Special Thread: Yanayojiri Mgogoro wa Ukraine na Urusi. Nini chanzo na hatma ya mzozo?

[Kakijana]

Mkuu uvamizi ni kawaida yao rusia.walivamia cremea,georgia,mordova na leo ukraine kwa sababu zinazofanana(imperial ambition)

Asante kwa tangazo upinde pride

 

[Kakijana]

kaunta ofensivu [emoji23][emoji23][emoji23]
Ambayo kila mtu anatangaziwa hiyo ni counter offensive kweli?

Count-off-show[emoji23][emoji23][emoji23]

 

[Final Boss]

NATO wanalinda demokrasia ipi acheni kuwa wapumbavu hata kama mahaba yamezidi mnakua mapimbi. Kule Libya mliona NATO walichofanya, Iraq?. NATO ni kichaka cha US katika kufanikisha Agenda zake.

Marejeo ya Libya naona mnatoa mifano mbali bro, moja ya mfano ulio mbichi wala haujapoa ni hiki kinachoendelea hapo mashariki ya kati kwa sasa. Na ni wenye akili pekee ndio wanajua au kama walikua hawajui basi ndio wametambua duniani kote mwanzilishi na mchochezi wa uvunjifu wa aman ni nani.

Em fikiria baada ya miaka ya uhasama baina ya majiran tena wanao share mpaka, I mean Saudia na Yemen hatimae wamefikia mwafaka wa kuacha mapigano na kuingia mkataba wa Aman lile Zee linanuna. Syria and Saudia, Iran and Saudia just within a year haya mataifa yamepunguza uhasama wao na kuingia Peace agreements nyingi baina yao huku China aki'play part kubwa kama mpatanishi.

Vipi China katumia bunduki? Kapeleka jeshi hapo Middle East? Kuna aliyemuuzia silaha ili ajilinde na mwenzie? Kama kaweza within a year... Yeye US kafanya nini hapo mashariki ya kati more than 30yrs to date?

Ushenzi mwingine hata bila aibu, wakati watu wapo wanajadili aman yeye kaamua kupeleka submarine yenye uwezo wa kubeba nuclear hapo hapo Middle east. Anatafuta nini? 🤣 Nyani Zee lajua soko la upuuzi wake linaenda kufutika.

Kikawaida hata mtoto wa darasa la pili ukimpa raman kama hii haitakua ngum kwake kukwambia mchokozi nani.

Wakati wenye nchi yao wanazungumza with Logic, huku bongo Nyoso team flan wakichimbiwa vyoo wanageuka mazuzu na misukule wa kujitolea kutetea visivyo na maana.

Na yote tisa, tatizo letu kubwa ni kutokujua historia. Hatujui wapi tumetoka hivyo hatuna ono lolote la wapi tunaelekea. Kuna msemo unasema "In order to destroy people, you have to destroy their history".... Hii issue imetumika sana kiasi kwamba most wako brainwashed, easy to manipulate, easy to control na ndio majority ya waswahili na Afrika kwa ujumla tulivyo.

To the extent, wale wale walio Colonize babu zetu, walio wafanyia kila Upuuzi walio ujua wakati huo ndio hao hao tunawalamba miguu kwa kuwaita watetezi wetu, So stupid. Na haina maana kwamba tunatakiwa tujitenge nao kwa yalio fanywa na mababu zao kwa mababu zetu but at least basi tusirukwe akili kushindwa tofautisha maji ya Mchele na Maziwa.

Asians mostly China somehow na Vietnam hiyo mambo wanaizingatia na ndio imewafanya kua wazalendo. Wanajua na hawajawah kusahau walikotoka na ndicho kilichowafikisha hapo tunapowaona.

Team flan sijui wana matatizo gani kwenye mafuvu yao.

 

[Richard]

Habari Exclusive:

Ndege za kivita za MiG-29 kutoka Slovakia zashindwa kuruka, Slovakia yadai mafundi wa kirusi wameziharibu.

Waziri wa ulinzi wa Slovakia bwana Jaroslav Nad ameliambia bunge la nchi hiyo kuwa vifaa vya ndege hizo vyote vilifungwa na mafundi na wahandisi hao wa kirusi mwaka jana walipokuwa wakifanya kazi za mkataba katika jeshi la anga la Slovakia.

Ndege za kivita za MiG-29 zikifanya mazoezi mwaka jana na nchi za NATO katika eneo lisojulikana: Picha na Radoslaw Jozwiak wa AFP.

Hivyo ndege hizo zina uwezo wa kuruka lakini hazina uwezo (capability) ya kufanya mashambuzi au kazi maalum (task) zilokusudiwa.

Slovakia ni sehemu kati ya mbili zilokuwa zikiitwa Czechoslovakia ambayo ilikuwa ni sehemu ya umoja wa nchi za kisovieti USSR na mwaka 1991 bado ilikuwa chini ya Russia huku ukipata kila msaada wa kijeshi kutoka Klemlin. Baadae mwaka 1993 ikameguka na kutoa mataifa mawili ya Czech na Slovakia.

Baadae mwaka 2004 Czech na Slovakia kama mataifa huru yakaingia umoja wa NATO baada ya kukubaliwa kuingia Umoja wa Ulaya.

Slovakia ilikuwa nchi ya pili kutoa misaada ya ndege hizo za kijeshi za MiG-29 ambazo zimetengenezwa Russia baada ya Poland kufanya hivyo katikati ya mwezi March mwaka huu. Nchi hizo zimefanya hivyo kutoa misaada ya kijeshi na kibinadamu kwa ahadi ya kupewa vifaa zaidi vya kisasa kama fidia kutoka Marekani na misaada mingine kutoka EU.

Ndege hizi za MiG-29 zilitengenezwa na Russia wakati wa vita baridi ili kushindana na ndege za kivita za US za F-15s na zaogopewa kuwa ni ndege imara zitumiwazo ulaya ya kati. US wamekataa kutuma Ukraine ndege zake za F-16 kwa sababu mbalimbali ikiwemo uwezekano wa ndege hizo kupepekwa maabara za Russia kwa ajili ya utafiti zaidi endapo zitadondoshwa.

Chanzo: Telegraph.

 

[TZ-1]

Unawez vp kumshambulia kwa adui yako wakat tayar yupo kwako na amekuzd Nguvu , Waliokuw uwanja wa vta wana akil kulko wew

Hizo silaha alizopewa mpaka sasa ni kwa ajili ya kujilinda tu ndio maana hajapewa silaha zenye uwezo wa kushambulia mpaka Urusi (Atacms) .......

wangekuwa na nia ya kuidhalilisha Urusi huenda hali ya Vita isingekuwa hivi ilivyo.

 

[Kichuguu]

Mkwara mzito wa Putin... aanza mazoezi ya makombora ya masafa marefu..

Russia has started exercises with the Yars intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) system and several thousand troops in what is likely to be seen as another attempt by Moscow to show off its nuclear strength.

A Russian Yars RS-24 intercontinental ballistic missile system during the Victory Day parade in Red Square in Moscow, Russia,in 2016 [File: Grigory Dukor/Reuters]

Mkwara tu huo; hayo ni matanki ya kutishia tu hayana lolote. Kutoka Special Military Operation, Denazification and Demilitarization hadi kufikia kuwa Survival War ujue kuna mtu maji yamemfikia shingoni. Tulifundishwa kuwa usiwashe moto ambao huwezi kuuzima kwani unaweza kukuchoma wewe mwenyewe; Putin hakupata elimu hiyo.

 

[passioner255]

Mkwara tu huo; hayo ni matanki ya kutishia tu hayana lolote. Kutoka Special Military Operation, Denazification and Demilitarization hadi kufikia kuwa Survival War ujue kuna mtu maji yamemfikia shingoni. Tulifundishwa kuwa usiwashe moto ambao huwezi kuuzima kwani unaweza kukuchoma wewe mwenyewe; Putin hakupata elimu hiyo.

Kwanini mnaonesha hadharani kwamba hamtumii akili kufikiria?

 

[Kichuguu]

Kwanini mnaonesha hadharani kwamba hamtumii akili kufikiria?

Wasiotumia akili kufikiri ni wasiojua maana ya "Special military operation" na "Survival war." Kuna watu walifungwa miaka kumi na tano huko urusi kwa kusema tu kuwa nchi ilikuwa vitani dhidi ya Ukraine kinyume na matakwa ya serikali kuwa hiyo ni special military operation ya muda mfupi tu.

 

[Intuition]

Mkwara tu huo; hayo ni matanki ya kutishia tu hayana lolote. Kutoka Special Military Operation, Denazification and Demilitarization hadi kufikia kuwa Survival War ujue kuna mtu maji yamemfikia shingoni. Tulifundishwa kuwa usiwashe moto ambao huwezi kuuzima kwani unaweza kukuchoma wewe mwenyewe; Putin hakupata elimu hiyo.

Wewe mzee.....unaandika mambo gani haya??

 

[Proved]

Unawez vp kumshambulia kwa adui yako wakat tayar yupo kwako na amekuzd Nguvu , Waliokuw uwanja wa vta wana akil kulko wew

Akili gani ?

 

[Proved]

Kwa nini wasimpe hizo silaha!? Wanaogopa nini!? Njia pekee ya kuzuia Urusi asiishambulie Ukraine ni pale Ukraine atapokuwa na uwezo wa kujibu mashambulizi kwenye ardhi ya Urusi. Kwa nini hawampi huo uwezo!?

Hawataki kuukuza zaidi huu mzozo na kuufanya uchukje sura mpya.

Ila Ukraine imefanikiwa kushambulia mara kadhaa ndani ya Urusi ikitumia 'drone' zake ilizotengeneza mwenyewe.

 

[Proved]

Hivi kweli Kwa akili Yako unaweza kuupima upinzani wa kijeshi Kwa kuangalia ukubwa wa eneo?au kwa ubora wa silaha na askari?
Je unaichukuliaje nchi kama Israel kieneo na uwezo wake wa kijeshi kukabiliana na nchi kubwa kieneo za kiarabu kwa pamoja Tena zenye uchumi maradufu dhidi ya israel

Usifananishe Israel na huyu kubwa jinga (Urusi) anayepigana kudhibitisha ki-mji tu tangu mwaka jana.

 

[Proved]

Na je sio wewe unaefurahia Kila siku maandalizi ya counter offensive inayopangwa pentagon?
Sio wewe?
Je Urusi kuchukua mda mrefu kuwafukuza Ukraine pamoja na NATO walikua wamejichimbia Barkhmut huoni kama Urusi ni shujaa?
Je unaijua vizuri miundombinu ya Barkhmut?
Unajua Kuna mahandaki sawa na vijiji?
Je kwa Nini hutaki kukubali kua Urusi ameipiga Barkhmut kwa akili sana kuepuka hasara kubwa kwa upande wake?
Nyie pro NATO mbona mnajifanya hamayaoni haya

Hizo habari za NATO kuwa Bakhmut mnaziokota wapi ?.....

counter offensive ikianza mtadai ndio majeshi ya NATO hayo, tena hata humu mtaingia mitini.

 

[john issa]

mwaka huu nani alimiscalculate mwenzie kat ya US na Russia

Usifananishe Israel na huyu kubwa jinga (Urusi) anayepigana kudhibitisha ki-mji tu tangu mwaka jana.

is

 

[manning]

 Utabiri wa Ukraine kutoweka kwenye ramani ya dunia wazidi kushamili. Mshauri wa Rais wa zamani wa marekani nae kasema Ukraine itatoweka mwaka huu.
Ukraine may cease to exist as a state this year, Douglas McGregor, a former adviser to the Secretary of Defense in the administration of former US President Donald Trump, believes.

“ I don’t know if Ukraine will even exist as a state by the end of 2023. <...> The conditions inside Ukraine are terrible, the losses are terrible ,” the retired colonel said in an interview with presenter Stephen Gardner. “ We [the United States] are simply lying, don't tell the truth ."

According to McGregor, Western media only broadcast versions coming from the intelligence services of their countries. " Ukrainians are winning," "Ukrainians... are still winning, they can still win," and "things are not so good, but they can still win." In the end, we will no longer contact anyone in Kiev , "said the ex-adviser to the head of the Pentagon.

#source:

Join Slavyangrad
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community

 

[Proved]

NATO wanalinda demokrasia ipi acheni kuwa wapumbavu hata kama mahaba yamezidi mnakua mapimbi. Kule Libya mliona NATO walichofanya, Iraq?. NATO ni kichaka cha US katika kufanikisha Agenda zake.

Libya ilikuwa matokeo ya azimio namba 1973 la UN liliopitishwa kwa lengo la kuwalinda raia wa hiyo nchi dhidi ya hujuma za ndege za Ghadaffi.... NATO walikuwa watekelezaji tu wa hilo azimio.

Sio nchi zote za NATO ziliunga mkono uvamizi wa iraq mfano Ujerumani, Ufaransa hata majeshi hazikupeleka.

 

[Proved]

mwaka huu nani alimiscalculate mwenzie kat ya US na Russia

is

Russia hakupima kina cha maji kabla ya kuivamia Ukraine, alidhani itakuwa rahisi kama mwaka 2014 alivyochukua Crimea bila upinzani wowote.....tena hakufikiri kwamba nchi za magharibi zingethubutu kuisaidia Ukraine.

Matokeo ya huu uvamizi ni NATO kupanuka zaidi hadi mlangoni kwake baada ya Finland kuwa mwanachama mpya wa 31 na Sweden ikiwa njiani kujiunga pia.

 

[1954]

Habari Exclusive:

Ndege za kivita za MiG-29 kutoka Slovakia zashindwa kuruka, Slovakia yadai mafundi wa kirusi wameziharibu.

Waziri wa ulinzi wa Slovakia bwana Jaroslav Nad ameliambia bunge la nchi hiyo kuwa vifaa vya ndege hizo vyote vilifungwa na mafundi na wahandisi hao wa kirusi mwaka jana walipokuwa wakifanya kazi za mkataba katika jeshi la anga la Slovakia.

Ndege za kivita za MiG-29 zikifanya mazoezi mwaka jana na nchi za NATO katika eneo lisojulikana: Picha na Radoslaw Jozwiak wa AFP.

Hivyo ndege hizo zina uwezo wa kuruka lakini hazina uwezo (capability) ya kufanya mashambuzi au kazi maalum (task) zilokusudiwa.

Slovakia ni sehemu kati ya mbili zilokuwa zikiitwa Czechoslovakia ambayo ilikuwa ni sehemu ya umoja wa nchi za kisovieti USSR na mwaka 1991 bado ilikuwa chini ya Russia huku ukipata kila msaada wa kijeshi kutoka Klemlin. Baadae mwaka 1993 ikameguka na kutoa mataifa mawili ya Czech na Slovakia.

Baadae mwaka 2004 Czech na Slovakia kama mataifa huru yakaingia umoja wa NATO baada ya kukubaliwa kuingia Umoja wa Ulaya.

Slovakia ilikuwa nchi ya pili kutoa misaada ya ndege hizo za kijeshi za MiG-29 ambazo zimetengenezwa Russia baada ya Poland kufanya hivyo katikati ya mwezi March mwaka huu. Nchi hizo zimefanya hivyo kutoa misaada ya kijeshi na kibinadamu kwa ahadi ya kupewa vifaa zaidi vya kisasa kama fidia kutoka Marekani na misaada mingine kutoka EU.

Ndege hizi za MiG-29 zilitengenezwa na Russia wakati wa vita baridi ili kushindana na ndege za kivita za US za F-15s na zinaogopewa kuwa ni ndege imara zitumiwazo ulaya ya kati. US wamekataa kutuma Ukraine ndege zake za F-16 kwa sababu mbalimbali ikiwemo uwezekano wa ndege hizo kupepekwa maabara za Russia kwa ajili ya utafiti zaidi endapo zitadondoshwa.

Chanzo: Telegraph.

Czech na Slovakia hazijawahi kuwa sehemu ya USSR au hata Russia.....ila Czechslovakia (ambayo baadaye ilivunjika na kuzaa Czech na Slovakia) ilikuwa sehemu ya Warsaw Pact _ umoja wa kujuhami wa nchi za Ulaya Mashariki..

 

[Proved]

The cost of the Ukraine war for one Russian regiment​

• By Mark Urban
• Diplomatic and defence editor, Newsnight

IMAGE SOURCE,VDV ROSSII
Image caption,
331st regiment on the parade ground

Kostroma is not a bad place to go looking for the effects of the Ukraine war on Russia. For this city is home to a celebrated regiment that bears its name and has been in the forefront of all the main battles in the Kremlin's campaign against its neighbours.

The 331st Guards Parachute Regiment, often called the Kostroma Airborne Regiment, has been the subject of investigations by BBC's Newsnight since shortly after last February's invasion. These have revealed the price paid by the regiment and its home community. We had confirmed 39 fatalities by April last year, 62 by late July, and now the toll has reached 94.

• The heavy losses of an elite Russian regiment
• Elite Russian regiment fights for public support

Much of the work compiling this list has involved combing social media accounts on V'Kontakte, the Russian equivalent of Facebook, and local media reporting. We can then cross reference this with satellite and Google Street View imagery.

One video discovered on V'Kontakte showed soldiers' graves at a cemetery north-east of Kostroma. The graves shown in the videos match the names of the soldiers we have collated.

IMAGE SOURCE,PERVAYA POLOSA
The actual number of 331st's dead is probably much higher.

Some of the soldiers are from towns outside Kostroma, which makes tracking down information about them much more difficult. Several soldiers have been reported missing - some of these may count among the dead.

When one considers those seriously wounded or taken prisoner, it's reasonable to assume that the Ukraine war has cost the regiment several hundred soldiers.

The loss of life has caused much comment in Kostroma, which lies about 300km (186 miles) north-east of Moscow and has a population of around a quarter of a million. One local website noted last spring that the entire Soviet-Afghan war, lasting nine years, had cost the city 56 soldiers. Heavy losses in Ukraine have given the local authorities a difficult task of political management.

Sergey Sitnikov, Kostroma's Kremlin-appointed governor, has been in the forefront of attempts to convince people that the city's soldiers are being properly supported. Gov Sitnikov's visits to hospitals, barracks, and indeed to the front, have been covered on local TV.

On a visit to the front in December, Gov Sitnikov told viewers that "we need to help [the] guys so they have decent conditions". He had brought with him crowd-funded care packages and commercially sold drones.

Gov Sitnikov is Vladimir Putin's placeman in his home region, so he's hardly a rebel or fearless teller of uncomfortable truths. But his willingness to visit the front and acknowledge shortcomings, even in a coded way, marks an interesting contrast with his boss.
When local TV showed mobilised paratroopers on the 331st's parade ground six months ago, it also carried Gov Sitnikov's rather frank remarks to them: "I'm wishing you good health, success, completion of all tasks… and that you return home alive."

IMAGE SOURCE,GTRK KOSTROMA
Image caption,
Sergei Sitnikov, Kostroma's governor

The call-up of paratroopers, part of Russia's wider mobilisation, underlines the degree to which the Ukraine campaign has exhausted the country's professional army, of which the 331st has been a showpiece. In footage of November's parade, 150 conscripts were shown before their dispatch to the front.

The total size of the 331st regiment could be estimated at 1,500-1,700. When it first sent into Ukraine in February 2022, it deployed two battalion groups, giving a total of 1,000-1,200 soldiers.

After taking heavy casualties in the failed attempt to reach Kyiv, the regiment was withdrawn and rebuilt in the southern Russian garrison town of Belgorod last summer.

Subsequent action has seen the regiment moving around all the major flashpoints - Izyum in the early summer, Kherson later on, and now back to Donbas. By monitoring the dates given in the death announcements on Kostroma social media, it's possible to work out when (and often where) the unit was used to spearhead assaults, and the lulls when it was removed from the line to lick its wounds. For example, a cluster of deaths in February point to elements of the 331st being engaged in Kreminna.

Russia's Long War
Mark Urban reports on how the Russian 331st Regiment, and their families, are coping with Vladimir Putin's long war
Watch now on BBC iPlayer (UK only)

Each time casualty replacements - including the conscripts shown on TV in November - are brought in to replace losses, the original cadre of soldiers gets smaller, and the overall size of the unit diminishes.

It may now number no more than 300-400 at the front.
The losses, and indeed the return of badly wounded men, have resonated in the home community. A few weeks into the war, one user of V'Kontake exclaimed, "Almost every day photos of our Kostroma boys get published. It sends shivers down my spine. What's happening? When will this end?"

Local media has been featuring commemorations of fallen Kostroma soldiers. In December, a TV station featured the unveiling of a plaque to Eduard Reunov, a paratrooper in the 331st who was killed in Ukraine.

The style of this memorial and the language used in the report can be seen as an attempt to channel the Great Patriotic War (as the Russians call their 1941-45 fight against the Nazis), implying that today's soldiers are engaged in an equally important cause.

IMAGE SOURCE,GTRK KOSTROMA
Image caption,
Local TV shows the unveiling of a plaque to Eduard Reunov

But on social media, we've found more modern manifestations of remembrance, and even people seeking revenge. Soldiers are shown holding shells with messages scribbled on them from Reunov's former classmates, and, supposedly, his family.

There's a trend seen in a few Russian garrison towns, for wives and mothers to post pictures of themselves with an absent soldier's uniform. One tearful mother of a dead paratrooper from the 331st remembers the Great Patriotic War, and adds, "I hope there will be stories written about our guys".

IMAGE SOURCE,GTRK KOSTROMA
Image caption,
A Russian soldier's wife poses with his uniform

Those questioning the sacrifice tend to get short shrift. "Ukraine isn't my Motherland, our boys are dying for nothing," one person recently wrote on Kostroma's V'Kontakte page. Another swiftly countered, "That's a stupid opinion. No point in writing that stuff here".

It's evident from coverage of Gov Sitnikov's activities that the authorities are trying to mollify those who are anxious about the killed and wounded. It's not clear how much support the war has from the wider Russian public, but the video we've seen suggests there's a good deal of solidarity among military families in Kostroma.

The 331st's decline can also be measured in loss to machinery as well as personnel - particularly airborne infantry combat vehicles, known by the Russian initials BMD - that have been used up in successive battles.

Initially, when the 331st was part of an Airborne Forces task force pushing towards Kyiv, we had difficulty identifying its vehicles in video of the fighting. A painted "V" was used to identify units from all of the various units in that task force, and an inverted triangle symbol with a "3" in the centre was also used by one other regiment apart from the 331st.

As the fighting wore on, soldiers in the 331st added a further ad hoc marking to the V on their vehicles' sides - an exclamation mark painted next to the V. They may have done this precisely so their commanders could distinguish their armour from the other regiments'.

Consequently we were able to identify individual BMDs from the 331st being loaded up on railcars in March 2022, following their withdrawal from Ukraine. They then reappeared in Donbas during last summer's fighting.

Open source analysts have also identified at least 25 destroyed BMDs marked in this way, by combing Ukrainian military social media accounts. As with the dead soldiers, this visible loss does not represent the total, since many other BMDs belonging to the Kostroma regiment have likely been lost outside the view of Ukrainian troops.

A report broadcast in February 2023 by the Russian network NTV shows an "armoured group" of the 331st in action in Luhansk. But it just tends to confirm the impression we've gleaned from other sources that the regiment survives as small detachments able to spearhead certain missions. From the call signs seen on camera this element consists of just three BMD armoured vehicles.

IMAGE SOURCE,WARSPOTTING
Image caption,

Destroyed 331st regiment BMDs
So, the regiment's long war goes on. Of the war's wider effects on the Ukrainian population you will glean little from Russian media, nor is there any frank coverage of war-crime allegations.

The 331st were accused of massacring hundreds of Ukrainian soldiers during fighting in 2014. For many Ukrainians, the latest Russian losses may seem like nothing more than the paratroopers getting their just deserts.

Meanwhile, in Kostroma's graveyard there is plenty of evidence of the price of failure in Russia's invasion. Buried too is the regiment's reputation as "the best of the best", and its dreams of easy victory.

Additional research Maria Jevstafjeva and Louis Harris-White
==========================

Putin's war of choice....

 

[jameshyela]

The IMF’s loan agreement to Tunisia would cause an economic collapse in the country. Tunis is unhappy with the ridiculous demands. They’re looking to potentially join BRICS as they have less restrictive conditions when it comes to loans.