Mkuu Rtbkazoba. I deeply appreciate the unprecedented lengths you've gone to, to extrapolate on this rather confounding subject. It has taken me decades to accept that some folks could be genuinely homosexual. I'm not one for untangling complex hypotheses. I just simply reasoned (in the sexual context) that for a "normal" man to feel aroused (get stiff) by the mere sight of the very masculine morphology of another man, that cannot be faked! Even terrible, I still have not yet settled for the notion that a "real" man can get sexual relief by being penetrated by another man. Sounds the ultimate degradation of manhood and an abomination to me in every sense. That these conditions could be learned and faked, I concluded, NO! It would be too much of a sacrifice! These people must be in that way by construct.
HOWEVER, people like Makonda and most TZ folks in general, have a very different or incomplete context of what they call "mashoga". They usually envision "male prostitutes" who masquerade as women peddling sex to men for sale. For them, gays are those "feminine or effeminate" men who make themselves up and posture as ladies - and work the streets, bars and night clubs (selling sex). Combating these kind of folks and their business could be ok as far as clearing the blister of prostitution in general is concerned (though that's a tall order for the oldest profession). But I wonder if Makonda and the like are aware and/or could detect the "unmarked" gays with all the "normal" physical traits of their visible gender who lead "quiet" lives in their communities but enjoy homosexual relations. Some are even notable professionals, party cadres, political leaders, etc. Due to societal restrictions, they still remain in closets.
For such ignorant persons, your complex analysis is of no use. You may even be talking from different premises. Makonda may just be addressing the problem of prostitution in the city - be it heterosexual or homosexual based. Attributing anti-gay crusade to him, could amount to elevating his cognitive powers to where they don't belong. I think what President Uhuru Kenyatta once said during his interview with CNN holds a lot of water. Time has not yet come for gay rights to be an issue in our countries. A genuine discourse on the subject would be possible ONLY when the gays in "high; respectable" places come out of their closets and speak for themselves - not the street peddlers.