpya ile rasimu ya Warioba. Huo ubora wa kiongozi yoyote uonekanie kwenye katiba bora iliyo na maoni yetu wananchi. Sio kwamba JPM hana mazuri yake, bali mapungufu yake ambayo hayana ulazima wowote, kunanifanya hata mazuri yake nisiyaone. Ndio maana nasisitiza katiba bora ili tujivunie mifumo na sio mtu. Kwangu ni ngumu kusifia wali hata uwe mzuri vipi na mtamu vipi, kama una mawe kwangu ni kazi bure.
 
Mkuu mimi sina imani na mtu awaye yote, nataka katiba mpya ile rasimu ya Warioba. Huo ubora wa kiongozi yoyote uonekanie kwenye katiba bora iliyo na maoni yetu wananchi. Sio kwamba JPM hana mazuri yake, bali mapungufu yake ambayo hayana ulazima wowote, kunanifanya hata mazuri yake nisiyaone. Ndio maana nasisitiza katiba bora ili tujivunie mifumo na sio mtu. Kwangu ni ngumu kusifia wali hata uwe mzuri vipi na mtamu vipi, kama una mawe kwangu ni kazi bure.
Mkuu tindo , kwanza naendelea kuheshimu mawazo yako hata kama sikubaliani na wewe kila kitu ila kwenye yale ya msingi, tuko pamoja likiwemo hilo la Tanzania kuhitaji
kujenga mifumo imara, systematics na sio personalities.

Tuko watu wa aina mbili, the perfectionist and the ordinary humanely, the perfectionist wanamtaka JPM anayetumia perfectionism kama malaika wakati in reality JPM is only a human ana mazuri yake as well as ana madhaifu yake ya kibinaadamu as a human beings wengine wote, ukimwangalia kwa jicho la perfectionist, utaona mapungufu tuu kwasababu unatafuta perfect, and no one is perfect, lakini ukimwangalia kwa jicho la humanely, utamuona kama ni binadamu tuu kama wewe na utayaona mema na mazuri yake, sasa uki concentrates kwenye mazuri, utamkubali!.

Dini zote zinatufunza kuwa na shukrani kwa yote, be appreciative, shukuru kwa yote hata kwa kidogo ili uweze kupatiwa kikubwa!. And if you can’t get what you want, just take what you get, ukikikosa ulicho kitaka, then pokea ulichopatiwa. JPM ndio chaguo la Mungu kwa Tanzania na huwezi amini anaweza kutuachia katiba mpya ya wananchi!.
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Mkuu tindo , mnyonge mnyongeni, haki yake mpeni!, kwenye hili, naomba nimtetee JPM, ndio maana nimekuleta hapa ili uone the situation ya gesi asili kabla JPM hajakalia the drivers seat na kushika usukani. Japo nchi yetu inatawaliwa na mihimili 3, ya Bunge, serikali na Mahakama, uendeshaji wa Bunge ni maximum transparency na uendeshaji wa mahakama pia ni maximum transparency, ila uendeshaji wa serikali ni behind closed doors!. Chombo kikuu cha undeshaji wa serikali ni cabinet, maamuzi ya cabinet ni kwa mtindo wa a collective responsibility, na ni siri, hivyo hata kama JPM was part and parcel ya utawala uliopita, huwezi kumuuliza kama alipinga au ali support madudu ya awamu iliyotangulia kwasababu mabishano ya ndani ya cabinet ni siri, maamuzi yakiishatoka, then ni maamuzi ya pamoja, hata ndani ulipinga, huruhusiwi kutoa siri za ndani ya cabinet!.

Lakini baada ya kushika usukani, mambo yamebadilika, kwenye extractive industry sasa Tanzania has 16% shares!, wakati zamani we had 0 stake!. Kwa hili tuu pekee yake, kiukweli kabisa JPM, anastahili pongezi za dhati, japo bado kuna changamoto kubwa ya sheria hii kuwa applicable retroactively, kwa wenye mikataba ya awali kumgomea, na kwa vile madini ni diminishing resources, kwenye hii dilly dailying, resources might be depleted!.

Rudisha tuu imani, good things are coming!.
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Mada ya mkononi ni gas asilia. Umesema Tanzania inapata 16% wakati zamani ilikuwa inapata 0%. Je kwenye gas asilia ilikuwa imetoka shares zimeongezeka kwa asilimia gani kutoka ngapi?

Wakati wa Nyerere sekta ya madini na utalii zilikuwa almost zero percent ya uchumi. Sekta kubwa ilikuwa ni kilimo. Kuanzia 1985 serikali ikaanza kukuza sekta za utalii na kilimo. Je ulitegemea Mkapa aanze na kuchukua 16% shares.

JPM ameingia amekuta sekta za madini na utalii zinakimbia full cylinders. Sasa yeye angeongeza vipi shares mpaka 16% kama zisingekuwepo hizo sekta?

Hata Saudi Arabia, Iran...etc sekta zilikuwa kwa wageni kwanza. Mpaka zilipokuwa ndipo waliweza kuchukua. Wakati mwingine mtoe heshima kwa watu walioweka misingi.
 
Mkuu tindo , kwanza naendelea kuheshimu mawazo yako hata kama sikubaliani na wewe kila kitu ila kwenye yale ya msingi, tuko pamoja likiwemo hilo la Tanzania kuhitaji
kujenga mifumo imara, systematics na sio personalities.

Tuko watu wa aina mbili, the perfectionist and the ordinary humanely, the perfectionist wanamtaka JPM anayetumia perfectionism kama malaika wakati in reality JPM is only a human ana mazuri yake as well as ana madhaifu yake ya kibinaadamu as a human beings wengine wote, ukimwangalia kwa jicho la perfectionist, utaona mapungufu tuu kwasababu unatafuta perfect, and no one is perfect, lakini ukimwangalia kwa jicho la humanely, utamuona kama ni binadamu tuu kama wewe na utayaona mema na mazuri yake, sasa uki concentrates kwenye mazuri, utamkubali!. Dini zote zinatufunza kuwa na shukrani kwa yote, be appreciative, shukuru kwa yote hata kwa kidogo ili uweze kupatiwa kikubwa!. And if you can’t get what you want, just take what you get, ukikikosa ulicho kitaka, then pokea ulichopatiwa. JPM ndio chaguo la Mungu kwa Tanzania na huwezi amini anaweza kutuachia katiba mpya ya wananchi!.
P

Mkuu siko hapa kutaka ww ukubaliane na mimi kwa kila kitu, na sio kila kitu tu, hata usipokubaliana chochote na mimi poa tu. Ninachoamini sihitaji kuungwa mkono na yoyote ili niweze kukiamini. Kwenye post nimesema sio kwamba Magu hana mazuri, nikisema hivyo nitakuwa ninajidanganya mwenyewe, anayo sana tu. Lakini nikimuweka kwenye mizani, mazuri yake anayaoffset na mabaya/mapungufu yake.

Hilo la kwamba anaweza kutuachia katiba mpya, sioni akilifanya kutokana na hulka zake. Na nitashangaa sana akituacha na katiba mpya yenye tija. Simply hilo ni jambo lililo nje ya uwezo wake kwa sasa, na hata kwa utashi wake.
 
Mada ya mkononi ni gas asilia. Umesema Tanzania inapata 16% wakati zamani ilikuwa inapata 0%. Je kwenye gas asilia ilikuwa imetoka shares zimeongezeka kwa asilimia gani kutoka ngapi?

Wakati wa Nyerere sekta ya madini na utalii zilikuwa almost zero percent ya uchumi. Sekta kubwa ilikuwa ni kilimo. Kuanzia 1985 serikali ikaanza kukuza sekta za utalii na kilimo. Je ulitegemea Mkapa aanze na kuchukua 16% shares.

JPM ameingia amekuta sekta za madini na utalii zinakimbia full cylinders. Sasa yeye angeongeza vipi shares mpaka 16% kama zisingekuwepo hizo sekta?

Hata Saudi Arabia, Iran...etc sekta zilikuwa kwa wageni kwanza. Mpaka zilipokuwa ndipo waliweza kuchukua. Wakati mwingine mtoe heshima kwa watu walioweka misingi.
Mkuu Zakumi , kanuni ya pongezi ni aliyefanya na sio aliyejenga mazingira, hata kwenye uzazi wa mtoto, anayepongezwa ni aliyebeba na sio aliyeipachika!. Aliyegawa vitalu vya gesi ni JK, aliyeweka 16% ni JPM, sasa ulitaka tumpongeze na JK kwa kugawa bure gesi yetu eti kwasababu tuu alikaribisha wawekezaji?. Naendelea kusisitiza, mnyonge mnyongeni, lakini haki yake mpeni!. Hii 16% stakes kwenye extractive industries ni bingo kwa JPM.
P
 
Hilo la kwamba anaweza kutuachia katiba mpya, sioni akilifanya kutokana na hulka zake. Na nitashangaa sana akituacha na katiba mpya yenye tija. Simply hilo ni jambo lililo nje ya uwezo wake kwa sasa, na hata kwa utashi wake.
Mkuu, you are not a good trends reader, alisema mangapi hafanyi na akaja kuja kuyafanya!. Watch this man very closely, he is changing for better
P
 
Mkuu, you are not a good trends reader, alisema mangapi hafanyi na akaja kuja kuyafanya!. Watch this man very closely, he is changing for better
P
Kusema hafanyi kisha akayafanya sio issue, issue ni kayafanyaje.
 
Kusema hafanyi kisha akayafanya sio issue, issue ni kayafanyaje.
Naomba nikuulize, Mzee mmoja alikuwa na watoto wake wawili, akawatuma kitu na kuahidi kuwabariki, yule mkubwa kwavile alikuwa anataka urithi na baraka, akamuahidi baba yake kuwa atafanya, na yule mdogo jeuri na kiburi, akamwambia baba yake point blank kuwa hatafanya lolote!. Baada ya siku chache yule baba aliaga dunia!. Mkubwa analia kwa uchungu machoni, lakini furaha moyoni maana ndie mrithi wa mali za babaye. Yule mdogo akalia kwa uchungu wa kumpoteza baba ambaye ndiye alikuwa tegemeo lake!.

Baada ya msiba, yule mkubwa akawa busy kushungulikia mali za urithi na hakutimiza tena ile ahadi ya Baba yao!. Yule mdogo, kiburi na jeuri vikamuisha, japo alimkatalia baba, lakini baada ya msiba alitekeleza. Nani kati ya wawili hao, atabarikiwa?.

  1. JPM wakati akilizindua Bunge la kwanza alisema msitegemee nitaeua mpinzani!. Alikuja kuteua wapinzani, na wapinzani kibao wamejiunga CCM kumfuata!.
  2. Amekaribisha wapinzani sherehe za uhuru last year!.
  3. Alisema msitegemee atakaribisha wapinzani Ikulu, amekaribisha wapinzani Ikulu!.
  4. Siku alipomteua Kamishna Sianga kuwa mratibu wa Tume ya Madawa, alitaka Watanzania wanaoshikwa na madawa China wanyongwe!. Hadi leo hajanyonga hata mtu mmoja!.
  5. Siku anatembelea Magereza alitaka wafungwa wahenye hadi wa kifo, amekuja kutoa msamaha mkubwa kwa wafungwa wengi kuliko misamaha ya Nyerere, Mwinyi Mkapa put together!.
  6. Hivyo hata hoja kuwa katiba sio kipaumbele chake, isikutatize, JPM anaweza kabisa kuja kuwaachia Watanzania katiba ya Wananchi!.
P
 
Naomba nikuulize, Mzee mmoja alikuwa na watoto wake wawili, akawatuma kitu na kuahidi kuwabariki, yule mkubwa kwavile alikuwa anataka urithi na baraka, akamuahidi baba yake kuwa atafanya, na yule mdogo jeuri na kiburi, akamwambia baba yake point blank kuwa hatafanya lolote!. Baada ya siku chache yule baba aliaga dunia!. Mkubwa analia kwa uchungu machoni, lakini furaha moyoni maana ndie mrithi wa mali za babaye. Yule mdogo akalia kwa uchungu wa kumpoteza baba ambaye ndiye alikuwa tegemeo lake!.

Baada ya msiba, yule mkubwa akawa busy kushungulikia mali za urithi na hakutimiza tena ile ahadi ya Baba yao!. Yule mdogo, kiburi na jeuri vikamuisha, japo alimkatalia baba, lakini baada ya msiba alitekeleza. Nani kati ya wawili hao, atabarikiwa?.

  1. JPM wakati akilizindua Bunge la kwanza alisema msitegemee nitaeua mpinzani!. Alikuja kuteua wapinzani, na wapinzani kibao wamejiunga CCM kumfuata!.
  2. Amekaribisha wapinzani sherehe za uhuru last year!.
  3. Alisema msitegemee atakaribisha wapinzani Ikulu, amekaribisha wapinzani Ikulu!.
  4. Siku alipomteua Kamishna Sianga kuwa mratibu wa Tume ya Madawa, alitaka Watanzania wanaoshikwa na madawa China wanyongwe!. Hadi leo hajanyonga hata mtu mmoja!.
  5. Siku anatembelea Magereza alitaka wafungwa wahenye hadi wa kifo, amekuja kutoa msamaha mkubwa kwa wafungwa wengi kuliko misamaha ya Nyerere, Mwinyi Mkapa put together!.
  6. Hivyo hata hoja kuwa katiba sio kipaumbele chake, isikutatize, JPM anaweza kabisa kuja kuwaachia Watanzania katiba ya Wananchi!.
P

Ngoja nianzie kujibu kwa kufuata namba zako.
  1. Hakuteua wapinzani, bali aliwateua mawakala wa ccm waliokuwa upinzani kwenye serikali yake. Kwa ujumla alionyesha kiwango cha mapandikizi ya ccm yaliyokuwa upinzani
  2. Hao wapinzani wa kweli huwa wanakaribishwa sherehe zote ila huwa hawaendi. Labda udhitishe kuwa aliwahi kuwakataa, hivyo sherehe za mwaka uliopita ndio kawaalika. Acha kuchomekea mambo ya uongo ili kumpa sifa asizokuwa nazo.
  3. Kuwakaribisha wapinzani ikulu sio issue, ila aliwakaribishia nini, Mbatia na Lipumba sio ndio hao wameishia kushuhudia ukiukwaji mkubwa wa uchaguzi? Maalim Seif si ndio huyo kakubali kula nguruwe ili asife?
  4. Hao watanzania waliokuwa wanashikwa huko China kwani walikuwa wananyongwa kwa amri yake, au ya kamishna wa madawa ya kulevya? Unaniona sina ufahamu nini Paskali?
  5. Ametoa msamaha kwa hao wafungwa sio kwasababu ni mwema, ila ni wafungwa wasio na madhara kwa madaraka yake, laiti wangekuwa ni washindani wake kisiasa angeshasaini wanyongwe muda mrefu.
  6. Yaani katiba imshinde yeye, kisha ndio wakati anaondoka awaachie wenzake? Hakuna mwanaccm anayeamini katika katiba ya wananchi, hivyo kama alitaka katiba mpya angeitekeleza sasa, na sio kuwaachia wenzake.
 
Mkuu Zakumi , kanuni ya pongezi ni aliyefanya na sio aliyejenga mazingira, hata kwenye uzazi wa mtoto, anayepongezwa ni aliyebeba na sio aliyeipachika!. Aliyegawa vitalu vya gesi ni JK, aliyeweka 16% ni JPM, sasa ulitaka tumpongeze na JK kwa kugawa bure gesi yetu eti kwasababu tuu alikaribisha wawekezaji?. Naendelea kusisitiza, mnyonge mnyongeni, lakini haki yake mpeni!. Hii 16% stakes kwenye extractive industries ni bingo kwa JPM.
P

Tatizo lako wewe sio mchumi. Unachoangalia ni kupata 16%. 0% ilivuatia wawekezaji na kuanzisha chachu ya maendeleo kusini. Hao wawekezaji inabidi waajiri watu na hao watu wanatumia. Na hiyo gesi inatoa byproducts nyingi ambayo inatumika kwa mambo mengi (multiplier effect).

Nyerere alichukua ownership ya Mwadui 100%, kitu gani kilichotokea? nuff said.
 
Tatizo lako wewe sio mchumi. Unachoangalia ni kupata 16%. 0% ilivuatia wawekezaji na kuanzisha chachu ya maendeleo kusini. Hao wawekezaji inabidi waajiri watu na hao watu wanatumia. Na hiyo gesi inatoa byproducts nyingi ambayo inatumika kwa mambo mengi (multiplier effect).

Nyerere alichukua ownership ya Mwadui 100%, kitu gani kilichotokea? nuff said.
Mkuu Zakumi , hii ndio faida kuu ya JF, sharing information with others, ni kweli mimi sio mchumi, hivyo wachumi tusaidieni. Kabla ya JPM, Tanzania owned 0% stakes kwenye extractive industries, baada ya ujio wa JPM, now Tanzania owns 16% stakes kwenye extractive industries zote!, hili linahitaji mchumi kutuelimisha ni wapi tunafaidika zaidi?.

Kama kuna kitu unakijua kuhusu Mwadui, please share, nijuavyo ni Biashara ya Diamonds dunia nzima ilikuwa controlled na De Bears, now Petra Diamonds, kama ambavyo Tanzanite One wana control biashara ya Tanzanite!.

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Ngoja nianzie kujibu kwa kufuata namba zako.
  1. Hakuteua wapinzani, bali aliwateua mawakala wa ccm waliokuwa upinzani kwenye serikali yake. Kwa ujumla alionyesha kiwango cha mapandikizi ya ccm yaliyokuwa upinzani
  2. Hao wapinzani wa kweli huwa wanakaribishwa sherehe zote ila huwa hawaendi. Labda udhitishe kuwa aliwahi kuwakataa, hivyo sherehe za mwaka uliopita ndio kawaalika. Acha kuchomekea mambo ya uongo ili kumpa sifa asizokuwa nazo.
  3. Kuwakaribisha wapinzani ikulu sio issue, ila aliwakaribishia nini, Mbatia na Lipumba sio ndio hao wameishia kushuhudia ukiukwaji mkubwa wa uchaguzi? Maalim Seif si ndio huyo kakubali kula nguruwe ili asife?
  4. Hao watanzania waliokuwa wanashikwa huko China kwani walikuwa wananyongwa kwa amri yake, au ya kamishna wa madawa ya kulevya? Unaniona sina ufahamu nini Paskali?
  5. Ametoa msamaha kwa hao wafungwa sio kwasababu ni mwema, ila ni wafungwa wasio na madhara kwa madaraka yake, laiti wangekuwa ni washindani wake kisiasa angeshasaini wanyongwe muda mrefu.
  6. Yaani katiba imshinde yeye, kisha ndio wakati anaondoka awaachie wenzake? Hakuna mwanaccm anayeamini katika katiba ya wananchi, hivyo kama alitaka katiba mpya angeitekeleza sasa, na sio kuwaachia wenzake.
Hoja zote ni kama uhalo wa fisi kwenye choo, nalogoff maana pumba zimezidi Jf
 
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