Special Thread: Yanayojiri Mgogoro wa Ukraine na Urusi. Nini chanzo na hatma ya mzozo?

Lile daraja liungalo Crimea na Kherson linawaka muda huu
 

Tumeshajua west kwa Russia ni NOTHING. Kumbe walikua wanakopwa gas na mafuta[emoji23][emoji23]
 
Mnakumbuka yale ya Ghost of Kyiv kuna yule mpiga nyeto alikua mpaka anaitolea uchambuzi aisee kumbe hata haijawai kuexist zilikua video game. Leo hii wamekuja na HIMARS.

Kubishana na Tim rainbow kunataka moyo sana ndugu zangu[emoji23][emoji23][emoji23]
 
Mbona kadri siku zinavyozidi kwenda unakuwa mjinga mjinga
 
Tazama hii kumbe ndio maana anaomba wafungwa kwa kiduku jeshi limeisha.Hiki kipigo ni cha kihistoria [emoji1787][emoji1787][emoji1787]View attachment 2331283View attachment 2331284
Seriously unaamini hii taarifa ni kweli na unawaletea watu wenye akili zao!Kueni smart and diagnostic jamani,sio kila taarifa ni taarifa,this is fake news and junk.
 
😎😎😎
 
Haya hii yamoto kabisa leo hii "Another Rusian ammunition depot exploding in occupied Donetsk" SABOTAGE [emoji38][emoji38][emoji38][emoji38]

 
Seriously unaamini hii taarifa ni kweli na unawaletea watu wenye akili zao!Kueni smart and diagnostic jamani,sio kila taarifa ni taarifa,this is fake news and junk.
Urusi anatembezewa mkong'oto [emoji12][emoji12]
 
Ni kweli penyewe
 
Let’s talk about the daily attacks on Crimea.

The Ukrainian military attempts to “strike” Crimea multiple times a day using various drones, usually rigged with explosives, sometimes not rigged with anything.

All of them are unsurprisingly shot down. Crimea is a fortress. Crimea’s Air Defence umbrella is extremely good, you can go as far as calling it the best in the world. At the moment, there’s no other place on earth as heavily defended from air attacks (other than Russian mainland) as Crimea. However, it is extremely easy to get cocky and forget that no air defense system is perfect & every air defence system can be penetrated. This is a mistake many analysts make, they assume Crimea is untouchable. - it is not, it never will be.

These “meaningless, desperate” drone “attacks” by Ukraine are not actually meant to cause damage, they’re meant to find holes in Russia’s air defences — under strict NATO watch. Americans and Brits observe every interception by Russian Air Defence systems in Crimea. They are clueless about Russian Air Defences in a combat setting. Russia’s domestic systems are only showing their true capabilities now.

Every interception gives them more data and more information on how to break it. Ukraine is doing this for 2 reasons:

1. Domestic propaganda

As Ukraine fails to gain any success on the front lines, launching drones at the “occupiers” make headlines every single time in Ukraine. The regime supporters rejoice, Zelensky looks strong and determined.

2. NATO orders

Let’s not forget that the US, EU & UK are not providing “help” to Ukraine. They are lending them money, with interest. Every bullet and weapon has its tab. This will take decades to pay back. — in turn, the Americans want data. They want a lot of data. They want every piece of data they can get. Data on Russian missiles, air defence systems, operational structure, Russian gear and especially, russian radars and their capabilities.

This shows that NATO is simply clueless about Russia’s Air Defence capabilities, even when we’re talking about Pantsir S1 and Buk M1, as well as the S300. The domestic versions of these systems differ drastically from the export versions we saw in action in the Syrian war and elsewhere.

There’s no doubt in our minds that they will figure out a way to break the Crimean AD umbrella, but it will be short lived. While these systems can be overwhelmed, they cannot be overwhelmed to a large extent unless they are destroyed.

Russia is not using any of its newest systems to intercept these drones, they are using the domestic variants of systems we already saw working in Syria and in other conflicts — but those were all the export variants. Russian domestic systems are clearly much, much more capable than their export variants. When Ukraine and NATO figures out how to effectively overwhelm the current umbrella, Russia has another 3 generations of systems that NATO has never seen in action before.

The systems fielded by NATO are still behind the S1, M1 & S300 in every aspect. 3 generations behind.

Air Defence is Russia’s strong suit and always has been, but don’t assume that Crimea cannot be hit, that is simply stupidity. It will be hit, it is just a matter of time.

T.me/asbmil
 
Tazama live wanajeshi wa super power walivyo surrender leo hii hata nguvu za kukimbia hawana[emoji1787][emoji1787][emoji1787][emoji1787]
Waje waseme hii game gani???

 
But remember this; Russia suffer great loss in this war since WW2[emoji12][emoji12]
 
Tazama live wanajeshi wa super power walivyo surrender leo hii hata nguvu za kukimbia hawana[emoji1787][emoji1787][emoji1787][emoji1787]
Waje waseme hii game gani???

Wape vidonge vyao comred [emoji91][emoji91][emoji91][emoji91][emoji91][emoji91][emoji91][emoji91][emoji91][emoji91][emoji91]
 
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