Special Thread: Yanayojiri Mgogoro wa Ukraine na Urusi. Nini chanzo na hatma ya mzozo?

Special Thread: Yanayojiri Mgogoro wa Ukraine na Urusi. Nini chanzo na hatma ya mzozo?

Meya wa mji wa Chernihiv, Ukraine, mpaka sasa haamini masikio yake na macho yake kama majeshi ya Russia yanasitisha kuushambulia mji huo. Anasema hilo tangazo la Russia kusitisha kipigo 'hevi' kwenye mji huo ni zuri mno endapo Russia wakiamua kulitekeleza kwa vitendo.

Mji huo ulizingirwa karibu sehemu zote na majeshi ya Russia huku ukipelekewa moto mkali wa makombora na mizinga. Makumi ya maelfu ya wakazi wamezingirwa, na mji hauna tena maji, umeme wala gesi...Mustahiki Meya anasema kuwa waRusi ni wajanja sana, huwa wanazungumza kutenda jambo moja, halafu unashangaa linatokea jinginelo.

Mwambieni ndugu mstahiki meya, aondoe khofu, na awe na amani...Zelenskyy keshaelewa vyema somo la Putin...ingawa Zelensky alikuwa ni 'slow-learner' kiasi kwamba ilimlazimu Putin kutumia 'lugha ya ukali' kidogo.

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, kiuchumi na kisiasa na jinsi vita ilivyokuwa inazidi kuwa bloody kila kukicha haikuwa ktk interest ya urusi kuendelea, shida unaangalia ktk angle ya kijeshi pekee. kuhusu swal lako km vita ikiendelea mda mrefu kiev itaanguka maana russia ina uwezo mkubwa kuliko ukraine
Russia wameshakiri hawawezi kushinda vita maanake uwezo wao ndio hivyo umefika mwisho na matokeo yake Ukraine wameshaanza kukomboa vimiji vidogo vidogo vilivyokuwa vimetekwa na Russia.

Russia wamekuwa na silaha nyingi na za hatari lakini hawako vizuri kimbinu na kwa hali hii hata wenyewe wamegundua hawawezi kukabiliana na Nato na ndio maana maaskari wa Ukraine wanafanyiwa mazoezi ktk nchi jirani ya Poland lkn Russia pamoja na kufahamu hilo hakuna wanachoweza kufanya.
 
kuachilia donbass iende itakua jambo jema ht kwa ukraine wenyew but wapigane kwanza ili wasiwe dhaifu sn wakati wa majadiliano, donbass itawasumbua huko mbelen km watabaki nayo
 
Russia Lost the war, baada ya mazungumzo

Ukraine wamekubali kutokuwa na Upande na kutjiunga NATO kwa Makubaliano ya Kusaidiwa ulinzi na Mataifa ya NATO, pia Russia wamekubali Ukraine wajiunge na EU, This means ikitokea Russia anavunja Mkataba wake kwa Ukraine basi Itabidi apigane na Turkey, UK, US na Germany.

Hili ni somo kwetu ambao Marais wetu wananguvu ya kufanya hata wanayoambiwa na wenza wao
Wanadai ni mapendekezo ya Ukraine, Urusi haijaridhia, sana sana kuhusu Ukraine kusaidiwa ikitokea Vita
 
Russia wameshakiri hawawezi kushinda vita maanake uwezo wao ndio hivyo umefika mwisho na matokeo yake Ukraine wameshaanza kukomboa vimiji vidogo vidogo vilivyokuwa vimetekwa na Russia.

Russia wamekuwa na silaha nyingi na za hatari lakini hawako vizuri kimbinu na kwa hali hii hata wenyewe wamegundua hawawezi kukabiliana na Nato na ndio maana maaskari wa Ukraine wanafanyiwa mazoezi ktk nchi jirani ya Poland lkn Russia pamoja na kufahamu hilo hakuna wanachoweza kufanya.
Nchi iko vitani afu wanajeshi wenu mnawapeleka mazoezini nchi jirani?? HII NDIO BONGO SASA
 
Russia wameshakiri hawawezi kushinda vita maanake uwezo wao ndio hivyo umefika mwisho na matokeo yake Ukraine wameshaanza kukomboa vimiji vidogo vidogo vilivyokuwa vimetekwa na Russia.

Russia wamekuwa na silaha nyingi na za hatari lakini hawako vizuri kimbinu na kwa hali hii hata wenyewe wamegundua hawawezi kukabiliana na Nato na ndio maana maaskari wa Ukraine wanafanyiwa mazoezi ktk nchi jirani ya Poland lkn Russia pamoja na kufahamu hilo hakuna wanachoweza kufanya.
kazi imekua ngumu mkuu
 
Mkuu mambo yanayotokea hasa sasa Biblia imeyaongelea wazi,kwa hiyo asiyeamini ni kiburi tu na kwa hiyo hana udhuru.Mimi naomba niseme mtu kama huyo
deserves eternal hell.
Kila mtu akahukumiwe kwa Matendo yake. Wewe Pambana na ya kwako, mambo ya mwingine kustahili au kutostahili mwachie anayehukumu.
 
km wasingepigana kutetea kiev na kharkiv saiv wangekuwa wananegotiate nn km urusi ingekuwa ina control maeneo hayo?? saiv ungesikia tu ukraine inaandika katiba mpya na kuandaa uchaguzi moscow wangekuwa wanacontrol everything....
Huo ndio ujinga tunaousemea, hayo makubaliano Ukraine walikua wapi siku zote hata kabla ya operation kuanza?? Angekubali hayo mashariti Urusi angefanya hiyo operation ya kijeshi?? Kwanini nchi iharibiwe vile ndio uweke P*mbu mezani kuzungumza??? By the way Urusi hakua na lengo la kuchukua kiev
 
Russia Lost the war, baada ya mazungumzo

Ukraine wamekubali kutokuwa na Upande na kutjiunga NATO kwa Makubaliano ya Kusaidiwa ulinzi na Mataifa ya NATO, pia Russia wamekubali Ukraine wajiunge na EU, This means ikitokea Russia anavunja Mkataba wake kwa Ukraine basi Itabidi apigane na Turkey, UK, US na Germany.

Hili ni somo kwetu ambao Marais wetu wananguvu ya kufanya hata wanayoambiwa na wenza wao
km ukraine itajiunga EU basi russia atakua ameipoteza Ukraine moja kwa moja,
 
Mafanikio ya utetezi upande wa Ukraine kuna pande mbalimbali. Mojawapo ni uhuru kubwa wa vikosi vyake vya kuchagua mikakati yake, ilhali jeshi la Kirusi linafuata mkakati wa amri kutoka juu hadi chini - inayosababisha mara nyingi wakuu wa vikosi kusita hadi wamepokea amri kutoka juu.
Tunapata sasa taarifa kuhusu kikosi kidogo cha Aerorozvidka, iliyoanzishwa kama klabu ya vijana Waukraine waliopenda kucheza droni na kupokelewa kama kikosi cha jeshi. Kulingana na taarifa hizo ni hao waliofaulu kusimamisha kundi kubwa la magari na vifaru lililoelekea Kiev na kusababisha foleni ya kilomita 60 hivi iliyosimama barabarani zaidi ya wiki moha ikishambuliwa mara kwa mara na vikosi vidogo na droni za Ukraine.
Hapa taarifa yake:
theguardian.com

The drone operators who halted Russian convoy headed for Kyiv​

One week into its invasion of Ukraine, Russia massed a 40-mile mechanised column in order to mount an overwhelming attack on Kyiv from the north.
But the convoy of armoured vehicles and supply trucks ground to a halt within days, and the offensive failed, in significant part because of a series of night ambushes carried out by a team of 30 Ukrainian special forces and drone operators on quad bikes, according to a Ukrainian commander.
The drone operators were drawn from an air reconnaissance unit, Aerorozvidka, which began eight years ago as a group of volunteer IT specialists and hobbyists designing their own machines and has evolved into an essential element in Ukraine’s successful David-and-Goliath resistance.
However, while Ukraine’s western backers have supplied thousands of anti-tank and anti-aircraft missiles and other military equipment, Aerorozvidka has been forced to resort to crowdfunding and a network of personal contacts in order to keep going, by getting hold of components such as advanced modems and thermal imaging cameras, in the face of export controls that prohibit them being sent to Ukraine.
The unit’s commander, Lt Col Yaroslav Honchar, gave an account of the ambush near the town of Ivankiv that helped stop the vast, lumbering Russian offensive in its tracks. He said the Ukrainian fighters on quad bikes were able to approach the advancing Russian column at night by riding through the forest on either side of the road leading south towards Kyiv from the direction of Chernobyl.
The Ukrainian soldiers were equipped with night vision goggles, sniper rifles, remotely detonated mines, drones equipped with thermal imaging cameras and others capable of dropping small 1.5kg bombs.
“This one little unit in the night destroyed two or three vehicles at the head of this convoy, and after that it was stuck. They stayed there two more nights, and [destroyed] many vehicles,” Honchar said.
A drone is assembled by the Aerorozvidka unit.

A drone is assembled by the Aerorozvidka unit. Photograph: Aerorozvidka
The Russians broke the column into smaller units to try to make headway towards the Ukrainian capital, but the same assault team was able to mount an attack on its supply depot, he claimed, crippling the Russians’ capacity to advance.
“The first echelon of the Russian force was stuck without heat, without oil, without bombs and without gas. And it all happened because of the work of 30 people,” Honchar said.
The Aerorozvidka unit also claims to have helped defeat a Russian airborne attack on Hostomel airport, just north-west of Kyiv, in the first day of the war, using drones to locate, target and shell about 200 Russian paratroopers concealed at one end of the airfield.
“That contributed largely to the fact that they could not use this airfield for further development of their attack,” saaid Lt Taras, one of Honchar’s aides.
Not all the details of these claims could be independently verified, but US defence officials have said that Ukrainian attacks contributed to the halting of the armoured column around Ivankiv. The huge amount of aerial combat footage published by the Ukrainians underlines the importance of drones to their resistance.
The unit was started by young university-educated Ukrainians who had been part of the 2014 Maidan uprising and volunteered to use their technical skills in the resistance against the first Russian invasion in Crimea and the Donbas region. Its founder, Volodymyr Kochetkov-Sukach, was an investment banker who was killed in action in 2015 in Donbas – a reminder of the high risks involved. The Russians can latch on to the drone’s electronic signature and quickly strike with mortars, so the Aerorozvidka teams have to launch and run.
Honchar is an ex-soldier turned IT marketing consultant, who returned to the army after the first Russian invasion. Taras, who asked not to use his surname, was a management consultant, who specialised in fundraising for the unit and only joined full-time as a combatant in February.
In its early days, the unit used commercial surveillance drones, but its team of engineers, software designers and drone enthusiasts later developed their own designs.
They built a range of surveillance drones, as well as large 1.5-metre eight-rotor machines capable of dropping bombs and rocket-propelled anti-tank grenades, and created a system called Delta, a network of sensors along the frontlines that fed into a digital map so commanders could see enemy movements as they happened. It now uses the Starlink satellite system, supplied by Elon Musk, to feed live data to Ukrainian artillery units, allowing them to zero in on Russian targets.
The unit was disbanded in 2019 by the then defence minister, but it was hastily revived in October last year as the Russian invasion threat loomed.
The ability to maintain an aerial view of Russian movements has been critical to the success of Ukraine’s guerrilla-style tactics. But Aerorozvidka’s efforts to expand, and to replace lost equipment, have been hindered by a limited supply of drones and components, and efforts to secure them through defence ministry procurement have produced little, partly because they are a recent addition to the armed forces and still considered outsiders.
Furthermore, some of the advanced modems and thermal-imaging cameras made in the US and Canada are subject to export controls, so they have resorted to crowdfunding and asking a global network of friends and supporters to find them on eBay or other websites.
Marina Borozna, who was an economics student at university with Taras, is exploring ways of buying what the unit needs and finding routes to get the supplies across the border.
“I know there are people who want to help them fight, people who want to do a bit more than the humanitarian aid,” Borozna said. “If you want to address the root cause of this human suffering, you’ve got to defeat the Russian invasion. Aerorozvidka makes a huge difference and they need our support.”
Her partner, Klaus Hentrich, a molecular biologist in Cambridge, is also helping the effort, drawing on his experience as a conscript in the German army.
“I was in an artillery reconnaissance unit myself, so I immediately realised the outsized impact that Aerorozvidka has. They effectively give eyes to their artillery,” Hentrich said. “Where we can make a difference is to rally international support, be it financial contributions, help to get harder-to-find technical components or donations of common civilian drones.”
The unit is also looking at ways to overcome Russian jamming, part of the electronic warfare being waged in Ukraine in parallel to the bombs, shells and missiles. At present, Aerorozvidka typically waits for the Russians turn off their jamming equipment to launch their own drones, and then it sends up its machines at the same time. The unit then concentrates its firepower on the electronic warfare vehicles.
Honchar describes these technological battles, and Aerorozvidka’s way of fighting, as the future of warfare, in which swarms of small teams networked together by mutual trust and advanced communications can overwhelm a bigger and more heavily armed adversary.
“We are like a hive of bees,” he said. “One bee is nothing, but if you are faced with a thousand, it can defeat a big force. We are like bees, but we work at night.”
 
The US will not be able to provide Europe with gas if Russia suspends supplies.

This was stated in an interview with RT by the former Foreign Minister of Austria Karin Kneissl.

“As for the energy partnership that the US and the EC recently agreed in Brussels, the figures show that it will supply only a certain percentage of the volumes that EU importers really need.

In any case, it will take at least four to five years to phase out Russian gas imports. This year it will not work, ”she explained.
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Earlier, Dmitry Peskov said that Western companies should understand the changed situation in the conditions of the economic war against the Russian Federation: it will be possible to pay for Russian gas only in rubles.
Hili la RUBO limekua serious asee maana linavyosisitizwa
Hapa mpaka mwezi ujao uishe tutajua kama kweli EU vidume ama RUSSIA
 
Huo ndio ujinga tunaousemea, hayo makubaliano Ukraine walikua wapi siku zote hata kabla ya operation kuanza?? Angekubali hayo mashariti Urusi angefanya hiyo operation ya kijeshi?? Kwanini nchi iharibiwe vile ndio uweke P*mbu mezani kuzungumza??? By the way Urusi hakua na lengo la kuchukua kiev
km ingekuwa simple hvyo basi palestine angekua amekaa chini na israel wameyamaliza, but why huwa wanapigana????
 
Wasichopenda kusikia pro Russians ni kwamba warussia wamegwaya kuingia kyv
Hivi mbona Russian army ilishaingia kyiv mda mrefu na mapambano yakawa yanaendelea? Ni kwamba hawakuichukua kyiv kama walivyochukua sehemu nyingine zikawa chini ya himaya ya Russian army.

Kukukumbusha tu hata ile shopping mall iliyopigwa bomu ilikua iko kyiv.

Au labda unaelewaje wanavyosema Russian military itapunguza fights hapo kyiv?
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