Serikali: Deni la taifa lafikia Tsh. Trilioni 107 ikiwa ni ongezeko la 14.9%

Serikali: Deni la taifa lafikia Tsh. Trilioni 107 ikiwa ni ongezeko la 14.9%

Inside10 said:
Kutoka kwa Prof. Kitila akiwa bungeni muda huu amesema,

Hadi kufikia Machi 2025, deni la Taifa lilifikia Sh107.7 trilioni kutoka Sh91.7 trilioni katika kipindi kama hicho mwaka 2024 ikiwa ni sawa na ongezeko la asilimia 14.9.

Waziri wa Nchi Ofisi ya Rais, Mipango na Uwekezaji, Profesa Kitila Mkumbo ameyasema hayo leo Juni 12, 2025 wakati akiwasilisha bungeni taarifa ya hali ya uchumi kwa mwaka 2024 na Mpango wa Maendeleo wa Taifa wa mwaka 2025/2026.

Profesa Mkumbo amesema kati ya kiasi hicho deni la ndani lilikuwa Sh34.76 trilioni pekee.

“Ongezeko la deni lilitokana na Serikali kuendelea kupokea mikopo mipya kutoka vyanzo mbalimbali kwa ajili ya kugharamia miradi ya maendeleo ikiwemo ujenzi wa miundombinu ya barabara, reli, viwanja vya ndege, umeme na maji,” amesema.
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Hakuna mtu atakuja kukugongea mlango nyumbani kwako kuwa unadaiwa deni la taifa-By Doctor wa Uchumi.
 
Inside10 said:
Kutoka kwa Prof. Kitila akiwa bungeni muda huu amesema,

Hadi kufikia Machi 2025, deni la Taifa lilifikia Sh107.7 trilioni kutoka Sh91.7 trilioni katika kipindi kama hicho mwaka 2024 ikiwa ni sawa na ongezeko la asilimia 14.9.

Waziri wa Nchi Ofisi ya Rais, Mipango na Uwekezaji, Profesa Kitila Mkumbo ameyasema hayo leo Juni 12, 2025 wakati akiwasilisha bungeni taarifa ya hali ya uchumi kwa mwaka 2024 na Mpango wa Maendeleo wa Taifa wa mwaka 2025/2026.

Profesa Mkumbo amesema kati ya kiasi hicho deni la ndani lilikuwa Sh34.76 trilioni pekee.

“Ongezeko la deni lilitokana na Serikali kuendelea kupokea mikopo mipya kutoka vyanzo mbalimbali kwa ajili ya kugharamia miradi ya maendeleo ikiwemo ujenzi wa miundombinu ya barabara, reli, viwanja vya ndege, umeme na maji,” amesema.
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Total budget for 2025/26 shs 20.19 trillion
Amount set aside for servicing public debt shs 14.22 trillion
Therefore the % of budget set aside for servicing public ddbt is 14.22/20.19 x 100 ‎ = 70.431%

This is 95% of money borrowed from domestic and external commercial lenders.

In effect, you borrow to pay previous loans. This is called debt trap.

Payment for debt servicing is 13 times the expected grants and 42% of the tax collected by TRA.

So more than two-fifths of our taxes go to service public debt.

Source: The Citizen, 5/06/2025 p. 2
 
Kama bw Roma Mkatoliki alivyouliza, madeni ni ya taifa, hizo hizo deni zikitolewa kwenda kwenye mambo ya ajabu ajabu anayojuwa yeye, ni za mama Abdul?!
Chukuwachakomapema Wana mambo ya ajabu sana sana
 
Ban Barka said:
Total budget for 2025/26 shs 20.19 trillion
Amount set aside for servicing public debt shs 14.22 trillion
Therefore the % of budget set aside for servicing public ddbt is 14.22/20.19 x 100 ‎ = 70.431%

This is 95% of money borrowed from domestic and external commercial lenders.

In effect, you borrow to pay previous loans. This is called debt trap.

Payment for debt servicing is 13 times the expected grants and 42% of the tax collected by TRA.

So more than two-fifths of our taxes go to service public debt.

Source: The Citizen, 5/06/2025 p. 2
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Do not worry sir, we are stable economically, and our debt still payable.
 
Inside10 said:
Kutoka kwa Prof. Kitila akiwa bungeni muda huu amesema,

Hadi kufikia Machi 2025, deni la Taifa lilifikia Sh107.7 trilioni kutoka Sh91.7 trilioni katika kipindi kama hicho mwaka 2024 ikiwa ni sawa na ongezeko la asilimia 14.9.

Waziri wa Nchi Ofisi ya Rais, Mipango na Uwekezaji, Profesa Kitila Mkumbo ameyasema hayo leo Juni 12, 2025 wakati akiwasilisha bungeni taarifa ya hali ya uchumi kwa mwaka 2024 na Mpango wa Maendeleo wa Taifa wa mwaka 2025/2026.

Profesa Mkumbo amesema kati ya kiasi hicho deni la ndani lilikuwa Sh34.76 trilioni pekee.

“Ongezeko la deni lilitokana na Serikali kuendelea kupokea mikopo mipya kutoka vyanzo mbalimbali kwa ajili ya kugharamia miradi ya maendeleo ikiwemo ujenzi wa miundombinu ya barabara, reli, viwanja vya ndege, umeme na maji,” amesema.
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Kuna muda nahisi mimi sio mtanzania. Mbona sioni hiyo inayoitwa miradi ya maendeleo? Hizo trilion zinakopwa kwenda wapi?
 
Ongeza kodi tulipe mkuu haina shida alafu kopeni zaidi angalau tufikie 250T
 
Based on the provided data from the Swahili Times, the national debt of Tanzania (in TZS trillion) has shown a consistent upward trend over the past five years:

  • 2021: 60.9 trillion
  • 2022: 69.4 trillion
  • 2023: 77 trillion
  • 2024: 91.7 trillion
  • 2025: 107.7 trillion

### Trend Analysis:
1. Annual Increase:
- The debt has grown at an average rate of approximately 15.2% per year from 2021 to 2025.
- The largest jump occurred between 2023 and 2024 (~19% increase), likely due to external shocks or significant fiscal expenditures.

2. Projection to 2030:
If the current trend continues (assuming a similar growth rate of 15% annually), the national debt could reach:
- 2026: ~124 trillion
- 2027: ~143 trillion
- 2028: ~164 trillion
- 2029: ~189 trillion
- 2030: ~217 trillion

### Key Considerations:
  • Economic Policies: If Tanzania implements austerity measures or boosts revenue (e.g., tax reforms, export growth), the debt growth may slow.
  • Global Factors: Exchange rate fluctuations, global interest rates, and climate-related expenditures could impact borrowing.
  • Infrastructure Investments: Large projects (e.g., energy, transport) may justify higher debt if they spur long-term growth.

### Recommendation:
Monitor official budget reports and IMF/World Bank assessments for more accurate predictions, as linear projections may not account for future policy shifts or economic shocks.

Note: All figures are in Tanzanian Shillings (TZS). For USD equivalents, divide by the projected exchange rate (e.g., ~2,300 TZS/USD in 2025).

---
Data Source: Swahili Times (2021–2025), Projections based on 15% CAGR.
 
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