Special Thread: Yanayojiri Mgogoro wa Ukraine na Urusi. Nini chanzo na hatma ya mzozo?

Special Thread: Yanayojiri Mgogoro wa Ukraine na Urusi. Nini chanzo na hatma ya mzozo?

Ukraine waanza kulialia baada ya Russia kuwapelekea moto mkali
🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Russian Offensive in Kharkov

The Russian army has launched an offensive in the Kupyansk direction, according to the Commander of the Ukrainian Ground Forces.

"The goal of the Russian troops is to defeat the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kupyansk area and continue the offensive deep into Ukrainian battle formations," stated Syrsky.

➡️Kharkov governor also mentioned a Russian offensive in Kupyansk earlier today.

🔴 @DDGeopolitics

Ongezea na hii
IMG_20230717_202459_775.jpg

Ukrainians are very worried about the Kupyansk direction. They write that we have gathered a powerful fist and are moving forward.

Verbatim:
Now a very powerful group is concentrated in the Limano-Kupyansk direction. More than 100 thousand personnel, more than 900 tanks, and 370 MLRS. They say that with these forces we plan to defeat their battle formations and go deeper.

crests have interesting thoughts, but I think this is not the last unpleasant surprise for them. More to come soon...
 
Well
Aiba said:
Unachekeshaga mda mwingine naona unaongelea mahaba zaidi kuliko uhalisia vipi Lin ulisikia kamala harson siku za karibuni kwenye shughuli zake zaidi ya ziara ya mwaka Jana tu afrika, alafu kila nchi inamfumo wake wa uongozi nchi nying za west waziri mkuu ndyo mtendaji mkuu na mratibu wa shughuli zote serikalin,miswada, sheria na miongozo yote wanasimamia na kuiratib wao raisi ni kama kivuli tu muidhinishaji vipi Lin ulisikia waziri mkuu wa China ameongelewa kokote au wajitoa ufahamu.

Alafu kila jeshi ni dhaifu sehemu yake ata awoo marekani unaowasifia kila ssiku kwamba wako competent kwenye maeneo mengi ni ssababu alipigana na vinchi ambavyo vilikosa usaidizi kokote kule Vietnam alikimbia baada ya kupata aibu ya karne au kudanganya namba ya watu waliokufa vitani. Ukrein anapata usaidizi kama aliopat vietnamu miaka ya nyuma tena zaidi ya kile ambacho vietnamu alikipata ila kurudisha ayo maeneo msahau tu itakuwa yaleyale ya Finland maeneo mchukuliwe alafu kkwenye vitabu mtaandika Russia alishindwa ili kujipoza machungu
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Well said, we jaribu kifatilia maelezo yake linapokuja suala ya uwezo wa kijeshi wa USA masaa yote unaweza kufikiri anapewa handouts za jeshi la Merikani ku propagate propaganda za MoD ili kutishia Banana Republics tu - napongeza sana Uchina by cutting American military to size.
 
Richard said:
Mkuu, hapana shida uko sahihi.

Hakuna alegundua Hybrid Warfare isipokuwa kuna nadharia (Theory) ambayo ilipendekezwa na mwandishi wa vitabu vya vita na sera za mambo ya nje aitwae Dr Frank G Hoffmam.

Ndiye aliependekeza hii nadharia ya Hybrid Warfare katika papers zake mbili "Hybrid Warfare and Challenges" na kingine cha "The Rise of Hybrid Wars".

Kwahiyo kusema kwamba jenerali Gerasimov ndie aliegundua ni jambo ambalo si kweli.
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Mkuu Richard,

Umeandika mambo mazito sana Mkuu wangu na hapo kwenye bold ndipo uliponikosha zaidi maana ndipo palipokuwa panaleta ugomvi kati yangu na Ndugu Nkuba25.

Tupo pamoja 🤝 sasa.

Cc: Nkuba25.
 
M Z A N Z I B A R I said:
Putin promised Russia's response to the terrorist attack on the Crimean bridge: the Ministry of Defense is preparing appropriate proposals
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Kupigwa daraja anasema ni ugaidi sasa yale anayoyafanya yeye ya kuvunja majengo,hospital njia kuziharibu na mengineyo tuite ni nini?

Ugaidi ni kuharibiwa vya urusi ila vya Ukraine ni haki ati ndugu yangu mzanzibar?
 
ndammu said:
Kupigwa daraja anasema ni ugaidi sasa yale anayoyafanya yeye ya kuvunja majengo,hospital njia kuziharibu na mengineyo tuite ni nini?

Ugaidi ni kuharibiwa vya urusi ila vya Ukraine ni haki ati ndugu yangu mzanzibar?
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Dunia hii imejaa double standard!
Israel anaenda kufanya mauaji ndani ya ardhi ya Palestina,ila wapiganaji wa Palestina wakirusha makombora Israel wanaitwa magaidi!Hata wakijaribu kujilinda ndani ya ardhi yao basi wanaitwa magaidi na Israel wanaungwa mkono na mataifa ya west kuwashambulia!
Russia akitenda hilohilo la Israel,na Ukraine akashambulia Russia,hao west hakuna anayewaita hao Ukraine magaidi kwa kushambulia Russia!
 
ndammu said:
Kupigwa daraja anasema ni ugaidi sasa yale anayoyafanya yeye ya kuvunja majengo,hospital njia kuziharibu na mengineyo tuite ni nini?

Ugaidi ni kuharibiwa vya urusi ila vya Ukraine ni haki ati ndugu yangu mzanzibar?
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Hiyo ndio tafsiri ya wakubwa. Wakubwa kumiliki Silaha za nyuklia ni halali ila wadogo ni kharam refer Iraq na North Korea

Israel kuishambulia Palestine ni halali ila Palestine kuishambulia Israel ni kharam

Kiongozi akikwapua mali ya umma (maelfu ya watu) hauitwi wizi bali matumizi mabaya ya madaraka/ofisi ama ufisadi. Ila wewe ukikwapua mali ya mtu utaitwa kibaka, mwizi na majina mengine ya fedheha na watu wanaweza wakupige mpaka wakuue. Ila mguse fisadi sababu ya ufisadi wake uone cha mtema kuni
 
Wakati nchi za Afrika zinapigania uhuru wao, russia na China wali zisapoti Kwa siraha na mafunzo.kumbukumbu mbaya zaidi Kwa mwafrika ni pale utawala wa makaburu wa south Africa walipokuwa wanasaidiwa na Marekani na Uingereza kuwakandamiza watu weusi. Na kusaidia vikundi vya waasi kama mile Cha savimbi UNITA Leo hii Kuna watu wanawaona wamarekani kuwa ni wakombozi wa dunia kichekesho.
 
Wamarekani tunawapenda Kwa sababu ya misaada yao, Kwa ujumla nchi za magharibi zimetutenda vibaya Sana sisi waafrika kutokea utumwa mpaka ukoloni, naleo hii tunawachagua viongozi kupitia kile kinachoitwa demokrasia lakini ukweli ni kwamba kupitia njia hiyo ndo wao huweza kupenyeza watu wanao wataka
 
Mzee Ngonyani said:
Wakati nchi za Afrika zinapigania uhuru wao, russia na China wali zisapoti Kwa siraha na mafunzo.kumbukumbu mbaya zaidi Kwa mwafrika ni pale utawala wa makaburu wa south Africa walipokuwa wanasaidiwa na Marekani na Uingereza kuwakandamiza watu weusi. Na kusaidia vikundi vya waasi kama mile Cha savimbi UNITA Leo hii Kuna watu wanawaona wamarekani kuwa ni wakombozi wa dunia kichekesho.
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Mpaka Mandela anatoka gerezani marekani alikuwa anamtambua kama gaidi, uliza kafanya kitendo gani cha kigaidi????
 
Kinachomwasha Medvedev nikwamba Urusi inauwezo wa kufanya makubwa lakini Haifanyi, Putini anatumia Sana ubinadamu katika hii vita .Naona hata kiongozi wa Wagner malalamiko yake yalikuwa kama yanaonesha kuwa siraha zipo Kwa Nini hazitumiki zikaokoa uhai wa wapiganaji na muda. Ngoja tuone ingawa mimi napenda vita visitishwe maana wanaumia ni urusi na ukreni Marekani yeye anaendelea kupata soko la siraha zake ulaya mashariki maana zile za kisoviet/russia zitakuwa zimeisha
 

Your questions answered: If Western weapons are used to attack Crimea, is it directly involved in the conflict?​

We have been putting your questions on the war to our experts and senior correspondents.

The latest comes from John, who asks whether Moscow can claim the US and UK are in direct confrontation with Russia if GMLRS and Storm Shadow missiles are used in an attempt to liberate Crimea.

Military analyst Sean Bell replies...
lcimg-13ae68c2-e9b1-407c-b46d-61cacb4f7784.png

Following Russia's illegal invasion of Ukraine, the West has been steadily increasing the military aid provided to help Ukraine defeat the Russian aggressor. To date, this aid has not included military fighter jets but even that capability is now being discussed and it looks very likely that Ukraine will secure Western support to develop its own nascent air power capability in due course.

A key factor has been the West's increasing confidence that weapons supplied will not be used to attack Russian territory; this would risk escalating the conflict. Weapons such as Storm Shadow have a 300-mile range and could be used to target military capability well inside Russia itself, so Ukrainian reassurances have been critical.

The challenge for Ukraine is that they would almost certainly want to take the fight to Russia and not be constrained to fighting only on Ukrainian territory; however, needs must.

Long-range weapons do provide Ukraine the opportunity to target Russian logistics supplies and ammunition dumps – usually held some way back from the frontline. With Storm Shadow, all Russian military forces in occupied Ukraine are within range – a huge advantage for the current phase of Ukraine's counteroffensive.

Before Ukraine's attention can turn to Crimea, it must break down the established and formidable layered Russian defences stretching from Zaporizhzhia to the Donbas. Even then, although a relatively small land area, history suggests it will be very difficult for Ukraine to successfully liberate Crimea - not least because its enduring fortified defences withstood the Nazi forces in the Second World War.

In addition, currently the Russians are having to defend a 1,200km front line, leaving forces stretched, but if Russian forces had retreated to Crimea, their frontline would have shrunk considerably so they would have significantly greater density and strength in depth.

Russia considers Crimea to be Russian for historical reasons. If Crimea were under sustained and determined attack, Vladimir Putin might feel obliged to use all means at his disposal to avoid losing this strategically important asset.

However, even then, this would be a fight between Ukraine and Russia, and it is hard to see the West having any appetite to get directly involved.


==========================
Vilianzia Crimea na vitaishia Crimea
 
Proved said:

Your questions answered: If Western weapons are used to attack Crimea, is it directly involved in the conflict?​

We have been putting your questions on the war to our experts and senior correspondents.

The latest comes from John, who asks whether Moscow can claim the US and UK are in direct confrontation with Russia if GMLRS and Storm Shadow missiles are used in an attempt to liberate Crimea.

Military analyst Sean Bell replies...
lcimg-13ae68c2-e9b1-407c-b46d-61cacb4f7784.png

Following Russia's illegal invasion of Ukraine, the West has been steadily increasing the military aid provided to help Ukraine defeat the Russian aggressor. To date, this aid has not included military fighter jets but even that capability is now being discussed and it looks very likely that Ukraine will secure Western support to develop its own nascent air power capability in due course.

A key factor has been the West's increasing confidence that weapons supplied will not be used to attack Russian territory; this would risk escalating the conflict. Weapons such as Storm Shadow have a 300-mile range and could be used to target military capability well inside Russia itself, so Ukrainian reassurances have been critical.

The challenge for Ukraine is that they would almost certainly want to take the fight to Russia and not be constrained to fighting only on Ukrainian territory; however, needs must.

Long-range weapons do provide Ukraine the opportunity to target Russian logistics supplies and ammunition dumps – usually held some way back from the frontline. With Storm Shadow, all Russian military forces in occupied Ukraine are within range – a huge advantage for the current phase of Ukraine's counteroffensive.

Before Ukraine's attention can turn to Crimea, it must break down the established and formidable layered Russian defences stretching from Zaporizhzhia to the Donbas. Even then, although a relatively small land area, history suggests it will be very difficult for Ukraine to successfully liberate Crimea - not least because its enduring fortified defences withstood the Nazi forces in the Second World War.

In addition, currently the Russians are having to defend a 1,200km front line, leaving forces stretched, but if Russian forces had retreated to Crimea, their frontline would have shrunk considerably so they would have significantly greater density and strength in depth.

Russia considers Crimea to be Russian for historical reasons. If Crimea were under sustained and determined attack, Vladimir Putin might feel obliged to use all means at his disposal to avoid losing this strategically important asset.

However, even then, this would be a fight between Ukraine and Russia, and it is hard to see the West having any appetite to get directly involved.


==========================
Vilianzia Crimea na vitaishia Crimea
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Kulipua daraja ndio mwisho wa vita na ushindi wa Ukraine?
 
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