Special Thread: Yanayojiri Mgogoro wa Ukraine na Urusi. Nini chanzo na hatma ya mzozo?

Special Thread: Yanayojiri Mgogoro wa Ukraine na Urusi. Nini chanzo na hatma ya mzozo?

Ujerumani, Austria,Hungary, na Slovakia zasalimu amri kwa Putin, zajiandaa kulipia gesi kwa sarafu ya Russia (ruble).

Kusalimu kwao amri kwaelezwa kuwa ni matokeo chanya ya jitihada za Russia kutumia gesi yake kuwachapa mikwaju mabebeu wa Ulaya, na pia kunaonesha udhaifu wa EU kuwa hawawezi kudumisha muungano wao dhidi ya Russia

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Brussels says EU states agree they are not willing to pay for Russian gas in roubles​

EU countries all agree that they will not pay Russia directly in roubles for their imports of gas, noting that the deadline for next payments was expected to be May 20, a senior European Union official has said.

“What we do know, and there is consensus on this from all member states, is that none is willing to pay” in roubles, the official told a news briefing, adding that the EU Commission did not have an overview of how many buyers have opened accounts for gas payments with Gazprombank.
 
Italy huko kuna tetesi yuko tayari kulipa kwa ruble. No ruble no Gas.
Kama una akili timamu epuka kutoa taarifa kwa kutumia neno tetesi na za chini chini

Brussels says EU states agree they are not willing to pay for Russian gas in roubles​

EU countries all agree that they will not pay Russia directly in roubles for their imports of gas, noting that the deadline for next payments was expected to be May 20, a senior European Union official has said.

“What we do know, and there is consensus on this from all member states, is that none is willing to pay” in roubles, the official told a news briefing, adding that the EU Commission did not have an overview of how many buyers have opened accounts for gas payments with Gazprombank.
 
Hahahahaaa,hahahaaa,anaelialia ni urussi au Ukraine?,wajinga ni wengi sana hapa duniani,
Urusi
Screenshot_2022-04-27-19-55-22-44.jpg
 
Wapi alisema 72hrs atachukua Ukraine?
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COMMENTARY Defense

Why Gen. Milley’s Ukraine War Prediction Missed by a Mile​

Apr 8th, 2022 3 min read
carafanoj.png
COMMENTARY BY
James Jay Carafano@JJCarafano
Vice President, Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute
James Jay Carafano is a leading expert in national security and foreign policy challenges.
GettyImages-1239741353.jpg
Ukainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stands in the town of Bucha, northwest of the Ukrainian capital Kyiv, on April 4, 2022.RONALDO SCHEMIDT / AFP / Getty Images

KEY TAKEAWAYS​

How did the principal military advisor to the president of the United States get it so wrong?
With the benefit of hindsight, we know that part of Putin’s problem is that the Ukrainians didn’t follow his plan and collapse like they were supposed to.
Both Afghanistan and Ukraine have shown we have a weak commander-in-chief.
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Shortly before Russian President Vladimir Putin launched his latest invasion of Ukraine, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Gen. Mark Milley, reportedly told congressional leaders meeting in closed session that the smaller country would "fall in 72 hours." Welp, here we are, well over a month into that three-day war.
So how did the principal military advisor to the president of the United States get it so wrong?
Perhaps, Milley forgot the most important military adage of all: "No plan survives contact with the enemy."
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Give the Pentagon its due. U.S. military analysts correctly anticipated the broad strokes of Putin’s initial battle plan: strike from the north to decapitate the government in Kiev, while launching a sweeping multi-prong attack from the south and the east. The Kremlin’s expectation was that when Ukrainians found themselves leaderless and overmatched, the country’s armed forces and its people would not put up much of a fight. After that, it would be merely a matter of occupation and annexation.
>>> Putin’s Bloody Leviathan
Looking at the volume and disposition of Russian forces arrayed on Ukraine’s borders many analysts—not just those at the Pentagon—agreed that a swift Russian victory was certainly possible… if Putin decided to pull the trigger.
And, if everything had gone right for Putin, people today might be toasting Milley as a military Nostradamus. But, as if often the case in war, once the shooting starts the dogs of war scatter in all kinds of unpredictable ways. A reasonable issue to raise is: Why didn’t Milley better prepare us for that?
The best military advice is not a simple prediction of what will happen; it’s a matter of preparing to respond to the terrible turns—and take advantage of the spectacular opportunities—that were not predicted. Milley’s misjudgment raises two serious concerns.
First, where were the comprehensive assessments of Russian military capabilities? In the 1980s, the Pentagon’s Office of Net Assessment under the legendary leadership of Andrew Marshall pioneered an analysis of enemy forces that looked at all the factors that affect combat power--everything from the state of training and supplies to the quality of equipment. This yielded a far more sophisticated analysis than the simplistic "correlation of forces" comparisons that counted how many tanks, planes, and troops each side had.
Where is that quality of analysis now? With the benefit of hindsight, we know that part of Putin’s problem is that the Ukrainians didn’t follow his plan and collapse like they were supposed to. But we now have lots of evidence that the Russian military itself is riddled with shortcomings, from inadequate training to poor leadership, corruption, and significant shortfalls in some critical capabilities—particularly secure communications and real-time intelligence, surveillance, and targeting.
How deep were U.S. military assessments beyond looking at Putin’s plans? How much was shared with the White House or Congress or the allies or Ukraine?
Beyond that, how much did the Pentagon explore the real serious stuff of military analysis and planning: what happens when what is most expected doesn’t happen? Did they prepare the contingency plans for a variety of possible scenarios?
From all appearances, there was little impulse to do that before the conflict. When war did break out, there seemed a reluctance to do much because the outcome was foretold. Then, as the battle lengthened, the administration proved reluctant to do more to aid Ukraine out of fear Putin would see that as escalatory.
Only once it was clear Putin wasn’t winning on the battlefield, did the Pentagon acknowledge that this could be a long-protracted war, and only then did they lean forward into wanting to do more. This sure looks reacting to the course of events rather thinking ahead on how to make the most of them.
Our military seems to have lost some of the skills that have made us so formidable.
>>> What the U.S. Must Do Immediately to Support Ukraine
This pathology isn’t new. It reminds exactly of when the U.S. went into the Iraq War, was surprised by the turmoil that followed, and found itself lodged in a long, tough and messy fight to catch up.
Here is the problem. The U.S. military is famous for learning from mistakes and doing better next time. That is not happening. How far have we come since Iraq? We fumbled the ball in the Afghanistan withdrawal. Now, we’re struggling to keep up again. What happens next time, when it’s Taiwan being invaded by China or some other crisis?
Here is what’s different. Over the Obama years, we have a grown a different generation of senior of military officers who seem less prepared to deal with the hard realities of real wars and real military missions. This is not to question their patriotism or their professionalism. There is a question, however, as to whether they are up to the challenge of managing civil-military relations effectively, in advising and supporting a Congress and a president on how best to protect America’s interests.
Both Afghanistan and Ukraine have shown we have a weak commander-in-chief. Do we have weak senior military leaders to match?
This piece originally appeared in Fox News

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Sasa Russia unakwenda kununua nini mbali ya gesi na mafuta,nini cha maana kingine anacho au ni Vodka[emoji4]
Hivi bado unawaonaga hawa wa Russia wako sawa, Hao wachina na Wahindi Russia sio trading partner...

Russia haipo hata top 20 ya India top trading partner, China pekee anatrade only 80USD Billions na Russia wakati China na USA pekee trading kati yao ni 600 USD Billions.
 

(CNN)Russian tanks with their tops blown off are just the latest sign that Russia's invasion of Ukraine isn't going to plan.
Hundreds of Russian tanks are thought to have been destroyed since Moscow launched its offensive, with British Defense Secretary Ben Wallace on Monday estimating it had lost as many as 580.
But Moscow's problems go beyond the sheer number of tanks it has lost. Experts say battlefield images show Russian tanks are suffering from a defect that Western militaries have known about for decades and refer to as the "jack-in-the-box effect." Moscow, they say, should have seen the problem coming.
 
A Ukrainian presidential aide has said the world recognises that his country has the right to defend itself by carrying out attacks on Russian military bases and warehouses.

“Russia has attacked and [is] killing civilians. Ukraine will defend itself in any way, including strikes on the warehouses and bases of the killers. The world recognises this right,” presidential aide Mykhailo Podolyak wrote on Twitter.

Russia wamevamia Ukraine wakaua watoto, ila wao hawataki hata kutupiwa Jiwe, sasa hii vita inabidi iingie ndani ya Russia
 
Ujerumani, Austria,Hungary, na Slovakia zasalimu amri kwa Putin, zajiandaa kulipia gesi kwa sarafu ya Russia (ruble).

Kusalimu kwao amri kwaelezwa kuwa ni matokeo chanya ya jitihada za Russia kutumia gesi yake kuwachapa mikwaju mabebeu wa Ulaya, na pia kunaonesha udhaifu wa EU kuwa hawawezi kudumisha muungano wao dhidi ya Russia

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Unafiki inaendelea, pande zote mbili. Putin haweza kukosa mapato (hana wateja mbadala), nchi za EU hawawezi kukosa gesi kwa sasa, wanafanya tamasha......
 

Moscow accuses West of inciting Ukrainian attacks on Russia​

Western countries are openly calling on Ukraine to attack Russia, foreign ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova has said, adding that the West should take Moscow seriously when it says strikes on Russian territory will lead to a response.

Russia reported a series of blasts in the south of the country and a fire at an ammunition depot on Wednesday, the latest in a spate of incidents that a top Ukrainian official described as payback for Moscow’s invasion.

Russia si aliwavamia majirani zake, mbona analialia
 
The problem relates to how the tanks' ammunition is stored. Unlike modern Western tanks, Russian ones carry multiple shells within their turrets. This makes them highly vulnerable as even an indirect hit can start a chain reaction that explodes their entire ammunition store of up to 40 shells.
The resulting shockwave can be enough to blast the tank's turret as high as a two-story building, as can be seen in a recent video on social media.
 
But the design flaw with its tanks should be particularly galling for Moscow as the problems have been so widely telegraphed.
They came to the attention of Western militaries during the Gulf wars against Iraq in 1991 and 2003, when large numbers of the Iraqi army's Russian-made T-72 tanks suffered the same fate -- turrets being blown from their bodies in anti-tank missile strikes.
Drummond said Russia hadn't learned the lessons from Iraq and that consequently many of its tanks in Ukraine featured similar design flaws with their autoloading missile systems.
When the T-90 series -- the successor to the T-72 -- came into service in 1992 its armor was upgraded but its missile loading system remained similar to its predecessor's, leaving it just as vulnerable, Drummond said. The T-80, another Russian tank seeing action in the Ukraine invasion, has a similar missile loading system.
 
Marekani hataki patulie ili amuumize Urusi kiuchumi, maana atapigana daily anatumia mapesa mengi sana
Kwani Russia kuwahi au kuchelewa si inategemeana na mbinu ambayo amechagua.akiona siku zinakwenda pasipo kutimiza anacho kukusudia anaweza kubadilisha mbinu.

Mfano anaweza akaamua kuingia full kijeshi kwani na akatimiza anachokihitaji,au yupo ambaye anaweza kumzuia??
 
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