Special Thread: Yanayojiri Mgogoro wa Ukraine na Urusi. Nini chanzo na hatma ya mzozo?

Special Thread: Yanayojiri Mgogoro wa Ukraine na Urusi. Nini chanzo na hatma ya mzozo?

Kyiv may be willing to negotiate on Crimea depending on outcome of spring offensive​

The hotel Gornoye Solntse, reportedly one of around 500 properties in the Crimean peninsula, including some belonging to senior Ukrainian politicians and business figures that were nationalized by local Russian-installed authorities, in Alupka, Crimea, on Feb. 8, 2023.

The hotel Gornoye Solntse, reportedly one of around 500 properties in the Crimean peninsula, including some belonging to senior Ukrainian politicians and business figures that were nationalized by local Russian-installed authorities, in Alupka, Crimea, on Feb. 8, 2023.
Alexey Pavlishak | Reuters

Ukraine would be willing to discuss the status of the Crimean peninsula if its army reaches Crimea's borders, a top official said.

"If we will succeed in achieving our strategic goals on the battlefield and when we will be on the administrative border with Crimea, we are ready to open [a] diplomatic page to discuss this issue," Andriy Sybiha, deputy head of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's office, told the Financial Times in an interview.

"It doesn't mean that we exclude the way of liberation [of Crimea] by our army," he said.

The FT report added that Sybiha's comments "may relieve western officials who are sceptical about Ukraine's ability to reclaim the peninsula and worry that any attempt to do so militarily could lead Vladimir Putin to escalate his war, possibly with nuclear weapons."

Kyiv has so far rejected any negotiations until Russian forces withdraw from the entirety of Ukraine, including the Crimean peninsula, which belongs to Ukraine under international law and which Moscow illegally annexed in 2014.

The FT report described Sybiha as a "veteran diplomat" who has long been at Zelenskyy's side. Sybiha said "the president and his aides were now talking specifically about Crimea, as Ukraine's army gets closer to launching its counteroffensive to regain territory," the FT wrote.
— Natasha Turak
 

EU Chamber of Commerce in China says Beijing support for Russia could affect trade relations with Europe​

If Beijing further supports Russia in its war against Ukraine, that could affect trade relations between Europe and China, said Jens Eskelund, vice president of the EU Chamber of Commerce in China.

Ursula von der Leyen, the president of the European Commission, will be in Beijing alongside France's President Emmanuel Macron this week.

"I think both of the leaders will impress upon the Chinese leadership that right now everything is being viewed through the lens of Ukraine," he told CNBC "Squawk Box Asia."

"It should not be underestimated — the potential impact it could have also on European-China trade — if we see further expressions of support from China for Russia in its aggression against Ukraine. This point will be made clear."
— Sumathi Bala
 
Askari wa Ukraine wakili kuwa Hali mbaya Sana burkimut
🇷🇺⚡🇺🇦Ukrainian military began to leave Bakhmut, in the center they are fleeing under the threat of a boiler, PMC "Wagner" throws fresh forces into battle, - Ukrainian military

This is reported by Ukrainian military analysts and the Armed Forces of Ukraine in an evening analytical note:
▪️"In the Bakhmut direction, the situation is approaching critical.
▪️ In the city center, the Wagners have advanced a few more blocks.
▪️ In the center yesterday, the situation was such that if the Armed Forces of Ukraine had not withdrawn troops along B. Gorbatov Street, there would have been a boiler. In the morning all the troops were withdrawn from those quarters."
❗️ "Our units are starting to leave Bakhmut, the command is doing everything right, some have already left the city, because there is simply not enough territory to keep such many troops there. In turn, the Wagners, on the contrary, are building up their assault groups, several more groups overnight arrived in Bakhmut," the AFU soldiers reports.
▪️ "Heavy battles are going on along Bakhmutskaya and Spartakovskaya streets, from three directions of the Wagner they are conducting offensive operations at the Avangard stadium along Sadovaya, Alexander Sibirtserva, and B. Gorbatov streets.
▪️ Situation is very serious. Tonight, several more Wagner assault groups drove into Bakhmut with thermal imagers, night vision devices, and artillery.

#source
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No indication that China is providing Russia with lethal weapons, White House says​

White House National Security Council Strategic Communications Coordinator John Kirby takes questions during the daily press briefing at the White House in Washington, U.S. February 10, 2023.

White House National Security Council Strategic Communications Coordinator John Kirby takes questions during the daily press briefing at the White House in Washington, U.S. February 10, 2023.

Jonathan Ernst | Reuters
The White House said it has seen no indication that China has agreed to provide Russia with lethal weapons for Moscow's war in Ukraine.

"We haven't seen any indication that they've provided lethal weapon capabilities to Mr. Putin. And look for us, it's actions, not words," National security council spokesman John Kirby said on a call with reporters.

"We're just gonna keep watching it and monitoring it," he said, declining to speculate on any potential U.S. retaliation if Beijing provided support to Russia.
— Amanda Macias
 

Poland announced Zelensky's visit to Warsaw ahead of time because it isn't afraid of Russia, official says​

From CNN’s Alex Hardie and Sugam Pokharel

a456059e-0950-4021-98e3-fe96b0d98013.jpg
Lukasz Jasina, Polish military spokesman (CNN)(

Poland announced the visit of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to Warsaw a few days before his arrival because “we don't feel so afraid of Russians anymore,” a foreign ministry spokesperson said Wednesday.

"It wasn’t easy – and again we are very successful in hiding this information (of senior officials traveling to Warsaw) like we did with (US President Joe) Biden a few weeks ago – but we don't feel so afraid of Russians anymore and we decided to communicate (Zelensky’s visit) two days before to give the Polish people possibility to travel to Warsaw and participate in two leaders' speech,” spokesperson Lukasz Jasina said in an interview with CNN’s Isa Soares.
“It wasn't easy because Warsaw today was blocked much more than during Biden's, Obama's or Trump's visits but it was worth it because there was a symbolism," he added.

Zelensky met with senior Polish officials and signed bilateral agreements on Wednesday during his first official trip to Poland since Russia invaded Ukraine last year.
==========================

Hakuna anayemuogopa tena huyu Supa-pawa wa kuchora pamoja na nyuklia zote alizojilimbikizia.
 
Sawa mkuu lakini musk anataka kuonana na Rais wa China baada ya kuanza kuhisi tatizo kwenye dollar,

Hivi umeshajiuliza siku mchina akisema kuanzia sasa mtu yeyote akitaka kufanya biashara na China watumie yuan au pesa ya nchi husika ni nini kitatokea kwenye Dollar????

Halafu angalia ni nchi ngapi zimehifadhi dollar Kwa ajili ya kununua bidhaa uchina,

Ni swala la muda tu dollar itakuja kupoteza sokoni na ndiyo sababu ya SMO kufanyika taratibu ili kuchelewesha muda

Petrol inaenda kuipiga chini dollar
Umeleta hoja nzuri, Mkuu kama hutojali naomba majibu:

Unadhani kwann mpaka sasa China haijafanya hili ulilolifikiri iwapo lina manufaa kwa sarafu yake? Ni nn kinamzuia kufanya hayo maamuzi?

February, tangu Urusi awekewe vikwazo pesa ya China ndo imeipita USD katika biashara nchini Urusi. Kabla ilikuwa imepuuzwa sana. Kwann Urusi aruhusu USD itawale katika miamala yake mpaka alazimike kuiacha kutokana na vikwazo? Hajaiacha kwa kutaka, amelazimika sababu ya vikwazo.

Kwanini USA bila kujali aweke vikwazo na kuhatarisha stability ya USD kwenye soko iwapo hata adui yake alikuwa akiiamini na kuitumia? Ni nn anachokiona kikitokea katika USD?
 
Inaelekea kuna kitu kikubwa Russia amewafanyia hawa Westerns mpaka wameona wakimbilie China.
Ndugu yangu,NATO safari hii wameingia choo Cha wajawazito.
Hatukuyaona haya wakati Yugoslavia/Serbia ikiwapiga wa Kosovo, Bosnia and Herzegovina,hatukuona marais wa NATO wakienda Urusi wala china.
Safari hii wamekutana na mwamba.
 
Halafu mabilionea India na Malaysia wanakuja USA kununua T-Bill and T-Bond kwa USA dollars?
Huwezi shindana na USA kwneye currency,’ ni porojo tu

Russia ina mabilionea wengi sana,wana invest sana kwenye real estate na faida kununua T-bill kwa hela ya kimarekani.

Anyway,haya ni mambo ya kitaalam acha niishie hapa
Ukiwa una hint ya uchumi unavyofanya kazi wala huzungumzi sana. Unasubiri matokeo yaseme.
 
Putin 'struggling to maintain loyalty' among low-level officials

The Kremlin is on the charm offensive with lower-level local officials as discontent grows among them, according to independent Russia media.

Mr Putin's administration has instructed regional vice governors to install vending machines, provide free parking and preferential loans, and offer medical insurance for civil servants, Verstka reported.

The programme of privileges extended to scholarships and training seminars for municipal workers.

"The Kremlin is likely increasingly struggling to maintain loyalty among lower-level regional authorities as it continues to place the onus on funding the war on Russian federal subjects," the Institute for the Study of War said.

The "oddly framed measures", it said, are likely meant to "pay lip service to the burden placed on regional entities but are unlikely to stimulate a significant increase in support for the war at the regional and local levels".
 
Inaelekea kuna kitu kikubwa Russia amewafanyia hawa Westerns mpaka wameona wakimbilie China.

Mambo ya siri ambayo hatuyajui ni mengi sana. West wamebanwa kisawasawa. Imefika stage wameanza kutofautiana Japan kaona isiwe tabu acha niendelee kununua wese kutoka Russia price cap tuliyoweka siitambui. Spain huwezi ona maandamano ya kijinga wananunua gas kutoka Russia.

Turkey sahv anapiga Pesa za kutosha pesa gas inapitia kwake anafanya kusuply nchi nyingine za ulaya. Hapa unaona kabisa hawa mbwa walivyobanwa kisawasawa bado hatujaja uwanja wa vita moto unawaka.
 
Mambo ya siri ambayo hatuyajui ni mengi sana. West wamebanwa kisawasawa. Imefika stage wameanza kutofautiana Japan kaona isiwe tabu acha niendelee kununua wese kutoka Russia price cap tuliyoweka siitambui. Spain huwezi ona maandamano ya kijinga wananunua gas kutoka Russia.

Turkey sahv anapiga Pesa za kutosha pesa gas inapitia kwake anafanya kusuply nchi nyingine za ulaya. Hapa unaona kabisa hawa mbwa walivyobanwa kisawasawa bado hatujaja uwanja wa vita moto unawaka.
Ulikuwa ni Upumbavu Uumize Raia wako Kisa Juha Ukrein
Ni Viongozi Wapumbavu pekee watafanya ujinga huo
Yaani Uache Wananchi wako Wakiteseka na Nchi yako Kuyumba Kisa Ukrein na Ujinga wao!!
Uhispania Na Uturuki Nimoja yanchi zinazo Jitambua
Jana Ordogan Kasema wazi Hataungana na Ulaya kuweka Vikwazo dhidi ya Urusi
Yaani Vikwazo dhidi ya Urusi Uturuki Havitambui
 
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