Waziri Mkuu Majaliwa, ushauri wa bure: Usipingane na nguvu ya soko

Fact 1: Cement imeadimika
Fact 2: Uhitaji wa cement uko juu, hii ni kutokana na kazi nyingi za maendeleo.
Fact 3: Kuna matatizo ya uzalishaji, tunasikia kiwanda cha Dangote hakizalishi.

Kwa scenario hiyo hapo juu, haihitaji PhD kutambua kuwa kwa principles za Demand and supply, bei ni lazima ipandishwe kwa nguvu ya soko.

Hivyo PM. Majaliwa, hata kwa nguvu ya dola hawezi kuizima bei ikiwa supply ya cement bado iko chini.
Ni common sense.

Miaka ya 80s alikuwepo mzee mmoja Meneja mkuu wa Sigara, Brown Nwilulupi.

Sigara ziliadimika hadi watu wakawa wanauziwa mche mmoja na baadaye 'mvuto' mmoja wa sigara.

Kiwanda cha Sigara kilikuwa katika uzalishaji mdogo kutokana na kukosa malighafi.

Huyu mzee Ngwilulupi akaomba na kupewa fungu na Hazina, akanunua malighafi na kutengeneza sigara nyingi mno.

Ninachomkumbuka yule mzee, alitangaza wiki nzima, alitangaza kuwa matapeli waliohodhi sigara wauze haraka maana alisema " I will flood the market".

Kweli kuna wahindi waliohodhi makasha na makasha ya sigara ya mamilioni walipata hasara, maana sigara aina zote ziliingia mitaani, tena kwa wingi sana..

Flooding the market: supply ya kukidhi demand.

PM Majaliwa kama ulikuwa kazini miaka hiyo ya 80s, rejea hili somo.

Utawala wa dola ya Polisi zaidi kuliko akili.

Naamini watakaa wakipata nafasi na watatafuta namna nzuri ya kulitatua hili ikiwa ni pamoja na wamiliki wa viwanda /wazalishaji wa Cement.

Hakuna cha nguvu ya soko wala nini kinachoendelea kwa sasa ni profiteering.

Kilatha said:

Hakuna cha nguvu ya soko wala nini kinachoendelea kwa sasa ni profiteering.

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Usiwe kilaza, elewa mada kwanza.

Hata mafuta ya kula yamepanda asishughulikie saruji peke yake, apambane na bei ya mafuta ishuke.

Jidu La Mabambasi said:

Usiwe kilaza, elewa mada kwanza.

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Ceteris Paribus, costs bado zile zile na wazalishaji waliobaki wanauza bei ile ile kwa suppliers.

Sasa kwanini wao wapandishe kutokana na shortage, simple it’s ‘profiteering’

Serikali makini aiwezi fumbia macho utaratibu huo wa soko.

Serikali ikiingilia yanaweza kutokea yaleyale ya sukari.

Sekta binafsi ndio corner stone ya uchumi, hakuna mchawi hapa, kodi ni nyingi, kodi ni kubwa na regulations ni nyingi hivyo watu wanahangaika na ku comply nazo kukwepa fine (hawawekeze akili zao kwenye kutafuta biashara)

Corona imeleta tatizo kubwa, kunatakiwa hatua kubwa kuchukuliwa, uchumi wa dunia umeunganika, ila Afrika mkopo imekua na riba kubwa kushinda China, Europe na USA hivyo mfanya biashara wa TZ anashindwa kushindana na wa nchi nyingine.

Mafuta ya kupikia nayo ni janga kwelikweli.

Lob said:

Sekta binafsi ndio corner stone ya uchumi, hakuna mchawi hapa, kodi ni nyingi, kodi ni kubwa na regulations ni nyingi hivyo watu wanahangaika na ku comply nazo kukwepa fine (hawawekeze akili zao kwenye kutafuta biashara), Corona imeleta tatizo kubwa, kunatakiwa hatua kubwa kuchukuliwa, uchumi wa dunia umeunganika, ila Afrika mkopo imekua na riba kubwa kushinda China, Europe na USA hivyo mfanya biashara wa TZ anashindwa kushindana na wa nchi nyingine.

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Thank you kwa somo mkuu

Ameambiwa na bosi wake afanye hivyo. Sasa akurupuke afanye alivyoambiwa, kama walivyoiba kura, atayasoma majibu ya nguvu ya soko. Hapa inahitajika amri ya nguvu ya soko (economics principles) na siyo amri za mhutu.

Kilatha said:

Ceteris Paribus, costs bado zile zile na wazalishaji waliobaki wanauza bei ile ile kwa suppliers.

Sasa kwanini wao wapandishe kutokana na shortage, simple it’s ‘profiteering’

Serikali makini aiwezi fumbia macho utaratibu huo wa soko.

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Mkuu naona somo la Economics kwako ni wimbo wa kichina.

Restrict supply for a commodity in demand, price goes up.

Increase supply for a commodity in demand, price goes down.

Production costs bado ni constant.

Huwezi tegemea supply and demand forces kufix price peke yake kama market is not perfect.

In most cases the market is regulated if the objective is to benefit the people not traders alone. Kwa hivyo Kassim Majaliwa na serikali wako sahihi kabisa kuingilia kuhusu bei ya cement.

Jidu La Mabambasi said:

Mkuu naona somo la Economics kwako ni wimbo wa kichina.
Restrict supply for a commodity in demand, price goes up.

Increase supply for a commodity in demand, price goes down.
Production costs bado ni constant.

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Supply and demand is elementary economics kila mtu anajua shortage in supply causes prices to increase.

But governments look further if they want their market to be stable ndio maana kuna tools za kutumia kama price ceiling and price flows.

Kuna factors nyingi serikali inaangalia kabla ya kuamua kuachia market forces ziendelee zenyewe pale bei inapopanda kutotakana na shortage hasa kwenye commodity market maana huko ndio kuna influence secondary and tertiary prices.

Kilatha said:

Supply and demand is elementary economics kila mtu anajua shortage in supply causes prices to increase.

But governments look further if they want their market to be stable ndio maana kuna tools za kutumia kama price ceiling and price flows ku control influence in the commodity market for the most part

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Simplicity ni hallmark of geniuses.

Price ceiling wakati kuna high demand nikukaribisha black market.
Its not tenable, na hapo itabidi commodity iuzwe na polisi.

Naona hukusoma mfano wangu wa "flooding the market".

Jidu La Mabambasi said:

Price ceiling wakati kuna high demand nikukaribisha bkack market.
It not tenable, na hapo itabidi commodity iuzwe na polisi.

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We utakuwa sehemu ya hao walanguzi ambao mnaona fursa tu.

Kilatha said:

We utakuwa sehemu ya hao walanguzi ambao mnaona fursa tu.

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Thats not a fact.
Its your opinion, and a wrong one.

Jidu La Mabambasi said:

Thats not a fact.
Its your opinion, and a wrong one.

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Why then defend unjustifiable price increase, wakati cost za supplier hazijaongezeka?

Kilatha said:

Why then defend unjustifiable price increase, wakati cost za supplier azijaongezeka?

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Nimekushauri, ushauri mdogo tu, fuata principles za Economics. Flood the market to quell the high demand.

Waagize cement, price will adjust itself.